Earnings Labs

Sarepta Therapeutics, Inc. (SRPT)

Q4 2020 Earnings Call· Tue, Mar 2, 2021

$21.12

+0.67%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

-2.05%

1 Week

-3.58%

1 Month

-14.30%

vs S&P

-17.94%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Sarepta Therapeutics Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2020 Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants' lines are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, today's program is being recorded. At this time, I'll turn the call over to Mary Jenkins, Senior Manager, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Mary Jenkins

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and thank you all for joining today's call. Earlier today, we released our financial results for the fourth quarter and full year 2020. The press release is available on our Web site at sarepta.com and our 10-K was filed with the Securities & Exchange Commission earlier this afternoon. Joining us on the call today are Doug Ingram, Ian Estepan, Dallan Murray, Dr. Gilmore O’Neill, and Dr. Louise Rodino-Klapac. After our formal remarks, we'll open up the call for Q&A. I'd like to note that during this call, we will be making a number of forward-looking statements. Please take a moment to review our slides on the webcast, which contains our forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond Sarepta's control. Actual results could materially differ from these forward-looking statements and any such risks can materially and adversely affect the business, the results of operations and trading prices for Sarepta's common stock. For a detailed description of applicable risks and uncertainties, we encourage you to review the company's most recent annual report on Form 10-K filed with the SEC as well as the company's other SEC filings. The company does not undertake any obligation to publicly update its forward-looking statements, including any financial projections provided today, based on subsequent events or circumstances. And now, I will turn the call over to our CEO, Doug Ingram, who will provide an overview of our recent progress. Doug?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Thank you, Mary. Good afternoon, everyone and thank you for joining Sarepta Therapeutics fourth quarter and full year 2020 investor conference call. I am pleased to share with you this afternoon that the progress that we have made across our multi-platform portfolio, including our performance serving the Duchenne community with our approved products, the work we are doing in gene therapy, including SRP-9001, for DMD and, of course, the advancement of our RNA platform. We have an enormous number of important milestones in 2021. And I am very pleased that we have what I believe to be the strongest most committed and focused team in Sarepta's history to advance toward our goals. To remind you in December of 2020, I announced the Dr. Louise Rodino-Klapac was named our Chief Scientific Officer taking charge of our research efforts across gene therapy, gene editing and RNA therapeutics. Dr. Rodino-Klapac is a renowned leader in genetic medicine research and organizing all of our efforts under her stewardship, we'll ensure we maximize the opportunities in front of us. At the same time, I elevated to Chief Commercial Officer Dallan Murray, a commercial leader with expertise second to none, in rare disease, DMD and our RNA franchise. And I also elevated Ian Estepan to CFO. I'm sure you all know Ian well and will appreciate that his nuanced knowledge of our company and our programs is only matched by his passion and commitment to our mission and the DMD community. Finally, I am pleased to announce that I have elected Ryan Brown, formerly our Chief Compliance Officer and then Interim Head of our Legal and Compliance Function to be our permanent General Counsel. I have known and worked with Ryan for many years, and his intellect, judgment and commitment to ethics and compliance will serve…

Ian Estepan

Analyst

Thanks, Doug. Good afternoon, everyone. This afternoon's press release provided details for the fourth quarter of 2020 on a non-GAAP basis, as well as a GAAP basis. The press release is available on our Web site. Please refer to our press release for a full reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial results. We are pleased to announce that in conjunction with our recent AMONDYS 45 approval, we have sold the rare pediatric disease priority review voucher or PRV for $102 million. We expect the transaction to close in the next quarter after all regulatory conditions have been satisfied. Now moving to net product revenue for the fourth quarter of 2020 from our products EXONDYS 51 and VYONDYS 53 was $122.6 million, compared to $100.1 million for the same period of 2019. The increase primarily reflects higher demand for our products. Going forward in 2021, we will be breaking out revenues for our RNA franchise including EXONDYS 51, VYONDYS 53 and AMONDYS 45. And I'd like to remind you as Doug mentioned earlier, our 2021 guidance for our RNA franchise inclusive of a AMONDYS 45 is $537 million to $547 million. In the quarter ended December 31, 2020, we recognized $22.5 million of collaboration revenue, which relates to our collaboration arrangement with Roche. The reimbursable co-development clause under the Roche agreement totaled $34.2 million for the fourth quarter. On a GAAP basis, we reported a net loss of $189.3 million and $235.7 million, or $2.40 and $3.16 per basic and diluted share for the fourth quarter of 2020 and 2019, respectively. We reported a non-GAAP net loss of $145.1 million or $1.84 per basic and diluted share in the fourth quarter of 2020 compared to a non-GAAP net loss of $116.9 million or $1.57 per share and diluted share in the…

Dallan Murray

Analyst

Thank you, Ian, and good afternoon, everyone. Despite the challenges posed by the COVID-19 pandemic Sarepta maintained its leadership position in Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy by continuing to serve patients and execute on our stated 2020 goals. Firstly, we were thrilled with the FDA approval of AMONDYS 45, casimersen. Sarepta's third RNA exon skipping medicine, which occurred last week on February 25, 2021. The approval was based on a statistically significant increase in dystrophin production and skeletal muscle observed in patients treated with AMONDYS 45. Based on our unrivaled expertise in D&D, and our commitment to serving this community with excellence and urgency, AMONDYS 45was launched immediately after approval. All facets of our commercial manufacturing and medical organizations, including case managers, supply chain and field force, jumped into action on day one to support to roughly 8% of patients who are amenable skipping exon 45. Our goal is to facilitate rapid patient access of AMONDYS 45 by leveraging our industry leading knowledge and proven experience and having successfully launched two other RNA medicines to treat DMD, EXONDYS 51 and VYONDYS 53. In total, Sarepta now serves roughly 30% of the DMD community. Moving on now to EXONDYS 51 and VYONDYS 53, we continue to provide uninterrupted supply of both products to patients and there have been few delays or stoppages as a result of the pandemic. Due to the fact that a large majority of EXONDYS 51 or VYONDYS 53 patients, roughly 90% are receiving weekly infusions in their homes. We are encouraged that the majority of payers have demonstrated a willingness to work with the DMD community and have shown flexibility to allow for continued access to these important therapies during this difficult time. Any impact to-date has largely been due to miss doses, one to two doses on average,…

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Thank you very much Gilmore. Let's turn it over to Q&A now, operator?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Alethia Young from Cantor.

Alethia Young

Analyst

I know a lot been made of how to interpret what's the 9001 data means for the next studies and DMD. But I just wanted to talk a little bit about what you think it means for limb-girdle, your general confidence level there based on what you've seen with this technology? And then also, how perhaps fine tune, think about what are the core key regulatory endpoints as you have those conversations with the FDA to make sure that they are successful?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

I mean, first, we have -- our confidence in our constructs and the way we build them, only increases over time, I would remind everyone that the limb-girdle program that we have limb-girdle Type 2E and SRP-9003 uses not only the same capsid, which is RNA 74 but it also uses the same promoter as 9001. We have now treated patients that are well over 50 patients at the target dose. And so, we have a very safety profile, we're seeing very good expression. And so this only increases our confidence level around SRP-9003 and so we're excited about that. With respect to the clinical regulatory strategy as relates it to 9001 in particular, we have an enormous amount of insight that's come out of Study 102, some of which we've shared, some of which we're still working on and we'll share when the protocol is complete. And so our goal here is to continue to work to really understand the data. And we're coming to the end of that now, to build a protocol that's fully informed by study 102 and the positive proof of concept in 102 and some of the nuance that we're seeing out of Study 102 to meet with the agency, once that protocol is fully defined, then we'll update everybody on that. And then, of course, our goal is to commence our next trial this year, somewhere around the middle of the year with the goal of having all of those kids dosed if all goes well before the end of this year and of course the read out, probably have last patient, last visit, if all goes well by the end of next year, and then read out shortly thereafter. And it is our current base assumption that would be the study upon which we would obtain an approval first in the U.S. and around the world.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Brian Abrahams from RBC Capital Markets.

Brian Abrahams

Analyst

Now that you've had more of an opportunity to digest the mono two data set, and I think you've mentioned maybe in January, you've been looking at additional statistical analyses, including those that may normalize for baseline characteristics. I was wondering if you had any further learnings or insights that you'd be willing to share and any maybe planned adjustments to the general approach you might take to the 301 design, things like inclusion criteria, or analyses.

Doug Ingram

Analyst

So the short answer is, yes, we have an enormous amount of insight that's come out of 102 and it will help us tune the next study. We're not yet in a place where we want to discuss that and provide additional detail. We'll do that once that protocol is fully designed and then the agency is bought into the protocol. But we are convinced not only that there's a lot of insight here but that we can greatly increase the probability of success in the next trial in a very nuanced way. We have already at study 102, significantly more insight and data than anyone else would have regarding a construct for micro-dystrophin for the use of Duchenne muscular dystrophy, that'll help us design, our next study, we tentatively call that study 301. And then, we'll have even more insight, by the way, at the end of this year, I really do want to point out how important that is, remember study 102 is a blinded study, what we saw in January was part one of that study. And what we saw, well, I'm not going to deny, I'm disappointed that we didn't hit statistical significance in the primary endpoint, what we saw in the secondary endpoints confirms our belief in the value and the benefit and the transformative potential of this therapy. When you look at the four to five year olds, that's only 16 kids and in that 16 kid cohort, were the baselines were actually properly compared, we saw not just a strong statistical significance, but also a very clinically meaningful benefit over placebo and only 48 weeks. And then, at the end of this year, just to remember, right, everybody, that study remains blinded, we're going to have part two, that's going to be last…

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes to the line of Salveen Richter from Goldman Sachs.

Salveen Richter

Analyst

Just, you maybe an update under gene editing portfolio, you recently entered into a research collaboration with Genevant for LMP-based editing therapeutics and you've had some other partnerships to-date, could you just walk us through, when we should expect kind of an update on programs moving forward here?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Sure, I will turn this over to Dr. Louise Rodino-Klapac. Before I do, I will point out that you will notice that we are -- our goal is to look at all of the modalities, we look at gene editing that's something that's very exciting for the future. In addition to partnerships and relationships that we have entered into over the course of the last 12 to 24 months, I should also note that we have built out a gene editing center, what we call the Gene Editing Innovation Center in Durham, North Carolina, all of which is under the leadership of Dr. Charlie Gersbach from Duke University, who is one of the significant world leaders in the use of gene editing from a neuromuscular perspective. But perhaps, in addition to that, Louise, you'd like to comment on our gene editing efforts.

Louise Rodino-Klapac

Analyst

Sure, thank you, Doug. I'd like to just second with what Doug said about Charlie Gersbach and being really the true leader in the field and having worked in Duchenne space for quite some time. And really, we had the opportunity to develop a best-in-class technology. And part of that is really scanning the landscape for delivery technologies, and that there are other ways that you can deliver gene editing, machinery and so our Genevant partnership was one way to look at that using lipid nanoparticles. And we're certainly open to making sure that we have the best delivery vehicle for gene editing. And so we'll continue to look at these research partnerships in a broad manner to make sure that we develop the best technology moving forward. So thank you for the question.

Doug Ingram

Analyst

And I should also note Salveen that we have -- with the nanoparticles we have relationships to advance, updated and more increasingly sophisticated AAV technology. And of course, we have a relationship to explore the use of exosomes as delivery devices as well both, potentially both for gene editing and gene therapy and maybe even RNA as well.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ritu Baral from Cowen.

Ritu Baral

Analyst

Doug, have you ruled out breaking the blind on 102 to generate more data before you start 301? Or do you have optionality to keep 301 adaptive depending on what final 102 data will show? And given enrollment is going to be competitive? How confident are you that you can enroll 301 in six months?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Yes, thank you for both those questions, Ritu. So you raised a really interesting question, which is, could you do an interim analysis on part two, to gain even additional insight. The short answer is having thought about that we're not currently of a view that we should do that for a host of reasons. The first is that we already are going to have significant insight from part one study 102 that will help us design what we're calling study 301 right now, and we just got -- that no one gets to be very direct. Nobody has the kind of insight that we currently have. And the design that we'll have for our next study will increase the probability of success, it will clearly put us in a competitively positive advantage. And that's already with part one. So we really do want to maintain that blind and get a readout on study 102, at the end of this last patient last visit, by the end of this year and probably very early the following year have that readout, because that's going to be an enormously important set of data, a vast amount of information in this rare disease, and we just really want to maintain the blind. As it relates to enrollment, there is an enormous need in Duchenne muscular dystrophy. And so I remain quite confident that we can enroll with rapidity, physicians and investigators are very excited about the opportunity to work with us. And so I think that won't be our significant issue. I don't believe right now, our big issue right now is getting that protocol, really fine tuned, meeting with the agency getting the agency blessing on that protocol and the approach and then really getting that kicked off and started and in time to really start enrolling patients. And I suspect that patient enrollment will be robust once we get that going.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line Anupam Rama from JPMorgan.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

This is [Tes] [ph] on the call for Anupam. So one question here, in your remarks Doug, I think you said you're expanding study 103 to better balance four and five year olds in the trial, I guess what is the rationale here, given you're planning to run 301? And what is the target and for 103 now?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Yes, thank you for that. And I really appreciate that question, because I want to make sure that the reason I mentioned it at all is to make sure that it's not a significant change or delay in anything. So just to remind everybody, study 103, uses the commercially representative material, our new process that we would intend to launch this therapy with. And it's our goal to test, expression and safety and the similarity of that process. And the great news on that was that we had all the kids dose by the end of last year, as we reported out to JPMorgan that was about 11 children, what we've noticed is that there are more sixes, sevens and fours and fives. And since this was intended to be a look at four to seven year olds, we've added -- we updated the IND, it would allow us to add some additional four to five, but it is no more than that. We haven't seen any data on this. And will not delay us in the evaluation and the report out of those 11 patients. It's just an attempt to get a better balance over time. So don't consider that a delay in anything. It's not a delay in the report out in the second quarter. It shouldn't be any kind of delay in the start of 301. It's really just our effort to ensure that we have a nice balance of four to fives and sixes and sevens in that study.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Difei Yang from Mizuho Mutual.

Difei Yang

Analyst

Just a quick one, on a very high level, how do you think about gene editing relative to AAV based gene therapy? Is there a possibility that gene editing just leapfrog the virus based gene therapy and come to commercialization first?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Well, I think the answer is no. I don't think that we're going to see something that's going to leapfrog gene therapy right now for a host of reasons. First, you raised a really good point, because what you said is that, is it possible that the gene editing would leapfrog this virus based gene therapy that we have in front of us today as a biopharmaceutical industry? And the short answer is that of course, gene editing today is virus based, as well. So and I think that to empower gene editing, we may want to look, as we are currently, as you've seen, both through LNPs and exosomes, about a delivery device that would move itself away from AAV as a potential. So that already is going to require a lot of effort and focus and research. To think about it, AAV has been a very successful approach for delivery of gene therapy. And if we're going to move away from that over time, that's going to take time. So gene editing is really exciting. But I think just temporarily there's a different, gene therapy is right in front of us right today, we just did you saw had the results of a placebo controlled trial, at least part one. And, again, I would remind us that when we got the baselines, right, in the four to five, we see a really profound, never before seen benefit out of a placebo trial. So this is right in front of us. Gene editing is very exciting but believe me, we are, there's a reason why we're putting a lot of effort into gene editing, why we built this gene editing Innovation Center, why we've wrapped our arms around the technology of someone like Dr. Charlie Gersbach, while we've entered…

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from a line of Debjit Chattopadhyay from Guggenheim Securities.

Debjit Chattopadhyay

Analyst

So I'm trying to find an explanation for the high 2.62 VCN per cell in the crossover patients, but micro-dystrophin expression about the same as study 101, whether VCN was 1.63. And could you also sort of talk to any difference in dose between the first cohort of patients in study 102 versus the crossover patients?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

I'm going to turn this question over to Dr. Louise Rodino-Klapac who can provide some insight into both. I would think, Louise will explain, I think on the genome copies per nucleus, I wouldn't over interpret the delta between those genome copies is probably, despite smaller numbers in a sense, in the genome copies than in the western blot expression, but Louise, your thoughts on both of *those questions?

Louise Rodino-Klapac

Analyst

I would agree with you about not over interpreting the vector genome copy numbers in part two. I would add that in part two, as we mentioned, the first 11 patients will receive the intended dosing level as opposed to the part one patients which we've discussed. So in that respect, we feel that study 101 and what we've seen so far in part two at the intended dosing level are quite on target in terms of expression and vector genome copies within range as well. Was there any additional question?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

I think those are the two questions and just to remind everybody about Debjit's question. So in the first part of the study, the tittering method that was used, the standard what's called supercoiled qPCR. It turns out with the benefit of having developed a linear standard for qPCR, we can look back and see that there were three lots, one of the lots hit the target, the target tittering two of the lots were below the tittering in the first group of patients. That's about 60% of the patients were in the lower lots. On the crossover, we used the linear tittering for the purpose of the crossover, patients and so, we are right on target tittering and target dose on the crossover patients. And if I've got that completely wrong factually release.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Gena Wang from Barclays.

Gena Wang

Analyst

So I have one question regarding study 102. Regarding the crossover, did you align with FDA regarding pre-specified natural history patient population for statistical analysis purpose and therefore the treatment, we know that Dr. [indiscernible] tend to use weekend regimen. Was that consistent across all the patients?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Yes, taking the second question first. We allowed patients that could be on a long-term steady dose of steroids. We allow the patients to use their standard of care and some people have daily dose, some people use weekend dose that play a role as best we can see. And as it relates to the crossover that was all pre-specified and we can update it again before we unblind, we should even [indiscernible] correct me if I'm wrong. But I think all of that was all meta analysis was in the protocol at the commencement of the trial. Gilmore O’Neill: Protocol on the SAP were created prior to the unblinding of part one interim analysis.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from a line of Gil Blum from Needham & Company.

Gil Blum

Analyst

So, as you mentioned before, Doug, LGMD programs have certain similarities across them. From a regulatory perspective, there's positive data, continuing positive data for LGMD 2E. Does that translate across programs?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Well, the positive data on the LGMD programs not from a strictly regulatory perspective, it may not but from a competence in the construct and the result, it definitely does. And we're seeing -- we see and it does in both across all of the LGMDs, but also back on to 9001. Because if you look at the safety profile, understand of course, there was a significant part of the safety profile comes from the capsid itself in this case r874 and of course, our 874 is the capsule that we're using for all of our limb-girdles as well as 9001 for DMD and so there's a value there. And then, seeing the positive expression results gives us a lot of confidence both in the [tropism] [ph] of r874, across all of the programs, and also the promoter itself. It's the same promoter in 2E, that's a 9001 and it's the same promoter, and I think three of the five, if I'm not mistaken, three of the five limb girdle program. So, there is an enormous amount of building confidence that we have. Now I think, with respect to limb girdle and its pathway, I think that we are going to be meeting with the division this year, once we have GMP material released from our commercial representative material. And then, we'll figure out what the pathway is for that limb-girdle and I suspect that that pathway will inform the pathway of the other limb girdles as well. And so that conversation will be an important one for us to have this year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Tazeen Ahmad from Bank of America.

Tazeen Ahmad

Analyst

Hi, guys, maybe just to change gears to your current franchise, just wanted to get a little bit of color on what kind of penetration you have right now with the EXONDYS and the targeted market? And can you give us an idea of how go of your sales launch is going and if you expect casimersen will also have a similar type of ramp to what EXONDYS had at the beginning. And maybe to tie it all up, how big of a market opportunity with the three drugs together represent?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Yes, so thank you for that, I think, let me take them [indiscernible] together. And so first of all, with respect to EXONDYS, we launched EXONDYS in late 2016, we are going to get -- start getting to the flatter side of the curve with EXONDYS over the course probably by the end of this year. The reason for that is that there and then we'll be continuing to grow based on incident population and still refine new patients. And if we could ever unlock new patient screening, we would definitely see a significant increase. There's still a ton of opportunity in EXONDYS, even over the long-term, but the issue there is ex-U.S., and we have to find an opportunity ex-U.S. to get approvals ex-U.S. to really unlock that opportunity. We have ex-U.S., but they come from what we call the map program, this access program that's responsive in nature. The problem ex-U.S. is that there isn't in most countries the concept of an accelerated approval pathway. So that hampers us until we get a readout on some of our confirmatory trials with EXONDYS that I think give another opportunity for growth. Golo has done very well. Now golo's launch has been somewhat attenuated as a result of the pandemic itself, obviously, it isn't the -- you would rather not launch a new therapy, particularly a therapy that has to start with not only going into physician's offices, but going into a hospital for your first infusion is very typically, you would love to not have to do that launch in the midst of a pandemic. And yet the team did a brilliant job and we had very good growth in VYONDYS. But from my perspective, we should see VYONDYS has a continuing launch, which is actually a positive, there's…

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Vincent Chen from Bernstein.

Vincent Chen

Analyst

Taking the crossover data at the end of this year from study 102, I was wondering if you could provide a bit more color on how you evaluate the data and what you're hoping to see, I guess, what comparisons were specified in the protocol? And what would, from your view, what would an encouraging result look like?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Well, we're looking at both two things, really, we're looking at the first one, there's a bunch of things we're going to look at. And of course, we can update a more insight more thought into in the broadest of strokes, we're going to be able to see, first of all, we're going to be able to compare against natural history, children, including children have been on the therapy for nearly two years, that's going to be exciting. We're going to have this trajectory analysis that we can look at as well, which is we have a unique opportunity just to look at children who are blinded the whole time. So let's be very clear, this is not an open label study, it will be blinded till the end, look at them trajecting over the course of 48 weeks without any therapeutic intervention and then therapeutic intervention. And then we see what that looks like over time both using themselves as their own control, and also using a well matched Natural History set that would be pre-specified to look at what you would have predicted out of a natural history set based on, their trajectory over that 48 week period, including and then looking at their age. But beyond that, Dr. O'Neill, is there anything I'm missing here in the broad strokes?

Vincent Chen

Analyst

I think in broad strokes, you've hit it and obviously you also have -- will have a second year of follow for the patients who were randomized to active treatment in part one. So you've got it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Tara Bancroft from Piper Sandler.

Tara Bancroft

Analyst

And so staying on the topic from Tazeen's question, what do you think is the next PMO, in terms of which candidate you think could get approved next, or do you think it's actually more likely to be a PPMO? I know you said it could be one or the other. And on the PPMO topic, have you started dosing in the 40 mg-per-kg cohort yet? And will they be included in the data in Q2?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Yes. Going to the last question first. The data that we'll have in the second quarter will be the 30 mg-per-kg data. That's what will happen in the second quarter on, it's really interesting question. We have constructs built for -- the great thing about RNA Technology is that, it's the conjugation of a peptide to construct that PMO construct. So we can build the PMO construct. And if you want to go to PPMO, we simply conjugate the peptide to the pre-existing construct. We have a lot, a number of them built for all the fairly significant populations. So the real question for us, the fork in the road is going to be what the data looks like in the PPMO. And then we can make a choice. And if the data looks great in the PPMO, then we're obviously going to start building the constructs with peptide conjugation to them. And we're going to start getting those kids on therapy, and then hopefully, she can celebrate an approval via that mechanism. And if that when it all ends up, we think that PMO is the better answer, we'll start conjugating, we will start creating those constructs and bringing them forward in, when you can see now that we have a fairly distinct approach, we can build the constructs, they're highly precise, they have very good safety profiles in the PMOs. Of course, the PPMOs, that's exactly what we're looking at, which is the safety profile, the PPMO. And then, we can bring those forward with the accelerated approval pathway, which is very efficient, but we need to first decide if it's going to be PPMO and PMO. And then when those we stop very encouraging results in the PPMO last year, and then in the second quarter of this year, we'll see how it looks at 30 mg-per-kg.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Brian Skorney from Baird.

Brian Skorney

Analyst

Question on the ESSENCE study, you said it'll read out in 2024. I guess is that study now blinded out until week 144. And I'm just wondering, in terms of with three years to go before the readout? How do you intend on maintaining trial integrity in terms of keeping patients randomized, given that both golodirsen or casimersen are now available?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Yes, that's a great question. Yes, it's blinded. And it's very difficult, you have a very good point. We've done a great job, the teams had a brilliant job and more than that the patients have done a wonderful job and being committed to this, this trial, but it is blinded and having a long-term blinded trial, it takes a lot of commitment, so there's no doubt on that. The trial integrity is not at risk as a result of the approvals of both AMONDYS and VYONDYS, it was one of the very things we talked about early with the agency, as we were thinking about the accelerated approval approach, both for VYONDYS and then AMONDYS. And the way we achieve that was to ensure even as AMONDYS, I mean, its VYONDYS was coming close to approval is that we moved our recruitment ex-U.S. So we moved to regions around the world that don't have access to a commercially available therapy, so that the access to the therapy in those areas can be via this trial, and then we don't have to worry about the -- what would be a very, very credible risk, which would be you get a commercially available therapy on board. And then, children are moving over to commercially available therapy as opposed to being in a placebo controlled trial. But that risk is not significant at all, as a result of the actions that we took a couple of years ago to start recruiting ex-U.S.

Brian Skorney

Analyst

Got it. And just I just want to clarify so that blind so what we'll get from the blinded data in 2024, is that actually going to be week 144? Six minute walk is that a primary now?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

I think that's right. Is that right, Dr. O'Neill?

Gilmore O'Neill

Analyst

Yes.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Colin Bristow from UBS.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi, this is [indiscernible] on for Colin, thanks for taking our questions. So we have a full question on the PPMO and half of the data like updates in second quarter. So based on your modeling work, [indiscernible] more dystrophin expression levels? Are you expecting or should we expect from the 13 mg-per-kg or even higher dosing cohorts?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Yes. The short answer is, we don't know yet. We haven't seen any of the data. So I want to be very clear. We don't know yet. What we're going to see until we look at it. All we can do is model off of animal data. And of course that there's a lot of risk and trying to correlate between animal data and human data and trying to figure out what the exact right model is, is it way base, is it allometric, it is some mix in between. What we do know is we know two things. We know that at 20 mg-per-kg, which in animal models wouldn't have yet been at that steep part of the dose response curve from a dystrophin and exon skipping perspective, we nevertheless saw at one-tenth, the dose exposure, five times a disrupt in production. So we've already seen something that's really interesting. And, frankly, it's interesting in a whole host of ways, and we're seeing 5x, the dystrophin, the dosing schedule is much better for the PPMO than PMO, its monthly doses, it's a post a weekly dosing, so already a very interesting concept. The second thing that we know and we don't know if 30 mg-per-kg will be the place we see it. But at least in animal models, you do start seeing a steep increase at the right dose. So there is a potential that we see either 30 mg-per-kg or something higher than 30 mg-per-kg, we see a steep increase in the amount of dystrophin, but we won't know that, frankly, until we have evaluated biopsies and we begin to see that in patients, because all of the data that we had up until the 10 and 20 mg-per-kg, of course, were animals.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Marty Auster from Credit Suisse.

Marty Auster

Analyst

Congratulations on the amount of approval last week. I had a follow up from the prior question. I think looking back at the my notes from the December call on 5051. Doug, you talked about possibly being able to commence the 40 milligram per kilogram arm by the end of Q1. Is that still potentially on track? And if not, are you waiting to kind of get that 30 milligram per kilogram data before advancing? Is that something you're looking for on the biopsy side or something on the safety side to kind of make that determination going forward things?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

We're looking -- yes, so we are in fact updated view as we want to see that 30 mg-per-kg before we move on to decide two things, we decide what the pathway is for pivotal, and also what the dose ranges should be in. And then, how much higher should we start thinking about going up and dose. So we're going to see that 30 mg-per-kg and then make the decision on the 40 mg-per-kg right after we do that. We'll see the 30 mg-per-kg in the second quarter.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Joel Beatty from Citi. Q - Shawn Egan This is Shawn Egan, calling in for Joel, thanks for taking my questions. It was great to hear about the pivotal trial for the beta-sarcoglycan trial this year. When did you expect pivotal data for the study, should we expect a similar cadence to study 301?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Well, we don't know because we have to decide with the agency's involvement and guidance what the right development pathway will be for the beta-sarcoglycan. It is significantly different from SRP-9001-101 important regard, which is the issue with SRP 9001 and one of the reasons that we've taken the approach that we're taking, which is a placebo controlled, blinded study? Well, there's two reasons. One is that, DMD is a large enough patient population that it is feasible to do that, it has its own ethical challenges. And believe me, it's required a lot of discussion with patient groups and patient advocates around that but it can be done. So it's executable. The second thing, of course, is that with respect to micro-dystrophin, you do have a truncated version of the dystrophin. And so expression alone, it wouldn't be sufficient, you have to also show function of that there's a sense to that agents, you've been clear about that it makes sense. We just make the beta-sarcoglycan and we're in a different place. And that's why I wouldn't assume in advance that it's the same cadence as SRP-9001 for two regards. One, this is a much rarer population, the very concept of doing, blinded, placebo controlled trial, I think would be probably it would be an understatement to say that that would be challenging from both an execution perspective than an ethical perspective. But the second thing that's important is with respect to beta-sarcoglycan and 2E, the gene that we are delivering, creates a native protein. This is the native protein. So, with respect to those two issues together, the discussion that we're going to have with the agency is around the ability to come up with a lean, efficient, executable approach to get this therapy to patients that are waiting, we've already seen both in our low dose and our high dose cohorts using the clinical critical supply from Nationwide Children's Hospital, that we're seeing very high expression in both, we're seeing correlates of a really strong functional endpoint, we'll have an update on that by the way at MDA. And that will be a very important update. And so of course, our view is that given its native protein, the development pathway should be leaner and it should be informed by the patient population and the fact it's a native protein. But we'll know that when we have the discussions with the agency and we'll have those discussions once we have GMP material to talk CMC with the division. That'll happen this year.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Danielle Brill for Raymond James.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

This is [Dr. Olan] [ph] on for Danielle. Thank you for taking our question. On PPMO in your last update, you mentioned that there were college related biopsy delays that might have contributed to lower SRP-5051 muscle concentration in the 20 milligram per kilogram cohort compared to the lower dose, plus the improving COVID environment? Can you comment on whether you're still experiencing similar delays that may make the interpretation potentially more difficult?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

So to remind people there were out of -- the problem was the biopsy timing versus the dosing was out of window because of a delay that resulted from the pandemic itself. Dr. O'Neill, you can confirm, but I don't believe that will be an issue for the 30 mg-per-kg cohort that we'll be reviewing in the second quarter.

Gilmore O'Neill

Analyst

Yes. That is correct. COVID has not forced important out of window biopsies.

Doug Ingram

Analyst

But one thing I shouldn't comment on, I made an error earlier and I apologize, I'm going to recollect myself. The kids roll off of the ESSENCE study and I believe it's two years, so it won't be -- study will read out but kids will be rolling off the study. So it's, I believe two years of blinded data, if I'm not mistaken, my apologies for that error on my part.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Joseph Schwartz from SVB Leerink.

Kelly Girskis

Analyst

Hi, this is Kelly Girskis on for Joe Schwartz. Maybe just one more on the PPMOs. You touched on this but we're hoping you can expand on the regulatory path you envision for 5051 and the other PMOs waiting in the wings? Might there be accretive way to do a single trial with multiple PPMOs in the future?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Yes. So first couple thoughts on that. The big issue with the PMO is finding the right dose. And then beyond that our current working assumption is that the regulatory pathway will be the same or similar whether the construct we're going to use is a PMO, or a PPMO. So one of the things that's exciting about this RNA platform that we have is that we can precisely build constructs that are very predictable in their ability to induce exon skipping and therefore dystrophin production. And the other thing from a regulatory perspective is that we have the ability to avail ourselves of the use of dystrophin as a surrogate endpoint reasonably likely to lead to clinical benefit, and therefore we have the ability to use the accelerated approval pathway, that is the pathway that we've been able to officially use for EXONDYS, VYONDYS and now AMONDYS. So, it's our belief that regardless of whether it's a PMO or PPMO, so long as we can induce substantial amounts of dystrophin that are reasonably likely to lead to clinical benefit, we'll be able to use this efficient accelerated pathway to reliably bring constructs forward. Now, that we can do that up to about 50%, 55% or so of DMD patients. So a significant number of additional patient populations, then we have about 30% or so of patients with very rare exons, we would still use the accelerated approval pathway. But our goal is to have built up a sufficient amount, I think we're getting there, a sufficient amount of experience on both the dystrophin production and the safety side of things that we can do, essentially a basket study with a collection of potential mutations that can get us to that next 30% of patients that would benefit from our therapy and I think that would work similarly whether we had a PPMO or a PMO. So a lot of potential opportunity, whether it's PMO or PPMO would do a lot of good in DMD. That is, of course, our goal.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Hartaj Singh from Oppenheimer.

Jackie Yan

Analyst

Hi. This is Jackie here for Hartaj. Thanks for the question. Just on the $1.7 billion of potential milestones from your agreement with Roche, could you just remind us what proportion of that amount going to be clinical milestones? And what proportion are going to be for commercial aspect?

Doug Ingram

Analyst

And I'm not sure, if we can disclose that. Ian, you can confirm or if we have we can disclose again, I don't believe we've disclosed the nuances of our milestones. Am I incorrect in that assumption?

Ian Estepan

Analyst

And that's correct, the milestones are mostly related to regulatory and commercial milestone achievement. So they're on the back end of the development program.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I'm showing no further questions. I would like to turn the call back over to Doug Ingram for closing remarks.

Doug Ingram

Analyst

Thank you all very much for joining us this evening, this afternoon or this evening. And thank you for your probing and insightful questions. We obviously have a lot to do over the course of 2021, a number of very important milestones across this year. From a commercial and serving the patient community perspective, we will continue to serve the community with EXONDYS, we will continue the launch of VYONDYS. And we're very, very excited about the opportunity to launch AMONDYS which is already occurring, as I've said earlier, we will be -- our therapy will be in warehouses this week, and we will be serving the community literally this week with that therapy. So I'm very excited about that over the course of this year, staying with RNA, we're very excited about the opportunity to update on the PPMO with a 30 mg-per-kg next quarter. That could be a very exciting evolution of our RNA technology and either PPMO or PMO. We have an enormous opportunity to do a lot of good in DMD, as I said a number of times tonight, that we can serve over time, up to 80% of the DMD community, both in the United States and hopefully over time ex-U.S., which is an enormous opportunity. And the gene therapy side, we have an enormous number of milestones, a lot of work to do this year with respect to SRP-9001. We are very focused on that as that could be a significant transformative event for patients with Duchenne. And the results of study 102, when you really look at it carefully gives us increasing confidence about the potential of 9001 to bring a better longer life to kids with DMD. And beyond that, of course, we have our limb-girdles, we continue to focus this year and I look forward to the opportunity to update everyone on milestones over the course of 2021. With that, thank you have a good evening and of course everyone stay safe.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.