Martin D. Madaus, Ph.D - Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Dan Leonard with First Analysis
Thanks Joshua. I will begin by covering the key highlights for our fourth quarter and the full year of 2007. Fourth quarter revenues were $405 million, up 6% from Q4 2006 with all of the increase coming from currency changes. Our fourth quarter performance was adversely effected by lower spending from a handful of our U.S. biotech. We forecasted this trend early in the year and it affected our results for the first time last quarter. The slowdown continues to be isolated among a small number of U.S. account, but it became more pronounced in the fourth quarter. Outside of this handful of accounts, we continue to generate double-digit growth in Asia. During the quarter, we recorded a number of competitive wins for new molecules entering the pipeline and we converted several steps that were previously using our competitive products. This is a good sign for our future, but in the short-term there is not much we can do to offset the decline in spending from our largest accounts. These issues don't change our view that the long-term trends in the biotech industry remain very attractive and we are confident about our ability to benefit from these trends. So, I will talk more about the Bioprocess division later in the call. Now, moving on to our financial performance for 2007, Millipore overall generated solid financial performance. Revenues in 07 grew 22% to $1.53 billion with growth of 6% excluding the impact of acquisitions and changes in currency. We expanded our non-GAAP operating margin by 160 basis points into our non-GAAP earnings per share by 16%. This is good performance. As I've stated in previous calls with more balance between our two divisions, we now have the ability to meet our earnings targets even when we experience a larger than expected decline in our revenues. Our ability to manage our bottom line performance is much better today than it has been in the past reflects that our strategy to broaden our product portfolio through acquisitions, partnerships, internal R&D is paying off. In 2007, we stayed really focused on advancing our strategic growth initiatives and continue to strengthen our capabilities in the company. In Bioscience, we made significant progress in executing our strategy in cell biology, protein research and drug discovery markets. And in Bioprocess we expanded our presence in the disposal of manufacturing market and moved closer to been able to offer our customers a completely integrated solution for biotech manufacturing. We also, we branded the company, launched a brand new website, a new e-business platform and we successfully completed integration of Serologicals. Part of the integration as part of that we have delivered the $15 million in cost synergies we projected at the beginning of the year. The acquisition of Serologicals is to transform Millipore and today we are fast driving our company as we were prior to the acquisition. One of our key strategic initiatives that has been to improve our effectiveness to innovate, as you know new and innovative products help drive our business. And 07 we had an exceptional year for new product launches. Our Bioprocess division has strengthened their core product portfolio and we have increased the number of new product introduction from 8 products in 06 to 15 products in 2007. So couple of examples, these launches include new chromatography media that has the highest capacity, the highest flow rate of any comparable product in the market and a new disposal of mix that combines two technologies from two of the acquired companies. Our Bioscience division also had a great deal of new product launches. The launch of our new Lab Water product the Milli-Q Advantage one of the most successful product launches Millipore ever had. We are also getting good market response from our GPCR salines [ph] and multi flexing kits which we always offer as part of the drug discovery phase. Additionally, we formed a number of new alliances in both divisions and had key milestones in existing partnerships, such as the recent commercial release of the first Millipore product from our partnership with Gen-Probe. By developing new capabilities through acquisitions, forming a new alliances and accelerating our launch of innovative products, we clearly are strengthening competitive position both our Bioscience and Bioprocess divisions. In addition to our revenue and profitability growth, we had a strong year of cash flow performance. Our free cash flow more than tripled to $121 million 2007, [inaudible] an increase of $84 million from 2006 and we use this cash flow to strengthen our balance sheet and pay down our debt. Improving our cash flow was a key priority in 07 and I am very pleased with these results. Driving higher cash flow, we'll continue to do one of our top priorities in '08. So here are the key takeaways. Millipore delivered good overall financial performance in 2007. We met the earnings and cash flow guidance we provided early in the year, and we continue to significantly expand our profit margins. With the capabilities we have built we are far stronger company. We have made significant progress in bringing innovative products to the market. And now we have a business portfolio that's much more balanced across a broad cross section of attractive life science markets and customers. And as an executive team, this allows us to manage the business much more effectively when we see a downturn running our businesses. Next, I would like to talk more about the detail of the fourth quarter and the year. So I'll start with the Bioscience division. Excluding acquisitions not in a comparable period and changes in foreign currency rates, Bioscience generated 6% growth in the quarter, and 8% growth in 2007. Bioscience performance in Q4 was good, not great, and I'll talk more in detail about some of these here where we can still do better. On a full year basis, we are pleased with the Bioscience division organic revenue growth of 8%, which we believe represents above the market growth. This performance is a good accomplishment, especially in a year where we completed the complex and large integration of Serologicals and excluding currency in acquisitions not in the base periods the division growth approximately 10% in the second half of the year which was in line with the second half acceleration we predicted early in the year. Now Bioscience is benefiting from rapid growth in Asian markets that will be simply the case [ph] and China, India which overall are becoming a bigger percentage of the divisions' revenues. Demand in Asia has been well balanced across our product portfolio, reflects to start [ph] really substantial amount of research and development activity that's occurring in that region. Now from a product line perspective, our lab water business had a strong quarter and generated third straight year of really good performance. Our lab water is one of the premium franchises in the life science industry and has still plenty of opportunity for further growth. There are two main reasons for the strong growth in lab water; one is, we continue to have successful product launches, and number two is we are expanding into new markets for example the clinical markets where we saw a good results to our partnership with Dade Behring as we expanded in the clinical diagnostic laboratory. Although it's a smaller part of the division our drug discovery business unit which contains many of the products and services we acquired from Serologicals had a good Q4 and really exceptional year 2007. Drug discovery has some of the fastest growing products in the Millipore product portfolio. Moving on to life science business unit, that unit was formed in 07 by combining Biotools business which came from classic Millipore and the research reagent business which was acquired. And we saw good progress with solid results in segment such as stem cell but overall we are not where we need to be and our improvement effort showed positive results in the second half of 07. There is still more to do. Our science team is now focused on driving new initiatives to accelerate revenue growth from this segment. For example, we are in the middle of major expansion of our website, which was launched last year and we are driving to improve our e-business capabilities. And you have to match in this as not just another website, think of it more as a completely new sales channel for this business. New product introductions also remain critical in this business and therefore we are increasing our new product launches and we are creating high value kits that will improve scientific workflow and enable us to drive new revenue streams. And finally, we continue to focus on improving our sales force effectiveness this includes targeted sales and marketing promotions, continued investment sales training, customer seminars to educated the market value we can bring to their research activities and these are just examples of actions that will drive demand for our products and solidify our position as a leader in these new segments such as protein research and cell biology. So to summarize the performance of Bioscience division in 07. That was an important year for the division, it set the foundation to drive growth in the future, we completed the integration of Serologicals we rolled out a new sales organization, launched a new website and new e-business platform. We significantly expanded the portfolio of products that we can sell into our customer base and implementing changes of magnitudes and growing the business 8% is something I feel good about. Now turning to our Bioprocess division, excluding currency and acquisitions not in the comparable period, the division grew... the division's revenue declined 4% in Q4 and grew 5% for the full year of 2007. Now we forecasted this slowdown at the beginning of the year but the magnitude and the suddenness of the reduced spending has been more pronounced than we expected. The challenge we are facing from this lower level of spending are likely continue at least for the first half of 2008. Our analysis of customer accounts and the market shows that this downturn will be short-term in nature and the challenges we are facing in the U.S. are isolated to customer specific issues. We are not indicative of a fundamental change in the biotech market. As a result, we believe that our Bioprocess division will rebound in the second half of the year, so our customers achieve their planned inventory levels and return to a more normalized pattern of spending. If we exclude the impact of the large U.S. accounts where volume declined, the rest of our U.S. biotech business continues to grow in double-digit. This speaks to the fact that many of these companies are seeing good underlying growth outside of the U.S. Our Bioprocess business in Europe and Asia has been strong and is also generating double-digit growth. And finally, for the ample of U.S. biotech customers as I mentioned earlier we believe that they will continue to see good underlying growth for many of their products. As a result, we expect they achieved their targeted inventory levels and return to a normalized spending pattern in the second half of '08. It's also important to remind investors about the composition of our Bioprocess portfolio which is not related to biotech production. You can see on the slide that we are showing right now at roughly 50% of the division is related to biotech and the other half division is categorized as classic pharmaceuticals which we show on the right hand of the slide. Now, classic pharmaceuticals mainly consist of products for traditional vaccines, antibiotics from pharmaceuticals. We also still have a small amount of business related to food and beverage in these segments. Key takeaways that while biotech drives, the up and downs, in Bioprocess, the division remains diversified across hundreds of customers and product lines. The biotech business which we show on the left hand of the slide represents about 50%, the division has an estimated annual market growth rate in the double-digits and we estimate that we have more exposure to the biotech sector than our next closest peer in the industry. So, that's why we see the effects of any pull back in the biotech business much more significantly than our peers. The majority of our revenues are derived from 35 key customer accounts, so there is a much higher concentration in our biotech business. As a result we tend to see variability in our quarterly growth rates, so weaker [ph] Bioprocess performance we experienced in Q3 and Q4 is solely related to our largest accounts in the biotech segment of our business. Rest of our Bioprocess business performed as planned or better in 2007. So, now on the specific dynamics impacting Millipore's biotech business let me tell you why we remain confident in the attractive fundamentals of the industry and our ability to drive growth as a leader in this segment. We categorize the biotech market as monoclonal antibodies, bioengineered vaccines and other recombinant protein drugs. The overall biotech market is expected to grow from $93 billion, 07 to $166 billion in 2012. This represents a healthy growth rate compound of 12%. A good market to be in as a major supplier. So, if we break down the biotech growth further, the primary driver for the market over the next five years will come from the growth of 10 monoclonal antibodies that are commercially known today. On this slide, I show that these monoclonal antibodies and the growth they are expected to generate between '07 and 2012. Many of these drugs are expected to get approval for new indication, which will further expand the sales volume. Although there are some drugs on this list that will go much faster than others on the whole, this said our pharmaceuticals is expected to grow 14% compound growth, which is very strong. Millipore is well positioned to benefit from the growth of these drugs over the next five years. Another positive market trend is a significant amount of investment into biotech by both private equity investors and by large pharmaceutical company. In March, pharma has invested $76 billion in current biotech companies since 2005. As traditional, pharmaceutical company shift more of their pipeline. On chemically based drugs to treatment to life and biotechnology higher number of these biological drugs will come into the market, which again will benefit our growth. This trend is contributing to the large number of monoclonal antibodies that are entering the clinical pipeline. In 2007, the number of monoclonal antibodies beginning Phase I study was up 34% over '06. Additionally, if we look at drugs that are closer to being approved, there was a 31% increase in the number of monoclonal antibodies in Phase III studies. I believe these trends are good signs we have in this market. Moving on, there are also 10 new biological drugs that could be approved by the regulatory agencies in '08, and I have included them on the list in next slide. There is obviously no guarantees of these drugs will be improved, I do believe the chances are pretty high after we had only one approval last year. We don't expect that these approvals have an immediate meaningful impact on our performance in '08 but over the next five years they have the potential to push our growth higher. Today's analyst forecast, these 10 new drugs could represent as much as $7 billion in sales by 2012 again a great potential for Millipore products. And finally, last key data points I wanted to show you here is that they are 30 new biologic facilities that are scheduled to come on line by 2011. As these facilities come online and start to manufacture biologic drug they will also drive higher volumes of biologic drugs that will require our products and services. Additionally, and not included on the list are the major investments taken place by companies who are seeking to manufacture generic version of biologic that again before the market core products therefore by increasing manufacturing ones. So based on what I have presented so far, it's obvious that there is a very compelling long-term picture for the biotech market. But the underlying growth of biologics that are on the market today, the incremental contribution of new biologics that could enter the market in the next 2 years. Demand for our products should be very strong for the next five years. However, biotech is not a market that lends itself to the short-term and predicting the timing of these molecules impact on our growth rates can be difficult especially if you try to do it in a 12 to 18 months timeframe. But I can tell you inequitably is that I believe that our large U.S. biotech customers were rebound that the biotech market is fundamentally healthy and that Millipore will benefit in the underlying trends that I just shared with you. So, before I turn over the call to Charlie I wanted to leave you with a few closing thoughts. When I became CEO of Millipore three years ago, I laid out a clear strategic plan for the company. This plan included very specific financial goals as well as strategic priorities for the company. From a financial perspective, I talked about increasing the company's scale and accelerating our revenue growth and since that time we have increased our revenues from $883 million in 2004 to $1.53 billion today and generated a three-year compound revenue growth rate of 20%. I spoke about improving profitability of the company increasing our operating profit margin by 400 basis points by 2009. We have delivered on this objective two years early. Excluding FAS 123R expense we have increased our non-GAAP operating margin by 450 basis points since 2004. I spoke about building new capabilities becoming more innovative as a company. We have acquired four companies on multiple partnerships and significantly improved the value R&D portfolio. In short we are on-track to accomplish exactly what we [inaudible] in 05. The track record we have established as a management team and the exciting long-term trends in the industry. I am confident that the short-term challenges we are seeing from a handful of U.S. biotech customers will pass and we will be well positioned to generate attractive performance in the future. Now I'll turn the call over to Charlie.