Steven P. Rasche
Analyst · Bank of America. You may now go ahead
Thanks, Steve and good morning, everyone. As Suzanne noted, while warm weather nicked us in the first quarter, weather has quickly turned as we're in the middle of a good-sized snow and cold weather event here in the Midwest this week. Go figure. Let's start with a brief review of our results. For the first quarter, we posted net economic earnings of $63 million, tripling last year by $14 million or $0.28 per share, reflecting significantly warmer weather and higher costs. Looking at the businesses, our gas utilities had earnings of $67 million, roughly $9 million below last year. As I mentioned, weather this quarter was warm, roughly 26% warmer than normal. And while we do have weather mitigation for our residential load, our commercial load and the opportunity for off-system sales were lower this quarter. Additionally, as you see on the next slide, our cost especially appreciation were higher than last year. Gas Marketing posted earnings of $0.5 million, down $2.8 million from last year. Again, weather was the limiting factor with lower demand and less favorable market conditions, including much thinner storage spreads compared to last year's unusually wide spreads. And finally, other corporate costs were higher this quarter due largely to timing. Looking at a few details here on Slide 9. Gas utility contribution margin was flat as lower demand due to weather was offset by rate increases. Gas marketing margins are down, net of fair value accounting adjustments reflecting market conditions. Operations and maintenance costs were up $3 million after considering the reclassification of pension costs and regulatory deferral. This increase includes $1 million of Missouri utility overhead costs that would have been capitalized before the commission order. Remaining costs were up by less than $2 million as slightly higher employee-related costs were largely offset by other cost reductions, including lower bad debts. Depreciation costs were up $6 million, reflecting our rate base growth. And while these expenses will be recovered in our new rigs across Missouri and Alabama, the timing of recovery in Missouri is more heavily weighted to the remainder of the year and especially our second fiscal quarter, reflecting new rigs and our most recent ISRS filing. Turning to our outlook, we continue to be confident in our long-term growth prospects, driven by our $3.1 billion capital spending plan over the next five years. Our per share earnings growth target remains 5% to 7%. This growth rate is based upon fiscal year 2021 results less our estimate of earnings related to Winter Storm URI which, as we talked about last quarter, was between $0.65 and $0.70 per share. Our fiscal year 2022 earnings target remains unchanged at $3.70 to $4 per share, falling below our target growth as we absorbed the divot created by the most recent Missouri rate order. Here's how to think about our current year range. The top portion of the range fully reflects Missouri's lower rate of return that will be addressed in our next rate case we will file this spring. The bottom half of the range includes the additional haircut from expensing a portion of our uncapitalized overhead costs, and we will continue to absorb this risk until we get more specific recovery language from the Missouri Public Service Commission. I might add here that gaining certainty over overhead recovery will be our near-term goal as part of the completion of the capitalization study and staff audit. And looking beyond 2022, with continued rate based growth and reasonable Missouri regulatory treatment, our earnings growth rates in 2023 and 2024 should accelerate as we regain our trend line. Now turning briefly to our financing guidance. Our liquidity remains strong and we have ample capacity as we hit our peak in working capital needs. Our long-term financing plan remains largely unchanged and reflects the Spire Missouri bonds issued in December to term out some of our excess gas costs. We remain committed to a balanced strong capital structure and credit metrics. As a reminder, we ended last year above our FFO to that target, but we do anticipate that to weaken this year as a direct result of the Missouri rate order. In summary, we are laser-focused on regaining reasonable regulatory treatment of Missouri while delivering safe and reliable service to our customers and communities, and investing for the future for the benefit of all stakeholders. With that, let me turn it back over to you, Suzanne.