Steve Rasche
Analyst · Credit Suisse. Please go ahead
Thanks Suzanne and good afternoon everyone. We posted solid financial results for the third quarter and let’s take a closer look, starting here on slide 8. Net economic earnings were $15 million or $0.31 per share as continuing strong performance in our Gas Marketing business was offset by lower gas utility earnings and higher corporate costs as expected. Our per share results also reflect our successful equity offering in May, which increased our share comp by nearly 5%. Looking at the key drivers of our performance, beginning on the next slide, total operating revenues of $351 million were 8% higher than last year on a combination of higher demand, and utility commodity cost. It’s hard to remember as we deal with the record summer heat, but April was the coldest in two decades than the Continental United States, which help drive demand at our gas utilities and supported strong market conditions overall. Contribution margin was also up by $13 million or 6%. Looking at the two business units, gas utilities margins were down 2% from last year, reflecting several trends. On the positive side, we saw off demand during the quarter due to cooler weather, pushing margins up $3.1 million. We also continue to see modest customer growth. These positive trends were offset by two utility rate changes. In Missouri, we now have a new rate design effective April 19 that has a higher volumetric component, and whether normalization. This design reduces the risk of recovery but also pushes more of our margin to the winter heating season and out of the summer quarters, which includes this quarter. While the impact balances out over 12 month cycle. It will be a headwind in the back half of our fiscal 2018 as we discussed last quarter. The second headwind was a customer rate reduction in Alabama due to tax reform that lowered margins by roughly $2 million. Gas Marketing margins were up by $16.1 million, with $13.7 million of that increase due to fair value accounting adjustments. Excluding those adjustments, margins were up by $2.4 million due to improved market conditions and favorable basis differential due in part to cooler weather that provided the opportunity for increased trading value and storage optimization. Turning to slide 10 let’s take a look at expenses. Utility fuel cost were up nearly $31 million and taxes other than incomes were up by $3 million, both reflecting higher demand and volumes. Other operations and maintenance expenses were up about $5 million with roughly $4 million increase in pension and amortization cost from the Missouri rate cases, as well as higher demand driven bad debt expense. Depreciation and amortization was higher, reflecting our ramp-up and capital investment. Gas Marketing operating expenses were down by $19 million, but that includes a little over $19 million of derivative gains that were mark-to- market. Excluding that fair value adjustment, expenses were relatively flat year-over-year. And finally, interest expense was higher reflecting the long-term debt issued over the last 12 months at both Spire Missouri and Spire Alabama, as well as higher short-term rates that were offset in part by lower average short-term borrowing levels this year. Our year-over-year performance as highlighted here on slide 11 shows our economic earnings up by $32 million or 18% reflecting the benefits of the return to normal weather and improved market conditions, which benefited our utilities and gas marketing. Other corporate expenses were up by $3 million and higher after-tax interest and other corporate costs. We continue to grow our cash flow and maintain a strong financial position with year-to-date adjusted EBITDA up 6% to $467 million. We also maintain adequate utility -- liquidity provided by our credit facility and the commercial paper program. Our long-term capitalization improved to 51.5% equity this quarter, up 280 basis points from our fiscal year-end. This is due in part to our successful equity offering that closed on May 10 when we issued 2.3 million shares with net proceeds of $153 million. I also wanted to take this opportunity to welcome Adam [Indiscernible] who joins us as the treasurer, replacing Lynn Rawlings, who retired in April. We thank Lynn for her years of service and look forward to taking advantage of Adam's extensive public and corporate finance experience in the coming years. Moving to slide 13, our year-to-date capital spend of $334 million is up 12% from last year, reflecting higher utility infrastructure upgrades of $188 million, up 5% from last year and higher new business investment and meter sets as Suzanne mentioned a few minutes ago. Our progress this year reflects our renewed focus on organic growth, and infrastructure investment. Our CapEx forecast for fiscal '18 remains $500 million and includes a small shift in forecasted spending on Spire STL pipeline between 2018 and 2019, as well as higher utility spend for the balance of this year. And as a reminder, we anticipate over 85% of our capital spend will be recovered with minimal regulatory lag or reflected in earnings. Besides from investing for growth, a portion of our growing cash flow supports our dividend as shown here on the next slide. Our board just declared a quarterly dividend of 56 and a quarter cents per share payable on October 2. At Spire, we have a long history of rewarding the shareholders with prudent and consistent dividends. In fact, we have paid a dividend each year for the last 73 years and have increased our dividend for the last 15 years running. Now let’s look at our outlook. We are on track to meet our 2018 earnings guidance of $3.65 to $3.75 per share, with a reminder that our earnings cadence has changed due to the new Missouri rate design and we expect to increase our fourth quarter loss materially from prior years. In addition, we are confident that we can deliver long-term net economic growth per share of 4% to 7%. With a base year of run rate 2018 earnings, that removes roughly $0.17 of Spire marketing performance tied to market conditions that we do not expect to recover next year. Our growth is supported by strong rate base and organic growth across our utilities, as well as growth in our non-utility businesses. Our long term growth is also supported by five year CapEx forecast as shown here on slide 16. We anticipate total investment of $2.5 billion through 2022, supported by utility upgrade programs of up to 20 years in line with minimal regulatory lag, and well diversified across our entire footprint. So, in summary, we continue to grow and invest in our gas utilities with more regulatory certainty and are advancing our non-regulated and nonutility businesses. We strengthened our financial position with well-timed equity offering and we continue to work to deliver on our long-term growth objectives. With that, let me turn it back to you Susan.