Steve Rasche
Analyst · Avon Capital
Thanks Suzanne. Good morning everyone. Let me review our operating results for the fiscal year 2014 and the fourth quarter ended September 30, and give a few updates, including our outlook for 2015 and beyond. Looking first at our full year income statement, total operating revenues were $1.6 billion, operating margin or earnings contribution after gas cost and gross receipts tax of $600 million was higher by $229 million or 62% compared to last year. Looking at the components of the operating margin, Gas Utility margins of $571 million were up $222 million from the prior year with approximately $187 million of that increase due to the additions of Missouri Gas Energy and $15 million due to the September addition of Alagasco. The remaining margin improvement of $20 million was the result of higher demand and off-system sales capacity release as well as higher ISRS and propane revenues. We also saw customer growth, adding roughly 3,000 customers last year in Missouri. Including Alagasco we now serve over 1.56 million customers. Gas marketing generated operating margins of $26 million, an increase of just over $80 million from last year as higher margins earned during last winter more than offset the expiration of two supply contracts in fiscal ’13 and early fiscal ’14. Stepping back, Laclede’s higher overall margins were offset in part by higher operating expenses. Operating and maintenance expenses of just under $288 million were higher than last year by $107 million. This increase was due to several factors. First, nearly $92 million of that increase was due to adding MGE’s full year operating results, another $12 million is from Alagasco’s September operating results. The remaining increase of roughly $3 million reflect higher operating cost associated with the severe winter, principally bad debts and maintenance cost, largely offset by cost controls and the benefits of scale in areas like compensation, benefits and supplies. Depreciation and amortization of $82 million was up $34 million from last year, of which $26 million is due to MGE for a full year and $4 million is attributed to Alagasco. The remainder represents the added depreciation associated with our higher level of capital spend. Taxes other than income of $112 million were higher by $52 million, of which $45 million was the incremental impact of MGE, $2 million was Alagasco and the remainder was driven by higher revenues at Laclede Gas. Interest expense for the year of $46 million was higher year-over-year by $18 million or a net $13 million after removing Alagasco related interest. That increase represents the full year run-rate of the debt issued to finance the MGE acquisition. Income tax expense for the year was just over $32 million compared to $18 million last year. Our full year effective tax rate was, 27.6% as compared to 25% last year. The result in GAAP net income was $85 million, up from $53 million last year. However, these results include significant cost associated with the Alagasco acquisition in 2014 and the MGE transaction last year. In order to get transparency into the real run-rate earnings of the business, our net economic earnings excludes the impact of these transactions in the year in which they closed. As a result, just as 2013 net economic earnings excluded the impacts of the MGE transaction, 2014 results similarly exclude Alagasco. We have included a full reconciliation of net economic earnings to net income in our earnings release. The key adjustments include first, transaction cost associated with the closing of the Alagasco deal in the fourth quarter totaling $15.5 million and comparable cost for the MGE acquisition last year of $17 million. Second, one-time integration cost at MGE, net of the 50% deferral for Missouri regulatory purposes totaling $2.8 million in 2014 and $1.7 million in 2013. Third, interest cost incurred on debt issued in 2014 to finance the Alagasco acquisition totaling $3.3 million and comparable interest expense associated with MGE last year of $1.8 million. Fourth, the operating results for MGE for the month of September 2013 and Alagasco for September of this year. To be clear, the 2014 results include MGE in its entirety including the financing cost associated with that acquisition. In 2015, looking forward, we will include the same for Alagasco. It’s the stub period for each deal with limited operating results and significant transaction cost and financing incurred well in advance of the closing that we are removing to provide a clear path to run-rate operating results. With that said, on a consolidated basis, 2014 net economic earnings were $100 million, up from $65 million last year. On a per share basis, that equates to $3.05 per fully diluted share, up 6.3% from $2.87 per share last year. Remember these per share calculations exclude the dilutive impacts of the 10.4 million shares issued to finance Alagasco in 2014, just as we excluded the 10 million shares issued for MGE last year. Looking at the segments, gas utilities net economic earnings improved to $92.8 million, a 64% increase from a year ago, largely driven by adding MGE. Gas marketing delivered net economic earnings of $10.2 million, beating last year’s earnings of $8.9 million as the expiration of two supply contracts was more than offset by the favorable impact of the severe winter of $5.6 million or $0.17 per share. Let me turn briefly to the fourth quarter operating results. Net economic earnings or the net economic loss for the fourth quarter of $2.4 million or $0.07 per share compared to a loss of $3.9 million or $0.17 per share a year ago. This improvement is due to a smaller seasonal loss from our gas utility segment, reflecting the inclusion of MGE and its more evenly distributed earnings pattern. This benefit was partially offset by a $1.2 million drop in gas marketing earnings. Stopping quickly at the cash flow statement, cash flow provided by operating activities for fiscal 2014 or $123 million was down $41 million from last year. Fully $40 million of these variance relates to interest rate hedging we did in advance of the Alagasco and the MGE acquisitions, leaving operating cash flow essentially equal to last year. Working capital changes, net of this financing impact were largely in regulatory accounts for inventory unamortized purchase gas adjustment and customer accounts receivable. Consolidated capital expenditures for the full year 2014 were $171 million, including $6 million for Alagasco in the month of September. This compares to a total spend of $131 million last year. The current year spend was focused on pipeline replacement and as Suzanne mentioned a few minutes ago, we exceeded our goals by replacing 139 miles of pipes in Missouri, almost double last year’s results. Our year-end balance sheet reflects the significant movement resulting from the Alagasco acquisition, including our initial purchase price allocation as well as final adjustments to the MGE allocation, both at the beginning of the year. As a result, our assets, liabilities and regulatory accounts now fully reflect our new larger company. Our capitalization includes the June issuance of 10.4 million Laclede Group common shares and $144 million of equity units. Our successful offering of group unsecured debt totaling $625 million, including three year floating rate notes, as well as five and 30 year fixed rate debt and the assumption of $250 million of Alagasco debt at closing. Taking a step back for a second, we were able to offer just over 32% of our existing shareholder equity in 2014 and nearly doubled our long term debt and do it in a way that secured outstanding pricing and demand in the market. We have again increased our analyst coverage, deepened our pool of institutional investors and materially increased our equity flow and our resulting post deal capital structure remains very strong with a long term debt capitalization of 50.8%, better than our target range we introduced when we announced the Alagasco deal in April. In addition we secured a new five year $150 million credit facility for Alagasco and exercised one year extensions of both our existing Laclede Group and Laclede Gas facilities, providing a full five year run way across the Company. In total these facilities provide us the headroom and liquidity we need to support our growth strategy. Let’s turn our attention to 2015 and beyond for a second. First, we remain comfortable with our long term earnings per share growth target range of 4% to 6% and the fact that after adjusting for the $0.17 per share of weather benefit at LER in 2014, we should grow above that range in both fiscal 2015 and 2016. These earnings fully include the accretion from adding Alagasco to the Laclede family and the financing to support the transaction, as well as continued organic growth initiatives across the gas utilities. The seasonality of earnings will continue and will change in 2015. Our earnings release includes the table that compares our actual 2014 and anticipated 2015 earnings distributions by fiscal quarter. Normalized net economic earnings per share for 2014, excluding the weather benefit of LER were distributed 38% in the first quarter, 50% in the second quarter, 15% in the third quarter and a small loss of 3% in the fourth quarter. Alagasco’s earnings were a bit more concentrated in the heating system season, given its rate design and milder climate. As a result, we anticipate the distribution of net economic earnings per share in 2015 to change as noted in that table with the midpoint of our estimates at roughly 35% in the first quarter, 70% in the second quarter 5% in the third quarter and a loss of 10% in the final quarter. Now again this is a forecast and it assumes normal weather, and as we all know weather is rarely normal. So we anticipate there will be a few percentage points plus or minus from that distribution estimate. We also anticipate our earnings mix to change due to the largest scale of the company, a higher share count and expected growth in gas utility earnings due to the accretion from both Alagasco and MGE. We now expect our utility business to grow up from approximately 93% of our consolidated 2014 net economic earnings to roughly 98% in 2015. Looking at income taxes, we anticipate our effective book tax rate to move up the low 30% range in 2015, reflecting both the change in the mix of pre-tax earnings and recognizing the fact that Alagasco has historically had an effective tax rate closer to the marginal rate. Finally we anticipate capital spending to be approximately $300 million next year, up from $171 million this year. This increase is driven by the addition of Alagasco, as well as the continued ramped up in Missouri of our pipeline replacement program. We have good line of sight into our plans in Missouri and we are currently working with Alagasco to more fully develop their plan. Given the support of regulatory environment in both Missouri and Alabama, we expect to continue this new level spend over at least the next five years or investments of roughly $1.5 billion. We anticipate this spend will be financed with our ongoing and growing cash flows and periodic access to the debt markets at the operating company level. So in summary, it's been another busy and eventful quarter and year. Laclede’s in a strong position with the team focused on meeting or exceeding our commitments to our investors, our customers, our communities, and our team. We thank you for your confidence in us and we look forward to sharing our success as we progress to 2015. Let me turn it back over to you Suzanne.