Steven P. Rasche
Analyst · U.S. Capital Advisors
Thanks, Mark, and good morning, everyone. Let me give you a quick status update on our permanent financing, and then let's take a quick view into 2014. First, looking at our financing for the MGE acquisition. We've made great progress and are targeting to have all the permanent financing in place by the time we close the transaction. First, as most of you know, we've successfully issued just over 10 million shares of Laclede Group common stock in late May, with cash proceeds of approximately $428 million. Those proceeds are in additional to our normal seasonal accumulation of cash and investments of approximately $128 million, putting the company in a very strong cash position at the end of the quarter. We've also made great progress on our expanded credit facilities with our syndicate of financial institutions. We are targeting new 5-year facilities at both the utility and the group level, sized to meet the needs of our new larger business. We anticipate completing the process and closing these facilities concurrent with the closing of the MGE acquisition. And then finally, long-term debt. Our goal is to issue approximately $450 million in first mortgage bonds at the gas company level. As Suzanne mentioned earlier, the commission's agreement granted Laclede Gas the authority to issue these bonds to support the acquisition. And subject to market conditions, we hope to have them in place by the close of the MGE deal. And as a reminder, we have already largely hedged our interest rate exposure for these bonds so that we've been insulated from the recent run-up in interest rates. Based on current market, we anticipate the weighted average interest rate of our new debt to be approximately 3.25%. And a final comment on permanent financing. At this point, we retained $525 million of our bridge facility, down from the original $1 billion commitment from last December. This lower level reflects our strong cash position and successful equity offering. And if we complete the long-term debt financing prior to close, we expect to terminate the bridge commitment in its entirety without ever drawing upon it. Turning next to our integration planning. As Suzanne mentioned, we remain on track to have our plan in place by closing. Our work continues to confirm both the synergy target levels that we expect to attain from the combination of Laclede and MGE, as well as the timing of those net synergies. Regarding the synergies, up to this point, we've been referencing a range from our due diligence work, namely a year 3 run rate of 6% to 12% of our nonfuel operating and maintenance cost of the combined entity. That range is consistent with the guidance we received from Booz & Company, our integration partner, who brings a long history of helping companies plan and achieve synergies. As we finalize our integration plan, we now anticipate that the synergies will fall in the upper portion of that range or between $25 million and $34 million annually. As a reminder, this is a year 3 run rate, and we anticipate significant onetime cost to achieve in the first 2 years of integration. Speaking of integration cost, we did clarify the treatment of certain of those costs in the commission's acquisition approval. As noted in that agreement, we will be allowed to defer and recover 50% of onetime cost to achieve that Laclede Gas incurs during the integration of MGE. Those balances will be available for recovery over a 5-year amortization period, beginning with the effective date of the next Laclede and MGE general rate cases filed after October 1, 2015. To be eligible for recovery, synergies must exceed the cost to achieve, and as part of our ongoing communications with the commission, we will provide them regular updates. The agreement also clarifies that onetime capital spend associated with the integration may be handled under our normal capitalization and recovery mechanisms. These deferral mechanisms do help to accelerate some of the benefits of the acquisition into fiscal 2014 and 2015 in our Gas Utility segment, which I'll touch on in just second. As we turn to 2014, there are a lot of moving parts in our operating results due to the MGE acquisition. And while we're still finalizing our targets for next year, let me provide you with a couple of thoughts on how the new Laclede group will look post-acquisition. Let's start with our baseline for 2013. It will be net economic earnings-per-share. And as Mark mentioned a few minutes ago, that EPS metric will exclude all impacts of the MGE transaction. We believe that this provides the best and most comparable starting point in which to evaluate our future results and our commitment to our stakeholders. And as you would expect in 2014, our net economic earnings will include MGE in its entirety, including both operating results, as well as the new capital structure. We anticipate share counts to increase from a baseline of approximately 22.6 million shares in 2013, that's our pre-equity raise number, to approximately 32.6 million shares in 2014. Looking at our business segments in fiscal 2014, we continue to see a challenging environment in Gas Marketing, as much as Mark touched on just a couple of minutes ago. As a result, we have lowered our expectations for this segment going into 2014, with earnings-per-share, before any dilution associated with the new higher share counts, declining approximately 40% from the 2013 earnings estimate of $0.35 to $0.40 per share. More importantly, in the Gas Utility segment, we now anticipate the MGE acquisition to be earnings accretive in 2014. In fact, we now expect that the Gas Utility segment will deliver earnings growth to fully offset LER's shortfall in net economic earnings per share. As a result, while our all-in group consolidated net economic earnings-per-share in '14 may be equal to 2013, earnings will reflect a higher earning contribution on a percentage basis from the regulated businesses and our new capital structure. Further, we continue to expect to see earnings accretion in fiscal 2015 and 2016 as the level of onetime cost to achieve declines. And we also remain confident that the deal will be cash flow accretive throughout the entire 3-year integration period. And finally, one further comment on income taxes. As Mark mentioned, we expect our effective tax rate for 2013 to be slightly less than the current year-to-date rate, or in the high-20% range. Looking into 2014, we anticipate that percentage to rise into the low-30% range, reflecting both a change in the mix of pretax earnings and recognizing the fact that MGE, historically, has paid an effective tax rate that's closer to the full marginal rate. So in summary, we continue to meet or exceed our commitments to our stakeholders regarding both the financing of the MGE transaction and its uplift on operating results. And we look forward providing further updates as we go forward. And now, before I turn it back over to Suzanne, let me also add to her comments about Mark. It's been an honor working with my good friend over the last nearly 4 years, and I wish him all the best in the next phase of his career. We're going to miss you, buddy. Suzanne?