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SPX Technologies, Inc. (SPXC)

Q1 2022 Earnings Call· Sun, May 8, 2022

$215.56

-3.10%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by. And welcome to the SPX Corporation's First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Paul Clegg, Vice President, Investor Relations and Communications. Please go ahead.

Paul Clegg

Analyst

Thank you, and good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for joining us. With me on the call today are Gene Lowe, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Jamie Harris, our Chief Financial Officer. A press release containing our first quarter results was issued today after market close. You can find the release and our earnings slide presentation as well as a link to a live webcast of this call in the Investor Relations section of our website at spx.com. I encourage you to review our disclosure and discussion of GAAP results in the press release and to follow along with our slide presentation during our prepared remarks. A replay of the webcast will be available on our website until May 11. As a reminder, portions of our presentation and comments are forward-looking and subject to Safe Harbor provisions. Please also note the risk factors in our most recent SEC filings, including our disclosures related to the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Our comments today will largely focus on adjusted financial results, and comparisons will be to the results of continued operations only. You can find detailed reconciliations of historical adjusted figures to their respective GAAP measures in the appendix to today's presentation. Our adjusted earnings per share also excludes nonservice pension items, amortization expense and investment gain, certain favorable discrete tax items and other strategic related items. Finally, we will be conducting virtual meetings with investors over the coming months, including at the Loop Capital Investor Conference in New York on June 2. And with that, I'll turn the call over to Gene.

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Thanks, Paul. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. On the call today, we'll provide you with a brief update on our consolidated and segment results for the first quarter. We'll also provide an update to our full year guidance, which includes the impact of our most recent acquisition. Now I'll touch on some of the highlights from the quarter. We had a stronger-than-anticipated start to the year, exceeding the overall expectations that we laid out during our last call in February. As expected, we continue to see challenges related to production and labor, but we've also seen improvements throughout the quarter and expect further improvements during the remainder of the year, particularly in the second half. During the quarter, we continued to execute on our value creation framework with another strategic acquisition that further builds and strengthens our age to navigation or AtoN business in our Detection & Measurement segment. We believe that International Tower Lighting, or ITL, is an excellent strategic addition to our existing AtoN platform. Today, we are updating our full year guidance for the acquisition of ITL, which we completed on March 31. We are on track to achieve solid earnings growth for the full year, approximately 16% at the midpoint of our updated range. As a reminder, when we initiated our 2022 guidance, we indicated that Q1 would be low versus the prior year due to the timing of certain project revenue in Detection & Measurement and the impact of a customer rate case on our ULC business. For the quarter, our operational outperformance versus expectations was due to upside in our location and inspection and transportation platforms, including the impact of some earlier-than-anticipated transportation deliveries. Overall, we continue to see strong demand across our markets, and managing production constraints remains a…

James Harris

Analyst

Thank you, Gene. As Gene noted, our adjusted EPS of $0.40 exceeded our internal model and previously communicated expectations. As discussed last quarter, our Q1 results were constrained by the timing of project orders in contact and the impact of a rate case in our ULC business. In addition to the segment income drivers, which I will review later, some below the line items had a modest impact on our year-on-year earnings, including lower corporate and interest costs and a higher tax rate. Overall, we are pleased with our performance for the quarter and believe we are well positioned for the full year 2022. A review of our adjusted segment results reflect stronger-than-anticipated performance, but as expected, with an overall decline in segment income and margin when compared to the prior year. Revenues increased 6.9%. Revenues from the acquisition of Sealite, ECS and Cincinnati Fan accounted for 9.9%, while our organic revenues decreased 2.5%. As anticipated, organic revenue decreased due to lower Detection & Measurement revenue, although it was better than expected. This was partially offset by price increases. Price cost was a modest margin headwind for the quarter. For the full year, we currently anticipate price cost to be a modest tailwind. The lower organic revenue, combined with production constraints in HVAC, drove a decline of $7.4 million in segment income and a 350 basis point decline in margins. Segment revenue, income and margins reflect the blended impact of acquisitions and lower overall organic revenue. Let's now review the details of our segment results. In our HVAC segment for the quarter, revenues increased 10%, driven largely by our acquisition of Cincinnati Fan and a modest organic increase. While overall demand was strong across our end markets, the impact on our results is moderated by supply chain challenges, primarily in…

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Thanks, Jamie. We continue to monitor and manage through macro risks, including supply chain, input cost inflation, labor and the exacerbating effects of geopolitical tensions and regional pandemic restrictions. We also remain encouraged by the strong level of demand and the positive trends we are seeing in our end markets. These include growing opportunities related to spending on infrastructure and digital offerings and the efficiency benefit they provide in the skilled labor shortage market. In HVAC, several macro indicators point to continued strength in non-resi activity, particularly in the U.S. as they pertain to our cooling and commercially focused heating businesses. In our boiler business, which encompasses both residential and non-resi products, we continue to see strong order demand across the board. In Detection & Measurement, locator demand continues to reach new levels of strength and to benefit from our internal growth initiatives. Overall, AtoN demand remains steady. We're also seeing growing interest in our innovative comment or communications intelligence solutions. We're assessing the timing of potential customer needs. In summary, I am pleased with our better-than-expected Q1 performance and proud of the way our team has continued to execute on our initiatives for future growth. I'm excited about our recent acquisition of ITL, which further extends our AtoN platform and creates additional growth opportunities and value for our customers. I'm also encouraged by our setup for the remainder of the year while remaining vigilant in addressing the current macro risks. With a strong balance sheet and a highly capable, experienced team, I'm looking forward to the opportunities that lie ahead as we continue to create and deliver value for shareholders. And now I'll turn the call back over to Paul.

Paul Clegg

Analyst

Thanks, Gene. Operator, we are ready to go to Q&A.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from the line of Damian Karas from UBS. Your line is open.

Damian Karas

Analyst

Hi, good evening, guys.

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Hey, Damian

Damian Karas

Analyst

Gene, you mentioned you're still seeing challenges out there in the supply chain, but you're seeing some signs of improvement. Could you maybe just talk a little bit more about that? Where are you seeing the improvement versus where -- is it still a struggle out there?

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Yeah. I think at a high level, what I would say is internally what we've done and how we've managed, I'd say that we feel very good about the actions that we've taken and the countermeasures we're putting in place from a whole host of different levers we've been pulling from investing in some safety stock, engineering, alternative component solutions, looking at our reorder rates in terms of how we manage our orders with data and analytics across all of our businesses. There's a lot of levers that we have pulled. And I'd say that combined with what we're seeing is just a little bit of modest improvement in the market overall. I'd say the one item that would be a headwind that we are seeing right now would be some of the China lockdown in Shanghai. But Jamie, you spent an enormous amount of time on this. Do you want to give some color here?

James Harris

Analyst

Yeah. Thanks, Gene. Yes, we are -- we are seeing some modest improvements. If you look back, we really felt supply chain more prevalent in our cooling, which I'll include some labor there, as well as some stainless and in our heating with just general components. On the D&M side, we have managed it very well. It really hasn't caused any disruptions. We continue to do that. Gene mentioned some of the kind of operational steps that we've taken. You probably -- you'll notice on our balance sheet an investment in some safety stock. Year-over-year, we have about $22 million, $23 million more investment in inventory. That was intentional to try to get ahead of some of the areas that we saw some potential shortages coming in. We have not have a lot of disruption from an availability standpoint from Russia-Ukraine situations. You mentioned in China. We are experiencing some slowness in ocean freight. And so that's something we have to be very diligent on in our order times and our lead times, have to go out further than what would typically be the case. But overall, I think we're seeing, again, some modest improvement. If you look at it from a year ago, it's clearly challenged. If you look at it from last Q3 when we first raised this issue in the call, we have seen some improvement there.

Gene Lowe

Analyst

And I'd also say somewhat correlated, Damian, on the labor side, we are seeing some improvement across our facilities. And a lot of our countermeasures have been making some impact. So yeah, we're also seeing some modest improvement there as well.

James Harris

Analyst

And then another thing I might add, if you look at cost, if you go back and look in the items that are prevalent in our supply chain, the year-over-year costs are still up quite significantly. But if you look over the last 90 days, we're seeing some pricing of the commodity -- underlying commodities go down, with the exception of those items that have been impacted by Russia and Ukraine. Nickel doubled quickly after the first invasion. It's back down. It's up about 20% since that time. Of course, crude oil is up. So those things are directly related. We're seeing some continued price increase. But in many other areas, we're actually seeing some prices come down over the last 90 days, which is encouraging.

Damian Karas

Analyst

That's helpful. And that's actually a good segue to my next question. I think you mentioned earlier that you're actually expecting price cost to be a tailwind for the year, which is interesting considering there's, I think, general inflationary pressure still out there. So have you been aggressive on pricing? Or is it what I think you just kind of alluded to that you're maybe actually expecting to have lower costs -- material costs through the rest of the year? And is that kind of reflected in your updated margin guidance?

James Harris

Analyst

Yeah. I would say we have been aggressive on price. We -- last year, I think for everybody, it was hard to keep up with some of the price, some of the cost pressures, but we've got into a really good cadence. We have been, again, aggressive to cover costs with our customers given the fact that highly engineered products were often especially ordered. That gives us some better pricing power in the marketplace, if you will. That said, costs, again, we have seen some decline over the last 90 days even in the base commodity. We still have some backlog to work through that the good news is our backlog was up substantially year-over-year, but there is some backlog to work through with some pricing pressure on it. To the point about seeing costs go down, we're looking at that as part of our guidance. We've taken what we see the risk factors of price escalation and availability as well as potential pick up because of some -- maybe some cost reductions. All that's baked into our guidance. So I'd say we're optimistic about it, but there's still a lot of work to do.

Damian Karas

Analyst

Great. Thanks for the details. I’ll get back in queue.

James Harris

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Bryan Blair from Oppenheimer. Bryan, your line is open. Bryan Blair from Oppenheimer. All right. Our next question will come from the line of Steve Ferazani from Sidoti. You may begin.

Steve Ferazani

Analyst

Hi, good evening, Gene, Jamie. I wanted to ask. It sounds like demand remains very healthy. I'm trying to think about risks of a rising rate environment and impact down the road on demand. I know you have significant aftermarket exposure, significant infrastructure exposure, which helps into 2023. But how are you thinking about the demand equation and maybe particularly on non-resi construction in the environment where you appear to be anchoring?

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Yeah, sure. Steve, I'll take that. I think, as you know, if you think about our HVAC business, I would say it's in a very healthy position. So this is approximately $900 million business. More than $700 million of that is non-resi, and all of the submarkets that would be a part of that, hospitals, data centers, commercial. If you look at the Dodge Index, the latest projections are about 9% growth in '22 and around 11% growth in '23. Additionally, some of the more leading indicators, the more canary, the coal mines there also look positive. That would be the Dodge Momentum Index, the ABI, the architectural billings. So overall, I would say we feel good. Obviously, we have to keep our eyes on the macro. But if I look across our HVAC businesses, we feel very solid. The other question that we always look at on our hydronics side, our boiler side, is the stocking of the channel, is the channel overstocked, understocked. And we actually feel like we're in a good position there. The channel is very much wanting more of our product and to be ready for this year. That's something we have to keep our eyes on in 2023 to make sure the pull-through demand is there. But as you know, a good chunk of that, a big portion of that business is largely replacement. So when I sit and look at the HVAC segment, I actually feel really good about what we're seeing over the next 1.5 years with how things are forming in front of us. On the D&M side, I would say it's overall very healthy. The run rate is very solid. Our projects are strong and our backlog supports '22. And I would say what I see today sets us up…

Steve Ferazani

Analyst

Fantastic. And if I could then use that as the framing device for the question in terms of pipeline. What's out there? And do you see any impact on maybe lower prices for certain acquisitions given the environment or certainly the idea that there's more risks out there?

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Yeah. That's a good question. I think overall, we feel really good about our growth strategy. We closed ITL. That's our 11th deal. That was a great strategic fit. They've got really good technology, really good network operation center, monitoring capabilities. And as you know, our average over our 11 deals has been 10.5 times pre, 8.5 times post. I think we feel really good about that pricing. We've been very disciplined there. I don't see changes at least from what we've seen in front of us below that. We actually see in -- particularly in our Detection & Measurement businesses, you get into some larger sizes, so much, much higher multiples. We're fairly careful and focused about where we build out our platforms. But if I look at it, if you look at our HVAC and Detection & Measurement businesses, these are in the neighborhood of $700 million at the time of spin. That's 6.5 years ago. We're sitting today at about $1.4 billion. And right now, we're sitting here with, as you know, an incredibly strong balance sheet. So we really have an attractive opportunity in front of us. And I'd say the areas that we see a good amount of activity would be in the Location & Inspection platform. We see some opportunities there to continue building. I'd say our cooling or engineered air quality, I'd say there's good opportunities for growth and adjacencies there. And then our Comtech business, where we did our first bolt-on last year, which is performing -- which is really opening some doors, we're really seeing the synergy opportunity there. We actually see some nice opportunities there as well. So those would be, I'd say, three of the platforms that we see some attractive opportunities in front of us. But overall, we feel really good, and we feel like we're in the early innings of our value creation model there.

Steve Ferazani

Analyst

Great. Thanks for the color, Gene.

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Walt Liptak from Seaport. You may begin.

Walter Liptak

Analyst

Hey, thanks. Good evening, guys.

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Good evening.

Walter Liptak

Analyst

So I would like to ask first about the HVAC business. It sounds like the macro is going in the right direction. So at this point, now that we've got three-four months under our belt, how are you feeling about the guidance range? Is there enough macro out there, enough projects that are filling up the queue that you could be towards the mid-range or high part of the range? Any thoughts there?

Gene Lowe

Analyst

And you're talking about engineered quality or Cincinnati Fan? Is that what specifically you're talking about?

Walter Liptak

Analyst

No, no. I'm talking about the HVAC segment as a whole. And just the -- I'm sorry, yes, the $855 million to $890 million in sales. And just wondering, how are the projects filling up? It sounds like the macro is going in the right direction. I guess maybe the question is, what takes us to the low end of that range? And what gets us to the high end of that HVAC guidance range?

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Yeah. Why don't I start there? I would say on the demand side, and as you'll see in our bookings and our backlog, we are winning in the market. And we feel very, very good about the demand profile as well as the value proposition of our products. And I thought you said EAQ, engineered air quality, our newest product line, where we're also seeing very strong demand there since we've taken them over the past quarter. So I would say the constraining factor for us is not going to be orders. It's going to be getting the product out the door. And so Jamie or Paul, do you want to kind of give a little more color on what it would take for those ranges?

James Harris

Analyst

Yeah. I'd say as Gene said, I think what might take us to the low end of the range obviously is a slowing of the macro economy slightly. But we do have a lot of orders booked, so we'll be able to complete those. But really, the labor -- the labor pool, being able to get the labor in to get productivity and difficulties in supply chain would take us to the lower end. I think what would take us to the higher end as we -- really the same factors going in a positive direction. I think if we can continue some of the momentum that we're beginning to see build with some labor availability, continue to see some supply chain improvement, that would move us towards the top-end. And I think if we were to see prices move in a positive direction, i.e., down with some of our key components that would also help us. One of the constraints that we have from a margin perspective right now is we do have some backlog to work through that's got current pricing, some current costs, but some pricing that was put in place back in the fall. So as we see some of our costs potentially move down, that would clearly help us move towards the upper end.

Walter Liptak

Analyst

Okay. Great. Thanks for that. And switching over to the D&M segment. What do you attribute the locator growth to? And is that something that's sustainable in the second quarter, second half?

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Yeah. I think Location & Inspection, I feel really good about that platform. As you know, that's our dominant platform in Detection & Measurement, that's, let's say, 60% of our -- or more than half of our segment. I would say locators, which would include ground penetrating radar as well as our Shanstead brands, really have just done very nicely. I think they've done good on innovation, and I think they've done really good on digital. We've rolled out a new digital solution there for that with our largest customer. That's going very well, and we're seeing a good amount of activity there and very strong interest with some other customers. If I go to our CUES brand, really the underground robotics, we also have a digital offering where we had a cloud offering that we introduced last year that we won double-digit customers. And it is continuing this year and even moving faster. So overall, I feel very good about where we are there and the opportunities we see in front of us.

Walter Liptak

Analyst

Okay. Great. Okay. And also in D&M, you mentioned the project work that there's a good funnel there for projects. If we do see orders come in, would those be for shipment at the end of the year, 2023? What do you think the timing could be?

Gene Lowe

Analyst

So some of the bigger ones that we see and some that we've -- we're progressing nicely on or been verbal on are, one, I would say the demand profile for transportation has increased the run rate, and then we're seeing more just of the midsized projects there. That would be a project that could be $1 million to $5 million, let's say. But then the very large projects, the $15 million plus, what we call the megas, we're seeing more activity there. And we feel very good about a number of those. What I would say is for those, I can think of several of those that we're currently in the process of. We would likely be awarded and booked in this year, but the -- in terms of revenue impact, I'd say it'd be a combination of 2023 and 2024, if you look at it. And it's going to be a really nice tailwind for our transportation business. And then similarly, the one business that we've called out that has been -- I would say, that has been very flattish on growth has been our Comtech business. And where we sit today, we have seen a nice tick -- uptick in some of these larger projects. And so this is something that we're tracking as well. So yeah, we feel like the projects that we have in front of us for 2022, we feel very good about. And then as we look ahead to '23 and '24, we actually think that's going to be a tailwind for us.

Walter Liptak

Analyst

Okay, fine. Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next follow-up will be from the line of Damian Karas from UBS. You may begin.

Damian Karas

Analyst

Hey. Just a few follow-up questions here. So the last few quarters, I recall you calling out the backlog. Maybe you could just -- was wondering if you could give us an update there. Have you started working down that backlog or still building out?

James Harris

Analyst

Yeah. I would say we're working it sequentially. As an example, our backlog here -- sequentially, our backlog on an organic basis, taking out acquisitions, was up 10% to 15% range, which is good. So we're able to get through some backlog. I think the really good news is we replaced that backlog with new orders. And as an example, our order base sequentially was actually pretty flat in our heating side of the business. Coming out of a strong demand quarter moving into a strong order quarter in Q1 actually makes us feel really good about the demand profile there. And so I would say order book is good. We are working down the backlog not as rapidly as we would like. But we still do have some productivity constraints from the labor and some components. But I'd say it's growing well more so because of demand and we're solid on production.

Gene Lowe

Analyst

Yeah. And one thing I would also add is there was a pretty fair amount of COVID impact in January. So if you look at the amount of quarantining and some of the challenges there, it was very disruptive. And if you look at the run rate that we're currently tracking at in February and March and April, we are working down more of that backlog. So we actually believe we're on a more favorable trend there. So I think we're still winning in the end markets, and we are starting to make a dent in that backlog. But it did grow. So it is -- and that's the good news, bad. The good news, you win a lot of business but you still got to get it out the door. And I think we are making progress towards accelerating that.

Damian Karas

Analyst

Got it. Makes sense. And then, Jamie, you mentioned if you pay down the debt, that's $0.11 of additional EPS. And then you kind of dangle this carrot out there on the $100 million of share repurchase authorization when you deem appropriate. So I'd just ask you guys, when is the appropriate time? Stocks corrected a good bit. You've got net cash on the balance sheet. When would be an appropriate time?

James Harris

Analyst

Yeah. That's a great question. We have a lot of feedback about a share repurchase from folks, and look, we've been watching that ourselves. Stocks down 25%, 30% off its high. We feel like the stock has good value in it. We have moved to a -- not only do we have the authorization. We have all the execution mechanisms in place. We've got some price targets in our mind about what that number should be. And we'll watch it closely, and we'll be in the open market if we hit those.

Gene Lowe

Analyst

And what I'd also say, Damian, is as you know, our focus since the spin has been on investing for growth. We think we have a really good flywheel here. And we -- particularly with the completion of the disposition of really our power, we really have some attractive segments. But as you know, we have $1 billion in -- or more than that in terms of balance sheet. And I actually think that share repurchases is a very logical addition to our portfolio of capital allocation. And I still think the vast bulk of our investments will be in growth, but particularly with where our share price is today, I think it's very logical to have that as a portion of our capital allocation program.

Damian Karas

Analyst

Thanks again. Have a great evening.

Gene Lowe

Analyst

You too, Damian.

James Harris

Analyst

Thanks, Damian.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I'm not showing further questions in the queue. I'd like to turn the call back over to Paul Clegg for any closing remarks.

Paul Clegg

Analyst

Okay. Thank you, everybody, for joining us. And we look forward to catching you up again next quarter. Have a great evening.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a good day.