Jeremy W. Smeltser
Analyst · Robert Baird
Thanks, Chris. Good morning, everyone. I'll begin with earnings per share. For the second quarter, we reported diluted earnings of $1.25 per share, exceeding our guidance range and $0.09 above the midpoint. As compared to our midpoint guidance, segment income was $0.06 better than expected. This excludes the $8 million charge related to the South Africa projects, which was not anticipated in our guidance. On a net basis, including the associated tax and minority interest, the South Africa charge had a $0.10 impact on our reported results. This charge was largely offset by $0.09 of discrete tax benefits. And net other items were a $0.04 benefit. Total revenue in the quarter was $1.18 billion, up 1.5% versus the prior year, due primarily to currency. Organic revenue was essentially flat on a consolidated basis. Revenue associated with the South Africa projects declined approximately $30 million, offsetting growth in other areas. Excluding the impact from that decline, organic growth was just under 3%. Segment income increased $8 million or 7% over the prior year to $123 million, and margins improved 50 points to 10.4%. The segment income and margin growth was driven largely by our Flow segment, which reported significant improvement over the prior year. The $8 million charge in South Africa partially offset this improvement, diluting our consolidated segment income margin by 70 points. Taking a closer look at Flow. Flow reported $661 million of revenue for the quarter, up 1% versus the prior year due to currency benefits. Organic revenue declined modestly. The most notable driver of the decline was lower sales of industrial mixers, reflecting fewer large capital projects than we had in the year-ago quarter. Specifically, last year, we had a large mixer project related to a mining application and a couple of large mixer projects in the chemical processing industry. In contrast to mixers, sales of oil pipeline valves in North America were up year-over-year. Revenue related to nuclear valves also increased. These are the squib valves we are supplying Westinghouse for their AP1000 plants in China and in the U.S. Food and Beverage revenue increased modestly over the prior year, driven by growth in Asia Pacific, and aftermarket sales were also up across most of Flow's end markets. Segment income increased $21 million or 32% to $88 million, and margins expanded 310 points to 13.4%. The improved profitability was largely driven by Flow's Power and Energy business, led by Tony Renzi, which benefited from cost reductions associated with restructuring actions and the increased revenue related to nuclear and pipeline valves. Flow's backlog was up 2.4% over the prior year to $1.35 billion, largely driven by our Food and Beverage backlog. On a sequential basis, Flow's backlog declined 3%, primarily reflecting the order delays that Chris mentioned in our OE pump business. We continue to track these and other large orders in our front log. Quoting activity across most of our Flow markets continues to be strong, particularly for large projects in oil and gas and dairy applications. Overall, our improved selectivity continues to benefit the quality of Flow's backlog and our ability to better serve our customers. Based on the phasing of projects and backlog as well as steady growth in short-cycle run rates, we expect Flow's revenue to grow organically in the second half of the year. Looking now at our Thermal segment. Second quarter revenue declined 7% year-over-year to $327 million. Currency was a modest headwind. Organic revenue was down 6% or $21 million. The organic decline was due to the $30 million revenue ramp-down on the South Africa projects. Excluding this impact, Thermal's organic revenue increased 3%, driven primarily by increased sales of personal comfort heating products in the U.S. and cooling equipment in Asia Pacific. Segment income was $10 million and margins were 2.9%. For the period, South Africa incurred a net operating loss and accounted for nearly the entire decline in Thermal's year-over-year profitability. Operating income in South Africa declined $16 million, partly due to the revenue decline and favorable contract price adjustments recorded in Q2 2013, which did not repeat this year, as well as the $8 million of increased cost estimates on the large power projects. The majority of these costs relate to challenges with subcontractors who have not completed their contractual obligations but are now in financial difficulty. We are evaluating our legal options related to those entities. From an execution perspective, we are either taking direct control of the remaining scope or engaging alternative subcontractors as we continue to work with our customers and Eskom towards completion of these important projects. To keep this in perspective, it is important to note that this $8 million charge reflects incremental cost expectations for the entire life of these projects, which began contributing revenue in 2008. To date, we have recorded over $1 billion of revenue on these projects, and including the increased cost estimate, our profit margins are near the original expectations. The labor unrest and overall work environment in South Africa has become increasingly challenging and has been impacting a number of companies. We believe Gene and the local team are doing an admirable job managing through these difficult circumstances. The backlog in South Africa is now down to $124 million, with about 90% related to the Medupi and Kusile projects. We are also estimating approximately $90 million of future contract price adjustments that will contribute to revenue over the remaining life of these projects. Outside South Africa, we are encouraged with the improvement in Thermal's core business. The commercial initiatives Gene has implemented are reflected in the order and backlog development. Thermal's core backlog increased 5% sequentially and is up 11% year-over-year. Given the backlog growth, as the revenue headwinds in South Africa moderate in the second half, we expect Thermal to experience organic revenue growth over the balance of the year. Moving on to Industrial. Revenue was up 21% to $191 million. Organic revenue grew 19%, with growth at each business. The most notable growth was in our power transformer business. Revenue from transformer shipments increased by more than 30% year-over-year, primarily driven by higher volume due to improved throughput. This growth also reflects the weather-delayed shipments from Q1 delivered early in the second quarter. Segment income increased 16% to $25 million, with operating margins at 13.2%. Margins declined versus the prior year due to the significant increase in power transformer revenue, which has lower margins than the segment average, due largely to the competitive pricing environment. Looking forward to the third quarter, we are targeting a very similar revenue and margin performance in this segment. Industrial's ending Q2 backlog increased 7% sequentially and 11% year-over-year to $335 million. Although the overall demand environment in the U.S. transformer market remains relatively stable, our order volume in Q2 was quite strong. We have essentially filled our production schedule this year, and we are now quoting on units to be delivered in the first half of 2015. Before I turn the call back over to Chris, I'll provide updated financial targets and a brief update on our financial position. In the third quarter, we are targeting 6% to 9% revenue growth over the prior year. We expect revenue growth in all 3 segments, with the strongest growth in Flow, and we are modeling a 1% currency benefit. Segment income is targeted at $135 million to $145 million, with margins consistent with the prior year at about 11.3%. We expect margins in Flow to continue to expand year-over-year in the third quarter. However, given Flow's strong margin performance in Q3 2013, the level of expansion is not expected to be as strong as our first half performance. The primary reason for this is that we will begin to annualize some of the cost-reduction benefits. Flow's Q3 margin improvement is expected to be offset by margin headwinds at Industrial, where, similar to Q2, we expect strong revenue in our transformer business to be dilutive to the group average in the Industrial segment. That said, we are targeting year-over-year margin improvement in the Transformer business due to improved productivity and reduced cost, driven by design improvements. We are also targeting $7 million to $10 million of restructuring expense in the third quarter as we continue to focus on cost-reduction actions. And we're modeling just under 43 million shares outstanding. Based on these assumptions, our Q3 adjusted EPS guidance range is $1.30 to $1.40. Looking at our updated targets for the full year. At Flow, we narrowed the revenue growth to between 3% and 5%. Given the strong first half margin performance, we increased Flow's full year margin expectations. We now expect Flow's margins to expand 130 points year-over-year to approximately 13%. This now has us at the low end of our 13% to 15% long-term target range on an annual basis. For Thermal, we increased the expected revenue growth to between 1% and 3%, reflecting the increased backlog. However, due primarily to the Q2 charge in South Africa, we now expect Thermal's margin to decline about 30 points year-over-year. At Industrial, we reduced the revenue growth target to between 4% and 8% and now expect only 30 points of margin improvement over the prior year. In a few higher-margin industrial businesses, we are attracting some potential orders not included in these revised targets. We believe we are well positioned to win these orders. However, the timing of order placement has become more uncertain. On a consolidated basis, we are targeting 3% to 5% revenue growth and 80 points of segment margin improvement. And as Chris mentioned, we reaffirmed our adjusted EPS and free cash flow guidance. Our financial position remains healthy. In the second quarter, we generated $62 million of adjusted free cash flow and also received $63 million in pretax proceeds from the sale of precision components. We paid $114 million of taxes related to gains on asset sales and completed $140 million of share repurchases during the period. As planned, we executed the $100 million delayed draw option on our term loan. The average interest rate on our senior credit facilities is just under 2%. We ended the quarter with $466 million of cash on hand and $1.3 billion of total debt, and our gross leverage ratio remained within our target range. We are targeting approximately $260 million of adjusted free cash flow over the balance of the year. And based on our current liquidity and cash projections, we are sufficiently funded to execute the remainder of our 2014 capital allocation plan and tax payments. We expect to remain in a very solid financial position throughout the year. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Chris.