John Schaefer
Analyst · Credit Suisse, please proceed with your question
Thank you, Rachel. Good afternoon everyone and thank you for joining us today. I will begin by discussing the highlights of fiscal 2014 including our fourth quarter and comments on industry dynamics, discuss the progress we are making against our strategic growth initiatives, and finally go over our priorities for fiscal 2015. Kevan will then go over our financial results in more detail and review our outlook, after which we'll open up the call to your questions. While 2014 was a difficult year from an industry standpoint, we are very pleased with our performance as well as the progress we made against our strategic growth initiatives during the year. We delivered 17% store growth with the opening of eight new stores, including four in an eight week period, all of which were self funded with free cash flow generated from operations. We continue to refine and implement our 30,000 square feet store model. We finalized our store within a store program in the closing area. We made significant strides in our private label initiatives. We implemented a customer loyalty program that has just passed a 500,000 member level. We continue to develop bench strength via our store in department manager and training programs that has currently resulted in 52 of our 55 store managers being hired from within, and we have met each of our financial performance objectives despite unprecedented competition in some of our larger markets and continue the industry headwinds that impacted the firearms and ammunition categories of our business. With respect to the fourth quarter, we are pleased with our fourth quarter results which overall came in within our guidance range. Net sales for the quarter were 185.6 million, reflecting an increase from the prior year of 5.6%. Same store sales declined 5.3% versus the fourth quarter of the prior year, but continue to show sequential quarter-over-quarter improvement. Same store sales excluding the effect of competition in the 10 stores impacted in the fourth quarter declined 2.8%, implying competition had a 250 basis point impact on our same store sales in Q4 which is less than the prior two quarters. Looking more closely at our comparable store sales performance for the quarter, last quarter we discussed two concepts, the first being the reduction in average selling price on both firearms and ammunition in 2014 versus 2013. During the fourth quarter, we continue to see this trend. Specifically, the average selling price in firearms decreased 2.7% during the quarter on unit increases of 8.0%. Consistent with the third quarter, our firearm unit sales trended above the adjusted mix data. On a unit basis in the states in which we operate, we were up 8% in the fourth quarter compared to the prior year versus adjusted mix units in those states being up 6% over the same period of time of the prior year. This fact along with our store growth and the revenue accelerates combined with the growth in our non-hunting and fishing categories shows we are gaining market share. Consistent with the trend we believe is happening with the other national retailers. For us specifically, when looking at the states in which we operate retail stores we have gained the market share in every quarter this year, despite the increase in competition in many of our markets which we believe speaks to our premise of peaceful coexistence with other national retailers. The second issue is weather, with the jet stream moving East in Canada before dropping into the United States, we again saw temperatures significantly above the norm in all of our Western Alaskan stores. This weather pattern contributed to a substantial decrease in non-camouflage active and outerwear in the fourth quarter compared to the same period of the prior year. Unfortunately this trend has continued into the first quarter of fiscal 2015. Despite the headwind of warm weather on our outerwear and base layer clothing categories we continue to gain traction in our camouflage category which we are currently more heavily focused on with our clothing initiatives. While traffic on a same store basis or more specifically customer frequency remained negative, conversion improved year over year once again and the average order size remained the same so our same store sales decline of 5.3% was primarily driven by fewer transactions. We believe that the steady increase in conversion the stable average ticket price despite average selling price decreases in both fire arms and ammunition and the continuing sequential improvement in traffic are illustrative of the strengthening loyalty we are building with the long term multi visit customer we are focused on tracking. Now on to profitability, we have worked diligently on both margin maintenance and operating cost containment. In total for the fourth quarter our gross margin was up over the same period last year by approximately 80 basis points. Once again our loyalty program negatively impacted gross margin by approximately 20 basis points, slightly higher than prior quarters. We are now at a point where we can begin driving marketing programs on the loyalty base and we expect to begin that process in mid-2015. From a product gross margin perspective we were able to maintain and in many cases improve gross margin at the individual product level while also seeing overall margin improvements from positive shifts and sales mix as we continue to focus our efforts inside the four walls on making our stores a one stop shop for our customers. We maintained our promotional discipline and achieved our traffic, conversion, market share and margin objectives without resorting to significantly stepped up promotions that plague many categories of the retail industry during the fourth quarter. Finally our inventory position measured on a per store basis declined 1.4% in the fourth quarter versus 2013, allowing us to not only keep markdowns to reasonable levels but also allowing us to take advantage of any vendor opportunities that arose. As a result of all of this operating income for the quarter was $18.1 million with adjusted earnings per share for the quarter of $0.22. That’s the high end of our guidance and an increase of 22% compared to adjusted earnings per share of $0.18 in the prior year period. Now let’s talk about competition, first let me reiterate how we define competition, we consider competition to be a national competitor opening a new store within a 30 minute drive time from one of our existing stores that is part of our same store sales base. We do not include stores outside that radius to be competitive as historically competitor stores more than 30 minutes from our stores have had virtually no impact on our store sales. In addition we do not consider our new stores that have been opened less than one year that have a competitor within 30 minutes to be in the competitive store set. We generally know when this dynamic will occur when planning to open a new store and therefore we account for that competitive dynamic in our initial ROIC and budget calculation. Finally we do not include cannibalization from our own stores in our competitive impact group which for the first time in 2014 impacted three of our stores as again we consider the impact of cannibalization on current stores in our ROIC calculations for a new store. So in the fourth quarter we saw the continued presence of competition in 10 or 18% of our stores. Stores facing competition once again performed better than planned during the quarter. Our continued success in competitive markets underscores our premise of peaceful co-existence, but also highlights the unique strengths of our business model and our ability to deliver strong returns on new stores in smaller markets that are proving to be increasingly challenging for many of our larger competitors. We believe we are well positioned to be the single player in those MSAs that can only handle a 30,000-50,000 square foot box and generate 10-15 million in revenue per store will also achieving a return on invested capital of 20% or more. Let me briefly review what those key attributes are that enable us to very profitably operate in these smaller markets, as a reminder we are the largest outdoor specialty retailer in the Western US partially as a result of our flexible store format that allows us to profitably service both small and large MSAs. Our low cost high service approach represents a differentiated approach to servicing the outdoors foreign goods market. We offer everyday low prices for localized and broad merchandize assortment and convenience for our customers. And as I’ve mentioned previously we have outstanding customer service delivered by our passionate store associates. Our commitment to superior customer service has again been verified by independently published customer survey scores and I would like to thank our associates for continuing to do an outstanding job servicing our customers. Looking forward to 2015 we remain focused on our strategic growth initiatives and key priorities which are fivefold. First, capitalizing on the significant white space opportunity for new stores that we see within existing and new markets. We plan to continue to expand our store at unit growth rate of greater than 10% annually for the next several years as we believe there is potential for the Sportsman's Warehouse brand to grow nationally to at least 300 stores over time. As you will note by 2014 new store class, as well as our expectations for our 2015 new store sites we have seen demonstrated success with new stores open in small and large markets like that reinforce our confidence in the 300 plus store potential for the chain. As a significant point of differentiation from our national competitors our low cost model we believe we are the only national player that can profitably service the majority of the metropolitan statistical areas in the U.S that have populations less than 100,000 which is the largest segment of MSAs in the U.S. With the announcement in January of Albany, New Oregon store we have finalized our 2015 store openings at a total of nine new locations representing 16% store growth. All of these openings will be self-funded with our free cash flow. We have already opened a store in the first quarter in Spokane Washington and we expect one additional store to open during our first quarter in Clackamas Falls Oregon. Furthermore we expect to open four stores during our second quarter Heber City, Utah, Show Low Arizona, Fresno California and Williston North Dakota and three stores during our third quarter Albany, Oregon, Flagstaff, Arizona and Sheridan, Colorado. Second, the success of our new fix stream strategy will allow us to open more 30,000 square foot stores as this enables us to hold approximately 70,000 skews the same number as our 42,000 plus square foot stores. As a result of this new fix stream strategy, we have been able to roll out our store within a store initiative on all of our go forward stores in the 30,000 square foot format will become our standard size moving forward. This again provides us with a major opportunity to focus on an achieve our return objectives under 100,000 population MSAs as well as open more neighborhood stores in the those larger MSAs. As a reminder our new stores typically generated track to returns on investment capital over 20% in the first year which includes the cost of our current inventory investment. We consider ROIC as well as four well operating income, frequency of traffic conversion and customer service stores as the key components of stores success not simply the pursued of revenue per square foot and we have delivered against all of these metrics in our new stores. Number three, we also remain focused on enhancing operating margins through increased sales of our private label products while simultaneously expanding our programs in clothing and foot wear with major brands. For fiscal year 2014 sales of private label products increased 40% and represented over 2.6% of net sales, an increase of approximately 70 basis points from fiscal year 2013. We continue to believe there is an opportunity to gradually increase our private label penetration over time while still focusing on being a brand oriented company. Fourth, we are focused on maximizing the potential of our loyalty program and are implementing more effective marketing programs at better utilize the information we are capturing and buying preferences of our loyalty program members. And fifth, we will continue to focus on associate trainee programs to maintain and further improve the great in store customer experience we proud ourselves on delivering also ensuring a pipeline of talent and opportunities for carrier advancement as we continue to grow. In terms of the environment in fiscal 2015 we expect the promotional pricing by competitors to continue to the first half of the year. Our focus will be on a reasonable level of promotions and on generating profitable sales while maintaining margin because we already are the everyday low price provider in our space. Our guidance reflects our expectation and we are yet to see the normalization of fire arms. We expect modest price decreases and ammunition going forward and we have also reflected the impact of the warm weather on our outerwear sales. But most importantly we believe our everyday low price, high quality customer service, broad and relevant merchandize assortment and local shopping convenience continue to be the distinguishing factors that drive our customer value proposition. With that I'll turn the call over to Kevan to discuss our financials.