Joseph Del Preto
Analyst · Barclays
Thanks, Ryan. I'll now walk you through our fourth quarter results in detail before moving into guidance for the first quarter and full year 2023. We're pleased to deliver record net new ARR, overall growth and positive free cash flow for the eighth consecutive quarter. We expect to outperform our medium-term financial goals in 2023 and deliver accelerating growth with non-GAAP profitability. Revenue for the fourth quarter was $69.7 million, representing 31% year-over-year growth. Subscription revenue was $69.2 million, up 31% year-over-year and nicely ahead of our plan. However, we experienced materially greater-than-expected inflection in partnership demand and offer pre-implementation and onboarding for all 175 Social Studio customers during Q4. This resulted in a $0.8 million to $1.2 million shortfall in services revenue relative to our plan. We've adjusted our forecast methodology and expect services revenue to be lower than 2022 levels moving forward to the possibility that will continue this playbook. ARR as in Q4 was $296.6 million, up 32% year-over-year. Enterprise new business was exceptionally strong in Q4. We set a net new ARR record at enterprise and mid-market, while SMB and agency each accelerated in the month of December as pricing changes went into effect. We had 132 net new customers in Q4 to finish the quarter with 34,390 customers, up 8% year-over-year. The number of customers contributing more than $10,000 in ARR reached 6,652, up 35% from a year ago. The number of customers contributing more than $50,000 in ARR reached 972, up 59% from a year ago. Quarterly 10,000 and 50,000 net customer adds were in line with our prior quarterly high watermark, even at materially higher price points and with rapidly expanding total deal size. Q4 ACV growth of 22% year-over-year began to accelerate driven by enterprise new business momentum and the initial contribution from pricing changes. Non-GAAP gross profit was $54.8 million, representing a non-GAAP gross margin of 78.7%. This is up 300 basis points compared to a non-GAAP gross margin of 75.7% a year ago. We continue to scale favorably into our business model and benefit from a typically low services contribution this quarter. Non-GAAP sales and marketing expenses for Q4 were $28.6 million or 41% of revenue, up from 39% a year ago. We are fortunate to hire well throughout the quarter and continue to make meaningful investments in our future, particularly in enterprise and customer growth roles. Non-GAAP research and development expenses for Q4 were $13.3 million or 90% of revenue, down from 20% a year ago. We've continued to make transportive R&D investments to support the future evolution of our platform. Non-GAAP general and administrative expenses for Q4 were $12.3 million or 18% of revenue, down from 21% a year ago. We expect to deliver consistent G&A leverage as a percent of revenue moving forward. Non-GAAP operating income for Q4 was $0.6 million or a positive 0.8% non-GAAP operating margin, improvement of more than 550 basis points year-over-year. We are pleased with the ongoing efficiency improvements as we scale, even as we prioritize growth investments in the business. Non-GAAP net income for Q4 was $1.8 million or a net income of $0.03 per share based on 55.2 million weighted average shares of common stock outstanding compared to a non-GAAP net loss of $2.7 million and $0.05 per share a year ago. Turning to the balance sheet and cash flow. We ended Q4 with $185.8 million in cash, cash equivalents and marketable securities from $181.9 million at the end of Q3. Deferred revenue at the end of the quarter was $96.2 million. Looking at both our billed and unbilled contracts, our remaining performance obligations, or RPO, totaled approximately $163.1 million, up from $136.9 million as in Q3, a record sequential increase and up 51% year-over-year. We expect to recognize approximately 75% or $122 million of total RPO's revenue over the next 12 months. I do want to call out a typical invoicing pattern. Approximately $10 million of customer contracts were signed during Q4 but not invoiced to the customer until January. [indiscernible] in accounting rules, this $10 million was captured an RPO but not deferred revenue on our year-end balance sheet. We estimate our normalized billings growth rate to be between 35% and 40% over both Q4 and Q1. Operating cash flow in Q4 was positive $3.0 million compared to $2.5 million a year ago. Free cash flow was positive $2.6 million or a positive 3.7% free cash flow margin ahead of our expectations. For the full year 2022, free cash was $8.8 million or 3.5% free cash flow margin. In addition to strong efficiency, the ongoing shift to annual and multiyear contracts continues to have a positive impact on our free cash flow as we grow. In 2022, our overall dollar-based net retention rate was 109%, down from 112% in 2021. Our dollar-based net retention rate, excluding SMB customers, was 116% in 2022 compared with 118% in 2021. Lower expansion activity in our SMB and agency segments weighed on net expansion activity, primarily amongst our lowest value customers. However, we believe our quickly changing mix towards mid-market and enterprise, pricing changes and the strategic alignment around our most sophisticated customers put Sprout on a tangible path to improve dollar-based net retention north of 120% by 2025. Shifting to formal guidance; for the first quarter of fiscal 2023, we expect revenue in the range of $75.0 million to $75.1 million or a growth rate of 31%. We expect services revenue to decline year-over-year. We expect non-GAAP operating loss in the range of $0.7 million to $0.5 million. This represents an anticipated non-GAAP operating margin of negative 0.8%. We expect a non-GAAP net loss per share of roughly $0.01, assuming 55.4 million weighted average basic shares of common stock outstanding. For the full year fiscal 2023, we expect total revenue in the range of $332 million to $333 million. This is expected overall reported growth rate of 31%. We expect services revenue will be lower than 2022 levels. For the full year fiscal 2023, we expect total ARR to grow at least 200 basis points faster than reported revenue, implying full year ARR growth of at least 33%. We believe that year-over-year ARR growth will accelerate in 2023 and grow faster than reported revenue due to a growing mix of our enterprise and mid-market segments, tailwinds from our pricing changes and outside contribution from our partnerships. We do not intend to guide ARR each year while 2023 will be unique. Our installed base pricing changes will layer into our financial model over the course of the year, providing a benefit to 2023 ARR and partial benefit to revenue in both 2023 and 2024. For 2023, we expect non-GAAP operating income in the range of $1.6 million to $2.0 million. This implies annual non-GAAP operating margin improvement of 210 basis points to 220 basis points for the full year of non-GAAP profitability for the first time. We're pleased to improve our rate of non-GAAP operating margin expansion and expect to deliver durable, profitable growth on a non-GAAP basis. We expect non-GAAP net income per share between $0.03 and $0.04, assuming approximately 56.0 million weighted average basic shares of common stock outstanding. Finally, I'll expand on Ryan's comments regarding pricing changes. Both new business and existing customer pricing changes were communicated in early November, making the month of December the first month of effective pricing changes. As such, Q4 saw a partial and early contribution. In the installed base, overall feedback has been receptive, understanding both the value we deliver to our customers and enhanced innovation that we have delivered since most customers began their subscriptions with us. Low return was higher than normal by approximately 200 logos in the month of December. However, these are weighted to low-value logos and average ACVs of the 200 small logos churn was 1,056. As Ryan shared, the average ACV of the 100 small logos that canceled the month of December had an ACV of $936 compared with an average ACV of $63,000 for 100 largest new business logos in the month of December. We saw fewer-than-normal customer upgrade in December as compared to the prior six-month rolling average. We saw many customers expand seats or adopt incremental premium modules as a means to expand with us rather than absorbing a pure price increase. In fact, the attach rate of customers having purchased a premium module increased by 160 basis points sequentially from Q3, roughly double the cadence over the prior 4 quarters. December net dollar retention set a monthly record. December, total new business ARR set a monthly record. Gross and logos were lower than prior trend line, consistent with our expectation. And new business ACVs in December more than doubled on a year-over-year basis. We expect these trends to each continue. In 2023 compared to the prior period, we expect to add a lower volume of customers that will be stickier and higher value and expect to turn a modestly higher volume of very low-value customers. The trade-up is a meaningful tailwind to ARR growth, ACVs, cash flow and NDR. We expect new business ACV to continue to be materially higher than prior levels. In total, our customer growth in 2023 will likely be below historical trend lines, but ACV growth will further and more meaningfully accelerate from our Q4 exit rate. In conclusion, we're very proud of the execution from our teams, which underscores the resiliency of our business model and value of our software. Social has never been more important or more valuable to our customers, and we believe we're in a unique position to pull away from our competitive set and emerge as a category-defining company in a $100 billion market. Now we expect to deliver that growth with profitability as we continue to scale. With that, Justyn, Ryan and I are happy to take any of your questions. Operator?