Kim Nelson
Analyst · Needham & Company
Thanks, Archie. We delivered a strong third quarter of 2021. Revenue was $97.9 million, a 23% increase over Q3 of last year and represented our 83rd consecutive quarter of revenue growth. Recurring revenue this quarter grew 20% year-over-year. The total number of recurring revenue customers increased 10% year-over-year to approximately 35,400 and wallet share increased 10% to approximately 10,350. For the quarter, adjusted EBITDA grew 14% to $26.5 million compared to $23.2 million in Q3 of last year. We ended the quarter with total cash and investments of approximately $252 million. In addition, as our current stock buyback program is expiring on November 2, 2021, the Board of Directors has authorized a new program to repurchase up to $50 million of common stock. The program becomes effective on November 28, 2021 and is expected to expire on November 28, 2023. Now turning to guidance. For the fourth quarter of 2021, we expect revenue to be in the range of $99.9 million to $100.5 million. We expect adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $26.3 million to $26.8 million. We expect fully diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $0.24 to $0.25 with fully diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 37.3 million shares. We expect non-GAAP diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $0.41 to $0.42, with stock-based compensation expense of approximately $6.5 million, depreciation expense of approximately $4.1 million and amortization expense of approximately $2.5 million. For the full year, we expect revenue to be in the range of $382.4 million to $383 million, representing 22% to 23% growth over 2020. We expect adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $105.6 million to $106.1 million, representing 21% to 22% growth over 2020. We expect fully diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $1.10 to $1.11 with fully diluted weighted average shares outstanding of approximately 37 million shares. We expect non-GAAP diluted earnings per share to be in the range of $1.76 to $1.77, with stock-based compensation expense of approximately $27.8 million, depreciation expense of approximately $15.1 million and amortization expense for the year of approximately $10.2 million. For the remainder of the year, on a quarterly basis, investors should model a 30% effective tax rate calculated on GAAP pretax net earnings. Beyond 2021, we continue to believe that e-commerce dynamics will fuel strong momentum in fulfillment for the foreseeable future, and we maintain our annual revenue growth expectations of 15% or greater. We will provide detailed 2022 guidance on our Q4 earnings call. But for modeling purposes, we expect to deliver $124 million to $126 million in annual adjusted EBITDA in 2022. Beyond 2022, we expect adjusted EBITDA dollar growth of 15% to 25% as we continue to invest in the business to capitalize on market dynamics and support current and future growth. In the long term, we maintain our target model for adjusted EBITDA margin of 35%. In summary, with strong momentum in fulfillment and large growth opportunities for our analytics solution as retailers and suppliers continue to improve efficiencies across the supply chain, we believe SPS Commerce is well positioned to capitalize on a multi-billion-dollar addressable market in front of us. And with that, I'd like to open the call to questions.