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SiriusPoint Ltd. (SPNT)

Q4 2025 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 19, 2026

$23.63

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the SiriusPoint Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Liam Blackledge, Investor Relations and Strategy Manager. Please go ahead.

Liam Blackledge

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and good morning or good afternoon to everyone listening. I welcome you to the SiriusPoint Earnings Call for the 2025 Fourth Quarter and Full Year Results. Last night, we issued our earnings press release and financial supplement, which are available on our website, www.siriuspt.com. Additionally, a webcast presentation will coincide with today's discussion and is available on our website. Joining me on the call today are Scott Egan, our Chief Executive Officer; and Jim McKinney, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we start, I would like to remind you that today's remarks contain forward-looking statements based on management's current expectations. Actual results may differ. Certain non-GAAP financial measures will also be discussed. Management uses the non-GAAP financial measures in its internal analysis of our results of operations and believe that they may be informative to investors in gauging the quality of our financial performance and identifying trends in our results. However, these measures should not be considered as a substitute for or superior to the measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. Please refer to Page 2 of the Investor Presentation and the company's latest public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for additional information. I will now turn the call over to Scott.

Scott Egan

Analyst

Thanks, Liam, and welcome, everyone, to our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results call. The fourth quarter rounded out another very strong performance year for SiriusPoint. Our disciplined underwriting strategy, customer-first mindset and relentless focus on delivery means we have a lot to be pleased about as we look back on our progress in 2025. Our top line for the year grew 16%. We improved the quality of our underwriting earnings year-over-year by 1.5 points. We grew our diluted book value per share by 28%. We delivered a 49% increase in operating earnings per share over prior year, and our leverage will reduce to an all-time low of 23% by the end of February. Our 2025 operating return on equity of 16.2% has improved for the third consecutive year and more importantly, outperformed against our 12% to 15% across the cycle target. The performance momentum I have talked about many times in these calls can be seen in the metrics that we've delivered in 2025. Looking at the fourth quarter in isolation, we delivered operating return on equity of 17.1% with a 44.9% return on equity on a GAAP basis as we closed the sale of Armada for $250 million. Our diluted book value increased by $1.70 in the quarter as a result. We continue to produce strong underwriting results with a Core combined ratio of 92.9% despite some historical one-offs in acquisition costs, which Jim will unpack for you. In addition, the fourth quarter saw a strong growth trend continue with gross written premiums growing 18%. Turning back to look at 2025 as a whole, there is much to be proud of beyond the financial headlines. We simplified our ownership structure through the closing of the CM Bermuda transaction in the first quarter. We earned positive outlook upgrades…

James McKinney

Analyst

Thank you, Scott. Let me begin by echoing previous comments on how pleased we are with our financial results this quarter and for the year and the progress we are making to become a best-in-class underwriter. Net income for 2025 increased 141% or [ $216 million ] to $444 million as we delivered excellent financial results on a core and consolidated basis. Return on equity was 22.1%. The full year underwriting results were strong on an attritional and as-reported basis as our diverse portfolio continues to showcase profitable, low-volatility premium growth at attractive combined ratios. Starting with our fourth quarter results on Slide 18. We had a strong quarter, reporting operating income of $86 million or $0.70 per diluted share and net income of $240 million or $1.97 per diluted share. Core gross written premiums grew by $134 million or 18% in the quarter versus the prior year. A continued significant driver of our growth was Accident & Health that year-over-year grew 20%. Apart from Accident & Health, core Gross Written Premiums grew at a strong double-digit rate in aggregate compared to the prior year. Turning to our underwriting results. Our core combined ratio of 92.9% was driven by strong attritional loss results, modest catastrophe losses and a couple of legacy and one-off items that affected our acquisition and OUE ratios. The impact of these items added about 2 points to the acquisition ratio. This was partly offset by a point of favorability within OUE related to the new Bermuda tax credits and a onetime compensation benefit. We earned Net Service Fee Income of $4 million with a service margin of 9.4%. As a reminder, Net Service Fee Income can be a bit lumpy due to seasonality trends. Investment income for the quarter was $69 million, flat to last year…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Michael Phillips with Oppenheimer.

Michael Phillips

Analyst

Congrats on the quarter and the year. I know you guys are doing. First question would be kind of a summary, I think, of what Scott opened with and that Jim kind of commented on. Scott, you said tougher market conditions in 2026, but maybe maintaining the current levels of profitability. And then Jim was talking on insurance about, I think you said like the 91.7%, 91.8% is a good run rate. And obviously, insurance had an elevated acquisition cost for the year. So I guess, first off, just to confirm for insurance, that 91.7%, 91.8%-ish number, is that what you mean, not much pressure on that over the next year? And then I guess, because the acquisition costs, maybe if you could speak specifically to, I guess, what you call the attritional loss ratio, I think in the year, it was 60.8%. So how do you see that 60.8% for insurance trending over the next year, given your comments?

Scott Egan

Analyst

Mike, thank you. Appreciate the questions, and thanks for your opening comments. Look, the way I think that we're thinking about '26 is in line with what I said, which is, look, we recognize that there are parts of the market that will be tougher. I think Jim gave an example of that in property [ cat ] but he also gave a context for us, which is that's sort of 5% of our overall premium. So I think the way that we're thinking about '26 is where we don't see the opportunity to make a return commensurate with the risk. The great news, Mike, is that we can move capital quickly around the group and seize other opportunities, which then takes us, I think, to a wider portfolio, where I genuinely believe both from the lines of business that we write, Accident and Health, Surety, et cetera, we are able to deploy capital in areas where the rating pressure is not the same and is less correlated, if you like, to the wider P&C. And in addition to that, I do think that the distribution focus we have on MGAs working with what I would call very specialist niche partners who really give true dedicated specialist advice to customers. I do think there's partial insulation from some of the wider market pressures on general rate. So look, I think that's sort of how we're thinking about '26. I think importantly, Q4 and sort of opening of Q1 in Jan was in line with our expectations. So there was no sort of negative surprises. Things like aviation that Jim mentioned for us, I think I highlighted that, Mike, on my Q3 call, I said aviation need rate. I think everyone in the market have been saying that. And we carried high on average, high double-digit teens rate in aviation. More to do, but I think that's really a good step forward. So look, for us, I think we are off and running in '26 in a good space. I think that the combined ratio number that you mentioned for insurance, look, indicatively, that's a good run rate as we go in to 2026. We'll try and do better, I promise you. But we think that's a good level of return for the risk that we're taking. And I think your comment on loss ratio, I think, look, we're not going to trade margin where we don't see return for the risk. The great news, though, is we've got a really strong pipeline of growth opportunities that we'll be very disciplined about in evaluating, but we believe that we've got other opportunities for our capital. So look, I think that gives you, hopefully, my quite a comprehensive answer. I'll pause in case Jim wants to add anything else to that.

James McKinney

Analyst

Yes. So yes, I agree with everything that Scott highlighted. I think those are good comments. I think the biggest thing, Michael, that I would point you to as you think about us and I think the number that Scott highlighted and that I highlighted earlier is the right number to begin with. I'd say there's probably potentially when you think about us on a go-forward basis, maybe 0.5 point that you could kind of shift over time, plus or minus related to mix and how it actually comes in over kind of 2026. I would not be confused by that. One of the comments that I highlighted inside the quote was kind of the component of mix, right? And that we have continued to improve on a loss ratio performance basis, inclusive of that mix element. That's actually a real positive in total because it means that we're getting more leverage actually on our premium to surplus ratio. So different things kind of come in at different ratios. But in short, what I would say is I'd start exactly with that 91.7%. And I would think depending on how mix comes in over the year, where we outperform, where we see the best returns from a capital perspective, that the right way to think of that is maybe plus or minus kind of 0.5 point as a starting position from that kind of given just how things come together.

Michael Phillips

Analyst

Okay. That's very helpful, both of you. Appreciate it. I guess next question is on the fee income side and just trying to think about 2026 here. I guess, first off, can you say of the 2025 number, I think the $42 million, how much of that was Armada?

James McKinney

Analyst

So I would tell you that generally speaking, you're in a range of about $26 million inside there. I would think about it as like a run rate of about $30 million with potential of kind of post completion of everything, I think you're looking at about a run rate base expectation of around $40 million.

Michael Phillips

Analyst

Sorry, Jim, that $40 million is what, what do you mean by that.

James McKinney

Analyst

That include the 2 bolt-on acquisitions, which won't be up to full power, Mike just to be very clear, right? So the guidance that we've given for '26 is that obviously we'll be focused on integration. As an example, World Nomads won't complete until later on this year. But our aim when they're up to full power and fully integrated within IMG is they will be $40 million and hopefully plus of EBITDA. We'll try and do better. In addition to that, for World Nomads, which is obviously underwriting business, we will obviously channel that across over time into a wider Accident & Health underwriting division as well. So hopefully, that knits that together for you as well, Mike.

Michael Phillips

Analyst

It does. Yes. I guess that's what I was trying to get at. So 2026, we'll see probably the 30-ish that you're guiding to, obviously, it is decline from '25 level, but that does not include the 2 acquisitions, right? So you won't see any benefits from, say, World Nomads until 2027?

James McKinney

Analyst

Not materially, Mike. And that's why, look, I mean, plus or minus 1 or 2 perhaps, but not materially. That's why we're trying to be explicit in the guidance going forward.

Michael Phillips

Analyst

Okay. No, perfect. Just want to clarify. And then I guess just last one for me for now is on just the growth. And you've talked a lot about how you've got these lines that are contributing more than 60% in the quarter of the year was from A&H and Surety. I guess if we can focus on Surety for a second. I get a lot of questions on this of how sustainable that is over the next 2 years. How much of your Surety business in 2025 came from either government infrastructure growth or from data centers that was a big boom in 2025 and therefore, how much of that is sustainable over the next year or 2?

Scott Egan

Analyst

I'll make a comment and then Jim can jump in, Mike. So look, I think the sort of data center aspect and stuff like that is a red heading. So look, when we think of the profile of what we have, we view it as sort of pretty sustainable on a go-forward basis, Mike. So we're not projecting any sort of falloff for the 2 areas that you've highlighted, although I recognize within the wider marketplace that those are absolute pressures. But Jim, anything you want to add to that?

James McKinney

Analyst

Yes. I would just say that minimal amounts of kind of our book follow that. I mean, we feel pretty good about where we've entered. Again, we're kind of at the early stages, I would say, in terms of where some of our relationships are inside of that, not from how long we've been partners or other, but we're at, I would tell you, kind of more the early innings of kind of the total build-out from a premium perspective on the Surety side versus necessarily kind of our longer-term kind of run rate stabilized portfolio. So I think we've got some nice tailwinds there and feel pretty good about the growth in 2026.

Scott Egan

Analyst

And Mike, just to amplify the point that Jim made the just now, which I appreciate is a wider than Surety comment, which is, look, the reason we've tried to give some additional disclosure, which we started at Q3, particularly around our MGA relationships is I think you can really see the difference between number and premium from what I would term newer MGAs. Of course, that's not an exact science, which I completely get. But I think you can see that we're being thoughtful and cautious in newer relationships. And so just to amplify the comment that Jim made, that's really the slide that shows we have potential from existing partners as well as a healthy funnel of opportunities to work our way through from a diligence perspective.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Andrew Andersen with Jefferies.

Andrew Andersen

Analyst · Jefferies.

On the insurance segment, I think you talked about casualty growing 8% for the year. I think that's about 30% of the overall segment. Could you maybe just talk a bit more about how you're seeing kind of the rate environment into '26? Are you thinking still kind of staying firm or harden further? What is the outlook for casualty insurance?

James McKinney

Analyst · Jefferies.

Yes. So thanks for the question. Generally speaking, relative to the specialties in the areas where we focus, we think -- and what we're seeing is that rate is broadly moving in line with trend. We're seeing relatively disciplined activity, people being thoughtful about the lessons that I think we learned kind of in the 2019, '20, '21 kind of time period and some of the surprises. You've kind of just seen some of the development and other components kind of work their way through the books on those things over the last year. And I think it was more than what folks expected. And so I think people are looking at the environment with a healthy thought process, and we feel pretty good about where we're at and what we expect kind of going forward.

Andrew Andersen

Analyst · Jefferies.

And Scott, I think you talked about attracting some more talent and doing some more senior hires. Where have some of these focus areas been on? Is it kind of specific lines of business where you're seeing growth opportunities?

Scott Egan

Analyst · Jefferies.

Right across the firm, Andrew. So we're obviously attracting a underwriting talent to the organization, but I would also say we're attracting sort of functional talent, et cetera, as well as we sort of strengthen our capabilities. The great news is we're attracting people from organizations with good caliber and we're attracting really high-caliber individuals. That's very different, Andrew, to when I first arrived when obviously, the company was in quite a different position. Also, and I want to just sort of emphasize this point as well, really pleasingly, the talent from within is also growing and prospering. And so we feel in a really good spot. When we are -- really simply, when we're advertising roles, we've got a really good internal pool to think about and consider, and we're really attracting external people to the organization. I think we've caught people's attention.

Andrew Andersen

Analyst · Jefferies.

And maybe last one, back to insurance. The retention rate has been improving over time. I guess, Jim, do you still see some more opportunity to retain a bit more business here into '26 and '27? And is that specific on any one line?

James McKinney

Analyst · Jefferies.

Yes. I mean we continue to see opportunity there. I think what I would highlight to you is more a risk management prudence mindset. We start with a really thoughtful kind of composition. We make sure that we get to know our partners as well as kind of the components in the market. And then we -- through time, as we have everything kind of in place, the data feeds, the interactions, just a really great way of kind of forecasting for in the future that we feel like gives us kind of a high confidence, then you see us gradually kind of increase our net in those components. And so that's a trend again that I think is going to continue as we move forward in the future, but it's going to be done with where we see the appropriate returns on capital. It's going to be done with the same type of risk management and prudence that we've kind of taken to date. So we feel good about it. And yes, we think there's additional opportunity there, but it's going to be prudent and disciplined.

Scott Egan

Analyst · Jefferies.

Yes. And Andrew, I just want to amplify what Jim said at the end. Look, we think -- I think I called it, it makes a lot of sense when I gave my overview. But we think that approach really is the hallmark of sort of our discipline and should give our investors confidence and comfort. We're not chasing growth right? We could turn taps on if we wanted and take more growth. We think our approach is based around things like underwriting philosophy, getting to know people, data sharing. And we just think that's a really sensible approach. But there's no question we've got potential within the pipes, and we've got new potential to evaluate outside the pipes, but we will be disciplined.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll go next to Mitchell Rubin with Raymond James.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

This is Mitch on behalf of Greg Peters. Congratulations on the quarter and the year. So with roughly 2/3 of premiums now coming from insurance and services, how do you see that mix evolving over the next few years? And is there a longer-term target for where you'd like that balance to settle?

Scott Egan

Analyst

Mitch, thanks for your comments. Very kind, and thanks for your question as well. Look, I think we've given a very strong steer that we want to grow insurance over reinsurance. I think it fits within our sort of strategic ambition of lower volatility, but I wouldn't want that misinterpreted, which is why I elaborated that reinsurance is a very important part of our armory when we approach the market. Not only does it give us flexibility in lines of business to come at them in different ways, but it's actually an incredibly useful tool in working with our MGAs. So I really want to make sure that, that message lands because it's really an important part of how we do business. We haven't given a specific target, and I'm loath to do that. And the reason for that is because it can ebb and flow. But I would say to you that proportionately, insurance is growing much quicker than reinsurance. You can see that in the numbers that we disclosed this year. Insurance and services grew gross written premium 26%, reinsurance 3%. Those can move around quarter-on-quarter, sometimes year-on-year. But I think indicatively, we expect the trend to increase.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

And just on the $100 million buyback, how should we think about the cadence? Is that going to be front-loaded, more evenly paced or opportunistic based on valuation?

James McKinney

Analyst

So look, I'll kind of -- we'll tag team this a little bit. What I would highlight is likely to be a little bit kind of opportunistic, but also with we feel like we're -- we feel we're in a really attractive position from a market perspective or other. We see a lot of value in the company. We think that there's a good value trade here for our ongoing shareholders. And so we're going to be disciplined and thoughtful about that. But we're going to take a programs [ mount ] and we'll see how things kind of trade from a market perspective. So some opportunistic, but likely to play out throughout the year with potentially some front-loading kind of given where things are at today.

Scott Egan

Analyst

Yes. Look, the same mix actually, which is, look, I think the reason we said over 12 months is want to give ourself some flexibility. I think that's a good thing. The most important part of it is we think it's good for shareholders. And therefore, depending on where the price moves, it could be even better for shareholders. There's no liquidity constraints in terms of when we might do it. The great news is Jim is get the money in the right place to do it when we need to do it, and we'll be opportunistic. And if that means it's more front-loaded than back loaded, then we are very happy to take that. We'll do what's right for shareholders.

Operator

Operator

And this now concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the floor back over to Scott Egan for closing comments.

Scott Egan

Analyst

Yes. Listen, thank you very much, everyone, for joining. Obviously, the full year results is a very important one for SiriusPoint. I really just want to end with a few key takeaways and messages from our results. Number one, this is our third year of operating ROE improvement, and there really is a strong performance momentum within the organization. That's number one. Number two, our attritional loss ratio improvement, and therefore, our quality of earnings continues to improve year-on-year. We are very proud of that. And I think that's a really important measure for the business as we go forward. Three, there is strong growth momentum within the company, and I think we've outlined our disciplined approach to that. Our book value has increased by 28% in the year. That's added significant value for our shareholders. And we are positioned very well from a balance sheet perspective to take opportunities as they present themselves. So in summary, the future is bright for SiriusPoint. Thank you very much for joining. We appreciate your questions and your attendance. Have a good day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for your participation. This does conclude today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines, and have a wonderful day.