Harold McGraw
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Okay, thank you very much, Don. And good morning, everyone, and welcome to today's conference call. Besides Don, as Don mentioned, with me today is Jack Callahan, our Chief Financial Officer. He'll be providing a little bit more color to our financials in just a moment. We have 2 objectives for today's call. First, we want to review our encouraging second quarter results and share our perspective on the positive outlook that we have for the second half of this year. Second, we want to update you on our important strategic portfolio review, which is intended to accelerate global growth and unlock shareholder value. And as always, after our presentations, we'll be pleased to address any of your comments, questions or we can go any direction you'd like. I trust that you all had an opportunity to review our second quarter earnings release. If you recall, on our first quarter call in April, we said a promising year was off to a good start. Well, our second quarter results bear that out. Overall, our business is performing well. Earnings per share in the second quarter grew approximately 12% to $0.68 per share. Revenue grew more than 7% to $1.6 billion. We're very pleased with that. Our revenue growth for the first half is the best since 2007. First half revenue increased by 7.4% to $2.9 billion. Earnings per share grew by 14.4% to $1.07. Based on our solid start this year and a promising outlook for the second half, we now expect to achieve the top end of our 2011 diluted earnings per share guidance of $2.79 to $2.89. While we're encouraged by our first half results and prospects for the year, we are intent on growing faster and unlocking shareholder value by allocating our resources to support the best opportunities in growing global markets. That process is already well along. The most recent review of our businesses began with a decision to create McGraw-Hill Financial as a new segment for 2011. We reorganized and refocused this business and put it under separate leadership to leverage our intellectual property for new value creation. By integrating previously separate but strong and successful business lines into one scaled operation, McGraw-Hill Financial is delivering a growing array of innovative solutions and high-value content across all asset classes to financial professionals around the world. Our S&P Indices business and the new Integrated Desktop Solutions Group, which includes Capital IQ, continue to grow rapidly, driving year-over-year increases of 13.5% in revenue and 17.3% in operating profit in the second quarter. McGraw-Hill Financial is now actively reviewing opportunities for creating even more value through organic growth, strategic partnerships and acquisitions. But that's not the whole story. And so last month, we informed the market that a strategic review of the entire portfolio is underway. The goal, quite simply, is to increase shareholder value by building on the high-growth global brands at the core of our franchise. Many of you have asked what this review entails and what is our timeline. What we can tell you today is this: We have multiple work streams underway that everything is being scrutinized and that we expect to continue this process with a number of significant actions in the second half of this year. As an important corollary to this process, we're also evaluating our organization structure and design and our G&A costs across the corporation to ensure that we are both nimble and responding to an ever more dynamic marketplace while improving overall efficiency. Excellent examples of effective capital allocation are the recent investments to expand our high-growth Platts business. An underappreciated gem, Platts is the most global brand, with clients in more than 150 countries subscribing to our realtime news, data and price discovery services for energy, petrochemicals, metals and other important commodities. Platts is also one of our fastest-growing businesses, and this year alone, we have enhanced its organic growth with 2 significant additions to its platform. In January, Platts expanded its energy information platform by acquiring BENTEK Energy. This is widely recognized as the leading provider of fundamental data and analytics to the natural gas market in North America. And on July 1, we acquired the Steel Business Briefing Group, a leading provider of news, pricing and analytics to the global steel market. With world steel consumption projected to increase by approximately 60% during the next decade, this acquisition creates excellent new opportunities for Platts. And with these new additions, Platts is now even better positioned as a leading provider of critical news, pricing and analytical services. There are other early milestones to report in our portfolio review. On June 14, we announced that we are pursuing the sale of our Broadcasting Group. This business consists of ABC affiliates in the attractive Denver, San Diego, Indianapolis and Bakersfield, California markets, as well as 5 TV Azteca America affiliates in California and Colorado. There has been a very strong response to our announcement from financial and nonfinancial buyers. Based on the level of interest and the quality of firms that we're now engaging with, we are very optimistic about the outcome of this process. Our decision to sell the Broadcasting Group is a window into our review process. Broadcasting has been a part of the company -- an important part of the company, for 40 years. We have nurtured this business, and it has made a solid contribution to our bottom line. But as we examined our enterprise and assessed the future, we determined that the Broadcasting Group does not have the characteristics we define as core. It lacks scale. It's cyclical. It's advertising-based, and the growth prospects seem somewhat limited. As a result, it became a candidate for divestiture. We also believe this action is better for our associates in the broadcasting business as they hopefully will be a part of an organization with greater capability in this space. Before reviewing our business segments, I want to touch on 2 additional topics: first, is our commitment to use our strong cash flow and balance sheet to return capital to shareholders; and the other is the vastly improving legal and regulatory environment in which we are now operating. We remain committed to returning capital to shareholders. From 1996 to the first half of 2011, we have returned $10.4 billion to shareholders through a combination of share repurchases and dividends. When it comes to paying dividends, the McGraw-Hill Companies is exceptional. We are one of only 25 corporations in the S&P 500 that has increased dividends annually for each of the past 38 years. Our current annualized rate of $1 per share represents an average compound annual dividend rate of 9.8% since 1974. As for stock buybacks, I am sure you are aware that on June 29, our Board of Directors approved a new repurchase authorization of up to 50 million shares, that's 17% of the total shares outstanding. In the first half of this year, we repurchased 7.7 million shares for $300 million at an average price of $38.96. As some have recently observed, legal and regulatory concerns facing the rating agencies are continuing to abate. I am pleased to report that our latest count shows 21 lawsuits have been dismissed in their entirety, and another 9 have been voluntarily withdrawn. 5 dismissals by lower courts have now been reaffirmed by higher courts. The recent ruling by the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Second Circuit is a significant victory for S&P in subprime litigation since this category has attracted the most lawsuits. In affirming the dismissal of 3 underwriter cases filed against Standard & Poor's and other rating agencies, the panel of judges' unanimous decision is unambiguous, in concluding that credit rating agencies cannot be sued as underwriters. In view of this favorable ruling, our attorneys believe it will be very difficult for any future plaintiff to bring a new underwriter claim against Standard & Poor's. We have also received earlier this month a significant ruling on the Parmalat case, which has been in the Italian court since 2005. The court in Milan rejected, in its entirety, Parmalat's principal claims for damages of more than EUR 4 billion. The court also ruled that Standard & Poor's breached its rating agreement and will have to return rating fees and pay some attorney and expert fees, a total of about $1 million, even though Parmalat repeatedly provided false and misleading information to Standard & Poor's in the entire period that it was under contract, and that massive and systematic fraud resulted in criminal convictions of several of the company's former executives. This ruling comes at a time when there's been criticism in Europe of Standard & Poor's sovereign ratings and calls by some politicians to place new limits on rating agencies. While the issue has not confined to S&P, it is important to note that these suggestions are being sharply criticized. We believe these criticisms are misguided, and we think the Financial Times' influential Lex column said it best when it noted and I quote, "Eurozone politicians and the European Central Bank should thank Standard & Poor's for telling the truth." More recently, a special report by a committee of the House of Lords on the euro debt crisis called suggestions to suspend ratings for countries in international financial assistant programs, "wholly impractical and smacks of censorship." We're encouraged that transparency and the importance of objective third-party opinion for investors are highly valued. That's evidenced in the United States where the Dodd-Frank Act is just over a year old. At yesterday's hearings before the U.S. House of Representatives' Committee on Financial Services Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigation, S&P pointed out the significant actions and investments that it has taken in recent years to improve transparency, quality and the timeliness of its ratings and to comply with the Dodd-Frank Act. Real progress is being made. Okay, with that said, let me turn now to the operating results, and let's begin with McGraw-Hill Financial. We have already touched on the key measures of this segment's second quarter performance, 13.5% revenue growth, 17.3% increase in operating profit. Clearly, our new segment is on the right track with first half revenue growth of 14.8% and a 29.5% operating margin. Subscriptions produced 74% of the segment revenue and grew by 15.8% in the first half. We are making very good progress in integrating our businesses. We are building scale in core franchises. We are leveraging our market position for further expansion with new enhancements and products. For example, through an integration of S&P Indices' unique methodologies with Compustat and Capital IQ's fundamental data, we launched a new package -- a new data package, that offers more than 100 Index-level statistics focused on income statements, balance sheets and trading data. The S&P fundamental data package represents one example of a series of planned offerings based on the collaboration and integration of capabilities and assets across McGraw-Hill Financial. Our deep fundamental information on S&P 500 constituents makes it easier for clients to benchmark, back test and execute investment strategies. We are also enhancing our Capital IQ consensus offering to include the industry's first aggregate estimates tied directly to share counts for S&P 500 companies, as well as reporting daily during earnings seasons on trends and outliers. As we evolve and introduce new and innovative data and analytic offerings, we will also continue to improve our broad portfolio of existing products and services by leveraging the scale and strength of the new McGraw-Hill Financial. So to sum up, expansion continues, and we expect a solid first half from McGraw-Hill Financial to be followed by a solid second half performance. Let's move over to Standard & Poor's. Surging new issue volume, a booming bank loan market, low interest rates, investor demand for yield and strong refinancing activity combined for an outstanding second quarter at Standard & Poor's despite a decline in public finance markets and softness in Structured Finance. In the second quarter, revenue increased by 18.6%. Operating profit increased by 17.3%. The operating margin of 44.3% compares to 44.8% for the same period last year. Some of the challenging expense comparisons that were evident in the first quarter, increasing compensation and regulatory costs, were still a factor in the second quarter. First half comparisons were particularly difficult this year because of the timing of incremental costs for compliance. Most of the increase in 2010 occurred in the second half. In 2011, expenses, which will increase from $12 million to $15 million, will be more evenly spread, which will help second half comparisons. Investment in resources to support strong growth in our corporate and government's group, as well as CRISIL businesses, are primary drivers of expense growth, along with investment in infrastructure and new resources to support compliance with regulatory requirements. Foreign exchange also contributed to the growth in expenses as well. We continue to watch events in the market relating to the sovereign debt situation and the debate on the United States debt ceiling. While there are uncertainties and an expectation of month-to-month volatility at this time, our view is with easier cost comparisons and the continuation of favorable market conditions, we see the potential for a solid second half performance from Standard & Poor's. Let's review some of the reasons for our confidence in the second half outlook. Corporations continue to borrow for expansion even as earnings remain strong and cash builds on the balance sheet. Low default rate expectations and low yields on less risky debt should keep investors interested in the high yield and leverage loan markets for the balance of the year. M&A activity, a key driver of new bond issuance, is obviously picking up. Public markets will continue to benefit from the bank disintermediation in Europe, and refinancing activity remains strong. According to S&P's leveraged commentary and data group, 56% of the proceeds from high-yield bonds were used for refinancing in the second quarter. The amount of maturing debt increases significantly through 2015, and that's according to a new study issued by Standard & Poor's earlier this month. S&P estimates that $8 trillion of debt, $8 trillion of debt, will mature from the second quarter of 2011 through the end of 2015. About $1.4 trillion comes due in 2011. Next year, more than $2 trillion of corporate debt will mature. We continue to remain optimistic about the potential for the Structured Finance market. The asset-backed sector is stabilizing. There are modest increases in the commercial mortgage-backed securities market and the collateralized debt obligation market, strengthening our criteria to enhance stability, transparency, comparability and become more forward looking may have led to some decline in share, but positions us well for the future. As issuance picks up in the Structured Finance and the need to invest in our regulatory framework declines, margin improvement should be expected. So summing up for Standard & Poor's, a solid first half performance and sustained top and bottom line growth in the second half despite some market volatility. Let's look at McGraw-Hill Education. Normally, there is concern in the second quarter about orders being pulled forward to the third quarter; not this year. Delays in ordering affected both state new adoption and open territory revenue as potential sales shifted from the second quarter into the third quarter and possibly even into the fourth quarter. Second quarter comparisons were also affected by the McGraw-Hill School Education's strong results last year, and that was in the Texas reading and literature adoptions. These were important factors in the 10.1% decline in McGraw-Hill School Education Group second quarter revenue. From McGraw-Hill Higher Education, Professional and International Group, revenue increased 1.8% as digital products and services grew at a double-digit rate in a seasonally-slow quarter. As a result, McGraw-Hill Education's revenue declined by 5% in the second quarter and operating income was off by 18.3%. The timing of sales and growth of digital products are key to our second half prospects this year in the education market, which we think are good. We have greatly -- we have greater clarity in this year's elementary, high school market now that Texas has appropriated $399 million for new instruction material programs plus another $393 million for the purchase of-previously-adopted materials covered by continuing contracts. Earlier this year, we said Texas funding was the wildcard in the 2011 state new adoption market. The issue was not settled until the Texas State Legislature completed a special session, and that was on June 29. Consequently, there were no orders from Texas in May, June or July. Not until August 8 will the Texas Education Agency begin the process -- processing orders from local school districts. With Texas now on the record, we believe the state new adoption market could equal or surpass last year's $850 million to $875 million level. If so, the total elementary, high school market could be flat or modestly up in 2011. State budgets remain under pressure but there are some indication that state cuts in education spending will be deeper for higher education than K-12. It is easier politically to cut higher education funding because colleges and universities can raise tuition and make other adjustments more easily than public schools, where most of the education budget is devoted to salaries and related pension and healthcare costs. There are also indications that some states may restore K-12 funding if their revenues continue to improve. That has already happened, for example, in Michigan. The uncertainty over how much funding would be available in Texas and the possibility that some categories may not be funded at all, led us to focus our participation on about half of the state's expensive adoption call for 2011. Under the circumstances, making heavy investments creates state-specific products necessary to match the Texas standards and meet district demands was too problematic. For the same economic reasons, we elected not to participate in the Florida K-5 science adoption. We still expect to capture approximately 30% of the state new adoption market in which we are participating this year because some opportunities did not warrant the investment, we will participate in a little over 70% of the total markets. Our investment in digital opportunities are gaining traction. In the school market, our-- all-digital cloud-based K-12 science program, we call this program the McGraw-Hill CINCH Learning, was approved by Texas for this year's special science adoption. Students can access our content on any tablet, computer or mobile device they choose. Strong double-digit growth increases in the sales of digital products and services were key to McGraw-Hill Higher Education, Professional and International's 1.8% revenue growth in the second quarter. The rapid acceptance of digital products is transforming the higher education market. The response to McGraw-Hill Connect, that's our homework management and study system, has been outstanding because it improved the workflow for both faculty and students. McGraw-Hill Connect seamlessly integrates into the widely-used Blackboard learning management system for quick and easy access. Importantly, McGraw-Hill Connect and other homework management products represent a new revenue stream for us. Unlike textbooks, which are purchased by students but selected by instructors, these products can be earmarked directly to students. Acquisitions have also added new talent and products that strengthens our capabilities in key markets. For example, we recently acquired Tegrity. This is the Israeli software firm that is doing groundbreaking work in the education market. The firm has already created a market-leading lecture capture service in higher education, and its talented team played a key role in the development of a new service that will help speed the digital transformation of the higher education market. We call the new service McGraw-Hill Campus. More than 100 higher education institutions will be using it this fall. McGraw-Hill Campus is a first of its kind service that enables us to provide universal access to our digital content tools directly from any campus portal. That means faculty and students will have true single sign-on to all of our course content and digital tools no matter what learning management system is being used on campus. Our strong lineup of digital products is an important reason why we expect growth this year in the higher education market. The industry will also benefit from a modest increase in enrollments, probably in the 1% to 2% range. Growth will occur largely in the community colleges and public universities. Enrollments in the for-profit schools are expected to stabilize and build toward the end of the year. The impact of rentals in this year's higher education market is still difficult to gauge. Not all college bookstores are aggressively promoting rentals and not all titles can be rented. We currently estimate that rentals will account for about 5% of the new and used book market this year. We continue to expect that the U.S. colleges and university market will grow 4% to 6% this year, although the lower end of the range now appears to be probably more likely. Let's sum up for McGraw-Hill Education. In the third quarter, the elementary and high school market would benefit from delayed orders in the second quarter, and that's particularly from Texas. Higher education and professional markets will see widespread adoptions of digital products and services, which will continue to grow at double-digit rates, and we're in an excellent position to benefit from both of these trends. Moving over to our Business-to-Business Group. Double-digit growth of our Business-to-Business Group was key to the Information & Media's second quarter and first half performance. B2B Group's 11.7% increase in the revenue offset a 6% decline at Broadcasting. As a result, in the second quarter, revenue for the segment was up 9.7%. Operating income was up 5.9% and the operating margin was 20.5%. Earlier this year, we said that 2010 improvement in this segment's operating margin was sustainable. With a solid first half performance now in the books, we are demonstrating the improvement is not a one-year phenomenon. Our Business-to-Business Group is now primarily a subscription business delivered digitally. More than 70% of the group's revenue is digital, the result of investments and capabilities that create the foundation for developing new products and revenue streams. More than 60% of the group's revenue comes from subscriptions. In the second quarter, strong demand for Platts proprietary content and growth -- proprietary content and growth in syndicated studies and consulting services at J.D. Power in automotive and non-automotive sectors were key drivers. A decrease in political advertising in a non-election year was a major factor in Broadcasting's second quarter performance. So summing up, sustainable margin improvement and an encouraging second half outlook. So wrapping up my review of operations and summing up The McGraw-Hill Companies. Overall, our businesses are performing well. Based on the solid start to the year and a promising outlook for the second half, we now expect to achieve the top end of our 2011 diluted earnings per share guidance of $2.79 to $2.89. Okay. With that, let me turn it over to Jack Callahan. And as Chief Financial Officer, he'll walk through -- us through the numbers. Jack?