Eli Simon
Analyst · Ladenburg Thalmann
Thanks for the question. So I would say we're investing capital in basically every center every year, frankly. And so as far as large transformational projects, sort of that -- if you put aside the $1 billion that's actively under development today and you call it the $4 billion to $5 billion shadow pipeline, that's on, I don't know, probably 20, 25 centers we're developing at, I think I said 29 centers today. There's, for sure, others that are not in there. I don't have an exact number, but we -- some of it is because we don't control the real estate that we would want to control to do the redevelopment or do the densification or the mixed-use addition or whatnot or whatever makes sense for that center. So I don't have an exact number, but if sort of the fear is that we are running out of things to do, we're not even scratching the surface. And again, there will be more opportunities across the portfolio over time. We're not going to go to the extent we don't control a piece of real estate that we want to develop. We're not going to go and buy it just to buy it to be able to do it today, even though we could. It's just not the way we think about it. As far as the other benefits, it's interesting. It's a question that, frankly, I talk with the team about often is that we do not underwrite it. And the reason is we really need to be intellectually honest with ourselves and say, if we're doing a redevelopment -- I'm in Indianapolis today, so at Keystone, redeveloping the Saks box or the former Saks box, which just started there will be an impact, no doubt. But we have to look at it and say, okay, for the new money we're putting in, what are we earning knowing that there's going to be a benefit. What I look at is less the incremental, okay, we got $5 of new rent in this tenant or that tenant because that's sort of day-to-day business and how do you quantify that? It's hard. I look at sort of say, what are the customers saying? And so if you look at new projects we opened in Southdale last year and in Brea, just 2, for example, both fairly fully open. I think the last tenant at Southdale was Tiffany's, which I want to say opened in February. Brea, Dick's did not open until April, just opened recently and LIFETIME isn't open. And I want to say 1 or 2 of the restaurants are not open. And those 2 centers on a like-for-like basis are performing 1,000, 1,500 basis points above where those similar comp brands are performing across our portfolio. And so that's sort of, to me, the more important metric because they're showing that the money we're putting in, the development we're doing, yes, we're earning the 9%, but we're making the center more relevant. If we make the center more relevant, more customers come, retail sales grow, we're going to add new retailers. And how do you draw the line and cut the line and say, well, this counts in the return, this doesn't. It's really hard. And so that's why we don't include it. But we know it's there, and it's something that gives us comfort as we look at some of these bigger projects that will start over the next year, whether it's Boca or Ross Park or Fashion Valley or what have you. So I appreciate the question. I wish I had a really good number to show you, but we know it's important. And that's why we're excited about the pipeline. That's why we mentioned on the call is this is an important avenue of growth for us. And I think we've shown we have the ability to execute it. And now we just have to keep doing that in the years ahead.