Barry L. Saunders
Analyst · Chip Dillon from Vertical Research
Thank you, Roger. I will begin on Slide 3, where you see that this morning, we reported first quarter 2013 earnings per diluted share on a GAAP basis of $0.47 and base earnings of $0.50. This compares to base earnings of $0.52 for the same period last year. These results were at the low end of our previously issued guidance of $0.50 to $0.54 per share. Before reviewing the base P&L for the quarter, I will mention that a reconciliation of GAAP to base earnings is in today's press release and on our website and summarized on this slide. The difference between GAAP and base is due to restructuring charges and the impact of the devaluation in Venezuela. Restructuring charges were right at $4 million on a pretax basis related to the decision to close 2 plants and the balance of the charges related to previously announced actions. We also had just under $1 million charge related to the devaluation on assets in Venezuela. Turning to Slide 4, you find the base P&L where you see sales were $1,179,000,000, which represented a 2.7% decline over the prior year, driven by lower consumer volume, which I will elaborate on when reviewing the sales bridge. Gross profit was $205.7 million, which was $11.1 million lower than last year, driven by the lower consumer volume and higher cost, including a $2 million LIFO adjustment. This resulted in our gross profit margin dropping to 17.4% from 17.9% last year. Selling and administrative expenses and other charges were $119.1 million, which was $3.5 million lower due to some fixed cost reductions in some of our businesses, as well as lower management incentive accruals for the annual and long-term plans. Thus, EBIT was $86.6 million, which was down $7.7 million or 8% from last year, and you'll see all the drivers for the change in the EBIT bridge in just a moment. Interest expense was $14.3 million, which was lower than last year due to the repayment of some of the debt from the repatriated cash. Income taxes of $22.8 million were lower year-over-year due to the lower earnings, as well as the lower effective tax rate, which was 31.6% this year versus 33.7% in 2012. Equity in affiliates and minority interest was in line with last year. Thus, base net income was $51.7 million or $0.50 per share. Turning to the sales bridge on Slide 5. You see a reconciliation of the year-over-year change in sales. While we'll mention that we did have 2 fewer days in our accounting quarter this year, which could have theoretically resulted in 2% lower volume but given it's really difficult to know the exact impact of those 2 days, all of the volume numbers I will provide include the impact of the day difference as well. You see that the impact on sales and mix negatively impacted sales by $25 million or 2% for the company as a whole. In the consumer businesses, overall volume and mix lowered sales by 5.6%. In composite cans, units were only off 1%, but volume and mix negatively impacted the sales line by 4% in this business as we sold more small diameter cans this year, which have a lower selling price. For example, refrigerated doughs, snacks and miscellaneous food cans were all higher year-over-year, while composite cans for coffee, powdered beverage and powdered infant formula were lower. In the associated closures business, total sales were off 6% in unit terms, but trade volume was off 19%. Flexibles volume was down 5%, off of a particularly strong and oversold position in the first quarter last year. Blow-molded plastics volume negatively impacted their sales by 8%, while thermoforming was down 5% and injection-molded plastics down 4%. In the industrial businesses, overall trade volume was down 1.4%. Tube and core volume in North America was down 1% but again was up slightly when adjusting for the difference in days. Paper North America total volume was down 3% as trade tons were down about 1.5%, but intercompany sales were off 4%. Corrugating sales were up 9%, and recycling sales volume in North America up 7%. In Europe, tube and core volume was down just under 3% as the frontier regions to the east were up about 9%, which was just more than offset by sales in the legacy region being down 6%. Paper sales in Europe were down about 2%, but recycling sales in Europe were lower as a result of our decision to exit some of the external trading business in Greece. In other regions of the world, tube and core volume in South America was down 2%, while it was up 8.5% in Asia. In the Display and Packaging segment, volume was up about 4% due primarily to higher level of activity in the dedicated contract packaging operations. In the Protective Solutions segment, overall segment volume was up 2.5% as the molded foam business was up 7%, ThermoSafe business up 4%, partially offset by Alloyd being down 9%. Moving down to sales prices, overall pricing for the company was negative but by only $3.8 million, where the prices were just slightly lower than the prior year across several of the consumer businesses. Prices were relatively flat in the industrial businesses. We are seeing the benefit and the impact of the announced price increases in North America. But given they were implemented in the latter part of the quarter, the full benefit has not yet been realized, and the benefit in the first quarter was essentially offset by lower year-over-year contractual price adjustments. Translation, which makes up most of the exchange and other difference, had a negligible impact on sales as there was little change year-over-year in most major currencies. Turning to the EBIT bridge on the next page. You can see that the lower volume resulted in the $9.2 million reduction in EBIT due to the trade volume shortfall when combined with the impact of the loss profits on lower intercompany sales in paper and metal ends. Although you saw on the sales bridge that selling prices were lower year-over-year, when prices netted against material cost changes, energy and freight invitations, price/cost was essentially flat. Manufacturing productivity was below our historical average this quarter at only $6.1 million. We had good productivity in our tube and core operations in North America and in Europe, in our flexibles operations and in our Protective Solutions businesses. The biggest drag on productivity came from our paper operations in North America, where we took approximately 12 days more downtime this year, much of which was unplanned, and we had an unusual amount of repair and maintenance cost brought forward into the first quarter. This actually resulted in paper converting cost per ton actually being higher, not lower year-over-year. Overall consumer productivity was light due to the deleveraging of the lower volume and some continued operational issues in our plastics businesses. The all other category was negative year-over-year by $4 million, driven by nonmaterial inflation, primarily the impact of salary and wage increases, partially offset then by lower fixed cost spending in some of the businesses and the impact of lower management incentive cost. And lastly, pension and other postretirement benefit expense was higher year-over-year by $1.3 million. Results by segment are found on Slide 7, where you see that for the consumer businesses, sales were down 6.5%, but EBIT was down 15% due to the deleveraging in the volume, some operating issues in plastics, as well as the impact of the increase in our LIFO reserve. For the Paper and Industrial converted businesses, trade sales were down 2% and EBIT was down 4% as the margin dropped slightly to 6.8%. In Display and Packaging, sales increased but earnings were essentially unchanged, given that most of the increased sales were in the dedicated contract packaging centers, where with that business model, there isn't a significant change in earnings. And in Protective Solutions, sales were up 2.7%, while earnings improved 22% and the margin improving to 6% due primarily to synergies and year-over-year productivity. And now looking forward, on Slide 8, you find our guidance summary. For the second quarter, we are projecting that base earnings per share will be in the range of $0.56 to $0.60. This compares to last year's second quarter of $0.58. For the full year, we are narrowing the guidance by 2% on the top end due to the first quarter results. The overall guidance assumes no notable change in the level of economic activity, and that OCC remains in the $120 to $125 range for the balance of the year. The effective tax rate is expected to be back to approximately 33% for the balance of the year. The pickup in the run rate from the first quarter to the second quarter is driven almost equally between volume, mostly due to normal seasonality and improvement in price/cost and improved productivity. Moving from earnings on to cash flow on Slide 9. You see that cash from operations for the quarter was a record $136 million. Cash from operations was $39 million higher year-over-year due primarily from the fact that as you see at the bottom of the chart, we contributed $35 million less to our pension and postretirement plans due most notably to not making any contribution to the U.S. qualified fund benefit plan as provided for under the Pension Relief Act. Net capital spending was $55 million for the quarter, where we continue to have heavy spending for the biomass boiler and accounts for much of the year-over-year difference. So after dividends, we had free cash flow of $51 million. As a result of determining that the federal incentives for the biomass boiler can be used in advance of project completion to lower our quarterly tax payment, we have updated our estimate for free cash flow for the full year by $20 million to $150 million. On the next page, you find our balance sheet, and I won't spend much time with it other than to mention that as expected, we did receive $254 million of the repatriated foreign cash in the quarter, which reduced cash and debt by a similar amount. But in addition to that, free cash flow further reduced net debt, so that net debt-to-total capital was down to 38.4% at the end of the quarter. We are still projecting a further reduction through the balance of the year from additional free cash flow. And with those estimates, net debt-to-total capital would be roughly 35% at the end of the year. There are some additional slides in the Appendix for your reference, but that completes my review of the results for the quarter. And now I'll turn it over to Jack for some additional comments.