Robert Miller
Analyst · Stonegate Capital Pa
Thank you, Jim. I'll first discuss the financial results of our first fiscal quarter ended June 30, 2017; secondly, a review the financial results of our derm strategy; and finally, talk about our path to EBITDA breakeven, driven by the 30 derm sales reps and their 5 senior managers, 13 of which have been hired in the March and June quarters. Moving now to a review of our financial results for the first fiscal quarter of fiscal year 2018 and covering only the highlights with the details in today's earnings press release. Total revenue was $3.8 million for the quarter ended June 30, 2017, up 45% or $1.2 million compared to $2.6 million in the same period last year. Total product revenue of $3.6 million was up 49% over the same period last year, with strong growth in US dermatology and acute care markets and in products sold to the new owner of the Latin America assets. More specifically, during the first quarter, US product revenue increased $486,000, up 35%, to $1.9 million, mostly related to the increase in dermatology and acute care product revenue, partially offset by a decline in animal health sales. Total international product revenue was up $706,000 or 68%, with increases in Mexico, Middle East, Europe, Hong Kong and Singapore, partially offset by decreases in China and India. Revenue from products sold to Invekra is temporary until Invekra sets up their own manufacturing facility. We expect that revenue related to Invekra will be in the $250,000 to $350,000 per quarter until they assume their own manufacturing. We further estimate that it will take about six to nine months from now until Invekra manufactures at their facility. The gross margins have been impacted by the historical separation of the discontinued operations and the very low margins of the current Mexico sales to Invekra. Since the current sales to Invekra are almost sold at cost, they reduce our overall gross margins. Once Invekra starts manufacturing and we discontinue manufacturing, then our gross margins will improve. Operating expenses minus non-cash expenses for the June quarter were $4.7 million, up $570,000 or 14% compared to the same period last year. Increase in the cash operating expenses was due to the higher sales and marketing and administrative expenses in the United States, related mostly to the increased number of our direct dermatology sales force. On the balance sheet, our cash position at the end of June was $12.6 million compared to $7.4 million on June 30, 2016 and $17.5 million on March 31, 2017 with only minimal debt. The decrease in cash from March 31 was $4.8 million, consisting of a cash operating loss of $2.8 million, $659,000 of prepaid expenses – mostly taxes paid to the Mexican IRS related to the Invekra transaction – and $157,000 of capital expenditures, both of which are one-time and non-recurring cash payments. The remaining difference is the use of funds for the decrease in accounts payable and the increase in accounts receivable, which equals about $1.1 million, of which $663,000 was the increase in receivables which has now been collected. Over the next several quarters, the primary use of cash will be the cash operating loss while taxes related to the Mexican transaction and capital expenditures will be minimal, if any. The accounts receivable will rise as our sales increase and accounts payable will remain fairly flat. Going forward, as we progress to break even, our best estimate at this time is that we have sufficient cash to achieve breakeven. What would have been the financial results of our dermatology efforts for the quarter ending June 30, 2017? There are several ways to measure our success in the derm market. One is through the sales of our products to our wholesale distributors, which are recognized as revenue when shipped to them. This is the common way of recognizing revenue. Our total US product revenue was $613,000 for the June quarter in 2015, $1.4 million for the June quarter in 2016, and $1.9 million for the June quarter 2017, up 35% over the same quarter last year. More specifically, our US dermatology net product revenue was $1.2 million for the quarter ending June 30, 2017 compared to $686,000 in the same period last year, an increase of $510,000 or 74%. While we recognize our derm revenue when we ship to our wholesalers, a second method to objectively gauge the Sonoma dermatology performance is the number of prescriptions filled for patients via the pharmacies, multiplied times the price paid to us by the wholesalers. This is traditionally called demand dollars. This information is available to the public for a fee via several well-known databases and is widely shown via Bloomberg. According to the Symphony monthly data, the total prescriptions filled by patients via the pharmacy times the price paid by the wholesalers for all of our derm products was $4 million for the June 2017 quarter, up $2.3 million or 142% from $1.7 million for the same period last year. The growth in demand dollars for the June 2017 quarter over the March 2017 quarter was 44%. The number of prescriptions filled for the June quarter was 17,180, up 24% over the March quarter of 13,794. Over the last nine quarters, our average quarter-over-quarter growth rate has been 20%. There are three primary factors which have generated this strong growth. First – in order of importance – has been the quality, effectiveness, leadership and the number of our direct sales force. In the March and June quarters, we added, as we mentioned, 13 veteran derm sales reps, a 75% increase, with now a total of 30 sales reps. The 24% increase in prescriptions filled, of the June over the March quarter, reflects the initial impact of the 13 new sales reps and the continued sales growth of the 17 tenured and established reps. The second factor for the high growth rate has been the launch and growth of eight products and product line extensions. The third and last reason has been our price increases. Our price per gram of product is currently well below that of our competitors. For example, Topicort, a solid branded mid-potency topical steroid for the treatment of atopic dermatitis, sells for $4.50 per gram. A comparable generic sells for $2.67 per gram. And our Alevicyn gel sells for $1.11 per gram. While we achieved strong 24% growth in prescriptions filled in the June over the March quarter, our rebate costs and level of returns were higher, as a percent of gross revenue in the June quarter compared to the March quarter. As of result, the net revenue of our derm group showed single-digit growth over the March quarter. We are actively implementing programs, which we believe will reduce, contain and will offset the rebate costs as a percentage of gross revenue. We estimate that the level of product returns will adjust back to normal levels with occasional spikes. What is our plan to achieve commercial EBITDA breakeven, our current primary financial objective? Our plan to achieve EBITDA breakeven includes the same three factors, which I just mentioned, and it's very simple in concept including, one, sales growth from the new sales reps on a faster ramp and from the established reps on a slower sales ramp. Number two, launch and growth of new and current products. Our Loyon descaling product, which Jim mentioned earlier, will be launched in this fall. And the Ceramax line extensions will be launched in the spring of 2018. Number three, increased prices based on a pricing strategy of periodic and smaller changes, but remaining well below the price per gram of our competitive products. What is the possible timing of achieving EBITDA breakeven? Let me make it clear that we are not indicating breakeven in a specific quarter in the future. What we are saying is, one, our prescriptions for the June quarter were 17,180 and have been growing at an average quarter-over-quarter growth rate for the last nine quarters of 20%, as mentioned earlier. And two, if – and I want to emphasize the word if – our prescriptions filled grow at a quarter-over-quarter average rate of 13% to 20% starting from the June quarter, then we should breakeven in the range of the June to December 2018 timeframe. Let me now make some general comments about the plan to achieve EBITDA breakeven. The gross margins will improve as we increase our US dermatology revenue, which has 80% to 85% gross margins. And at the breakeven level, we should have a blended gross margin in the range of the low 70%. Looking at the big picture, in order for us to achieve EBITDA breakeven, we estimate that our total net revenue should be in the range of $6 million to $7 million per quarter and the prescriptions filled should be in the range of 32,000 to 35,000 per quarter. My last general comment on our journey to breakeven is that we will update you on our progress on each quarterly earnings call. And if needed, we'll adjust assumptions and the impact of those changes. As mentioned on previous calls, we continue to believe that Sonoma remains a strong investment candidate for the value investor, who is also looking for strong revenue growth and a strong cash position. With respect to valuation, I'd like to make – end with three points. One, our cash position, $12.6 million, is a high percentage of our market capital of about $29 million. Number two, our product revenue growth was strong at 49% for the last three quarters ending June 30, 2017 compared to the same period. And as I've mentioned before, our average quarter-over-quarter growth rate for a longer time period for the last nine quarters for filled prescriptions was 20%. Over the next several quarters, investors should expect to see continued strong dermatology revenue growth as the additional 13 sales reps follow an already demonstrated sales ramp. Number three, we laid out a clear path to breakeven. As we get closer to that breakeven point, our market cap and stock price should in theory increase. Also, at a time of breakeven, our net revenue should be in the annualized $24 million to $26 million range and derm companies tend to have a revenue multiple of 3 to 5x of revenue. Thus, a potential investor can benefit not only from the strong derm product revenue growth and reaching breakeven, but also from a potential expansion of the multiple. With that, I'll turn it over to the operator for Q&A.