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SNDL Inc. (SNDL)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Mon, Nov 13, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning and welcome to SNDL’s Third Quarter 2023 Financial Results Conference Call. This morning, SNDL issued a press release announcing their financial results for the third quarter ended on September 30, 2023. This press release is available on the company’s website at sndl.com and filed on EDGAR and SEDAR as well. The webcast replay of the conference call will also be available on the sndlgroup.com website. SNDL has also posted a supplemental investor presentation on its website. Presenting on this morning’s call, we have Zach George, Chief Executive Officer; Alberto Paredero, Chief Financial Officer; Tank Vander, President, Liquor Retail; and Tyler Robson, President Cannabis. Before we start, I would like to remind investors that certain matters discussed in today’s conference call or answers that may be given to questions could constitute forward-looking statements. Actual results could differ materially from those anticipated. Risk factors that could affect results are detailed in the company’s financial reports and other public filings that are made available on SEDAR and EDGAR. Additionally, all financial figures mentioned are in Canadian dollars unless otherwise indicated. We will now make prepared remarks, and then we’ll move on to analyst questions. I will now turn the call over to Zach George.

Zach George

Management

Good morning, all and thank you for joining us on our third quarter 2023 financial and operational results conference call. I want to begin by acknowledging an important milestone for the SNDL team as this is the first quarter since inception that we have generated both positive net cash from operating activities and free cash flow. This milestone is a testament to the dedication of our team in driving positive change and the resilience and adaptability of our business segments. We are building the foundation of an important regulated products company with international potential that does not have a close peer in Canada. We are finding attractive opportunities for operational improvement in an industry, where capital is scarce and many competitors are star for liquidity amidst price compression driven by persistent oversupply and over licensing. Our goals are a far climb from where we stand today. We still have a lot of work to do, but we are making tremendous progress against the challenging macro backdrop. Although much of our regulated product business has shown recession resistance, we take nothing for granted given the likely duration of the current rate environment and are aggressively seeking efficiencies to improve profitability. SNDL has equipped itself with the flexibility to navigate market uncertainties and preserve our growth trajectory. Our platform structure creates strategic optionality and our debt-free balance sheet helps us focus on delighting consumers without the burden of material cash interest obligations. Tank will provide further color on the liquor retail segment, but I wanted to highlight some key initiatives that we have recently undertaken. We recently finalized the structure of our liquor retail data program and we expect to see results in the first quarter of 2024. Its launch is expected to strengthen our supplier partnerships, enhance revenue and contribute to…

Alberto Paredero

Management

Thank you, Zack. I want to remind you all that amounts discussed today are denominated in Canadian dollars, unless otherwise stated. Please note that certain amounts referred to on this call are non-GAAP and non-IFRS measures. For definitions of these measures, please refer to SNDL’s management discussion and analysis documents. As we dive into our financials, it is great to report that for the first time in our history, we have reached positive free cash flow in the quarter. To be precise, in Q3 2023, we achieved $16.5 million of positive free cash flow compared to negative $67.1 million in Q3 2022. Our cash flow from operations grew $27.5 million in Q3 2023, up from $8.6 million in Q3 2022. Achieving these cash flow milestones is the clear indicator of our operational improvements and reinforces the focus on our strategic initiatives as a path to deliver a much higher ambition in the future. Our unrestricted cash balance tells a similar story of growth from $185.5 million at June 30, 2023 to $202 million at September 30, 2023. This increases fixed volumes above our targeted efforts to optimize operational efficiency, particularly in working capital. Revenue growth remains steady, registering at $237.6 million for this quarter, a 3.1% increase from Q3 2022. Our reported gross margin revealed a slight decrease to $48.6 million in Q3 2023, down 3.4% from the same period last year. While we are seeing operational improvements, the reported gross margin has been impacted this last quarter by non-cash inventory impairment charges, to a large extent, triggered by our efforts to simplify our portfolio and operations. For perspective, if we were to exclude the impact of inventory impairments and operational charges in Q3 2023 and Q3 2022, our gross margin would have grown over 20% year-on-year. In terms of…

Tank Vander

Management

Thank you, Alberto. Our liquor retail results this quarter reflects successful margin growth initiatives, which are not only delivering their intended results, but also guiding our strategy for future innovations and expansions. Our retail footprint remain stable with 170 locations primarily in Alberta and one store in British Columbia. Same-store sales have remained steady year-over-year across all liquor banners. We are in the process of finalizing a new Wine and Beyond store in Airdrie, Alberta, which is located in one of Alberta’s fastest-growing municipalities. This new store is projected to generate approximately in $7.6 million annualized sales in the first year, emphasizing the success of the banner’s destination shopping approach. It is scheduled to open in the first quarter of 2024. Despite economic headwinds, our quarterly revenues stood strong at $152 million with stable basket value and customer count despite a downturn in national retail spending. In response to consumer spending trends and macroeconomic factors, we continue to optimize our operations to ensure we are meeting the needs of our customers by prioritizing value quality and digital experiences. This approach has not only maintained our stability, but also driven growth in key metrics, which is reflected in our year-over-year and sequential margin growth. Our gross margin reached $37.3 million, representing 24.5% of our sales in Q3 2023. This is a meaningful improvement compared to Q3 2022, where gross margin was $35.6 million or 23.3% of sales. The 4.8% gross margin growth is mainly driven by procurement productivity, product mix management initiatives and the success of our private label program. Private label sales, a significant driver of gross margin growth increased 33% compared to Q3 2022 and 7% sequentially. The Private label as a percentage of sales increased from 7.3% of sales to 9.7% from the comparative period in the year…

Tyler Robson

Management

[20:46]Ativan: This quarter, our cannabis segment generated $21 million net revenue marking a healthy 77% increase from the same period in 2022. This substantial growth is primarily attributed to the acquisition of Valens. Gross margin for the quarter was negative $8.7 million compared to $0.2 million in the third quarter of 2022, largely due to inventory impairment associated with the company’s strategic changes at all. This quarter’s outcome reflects the impact of our facility footprint reorganization, causing material constraints in our adult recreation segment. This was a transitional phase essential for operational and financial efficiency. These vital steps lay the groundwork to achieve positive cash flow and expand margins in the cannabis segment. I’m happy to report the majority of these trends are now behind us. SNDL expects by optimizing its facility footprint to result in over $10 million in annual savings from its cannabis operations segment through reduced fixed overhead power cost, labor efficiencies. Moving our cultivation to [indiscernible] has cut our production costs per gram by nearly 80% compared to the old facility, which will materially increase our margin moving forward. The team in [indiscernible] has also made immense improvements in both yield and average PHC, which we expect to continue those improvements through 2024. With our facility reorganization in place, we are prepared to scale capacity and drive stability in key categories to increase total revenue in forthcoming quarters. Following this heavy lift, we can better focus on product growth. Looking to product innovation. In Q3, SNDL optimized brand portfolio by streamlining nearly 50% of its total offerings across all brands. This tax move enables us to be hyper focused on high-performance fees. Key consumer categories in meeting market innovations, focusing on depth versus breadth. The primary goal of the portfolio rationalization is to enhance revenue and…

Zach George

Management

Reflecting on the past quarter, I want to acknowledge the dedication and effort of my colleagues that has been an essential progress. We know that considerable work light ahead as we strive towards realizing sustainable free cash flow and increase shareholder value. Our strong balance sheet and improved operations set us apart in a competitive market, enabling SNDL to focus on long-term strategic growth rather than short-term fixes or aspirational claims. I want to thank our team for their commitment and our shareholders for their trust and support. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Frederico Gomes of ATB Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Frederico Gomes

Analyst

Hi, good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. Congrats on the free cash flow generation this quarter. My first question is on your liquor retail segment. So obviously, very strong margins in the segment this quarter. And you mentioned sales mix, procurement, the private label program. I’m curious, do you think you have a lot of material, I guess, efficiency to be achieved from those three areas going forward that could support even higher margins. And then to that point as well on the data licensing program that you’re launching next year, what impact could that have in those margins going forward, just taking as a base of your cannabis retail segment. and that seems very substantial. So just curious on the magnitude of that data licensing program for legal retail.

Zach George

Management

Hi, Fred, and thanks for the question. We are really heads down right now in the midst of our 2024 budgeting process. So we’re not going to give too much detail on guidance for individual programs. But I would say that when it comes to liquor segment, we are seeking margin improvement north of 100 basis points. And we will be able to get more granular on that as we finalize our process and have our 2024 budgets approved by our Board.

Frederico Gomes

Analyst

Perfect. Thank you. Looking at your, I guess, your U.S. investment and exposure and just thinking about how – have that news about the potential risk of cannabis. So just curious how does that impact your strategy in that market, does it change your thesis and your willingness to allocate more capital there?

Zach George

Management

That’s a great question. In terms of the impact of rescheduling, it will have a material impact on the free cash flow being generated by those entities. But in terms of our willingness to deploy more capital, we’ve got a lot on our plate right now, and we’re really focused on ensuring that we’re bringing efficiencies and optimizing current operations. We’re also cognizant of the cash on our balance sheet. So I would never say never, but we have a lot of work to do in terms of what’s on our plate today.

Frederico Gomes

Analyst

Thank you. And then finally, just the last one for me. The sensing is USA structure, is that already being under review by the Nasdaq, or how long do you think that process could take? And then meanwhile, while that’s not complete, does that have any impact on your day-to-day operations of the Parallel and SKYMINT assets?

Zach George

Management

So, all of my comments here are going to be subject to review and support by Nasdaq. We have stated publicly that we expect both of these transactions while the restructuring terms have been completed there are still a few minor conditions precedent. And both license transfer and exchange approvals that are required. So, we believe that we will be able to bring this to resolution sometime in Q1. And we don’t expect that process to have any material negative impact in terms of the day-to-day operations. Both businesses are being transformed currently. And a lot of progress has been made to improve their operations.

Frederico Gomes

Analyst

Thank you very much. I will hop back in the queue. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Juan Kang [ph] of Canaccord Genuity.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. Thanks for the question. This is Juan King on behalf of Matt Bottomley. And I wanted to ask about the $11 million charge under corporate operations under consolidated net revenues. Could you provide more color or granularity behind what was in relation to that $11 million charge in terms of which business operations it was related to? And what specific events happened throughout the quarter that led to this? Thanks.

Zach George

Management

Alberto, do you want to take this one?

Alberto Paredero

Management

Yes, absolutely. Thank you for the question, Juan. So actually, the charge is related to the revenue that we have in our cannabis operations and cannabis retail, where there is an overlap between the two of them. We just noticed as we were stepping into the third quarter that the size of those revenues being produced in cannabis operations that end up being as well sold in our retail business after they go through the provincial boards was gaining size, as we are expanding our business. And as we reach a certain level of materiality, we decided to start eliminating that intercompany, we could call it intercompany double count of revenue. So, this is the first quarter that we are doing that entry. We will continue doing it going forward. And we have provided as well in our financial statements a table that shows by how much would be the amounts that we have adjusted as well for Q1 and Q2 of this year. And as I have said, it’s purely related to the volumes and the revenue that goes through our Cannabis Operations segment that end up being as well sold through our Cannabis Retail segment after they go through the Boards.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Got it. Thank you. And just to add on to that, same under Cannabis Operations segment and specifically related to the asset rising initiatives and other operational efficiency initiatives that you guys have been implementing there. Gross margins seem to be continuing to remain in the negative territory up until Q3. But with now all of these initiatives kind of being completed, could we expect these margins to show improvement going forward in Q4 and into 2024?

Zach George

Management

Yes. So, you are still seeing the impact of biomass revaluations. And with the rationalize of our cultivation and processing footprint, we are expecting to be in a position to have those reduced materially, if not eliminated in 2024. And so we will still likely see some noise impact our Q4 results. But we are trying to leave as much of that noise behind in 2023 and are looking forward to a much – presenting a much cleaner view on operations in 2024.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Pablo Zuanic of Zuanic & Associates. Please go ahead.

Pablo Zuanic

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning everyone. Just first on the Liquor segment, Zach. When you look at some of your Canadian LP peers, one of them has been very acquisitive in the U.S., right, in terms of buying beer brands and liquid assets. As you continue to build the liquor business, I understand right now it’s retail, but now you are going to start producing your own wine, it seems you are buying, I suppose for the private label. Would be – with buying beer brands outside or wine brands outside of Canada or in Canada be part of the strategy as you grow that business?

Zach George

Management

Good morning, Pablo and thanks for the question. Look, it’s a possibility if we were outside of Canada given Tied House and other regulations that would restrict us from doing so inside of Canada. But we are very focused on owning the consumer and creating strong retail experiences. And so there is nothing on our plate today that would suggest that we are taking a hard look at acquiring liquor brands in the U.S. or abroad.

Pablo Zuanic

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. And then just moving on to cannabis operations, right? You are talking about becoming a major player. Obviously, you have the balance sheet to do so. I don’t know if you want to give an update in the need to scale up your M&A. I couldn’t tell from the filings where you still own the stake in Village Farms. But outside of EFF, I mean, it just to me that you need to scale up, especially if you are talking about trying to become a relevant player in international, any comments on that?

Zach George

Management

Yes, it’s a great question. I think the long-term requirements for SNDL in terms of ownership or contracting to acquire quality, reasonably priced biomass is still somewhat up in the air. You see a lot of volatility in the Canadian market. Price compression has made procurement a very attractive opportunity for us. We are certainly committed to eliminating any exposure to high-cost cultivation and may look at other opportunities. We have disclosed that we have exited all of our material equity investments, but we will continue to look at strong low-cost, high-quality producers for potential opportunities in the future.

Pablo Zuanic

Analyst

Got it. Thank you. And then just one last one in terms of SunStream USA, if I heard right, I think you mentioned that SunStream is sponsored by SNDL. But I mean, obviously, SNDL still owns 50% of SunStream, right? So, the question would be, I guess of the $550.5 million, how many are in assets that you are taking ownership of, right? It’s Parallel and SKYMINT, but not all of the portfolio you are equitizing, I suppose. And if you can give some color there, that would be helpful in terms of $550.5 million. But more important than that, if in the end, when we look at how Canopy growth has gone back and forth in terms of their own plans to – for Canopy USA, if in the end, you hit a wall in terms of trying to be Nasdaq-listed, equitizing those assets and having them in your books, would you consider just selling them to comply with the Nasdaq rules? Thank you.

Zach George

Management

Thanks Pablo. Obviously, we are all working through an environment that is not a sellers’ market, okay. So, let’s just start with that, regardless of the scenario. But in this case, we are highly confident we have very reputable counsel that has worked on these issues with Nasdaq and sought and received approval under similar structures. I just want to remind you and the audience that our SunStream joint venture is structured such that SNDL as required does not engage in any plant touching activities in the United States. And we are a non-control participant in SunStream. So, think of it as a conventional sort of GP-LP, general partner, limited partner arrangement, where both SAF and SNDL are owners of the general partnership, but SNDL is the sole LP in that scenario. And so we report based on a structure that would be similar to any alternative credit portfolio that you would see in the marketplace. And for that reason, we haven’t broken out a ton of detail on individual positions. If you look at the filings that are available in the U.S., you will see that, of that total balance, which again has also been adjusted for fair market value where we have written it down. Over half of that balance would be dedicated to positions that are going through equitization processes. And as you actually pointed out, we will likely see resolution in the other cases where we have large principal balances that should be coming back to us over the next 24 months. Some of these things are amortizing principal back to us today. So, that would be a source cash for us in the future. And we don’t really – we don’t see a scenario where we aren’t able to get this done. I would just point to some of the differences between your reference to Canopy. The types of businesses that Canopy is acquiring is very different than the exposure that we have, right. So, if you take SKYMINT and Parallel, for example, these are two ones in SSO, ones in MSO, both started their lives as vertically integrated operators. So, not the same as tackling a product brand or producer in vape or edible categories, which has been a focus for Canopy as well. So, the path is one that had been well trodden, and we believe that we will have all the requisite support and consent from regulators and that would include our exchange Nasdaq. So again, look forward to wrapping this up and closing in Q1, but we still have some wood to chop and a few more steps to take to close these transactions and finalize support from the Nasdaq.

Pablo Zuanic

Analyst

That’s very helpful. Good color there. If I may, I am going to ask – add one in terms of Nova. I mean the outside it keeps on being extended, but obviously, as regulatory issue and the parties have agreed to do the deal, right? But is this more about you being plant-touching in Canada and now owning a retail chain, is that the issue? And how do you want to deal with that? That’s the last one. Thank you.

Alberto Paredero

Management

Pablo, it’s a great question. Look, in terms of both parties, our tolerance for further delays is reaching its limits. Anyone who studies this industry or operates within it, understands just how frustrating the state-by-state and province-by-province, the regulatory ground game can be. So, we are not going to make additional comments at this time, but we are looking forward to updating investors in the near future.

Pablo Zuanic

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes the question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Zach George for any closing remarks.

Zach George

Management

Thanks all for attending our third quarter conference call. Look forward to updating you in the future. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference call. You may disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating and have a pleasant day.