Earnings Labs

Snap-on Incorporated (SNA)

Q3 2015 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 22, 2015

$376.20

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and welcome to the Snap-on Incorporated 2015 Third Quarter Results Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Ms. Leslie Kratcoski. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Leslie H. Kratcoski - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Thanks, Kevin, and good morning, everyone. Thanks for joining us today to review Snap-on's third quarter results, which are detailed in our press release issued earlier this morning. We have on the call today Nick Pinchuk, Snap-on's Chief Executive Officer; and Aldo Pagliari, Snap-on's Chief Finance Officer. Nick will kick off our call this morning with his perspective on our performance. Aldo will then provide a more detailed review of our financial results. After Nick provides some closing thoughts, we'll take your questions. As usual, we have provided slides to supplement our discussion. These slides can be accessed under the Downloads tab in the webcast viewer as well as on our website under Investor Information. These slides will be archived on our website along with the transcript of today's call. Any statements made during this call relative to management's expectations, estimates or beliefs or otherwise state management's or the company's outlook plans or projections are forward-looking statements and actual results may differ materially from those made in such statements. Additional information and the factors that could cause our results to differ materially from those in the forward-looking statements are contained in our SEC filings. With that said, I'll now turn the call over to Nick Pinchuk. Nick?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Thanks, Leslie. Morning, everybody. As usual, I'll start with the third quarter highlights, provide an update on the environment and speak a bit about our trends. Aldo will then provide a detailed review of the financials. In the third quarter, we again showed progress along our runways for growth and for improvement, and we saw those gains across our operating segments. Organic sales were up 7.3% from last year. Opco operating margin, it reached 17.5%, up 130 basis points. When you add the $43.5 million in operating earnings from Financial Services, up from $37.7 million in 2014, the consolidated operating margin was 21.2%, an increase of 160 basis points. And EPS, EPS was $1.98, up $0.22 or 12.5% from the $1.76 of last year. Our reported sales increase was 1.9% including the impact of unfavorable foreign currency. And in this quarter, that total was $42.6 million, about the same as the second quarter. Adding the incremental $2.1 million sales from our third quarter acquisition of Ecotechnics, the total reported sales for the period were $821.5 million. For automotive repair businesses, the environment continues to be favorable. Actually, it's been that way for a while. And our Tools Group and Repair Systems & Information, our RS&I Group, are both well positioned to take full advantage. You can see it in the performance, another quarter of solid gains for both groups, advancing along our runways for growth. Clearly, the Tools Group demonstrated enhancements to the franchise network, gains in all its markets, continuing to take advantage of the opportunities that are so abundant in a changing vehicle fleet, not only in the United States, but in places like the UK and Australia. And RS&I, with strong sales across North America and parts of Europe, double-digit growth in the U.S. and modest gains…

Aldo J. Pagliari - Snap-on Inc.

Management

Thanks, Nick. Our third quarter consolidated operating results are summarized on slide six. Net sales of $821.5 million in the quarter were up 7.3% organically. On a reported basis, net sales including $42.6 million of unfavorable foreign currency, increased to 1.9%. As you know, Snap-on has significant international operations and is subject to foreign currency fluctuations. Largely due to the strengthening of the U.S. dollar, foreign currency movements adversely impacted our Q3 sales comparisons by 570 basis points. Net sales in the third quarter also included $2.1 million of sales from our July 2015 acquisition of Ecotechnics, a designer and manufacturer of automatic vehicle air conditioning maintenance equipment for OEM dealerships and independent repair shops. Consolidated gross profit of $406.9 million increased $13 million from 2014 levels, primarily due to the higher sales and savings from RCI initiatives, partially offset by 30 basis points of unfavorable foreign currency effects. The gross margin of 49.5% in the quarter improved 60 basis points from 48.9% a year ago. Operating expenses were $263.3 million in both the third quarters of 2015 and 2014. The operating expense margin of 32% improved 70 basis points from 2014 levels, primarily due to benefits from sales volume leverage, partially offset by higher pension expense. No restructuring costs were included in operating earnings in the third quarter of 2015. Last year, we incurred $2 million of such costs. As a result of these factors, operating earnings before Financial Services of $143.6 million in the quarter, including $11.9 million or 50 basis points of unfavorable foreign currency effects, increased 10% and, as a percentage of sales, improved 130 basis points to 17.5%. Financial Services revenue of $61.1 million in the quarter increased 14% from 2014 levels and operating earnings of $43.5 million increased 15.4%. These increases primarily reflect the…

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Thanks, Aldo. Snap-on third quarter, sales up organically 7.3% against some significant headwinds. Of course as we say often, there will always be headwinds, always be challenges. But in the midst of that, we believe our runways for growth are wide with abundant opportunities and you can see it in the operating groups. C&I in the center of the turbulence, sales up 3.4%, profits up 60 basis points. RS&I, wielding software and hardware with repair shop owner and managers activity rising 8.2% and OI margin of 24.6%, up 130 basis points. Tools, an established and storied business, reaching higher, capturing more customers. Sales up 11% and a greater than 6% increase in 21 of the last 22 quarters. OI margin up 90 basis points despite 120 basis points of unfavorable currency. And beside that growth, we see the effects of Snap-on value creation paving our runways for improving, helping to drive our opco margin to 17.5%, up 130 basis points including 50 basis points of currency headwinds. And rolling all together with financial services, our EPS was $1.98, up 12.5%. We believe that the third quarter results extending our positive trends continuing confirmation of the Snap-on possibilities for both growth and for improvement. And we believe as demonstrated this past quarter, we can continue on those positive runways as we proceed forward. Now before I turn the call over to the operator for questions, I think it's appropriate to speak to our franchisees and associates. I know many of you are listening in again. The encouraging results of the third quarter and our positive trends are a direct reflection of your capability and your effort. For the gains you've achieved, you have my congratulations. And for your commitment and your extraordinary contribution to our team, you have my thanks. Now, I'll turn the call over to the operator. Operator?

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We'll take our first question from Bret Jordan with Jefferies. Your line is now open.

Bret Jordan - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Hi. Good morning, guys.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Good morning.

Aldo J. Pagliari - Snap-on Inc.

Management

Good morning.

Bret Jordan - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

A question on RS&I, you mentioned specific strength in undercar and service chain reported this morning, it had an 11% comp in alignment. Is there something structurally going on in that space driving growth or is yours tied to new product introduction? This row (00:32:51) deterioration is a secular shift or...?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

I think structurally – not something happened and I don't think this particular quarter. But I think structurally the whole automotive repair business is – got a nice tailwind in terms of changes in vehicles. And in fact as you have more vehicles that want to do more things automatically, self-driving and so on. The precision of calibration becomes more and more important and therefore the more accuracy and speed – more accuracy – things like alignment become more important and therefore the speed of that alignment becomes important, therefore the need for new products. And so, I think it's nice times for automotive repair in general and in particular for undercar equipment. And I think...

Bret Jordan - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

And I guess...

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

...ours being pushed by both at tailwind and some nice new product, that's in place as well.

Bret Jordan - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Okay. And I guess, on that speed of change in technology – is sort of the next question, the software upgrade cycle as you were looking in the handheld units and replacing software, is that accelerating at all, or is the new code basically at the same cadence?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

I think it's expanding. I think we're finding – I don't know, if we're introducing any faster necessarily upgrades, but I think the upgrades are more attractive. You hear me talk about SureTrack and if I had a little more time to talk about VERUS Edge, I would talk about the fact that it has technical service bulletins involved. And so, those products are more attractive and they're more liberating and they're more productivity advancing to customers and so that's driving part of that. You can see it. You can see – and I'm sure, you've looked at the trends, and you can see that, I think the numbers are something like somewhere under 50% of cars – we today require in all garages require diagnostics repairs and all garages require diagnostics units, but something like 7 of 10 repairs in new cars require diagnostics units. So you see a demand for that. And our software is the best available. One of the things you see in our – one of the things we're really excited about in our business when we did independent surveys of technician preferences, 63% said they preferred Snap-on diagnostics. Number two was 7%.

Bret Jordan - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Okay.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Does it help?

Bret Jordan - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Thanks. And one question I guess specifically to C&I on the U.S. military, you talked about it being particularly weak. When they are weak, are they buying less premium product or not buying at all? I mean, are they going to Harbor Freight for what they would have purchased for you or did they just step out?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

No. No. I don't think they are buying that stuff. I'm not sure, but I'm pretty sure that they are not buying the stuff, because you know when the .50 caliber bullets are flying over head I think this is the ultimate critical application and I don't think anybody wants anybody being disadvantaged under those circumstances. So what really has happened by and large is the fact that there's uncertainty in where to deploy budget around. We've seen it before. Actually C&I, if you go back and look at the late – in late 2013, the critical industries, the critical industries again was bedeviled by a reduction associated with the military and that was directly associated with the word as sequestration. And so, you're starting to see those kinds of things now. In Washington people are talking about government shutdowns and so on and it's making the military nervous and they are spending less. We feel we're pretty well positioned though to take full advantage when they are ready to spend.

Bret Jordan - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Okay. Great. So it's not trading down. It's just not spending.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

No. No. Not any significant way.

Bret Jordan - Jefferies LLC

Analyst

Okay. Great. Thank you.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Liam Burke with Wunderlich. Your line is now open.

Liam D. Burke - Wunderlich Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wunderlich. Your line is now open.

Thank you. Good morning, Nick. Good morning, Aldo.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Good morning, Liam. How are you?

Liam D. Burke - Wunderlich Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wunderlich. Your line is now open.

Good. Thank you. Nick, you talked about railroad as being an interesting growth segment in C&I. Are there any other areas that saw particular strength during the quarter in the C&I?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Yeah. Look, we were – amazingly, we're up pretty well in mining. Like I said, we're still starting to penetrate these things. So you can't – we're finding that we're effective sometimes by – somewhat by the environment, but not – we can overcome it at times and mining was one of those. Heavy truck was up fairly well in the quarter. So that was a good entry. General, if you just look at general production, the kinds of stuff, the things that are associated with grinders and so on, we had that kind of thing. So I mean we had some fairly reasonable positive points, the U.S. aviation, the aviation in U.S. was okay, that kind of thing.

Liam D. Burke - Wunderlich Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wunderlich. Your line is now open.

Okay.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

So we had some positives. And we had oil and gas, international aviation and the military which were negative.

Liam D. Burke - Wunderlich Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wunderlich. Your line is now open.

Okay. And with your van channel being supported now with Rock N' Roll vans, are you seeing any step up in average ticket item per franchisee during the quarter?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

No. Big ticket was still reasonably strong, but I think we're not seeing any particular, if the question is associated with the rise in the size of the – let's say the purchases, the size of the purchases, I would say no in the quarter necessarily, not anything particularly big in the quarter. Nothing that would change the trend. We're still seeing a robust demand though for things like tool storage and of course our diagnostic units and other things that we would roll into big ticket.

Liam D. Burke - Wunderlich Securities, Inc.

Analyst · Wunderlich. Your line is now open.

Great. Thank you, Nick.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Gary Prestopino with Barrington. Your line is now open.

Gary Frank Prestopino - Barrington Research Associates, Inc.

Analyst · Barrington. Your line is now open.

Hi. Good morning, everyone.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Good morning, Gary.

Gary Frank Prestopino - Barrington Research Associates, Inc.

Analyst · Barrington. Your line is now open.

Couple of the questions have been answered, particularly on industrial. But let me just ask in terms of seeing pretty good growth year-over-year in the credit portfolio, is that still indicative of that there is a healthy appetite for the tool boxes, bigger ticket items?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Yeah, there's a healthy – I think there's a healthy attitude, generally it directly reflects the motion of the Tools Group. In general, if you look back at originations and look at Tools Group growth over the last three quarters, they're sort of the same, so that's pretty much what's driving it. I think it's not just tool boxes though, you get – you will get things like – you get things like big diagnostics like the VERUS Edge. I mean, the new VERUS Edge is a product that will run in several thousands of dollars and that can be financed on that kind of things. So, you will see a number of things like that. So, it's not just tool boxes, but it is – the big ticket items were, I think this quarter just slightly below, somewhat below the Tools Group in general, but over three quarters, four quarters has been better than the Tools Group.

Gary Frank Prestopino - Barrington Research Associates, Inc.

Analyst · Barrington. Your line is now open.

Okay. And then in terms of the Rock N' Roll vans and the techno vans, are you at capacity where you want to be right now in the U.S.?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

I don't know. I think Rock N' Roll cab, I think we added like maybe like five in the last quarter in the techno vans and we didn't add any Rock N' Roll cabs. Rock N' Roll cabs have been solid for some time. Having said – been the same number for some time, but, you know, I wouldn't necessarily sign up to the idea that I wouldn't add more going forward. Rock N' Roll cabs were introduced somewhere in 2011. And I have to tell you, Gary, we've been learning about how to use them better and how effective they are and where they're most effective and how to do that each quarter. But for now, they're pretty much where they're going to be. The techno is something else. So we've added quite a few. I think actually year-over-year for techno, we've added 21 techno vans, and I think we'll be probably trying to see how that 21 plays out for a little while, and then we'll make a decision whether we need more or not going forward. But it's a mistake to think that tool storage sales is directly proportional to the number of Rock N' Roll cabs, that's not true. What we found is they've gotten more and more and more productive, more and more liberating every time, every quarter, and same thing for techno vans.

Gary Frank Prestopino - Barrington Research Associates, Inc.

Analyst · Barrington. Your line is now open.

All right. Well, it basically expands your store for selling space, right?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Correct, it does. But then we find out how to – then actually what we find out is how to amplify the Rock N' Roll space. I mean, it's kind of a multilayered thing. It does help that though. I mean in one sense it expands on a time-sharing basis the space, but the effect of that space, I would say over the four years we've had it, the ones that we installed first are helping a lot more than they did when they first occurred.

Gary Frank Prestopino - Barrington Research Associates, Inc.

Analyst · Barrington. Your line is now open.

And last question. Is this just the U.S. phenomenon or is this in other countries where mechanics own the tools that you have these kind of vans?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

It's in other countries. I mean I think, I guess we have seven international Rock N' Roll cabs, and so we've used them in different places, things like the UK, in Canada, and some in Australia. And we've just started to do that for the techno vans. So it's a phenomenon that can work in other places.

Gary Frank Prestopino - Barrington Research Associates, Inc.

Analyst · Barrington. Your line is now open.

Thank you very much.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from David Leiker with Baird. Your line is now open. David Leiker - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Good morning, everyone.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Good morning, David.

Aldo J. Pagliari - Snap-on Inc.

Management

Good morning. David Leiker - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): So a couple of things, back on C&I. That's a business; you've got three or four different buckets of businesses within there.

Aldo J. Pagliari - Snap-on Inc.

Management

We do. David Leiker - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Tends to be a little bit lumpy quarter-to-quarter. It's kind of a strange question, but is there any way or anything that we from the outside should look at to try and get a better handle on what the quarter-to-quarter trends are going to be there?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

I don't really have – the thing is that – the truth is, sure. What we know is the industry problems, the economic environments create an overhang. And then in places like, for us and you see it in oil and gas this time, you can see it in mining, although mining was a contributory for us. So it's very difficult to look at any macro and say it's going to affect us. All you can say is look, the general macro is going to create an overhang. How well we do in offsetting it is another question, but we do have the ability to offset it from time to time. Like in this quarter, we felt, we feel when we look at Industrial, when we look at critical industries, we feel we can see the trajectory of upward trends even though it was a tepid quarter, it was a drag on us this time, because we can see the gains in railroad, in places like mining and heavy duty. So we can see the proof-of-concept working through. It's hard for us to give you any guidance on that. In Asia Pacific, for example, the turbulence around Asia Pacific did really create an overhang for us, but we succeeded in some markets and had some difficulty in others. Our operations and our sales in both those markets ended up being a growth situation. In Europe, it seems like, and I think what's worked for us in Europe is we came from such a low position. We kept investing. We create new product that we're growing even as the market is tepid. So it's kind of a cocktail of things that I can't quite give you any particular macro on which to trend. David Leiker - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Yeah, I figured that...

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

All I can tell you is I think we feel progress in each of those places. David Leiker - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Yeah, I just figured that was the answer. On Asia Pacific...

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Yeah, yeah. David Leiker - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): ...that business over the years, you've continued to see strong growth on the automotive equipment side of that business. What's the makeup of that revenue today between equipment versus the critical industries versus other pieces?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

I don't really have the percentages for you. I will say that you're right in saying that equipment is probably the biggest piece of that, and then you've got cutting tools, which are another piece of it, which are primarily Industrial based. Industrial based tools are another piece, and then what's after that, it would be, I'd say, the critical – we call them – in that world (00:46:10) we call them premium tools, like the Snap-on tools sold into the super-premium applications like Thai Airways and things like that. We actually had a pretty good quarter with those in places like Singapore and Hong Kong. And the equipment actually was one of the things that drove us into Vietnam. We're actually pretty pleased about Vietnam. I've been waiting for Vietnam to give us some daylight for some time, and this is the quarter which it kind of worked. So it was an encouraging event. David Leiker - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Great. And then one last item here on margins. You guys did a great job of continuing to drive value and drive margins with the RCI activity and the focus on execution. Are you doing anything beyond what you normally do, cost cutting or pulling back on discretionary spending or anything along those lines, belt tightening with some of the uncertainties going on around the world?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

No. We're not doing anything like that. I mean I suppose it's kind of dumb thing for a guy like me to say that, but the fact our – we – okay, people here are shaking their heads, yes, that is dumb. But, okay. David Leiker - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): So am I.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

It's true, we believe in our runways for growth, and we continue to invest in them. The profit improvements you are seeing, the 130 basis points, have nothing to do with restriction, nothing. David Leiker - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Okay.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Because we don't see it that way. Of course, there are headwinds and they might impact us, and I never said we would keep going, marching upward every quarter. It's almost impossible for anybody to do that, although we have. And so we just believe in the future of extending the critical industries, enhancing the van channel, expanding with repair shop owners, and in emerging markets, so we keep investing in it. David Leiker - Robert W. Baird & Co., Inc. (Broker): Okay. Perfect, great. Thank you very much.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Okay.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from David MacGregor with Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

Yeah. Good morning, everyone. And Nick, congratulations on a great quarter.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Thanks.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

Let me start off with just continuing on the point we were just discussing, and you talked about the fact that there wasn't a lot of belt tightening in this, but then you cite RCI progress in each of the individual segments. So let me reconcile this. It seems as though there has been some cost cutting. I'm looking specifically at the C&I segment, where you had a negative 5% incremental margin. In other words, revenues were down, but EBIT was up. And I know you've said repeatedly in the past that your RCI would allow you to grow margins in a flat revenue environment. Help me understand the answer you just gave to the last question versus these points.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Sure. First of all, first of all, we view -- you may not like this either -- but we view as-reported sales as arithmetic. Organic sales are up for us, so the bits and the bytes and the metal and the mechanisms, we sell more of that we're happy. We're encouraged by that. So even in C&I, which was down, that 3.4% organic is what we follow because that looks to us to be customer gain. That's one. Two is, is that what you see in this situation is when I'm talking about RCI, I'm talking about things like being able to make the product less expensively. We reduce the set-up times in the factory, which is a big deal for us. We find ways through customer connection and our innovation process to wield new technologies that allow us to develop new product cheaper. Remember, in C&I, for example, last year in aviation, we brought – last year, in oil and gas, I think we – for heavy truck, let's say, we brought out 859 new products, and aviation was 996. And one of the things that allows us to make to do that better is new technology like 3D printing and finite element analysis and so on. And that cuts cost in the design cycle and allows us to bring out those new products with lower cost than before. Those are the kinds of things we do.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

Okay.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

And even if we have – so, even if we have lower as reported revenues, our cost gets driven down because of some of that. And it doesn't happen every quarter, if it happens – if I reduce the cost of one particular product, well, maybe that product sells well this quarter and I get some good benefit out of it. That may not sell so well next quarter and I don't quite get the quote at the same benefit.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

Okay. I appreciate that clarification.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Okay.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

Yeah, I appreciate the clarification. Thanks. On the originations, it's up 16%. Once again it's kind of an up 9% number last quarter. Is that really just timing?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Yeah, it's pretty much. Yeah, there's a lot of timing flowing through. Remember that originations have to do with the franchisees selling the products.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

Right.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Right. And you also got an SFC that flows through this. So, in originations are things like loans that go through for the franchisees themselves, like van loans and things like that that occur. And so there's that noise in van originations in the month. So when we have a particularly great SFC, that can distort that as well. But when you step back and you look at the trend of everything, it really is – there is a lot of noise from quarter-to-quarter. You've kind of got to look back. And if you look at three quarters, you'll see it's pretty close to the same, between Tools Group growth and originations, pretty close to the same and if you say that Tools Group will pick a group faster, it makes sense.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

Okay. Military and oil and gas, is there any way you can size that up for us as a percentage of critical industries...

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Okay. (00:51:55). I'll try this – how about this one. We mentioned like five segments, six segments in critical industries, and the military is a big one, it's the biggest because we entered there first, because it made sense. Just as I said before, when the bullets are flying overhead -- I can assure you this from personal experience, when the bullets are flying overhead, people kind of want to make sure things work. And so we figured it was the most critical of industries. We invested in it and it (00:52:16) warrants bigger. So if you take our revenues which is somewhere north of $450 million or something like that let's say, and you divide them by six and you take one of the bigger ones, that would be the military. And oil and gas would be more in the middle some place. So that helps. I think that should give you some ballpark view of this. You got one big guy who is down strong double digits, can put a little over hang on you.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

Okay. Let me just ask one last question, just relating to the call here and just kind of a big picture high level question, but if you could just walk us through with some quick comments on each of the four segments. You just discussed recessionary environment, how much downside would you expect in revenues? And also, I guess, with all the progress in RCI initiatives and the new product introductions in the much richer portfolio, how much better, if at all, would margins be in the trough than what we saw last time around?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Last time around we started at 12% and went to 10%. The 12.3%, if I remember 2008, the OI percentage was like 12.3% and it went to 9.9%.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

Yeah.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

And that was – the 9.9% was, I would say, artificially depressed by the fact that we had the credit company in transition, somewhat, not huge, but that's a factor there a little bit. And so, you can say, all right, it impacted some, but maybe not much, but okay, we had that transition going on in Tools Group and so on, maybe arithmetically it didn't affect. But down there, we had some turbulence. And so then the big difference there now is we're starting at 17.5%, all right. So I mean, I wouldn't expect it to be worse than that duration. The other factor I'd offer is this, is I believe – two factors. One is, I believe we are stronger in our market positions, therefore even more resistant, number one. Number two – number three, and this is harder to predict. Last time, our customer base, which was principally the – 70% of the customer base, the automotive repair technician, I spent a lot of time talking about the fact that they were cash rich and confidence poor, they were getting up every day and reading bad news for breakfast. It was the worst recession of our lifetime. People were talking about putting dollars in mattresses. Well, I'm not sure – and so therefore they didn't buy big ticket items even though they had a lot of cash. That would happen again, but I'm not sure it'd be the same extent. I don't know. That's a judgment call of course. And one more experience at RCI than we were. And the other thing is, we're just better at RCI, and so we probably step that up. If you can't, you only have 24 hours in a day, so if you can't – if you think the prospects for growth are less, you turn more toward improvement.

David S. MacGregor - Longbow Research LLC

Analyst · Longbow Research. Your line is now open.

That's really helpful. Thanks a lot.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Tom Hayes with Northcoast Research. Your line is now open.

Tom L. Hayes - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst · Northcoast Research. Your line is now open.

Thank you. Good morning, gentlemen.

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Good morning.

Aldo J. Pagliari - Snap-on Inc.

Management

Good morning.

Tom L. Hayes - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst · Northcoast Research. Your line is now open.

Just as it relates to the Tools Group, certainly positive results from both the domestic and international businesses. Nick, I was wondering if you could maybe give a little additional color in regards to the contribution for the international franchise business in the Tools Group?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

The international franchise business is about, is also up double-digits. The U.S. is up strong double-digits, the U.S. is up, the international is up just about the same. I would say that in order the strength, Australia and UK were actually up more than the U.S., Canada was up somewhat less, so you put those together in a cocktail and I think it all came to about the same as the U.S.

Tom L. Hayes - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst · Northcoast Research. Your line is now open.

Okay. And then I guess looking a little bit of bigger picture, I think you've kind of tested on some components so far today. Clearly an opportunity for you is to get a larger percentage of the shop related spending. Just what are your thoughts on where you are on the penetration rates when you look at complete shop spending and some of your initiatives to expand that?

Nicholas T. Pinchuk - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Well, let's look at it this way. I think I would say that we are less than half of where we are in terms of our position with tools. And so, if you think of it that way, yes, people respect our brand, shop owners respect our brand as much as technicians. So I would view that as kind of an – view of the opportunity. We think we have runway in the tools itself for the technicians and we're well behind that in terms of shop penetration. So, I think we've got quite a bit of runway there. I would say if you want to use baseball terms, we're in the third or fourth inning.

Tom L. Hayes - Northcoast Research Partners LLC

Analyst · Northcoast Research. Your line is now open.

Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And it appears we have no further questions at this time. I'll turn it back to Leslie Kratcoski for any closing remarks.

Leslie H. Kratcoski - Snap-on, Inc.

Management

Thanks everyone for joining us this morning. A replay and transcript of the call will be available shortly on our website. And as always, we thank you for your interest in Snap-on. Good day.