Mohan Maheswaran
Analyst · B. Riley Financials. Craig, your line is open
Thank you, Emeka. Good afternoon, everyone. I will discuss our Q4 fiscal year 2017 performance by end of market, and by product group, discuss our fiscal year 2017 performance, and then provide our outlook for Q1 of fiscal year 2018. In Q4 of fiscal year 2017, we achieved non-GAAP net revenues of $141.8 million, an increase of 1% sequentially and an increase of 20% over Q4 of fiscal year 2016. End-of-market demand increased from the enterprise computing, communications and industrial end markets, and decreased from the high-end consumer end market. For Q4 of fiscal year 2017, we posted non-GAAP gross margin of 60.5% and non-GAAP earnings per diluted share of $0.37. In Q4 of fiscal year 2017, net sales from the enterprise computing end market increased nicely over the prior quarter, and represented 30% of total net revenues. The industrial end market also increased over the prior quarter and represented 26% of total net revenues. The high-end consumer end market decreased from the prior quarter, and represented 26% of total net revenues. Approximately 20% of high-end consumer net revenues were attributable to mobile devices and approximately 6% were attributable to other consumer systems. Finally, net revenues from the communications end market increased over the prior quarter and represented 18% of total net revenues. I will now discuss the performance of each of our product groups. In Q4 of fiscal year 2017, our Signal Integrity Product Group delivered strong results, increasing 7% sequentially and 12% over the same period a year ago, and represented 46% of total net revenues. Enterprise computing and communications end market demand grew sequentially, led by record quarterly demand from our cloud and hyperscale data center customers, and the expected recovery from our PON and wireless base station customers. Revenues from the industrial end market remained flat. Semtech's industry-leading cloud data recovery platforms, or CDRs, and physical media devices, or PMDs, are used in a wide range of optical modules from 1 gigabit per second to 100 gigabit per second that go into the data center, PON and wireless base station markets. We expect these three markets to continue to grow over the next few years, and move to higher data rates. These higher data rates drive the need for increased Signal Integrity, resulting in the increased adoption of Semtech's leadership CDRs. Use of CDRs in higher-speed 100 gigabit per second optical modules being deployed in cloud and hyperscale data centers is resulting in very strong growth for Semtech single channel and quad channel 25 gigabit per second CDR platforms. Our CDR business achieved a record performance in FY17. We expect the trend for higher data rates to continue, and result in another record revenue performance from our CDR platforms in FY '18. We also made further progress toward the introduction of our high-performance single-lambda 100 gigabit per second PAM4 platform, expected to sample this year. This platform, which incorporates the DSP solutions from our investment in MultiPhy, is progressing well and feedback from our Tier 1 strategic engagements continues to be very positive. With the rollout of this solution, we expect to gain a strong position in the emerging 100-gigabit per second single-lambda optical market and the 400-gigabit per second optical market for cloud and hyperscale data center solutions that are expected to ramp in fiscal year 2019. In FY17, we also saw record revenues for our PMD platforms, which include TIAs and laser drivers used in PON systems and base stations. Strong demand for our new 10-gigabit per second PON products is enabling our customers to upgrade their PON systems from 2.5G PON to 10G PON; our base station customers are also increasing their backhaul data rates, and we expect this trend as well as the PON data rate increase, to contribute to further growth from our PMD business in FY18. Semtech's leadership position in the optical connectivity market is the result of our continued focus and investment in new platforms that deliver the highest performance and integration at the lowest power consumption in the industry. We believe these attributes position our Signal Integrity Product Group to continue its double-digit revenue growth, which it has produced over the last five years, and follow its record FY17 with another record year in FY18. For Q1 of fiscal year 2018, we expect net revenues from our Signal Integrity Product group to increase nicely, led by continued growth in demand from the data center, wireless base station and PON markets. Moving on to our Protection Product Group. Our Protection Product Group delivered solid results, growing 3% sequentially and 25% over the same period a year ago, and represented 29% of total net revenues. Stronger demand from our communications and industrial end markets offset seasonally lower demand from our high-end consumer market. Q4 results marked the third consecutive quarter of sequential growth for our Protection Product Group. The increasing diversification of our protection business is very encouraging as we expand our footprint into a broader range of end markets, and we penetrate a broader set of mobile customers. In Q4 of fiscal year 2017, demand from our China smartphone customers increased sequentially and exceeded the quarterly net revenues from our Korean smartphone customers for the first time in our history. Demand at our Korean smartphone customers declined sequentially due to customary and year-end inventory reduction efforts and the cancellation of Samsung's Note 7 platform that was previously announced. Our Protection Product Group has focused on developing solutions to address an increasingly diverse array of applications and vertical markets. During Q4, we expanded our Z portfolio with the RClamp0561Z, targeted at ultrahigh-speed data interfaces, including USB 3.1 and 10-gigabit per second Ethernet, used in next generation mobile and computing systems. In FY '17, our Protection Product Group grew 8% over the prior year as we saw our penetration of China smartphones increase, and our penetration of non-smartphone markets also increase. Our protection business continues to diversify nicely as we see increasing opportunities for advanced protection from the automotive, IoT and communication infrastructure segments. The advanced lithographies used in leading systems today requires the most advanced protection platforms, and Semtech continues to deliver the industry's highest performance protection platforms. We believe our strategy of focusing on advanced lithography protection and high-speed interfaces across multiple vertical markets should continue to pay off and help drive our Protection Product Group to another growth year in FY '18. In Q1 of fiscal year 2018, we expect our protection business to increase, driven by growth in demand from the high-end consumer market. Turning to our Wireless and Sensing product group. In Q4 of fiscal year 2017, net revenues from our Wireless and Sensing product group decreased 12% sequentially but increased 34% over the same period a year ago, and represented 15% of total net revenues. Higher demand from the industrial end market, led by our LoRa-related platforms, was offset by seasonally lower demand for our proximity sensing platforms from the high-end consumer market. LoRa continues to exceed our highest expectations and is rapidly emerging as the low-power wide-area network, or LPWAN, technology of choice in the industry. LoRa enables the rapid build-out of low-cost, low-power secure wide-area networks that provides IoT data for cloud-based data analytics reporting and control. LoRa enables many IoT applications to be transformed from a concept to a reality due to the long-range, low-power and low cost of a LoRa sensor node. In fiscal year 2017, our Wireless and Sensing product group achieved record revenues. Semtech's LoRa-related revenue nearly doubled from the prior year to achieve record levels, and we expect it to double again in FY18, and represent $100 million of revenue within the next two years. In FY17, Semtech, along with its LoRa Alliance partners, announced many significant LoRa-related accomplishments and milestones. Some of the most significant milestones in FY '17 included; LoRaWAN network trials were announced or in some stage of deployment in more than 50 countries worldwide, including China, Japan, Korea, Taiwan, United States, India, France, Belgium, New Zealand and Ireland; with large globally recognized service providers that include Comcast, SoftBank, SKT, NTT, Orange, Boyd and Tata. We continue to expect the most, if not all, major regions of the world will have some form of LoRaWAN network deployed, or in the midst of deployment by the end of calendar year 2017. LoRa Alliance membership more than doubled from the end of fiscal year '16, and now exceeds over 450 members worldwide and includes companies addressing all areas of the LoRa ecosystem from sensors, gateways, and network operators to cloud-based analytics and software companies. Semtech's GPS-free LoRa geolocation capability was successfully launched, and we have signed four agreements with several in the pipeline. Our GPS-free geolocation capability allows IoT operators to add asset-tracking and geolocation of any LoRaWAN sensor operating over a LoRaWAN network, creating additional revenue opportunities for service providers and Semtech. Semtech introduced and demonstrated at CES in January its LoRaWAN picocell gateway reference design. This platform enables consumers and small enterprises to create their own private LoRaWAN network at very low cost, making it perfect for smart building, smart enterprise and smart campus environments. The LoRa picocell opens up numerous new applications that require low-cost, long-range, low-power and dense connectivity. Finally, in FY '17, we signed a strategic deal with Comcast to partner with them to trial LoRaWAN networks in the USA. The agreement provides Comcast with a Semtech warrant at best, based on the rollout of the Comcast LoRaWAN network. Currently, Comcast trial is on schedule with LoRaWAN coverage in two major cities, and a number of verticals defined to form the basis of their POC. Comcast also announced their machineQ IoT platform to enable customers to build IoT strategies, utilizing Comcast LoRaWAN network and services. It is still early, but we believe that the progress to-date since the signing of our agreement has been very positive. We expect that by the end of this fiscal year, that three of the five milestones will be completed, which will provide the LoRaWAN coverage in 10 major cities in the U.S. We also believe that Semtech and our LoRa Alliance partners are beginning to establish LoRa as the de facto standard for global LPWAN IoT deployments in what we think could be a multibillion-dollar industry within five years. In Q4 of fiscal year 2017, demand for our proximity sensing platforms decreased seasonally from the prior quarter's record performance, but increased over the same period a year ago. Our sensing platforms continue to win designs in tablets, smartphones and wearables across all regions. As radio transmission power increases in mobile systems, we expect the adoption of Semtech's proximity sensing platforms to increase to enable system compliance with regional regulations. In FY '17, our proximity sensing revenues achieved record revenues, and we anticipate that FY '18 revenues will also achieve record levels. For Q1 of fiscal year 2018, we expect net revenues from our Wireless and Sensing product group to increase significantly, driven by both our LoRa and proximity sensing businesses. Turning to our Power and High-Rel Product Group. In Q4 of fiscal year 2017, our Power and High-Rel Product Group declined 13% sequentially due to seasonality, but increased 23% over the same period last year and represented 10% of total net revenues. Demand from our enterprise computing end market increased, while demand from our high-end consumer, communications and industrial end markets decreased. Our Power and High-Rel business remains focused on delivering differentiated platforms for the automotive, industrial and wearable segments. Semtech's wireless charging platforms deliver flexibility and versatility by offering a programmable, multimode and scalable power range from 100 milliwatts to over 40 watts. The flexibility and programmability of this platform allows customers to rapidly update their charging systems as industry standards evolve. Customer interest and design wins for our wireless charging platform remains solid. In Q4, we announced several additions to Semtech's LinkCharge wireless charging platform. This family of wireless power products provides a range of solutions that target next-generation charging systems for consumer infrastructure and industrial applications. The family includes the LinkCharge 40 Series for 40-watt applications, the LinkCharge 20 Series for 20-watt applications and the LinkCharge CT for countertop and general industrial charging applications. This platform is compatible with all the major industry standards, ensuring that future mobile devices can potentially be charged from a single transmitter platform. The demand for wireless charging capability is expected to increase significantly over the next five years, as larger feature-rich and power-hungry mobile devices, will need to be charged several times per day in different locations at different times without the need for cables. Our Neo-Iso switching platform enjoyed another solid quarter in Q4 FY17, and we have seen real customer interest in this platform, targeted at smart thermostat, alarm panels and factory automation systems. Our Neo-Iso platforms allow customers to update and replace designs that we use in older mechanical relays with smarter solid-state technologies. In Q1 of fiscal year 2018, we expect our Power and High-Reliability Product Group to decline slightly. In Q4, the total Company distribution POS achieved a new quarterly record, increasing 6% from the prior quarter. Distributor inventory in Q4 increased by 1 day to 71 days, up from 70 days in Q3 of fiscal year 2017, and remains at the lower end of our 70 to 80-day channel inventory model. Our distributor business remains balanced with 56% of the total POS coming from high-end consumer and enterprise computing end markets, and 44% of total POS coming from industrial and communications end markets. Moving on to new products and design wins. In Q4 of fiscal year 2017, we released 27 new products and we achieved 2,026 new design wins. Now, let me comment on our fiscal year 2017 performance. In fiscal year 2017, Semtech returned to growth with total non-GAAP net revenues increasing 12% over fiscal year 2016 to approximately $550 million. In addition, our non-GAAP earnings per share increased 60% over FY16 to $1.38. Our Signal Integrity Product Group grew 15% over FY16 to achieve record revenues, driven by record CDR revenues and record PMD revenues. Our Wireless and Sensing Product Group grew 15% over FY '16 and also achieved record revenues, driven by record LoRa and record proximity sensing revenues. Both product groups are expected to have double-digit growth and achieve record revenues again in FY18. In FY17, our Protection Product Group grew 8%, which was the first annual increase in two years, and we expect FY '18 to be another high single-digit growth year for our Protection Product Group. Finally, our Power and High-Rel Product Group also grew 7% versus FY16, and we expect this product group to also grow in FY18. In FY17, we continue to defocus or divest non-strategic businesses, including our Snowbush IP business and our timing and synchronization business. We also executed on a number of strategic minority investments, including MultiPhy and MyDevices, which help position us to drive future growth in our target market segments. Other significant achievements in FY17 included maintaining our non-GAAP gross margins above the high end of our 55% to 60% target range, and managing our OpEx to drive non-GAAP earnings growth at 5 times the rate of our non-GAAP net revenue growth. We achieved 7,794 design wins, 88 new product releases, and generated $118 million of cash from operations. We are pleased with our return to growth and the tremendous momentum we have from our product groups in several of the industry's fastest-growing and exciting end markets. Our increasingly diversified product portfolio, balanced end markets and diverse customer base, position Semtech very well to continue outperforming our peer group and industry in FY18. Now, let me discuss our outlook for the first quarter of 2018. Based on the strength of recent bookings trends and our backlog entering the quarter, we are currently estimating Q1 non-GAAP net revenues to be between $142 million and $150 million. To attain the midpoint of our non-GAAP guidance range, or approximately $146 million, we needed net terms orders of approximately 34% at the beginning of Q1. We expect our Q1 non-GAAP earnings to be between $0.39 and $0.43 per diluted share. I will now hand the call back to the operator. And Sandy, Emeka and I will be happy to answer any questions. Operator?