Mohan Maheswaran
Analyst · Goldman Sachs. Your line is open
Thank you, Emeka. Good afternoon everyone. I will discuss our Q3 fiscal year 2015 performance by end market and by product group and then provide our outlook for Q4 of fiscal year 2015. In Q3 of fiscal year 2015, we achieved net revenues of $148.9 million, an increase of 2% from Q2 of fiscal year 2015, and an increase of 6% from Q3 of fiscal year 2014. For the quarter, our non-GAAP gross margin was 60.3% and our non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $0.46 per share. In Q3 of fiscal year 2015, revenues from the high-end consumer market increased from the prior quarter and represented 34% of total net revenues. Approximately 24% of the high-end consumer revenue was attributable to hand-held devices and approximately 10% was attributable to other consumer systems. Net revenues from the industrial end market increased and represented 27% of total revenues. Revenues from the enterprise computing end market decreased from the prior quarter, and represented 20% of net revenues. Finally, revenues from the communications end market also decreased and represented approximately 19% of Semtech’s total revenues. I will now discuss the performance of each of our product groups. Q3 of fiscal year 2015 was a solid quarter for our Protection, Power and High-Reliability product group, which grew 6% sequentially and represented 47% of total revenues. Broad strength across the high-end consumer end market and stable demand from the industrial end market offset weaker demand from the computing and communications end markets. Our Protection business increased 8% sequentially, as demand from the high-end consumer end market increased nicely. We saw strength from all sub segments of the consumer market with particular strength from the hand-held market. Semtech’s strong handheld position in Korea is now complemented by our increasing hand-held presence in China with Asian smartphone manufacturers, such as Huawei, Lenovo, and Xiaomi. Our Protection position in other high-end consumer applications such as displays, TVs, and the emerging wearable market also remain strong. Our Protection business continues to introduce new products that address an increasing variety of applications. We recently introduced our RClamp7534P, a low capacitance multiline device targeted at bolstering our position in HDMI applications, where the high speed video and data signals demand minimal capacitance. Additionally, our new miniature µClamp3601P is specifically targeted at mobile sensing applications that require the smallest possible components. Semtech is uniquely positioned to provide best-in-class ESP protection technology at very small form factors. Our Protection business continues to benefit strategically from several key industry trends. The increasing number of high-speed interfaces per system, the higher bandwidth requirements on these interfaces, and the increasing adoption of advanced CMOS process lithographies are all contributing to the long-term demand for Semtech’s protection platforms, which we believe will continue to grow on an annual basis. Following the strong growth we saw in Q2, our Power Management and High-Rel business was flat in Q3. Our communications power revenue was slightly lower, but was offset by stronger industrial and consumer power revenues. Specifically, demand from alternative energy, automotive and set-top-box applications were modestly stronger in Q3. In Q4 and FY ‘16, we expect to release additional new power in High-Rel platforms that will continue to drive revenue growth and gross margin expansion in this business. In Q4 of fiscal year 2015, we expect revenues from our Protection, Power and High-Reliability product group to decline significantly due to softer demand from our Korean smartphone customers that they reduce their end-of-year inventories below average seasonal amounts. Moving on to our Signal Integrity Product Group, in Q3 of fiscal year 2015, net revenues decreased 6% sequentially and represented 38% of total revenues. Demand from the high-end consumer and industrial end markets increased in Q3, while demand from the enterprise computing and communications end markets declined modestly. The build-out of 4G LTE wireless infrastructure in China slowed from the higher first half levels, but was offset slightly by solid demand from the PON market. In addition, our video business and our fundable consumer business both had a solid quarter. While we anticipate continued communications weakness in Q4, we do expect a return to growth in Q1 as the rollout of 4G LTE-based equipment continues across China. In addition, we expect the increasing bandwidth requirements across the enterprise computing space to enable Semtech’s Signal Integrity business to show significant growth over the next several years. During the quarter, our Signal Integrity product group introduced several new high-performance clock data recovery and physical media device platforms that allow us to further strengthen our position in the fast growing enterprise computing segment. At the 2014 European Conference on Optical Communications, we demonstrated a line of high-performance CDR products for 100 gigabits per second optical module and 10 gigabit per second back plane applications. Our core 25 gigabit per second CDR and 10 gigabit per second back plane platforms are key new platforms that demonstrate the full lineup of Semtech technology optimized for high bandwidth system applications. In addition to our CDR platforms, we now have a portfolio of 10 gigabit per second, 40 gigabit per second and 100 gigabit per second PMD platforms that are gaining traction. We also have active engagements with the key mega data center OEMs and strategic module manufacturers, driving the use of new technologies into the market to increase performance, reduce power and reduce overall cost. We expect to see rapid annual growth in our enterprise computing business for the next few years. In Q3, our video business increased sequentially driven by the increasing deployment of ultra high-definition video broadcast equipment. We expect sales of our video broadcast products to contribute nicely to our growth over the next few years as the ultra high-definition standard becomes more mainstream. This year, we anticipate that over 14 million ultra high-definition TVs will be shipped stimulating the demand for more ultra high-definition content and more ultra high-definition infrastructure to be deployed. At the recent China Security Conference in Beijing, we also demonstrated our new low-cost high-definition video surveillance chipsets used for security surveillance applications. The high level of cable reach, bandwidth and integration at lower cost points provided by our new video surveillance platforms represents the beginning of a comprehensive high-definition video surveillance roadmap for Semtech. These new chipsets utilize high-definition VLC technology to enable both 720P and 1080P high-definition video to be transmitted at lower rates over longer distances using conventional CCTV coax cable. We continue to be at the forefront of innovation in the emerging ultra high-definition video broadcast and high-definition surveillance markets by enabling customers to deliver new levels of quality and performance. And we expect that video business to grow nicely over the next few years. We are very pleased with the new product execution from our Signal Integrity product group, and anticipate that FY 2016 should be another very strong new product this year. In Q4 of fiscal year 2015, we expect that Signal Integrity product net revenues to be down slightly as we expect further softness in the China infrastructure build out. Turning to our wireless sensing and timing product group, revenues in Q3 increased 15% sequentially and represented 15% of total revenues. Wireless sensing and timing growth was primarily driven by strength in the high-end consumer and industrial end markets. In Q3 of fiscal year 2015, our wireless and sensing business grew 33% sequentially led by strong growth from our proximity sensing products, which increased significantly. Excluding the one-time Nokia-Microsoft revenues from both Q2 and Q3 our wireless and sensing business grew 38%. This solid growth is driven by the increasing use of proximity sensing devices in mobile systems. We continue to see strong design win momentum at Tier 1 OEMs for our proximity sensing solutions in the tablet market, consumer wearable market, medical market, and recently we gained our first design win in the smartphone market. We expect to see strong growth at proximity sensing business for FY 2016 and beyond. During the quarter, we concluded the relationship with our lead 3D touch sensing customer Nokia-Microsoft that resulted in approximately $4.1 million in net revenues to Semtech in Q3. We are still evaluating the opportunities for our innovative 3D touch sensing platform at other customers and applications, and we will provide details in the future if and when it is appropriate. On the wireless front, we are seeing tremendous momentum building for our LoRa wireless platform as customers and partners are rapidly moving to deploy Internet-of-Things and machine-to-machine related network infrastructure and devices. The LoRa ecosystem continues to expand and now includes partnership with industry systems and module leaders as well as service provider and component partners. Our wireless and sensing business recently achieved several significant milestones in the IoT arena. We announced that FastNet, a leading M2M operator in South Africa have selected LoRa for use in it’s IoT applications, in this specific application, LoRa transceivers will be integrated into existing infrastructure to enable long-range wireless control of energy usage. This is just one example of how LoRa technology can be used in systems, when long battery life, long-range and low-costs are demanded. This is our first service provider win and announcement and we are presently in trials with three other global service providers. In addition, another three service providers are currently evaluating the LoRa technology for use in their networks. At the recent Electronica 2014 event in Munich along with several of our LoRa ecosystem partners, we demonstrated the capability and potential of that technology by deploying a live LoRa low-power wide area network or LP WAN over Munich so potential customers could evaluate the capability and potential of the LoRa technology. Also, in Q3, we announced that our LoRa technology has been integrated into Cisco’s new industrial IoT gateway that enables Semtech’s connectivity to the cloud. These IoT market opportunities are still in the early stages, but are expected to move to broader deployments and drive a steady increase in demand for longer range, low power battery driven wireless connectivity that is at the core of the Semtech solution. LoRa devices are now shipping in volume and we now have design wins in the public network, private network and consumer network segments, we believe the SAM for these low-power long-range wireless networks is growing rapidly and will expand into a $500 million plus opportunity for Semtech over the next few years. During Q3 of fiscal year 2015, our timing business declined sequentially as excess inventory builds in the first half was worked down during Q3. We have seen bookings recover in Q4 and expect demand for our timing platforms from packet-based communication systems to grow modestly in Q4. In Q4 of fiscal year 2015, we expect net sales from our wireless sensing and timing product group to decline as the 3D touch sensing revenues will not be repeated. In Q3, our distribution POS increased slightly to deliver another record POS quarter. Distributor inventory increased two days from 69 days in Q2 to 71 days at the end of Q3, and is aligned with the low-end of our target channel inventory model of 70 days to 80 days. Similar to our direct business, 51% of the total POS came from the consumer and computing end markets and 49% of total POS came from the industrial and communications end markets. Moving on to new products and design wins, in Q3 we released 17 new products and achieved 2,156 new design wins. We continued to focus our R&D efforts on new growth opportunities diversifying our customer base and driving end market balance by developing and delivering differentiated analog mixed signal solutions to emerging and fast growing markets. Now, let me discuss our outlook for next quarter. Based on recent bookings trends and lower backlog entering our seasonally softest quarter and due to continuing negative signals from our two major Korean smartphone customers and expected weakness from the China infrastructure market, we are currently estimating Q4 net sales to be between $128 million and $132 million. To attain the midpoint of that guidance range or approximately $130 million, we needed net turns orders of approximately 49% at the beginning of Q4. We expect that Q4 GAAP earnings to be between $0.14 and $0.16 per diluted share and non-GAAP earnings to be between $0.32 and $0.34 per diluted share. I will now hand the call back to the operator and Sandy, Emeka and I will be happy to answer questions. Operator?