Mohan R. Maheswaran
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Thank you, Emeka. Good afternoon, everyone. I will discuss our Q2 fiscal year 2014 performance by end market and by product group, and then provide our outlook for Q3 of fiscal year 2014. In Q2 of fiscal year 2014, we achieved record net revenues of $165 million, an increase of 2% from Q1 of fiscal year 2014 and an increase of 9% from Q2 of fiscal year 2013. For the quarter, our non-GAAP gross margin was 61.3% and our non-GAAP diluted earnings per share was $0.52 per share. In Q2, revenue from the communications end market increased and represented approximately 29% of Semtech's total revenue. Revenue from the high-end consumer end market decreased from the prior quarter and represented 27% of total revenues. Approximately 17% of this revenue was attributable to handheld devices, and approximately 10% was attributable to other consumer systems. Revenue from the industrial end market increased and represented 25% of total company revenues. Revenue from the enterprise computing end market increased from the prior quarter and represented 19% of company revenues. I will now discuss the performance of each of our product groups. Q2 was a challenging quarter for our Protection business. In Q2, our Protection business declined 6% sequentially. Several of our largest smartphone customers experienced softer demand than had been anticipated previously and our Protection business demand reduced significantly towards the end of the quarter. We believe that strong demand and shipments into the smartphone market in both Q4 of fiscal year '13 and Q1 of fiscal year '14 were driven by anticipation of success of some new smartphone releases, which did not materialize, resulting in a significant demand reduction. The softness in the high-end consumer end market was partially offset by growth in the computing and communication end markets. On a year-over-year basis, our Protection business was up 10%, and at the end of Q2, Protection revenues represented 33% of total Semtech revenues. In Q2, we saw strong design win activity for our Protection products, and during the quarter, we expanded our Protection offerings with new products targeted at high-speed serial interfaces for mobile applications. Our latest RailClamp product is a low capacitance device designed for high-speed interfaces, including HDMI 1.3 and 1.4, USB and eSATA interfaces. This device enables designers to replace multiple single-line devices in space-constrained applications with a compact device that protects high-speed interfaces up to 17kV without sacrificing signal integrity. In addition, the latest product in our Z platform is an ultrasmall, single-line bidirectional protection device, ideally suited for near field communication lines and FM antennas in smartphones and notebooks. This latest device is a fast response time -- has a fast response time and ultralow capacitance. In Q3, we expect our Protection business to be down significantly, driven by softness in the smartphone market as key customers continue to bleed off inventory. These customers are releasing new smartphones in the second half that are expected to stimulate new demand, but the timing of this new demand is unclear. Despite this temporary downturn in our Protection business, our long-term thesis for the Protection business remains intact. As manufacturers continue to make electronic devices smaller and more mobile, the number of ports on those devices that require protection is increasing. The ever-increasing performance demands for these ports, and smaller geometries, make them much more susceptible to catastrophic ESD events. As the industry leader in high-performance protection platforms, Semtech continues to be positioned very well to benefit from these industry trends. Moving on to our Gennum product group. In Q2, revenue grew 18% to achieve another record revenue quarter for Gennum, driven by strong sequential growth in our enterprise computing, communications and industrial end markets, and approximately $2.4 million of IP revenue from our Snowbush group. We are delighted with the progress of our Gennum products group, as most Gennum platforms are gaining momentum in the market. In Q2, we saw strength from our PMD platforms in data center applications, PON applications and wireless backhaul applications. In addition, our 100G CDR platforms continue to lead the CFP2 optical module space in both the enterprise computing and the communications access segments, where low power and high performance are critical requirements. On the video side, our high-definition surveillance business had a strong Q2, and we anticipate that this business will continue to do well as the demand for high-definition video surveillance over long distances in HD CCTV-enabled networks increases. Design infraction of our new ultra-high definition 6G platforms is also very promising, and we expect this to continue as more systems emerge with ultra-high definition interfaces. Q2 was also a strong quarter for our Gennum product group in terms of design wins. In Q3, we expect our Gennum product group revenue to decrease due to seasonal softness in industrial applications and delays in China infrastructure orders, which appear to be delayed until later this year. In addition, we are not anticipating the benefit of any IP revenue this quarter. Turning to our Advanced Communications product group. Revenue in Q2 increased 1% sequentially and represented 23% of total revenues. The increase was driven primarily by continued ramping of our 100G business, partially offset by lower demand for mature 40G platforms. Q2 was a record design win quarter for our Advanced Communications product group, driven by strength in our 100G platforms. We also saw solid traction from our Timing Synchronization business. During the quarter, we expanded our ToPSync timing platform, with an advanced synchronization platform targeted at the emerging 4G LTE small cell market. Semtech's new synchronization platform uniquely addresses the industry's increasing demand for synchronization accuracy. In Q2, we also introduced a new low-phase noise clock synthesizer, which complements our synchronization platforms. This ultrasmall device enables frequency selection better than one part of billion on our low phase noise platform, with typical RMS jitter below 500 femtoseconds. For Q3, we expect revenue to decline, as CapEx spending across several regions is being delayed. We remain confident we are well positioned with the key OEMs and optimistic we should see upside in this area once the new buildouts actually begin. Moving to our Power Management and High Reliability product group. In Q2, revenue for the group decreased sequentially by 11% and represented 8% of revenues. The decrease was driven primarily by lower demand from the industrial end market, offset slightly by growth in the communications market. Our Power Management and High Reliability business has been in transition for the last 12 months, and we expect to see many new product platforms released over the next 12 months, which we believe will drive growth in this business for the next few years. The release of these new platforms and their acceptance in the market will mark the beginning of a turnaround in this business. In Q3, we expect our Power Management and High Reliability revenue to grow, driven by the industrial end market. Next we'll turn to the Wireless and Sensing business. In Q2, revenue for our Wireless and Sensing business increased 2% sequentially to represent 8% of total Semtech revenues. The increase was driven primarily by growth in our consumer analog business, partially offset by softer industrial sales. Our Wireless and Sensing business is starting to see real design win momentum in both the Wireless and the Sensing segments, and we expect to see material revenue increases from new platforms starting early next year. During the quarter, we introduced the SX1272, which is the first product in a new long-range RFIC platform. This device boosts the transmission range of RF devices up to 15 kilometers. This industry-leading technology is ideally positioned to drive applications in the emerging Internet of Things market and also machine-to-machine system deployments. In Q3, we expect sales for our Wireless and Sensing product group to be approximately flat. In Q2, we saw distribution POS decrease sequentially by approximately 2% from the record high levels achieved in Q1. Distributor inventory increased 11 days from 63 days in Q1 to 74 days in Q2, and is within our target model of 70 to 80 days. Our distributor business, much like the overall Semtech business, is very well balanced, with 49% of the total POS coming from consumer and computing end markets, and 51% of total POS coming from industrial and communications end markets. Moving onto new products and design wins. In Q2, we released 14 new products and achieved 1,790 new design wins. Our strategy of focusing on key trends driving growth for analog semiconductors, along with our breadth of analog product offerings to multiple end markets, positions us well to benefit from growth in our industry. We expect to see a continuation of the strong design win momentum in Q3. Now let me discuss our outlook for next quarter. Based on Q2 bookings and our backlog entering the quarter, we are currently estimating Q3 net revenue to be between $135 million and $145 million. To attain the midpoint of our guidance range, or $140 million, we needed net turns orders of approximately 49% at the beginning of Q3. Bookings to date in Q3 have been relatively strong. We expect our Q3 GAAP earnings to be between $0.13 and $0.21 per diluted share, and our non-GAAP earnings to be between $0.31 and $0.37 per diluted share. The softness in our Q3 guidance is driven by the weakness in our smartphone business, impacting our Protection demand, and reduced CapEx spending impacting our Advanced Communications and Gennum product group demand. We expect to see a recovery in both these areas early next year. While challenges in key end markets are weighing on our near-term growth prospects, our continued design win activity is a strong indicator of future demand for our innovative solutions targeted at the fastest-growing segments of the analog market. I will now hand the call back to the operator, and Sandy, Emeka and I will be happy to answer questions. Operator?