Earnings Labs

Standard Motor Products, Inc. (SMP)

Q2 2018 Earnings Call· Sat, Jul 28, 2018

$37.78

-0.26%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Standard Motor Products Quarter Two Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, you will have the opportunity to ask questions during the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this call maybe recorded. It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to Mr. Larry Sills, Executive Chairman. Please go ahead.

Lawrence Sills

Analyst

Well, good morning, everyone, and welcome to our second quarter conference call. And we thank you for taking the time to attend. Here from the Company is Eric Sills, President and CEO; Jim Burke, Executive Vice President and CFO; and myself, Larry Sills, Executive Chairman. Our plan for this call is we'll begin with Jim, who'll review the second quarter financial results; then Eric will go into certain of these subjects in more detail. And then, we'll open for questions. So with that, let's get started. So we'll start with Jim.

James Burke

Analyst

Okay. Thank you, Larry, and good morning. As a preliminary note, I would like to point out that some of the material we will be discussing today may include forward-looking statements regarding our business and expected financial results. When we use words like anticipate, believe, estimate or expect, these are generally forward-looking statements. Although we believe that the expectations reflected in these forward-looking statements are reasonable, they are based on information currently available to us and certain assumptions made by us, and we cannot assure you that they will prove correct. You should also read our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a discussion of the risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ from our forward-looking statements. All right, to begin, looking at the P&L. The consolidated net sales in Q2 2018 were $286.6 million, down $26.1 million or 8.3%. And for the first half 2018, sales were $548.5 million, down $46.6 million or 7.8%. I'll provide the segment sales breakdown, and Eric will provide additional color based on the customer prior year pipeline orders and POS data. Engine Management net sales in Q2 2018 were $203.4 million, down $19.9 million or 8.9%. Within Engine Management, our wire and cable net sales, reflecting 20% of the mix in Q2, were down $4.3 million or 9.5%. The balance of Engine Management sales, excluding wire, in Q2 were – down $15.6 million or 8.8%. Engine Management net sales in the first half 2018 were $402.9 million, down $31.7 million or 7.3%. Wire and cable sales were down $12 million or 13.2%, and the balance of Engine Management sales were down $19.7 million or 5.7%. As stated earlier, Eric will expand further on our sales results. Temperature Control net sales in Q2 2018 were $80.4 million, down…

Eric Sills

Analyst

Thank you, Jim, and good morning, everybody, and welcome to our call. I appreciate you spending time with us. I'll give you some brief prepared remarks, and then we'll open it up for your questions. So while we’re dissatisfied with the quarter and the year overall, the results were largely expected and discussed on our last earnings call and were due in large part to items that are either timing-related or short-term in nature. I'll start with Engine Management. Engine Management sales declined approximately 9% in the quarter. However, included in this number, is our wire and cable product line, which is in gradual decline. This is an older technology, and, as such, the installed base is shrinking. While the overall sales for wire and cable are down 9.5% in the quarter and 13% year-to-date, a portion of this was due to the exiting of a relatively small OE business at the end of 2017. Excluding that, the remaining customers were down 6% to 7%, which is in line with our stated expectations. And furthermore, this matched their decline in sell-through. The shortfall in the rest of our Engine Management business was entirely due to large pipelines in 2017 by a few of our customers which did not repeat this year. On our last call, we advised you that this will continue into the second quarter. Excluding these pipelines, our overall Engine Management business is up over the last year in the low single-digits, which matches our expectations. I should also note that this pipeline anomaly is largely behind us. That said, as we frequently remind you, we will always see a certain amount of lumpiness quarter-to-quarter as our – as our customers flex their inventories, and therefore, a better gauge our customers' sell-through. And I'm happy to say that,…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And we will take our first question from Matthew Paige from Gabelli. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Matthew Paige

Analyst

Good morning. I just wanted to touch a little more on Temperature Control. Do you think your customer's will look to carry less inventory into the New Year than they did in 2017? Or do you think there is room for more restocking activity from them?

Eric Sills

Analyst

Our expectation is that they should end 2018 lighter on inventory than they ended 2017. They ended 2017 heavy not by choice, but by the soft selling season. And so that was really what created the headwinds coming into 2018. Due to the strong summer that we've been experiencing and the expectation, hopefully, that it will continue, we would assume that they would end this year lighter on inventory than they ended last year, which will then impact 2019 preseason orders. So as you can see, you have this year-over-year compounding effect of preseason orders followed by what happens within the season and so we can only anticipate, but we would expect that they should enter 2019 lighter than they entered this year.

Matthew Paige

Analyst

Okay. And then, my second question. I wanted to touch on margin. You noted some of the older business is rolling off as the installed base shrinks and new business, obviously, having a lower margin. You've done, historically, a good job in continuing to invest in new products. Why is this more of a pressure now on margin than it has in the past as the old products roll off and the new products ramp up?

Eric Sills

Analyst

I'm not sure if it's necessarily that substantially different in the past. Perhaps there is a slight acceleration in the shift, there's a life-cycle shift in our product portfolio. But there's really nothing new about it. This is just how it's worked, really, forever. As we add new items, they typically come in at a high cost, and then as the demand starts to pick up, they work their way into our engineering queue and we tool them and bring them in-house for substantial savings. It may be happening slightly accelerated from the past. We have stepped up our investments in engineering talent and CapEx to address it. And so we think that we will be able to get caught up. So we're not concerned with it.

Matthew Paige

Analyst

Okay. I appreciate the time. Thanks for answering the questions.

Eric Sills

Analyst

All right. Thank you, Matt.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Bret Jordan from Jefferies. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hey, good morning. This is Ethan on for Bret. Thanks for taking our questions. Just back to the tariffs. What products are impacted most? And does your lower exposure in China position you to potentially gain share from competitors?

Eric Sills

Analyst

Well, as mentioned, Temperature Control division is hit harder, and specifically, within it, the largest part of it that could get caught in the net of this first round of 301 tariffs, is the compressor, which is really the heart of the air-conditioning system. If you look at our portfolio, first of all, a full third of the compressors that we sell, are remanufacturing, which is kind of unique for us. Most of our competitors only have new compressors. So a big chunk of what we do is reman and that was not affected. And then if you look at the new compressors, the majority of what we sell, we manufacture ourselves in Mexico, and again, it is safe. So now you're down to the smaller part of our compressor business that is affected. And we believe that the fact that we do have less exposure to China than perhaps the rest of the field can be helpful in the future.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, great. Thank you. And then just with regard to the Engine Management, the sell-through, do we expect that to continue moving into next quarter, the strong sell-through?

Eric Sills

Analyst

We would hope so. We're seeing and you are hearing this from our trading partners as well that they are pretty optimistic that this year is continuing to be pretty strong overall with year-over-year sell-through gains. We've seen a nice trend quarter-to-quarter so far this year. So we're optimistic it'll continue.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Awesome. Great, thank you. And then finally, just with regard to Temperature Control. If we see the heat continue over into July and the warmer temperatures, how should we think about selling just with regard to third quarter? Not year-end, I know you mentioned that you expect inventory to come down year-on-year.

James Burke

Analyst

Right. This is Jim Burke. And again, we don't comment on future periods and warn looking at quarter-over-quarter or even monthly. But the key is, the season is hot. It's continued from June into July, so as Eric pointed out earlier, we believe we'll have a good, strong third quarter for Temperature Control.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Great. Thank you for taking our questions.

James Burke

Analyst

You are welcome.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Matthew Sherwood from Cooper Creek. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Matthew Sherwood

Analyst

Hey guys. How are you doing?

Eric Sills

Analyst

Good morning, Matt.

Matthew Sherwood

Analyst

Good. So just had a quick one on the SG&A that was – you had sort of expected it to be in the $62 million range, and it was a lot lower than that. How much of that is sort of sustainable cost savings versus reversal of bonus accrual, or just something like that that's more short-term in nature? And what are your expectations for the balance of the year?

James Burke

Analyst

Right, yes. This is Jim Burke, Matt. Again, it is isolated, really, to the quarter. So sales were down. So our draft fees would be down also that we would have there. We curtailed wherever we had controllable expenses. We reduced incentive comp expenses. So again, for a range, this is probably two quarters of being in the $57 million range. And I had said it was up to $62 million. If we get stronger sales, it'll scale up again. Maybe the $62 million is still on a high-end mark, but between the lower $57 million and $62 million.

Matthew Sherwood

Analyst

Okay. But if the sales just stood on weaker side, you think that this is a sustainable number?

James Burke

Analyst

Yes. So again, significant expenses that are in there, I mean, there are at about annual numbers of about $200 million, one other $255 million $240 million that's in there. But yes, I can't speak quarter-to-quarter, a number of variables going on here. But sales, usually, again, third quarter would be our higher sales, higher SG&A, and then scaling in back again in the fourth quarter, when sales are down, we're out of the Temperature Control season.

Matthew Sherwood

Analyst

Great. Thanks a lot Jim.

James Burke

Analyst

All right.

Eric Sills

Analyst

Thank you, Matt.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Christopher Van Horn with B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Good morning. Thanks for taking the questions.

James Burke

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Good morning, Chris.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

So let me just make sure I understand correctly, as the gradual decline of the wire and cable, some of the maybe the legacy business is rolling off, are we pretty much done there? Or is there still more to come that you see in the future?

Eric Sills

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Wire and cable, we expect that trend, that 6% to 7% or so, that's a long-term trend. It's a product technology that's largely been engineered off vehicles. It is still on some new vehicles, and we are fortunate to be getting some of those contracts. But no, this is just due to where it is in the life cycle. It continues along those lines.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay, great. Thanks. And then, it also sounds like the benefits that you're going to see from some of the plant moves, you're pretty close to kind of starting to see the opposite trajectory of having to spend and build that up. Is that the right way to think about it? Are we going to start – do you think maybe by the end of this year, we're at full benefit of those plant moves? Or is there any timing you can give us?

James Burke

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Yes. This is Jim Burke, Chris. We're expecting to see, over the second half of 2018 now, incremental improvements and stepping up. So we add 2 quarters in there at roughly to 28.4%. So we feel we're moving up against that. Now our long-term target there is 31% to 32%. And we feel that the bulk of the plant move integrations will be behind us as there a little carryover that goes into the beginning of 2019 because of FIFO inventory, maybe a little bit. But going into 2019, we're targeting to be improvements and I would have to scale it at that 30% to 31%. And then at longer-term, moving back upwards to 31%, 32%.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Got it. Great. Thanks for that color. And then on the ADAS product line here, you've essentially doubled your part count over the past couple of months. And I'm just curious where you see that product line going, obviously, more and more cars will have this technology, but where you kind of see that going? And then what – have you seen sort of the sell-through begin on those part categories? And how that's kind of – how is that tracking?

Eric Sills

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Yes, we have had a big push in adding coverage in some of these categories such as, for those – others on the call may be less familiar, such things as lane departure systems and adaptive cruise controls, some of the active safety components. It is still very new technology. So the failure rates are quite low. We have been expanding our offering because we feel that there are benefits to being first to market and getting the shelf space for when it does take off. But as of now, it's still low sales. We hope that it will become a strong category, and we believe it is in our wheelhouse as the guys who expected to be the ones who have sensor coverage. And so that's why we're positioning ourselves. But as of now, it's still small.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay, and that was my next question. You do believe you're kind of first to market here because I have not seen some other suppliers get into this area.

Eric Sills

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Well, we're not alone on the shelves, but we are out there with – I would say, best-in-class offering.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Yes, okay. And then final from me. Just a little bit of uptick in CapEx. Could you give any more details there of what that was from? And then any sort of outlook of what you're thinking for CapEx going forward?

James Burke

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Yes. This is Jim Burke again. Yes, we have said on our prior calls that we're scaling up the CapEx. These are opportunities as investing. And the newer technologies, they cost more than we're getting into. So we're probably on the range of $25 million for this year or plus. Some of it was capacity related with our plant moves and integrations that we had this year. But this is one of our capital allocations that we're investing in the business. But probably, in the $25 million range should be more of a norm on an annual basis.

Christopher Van Horn

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Okay, great. Thanks so much for the time.

Eric Sills

Analyst · B. Riley FBR. Please go ahead. Your line is open.

Thank you, Chris. End of Q&A

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And we do not appear to have any questions at this time.

Lawrence Sills

Analyst

Okay, then. Thank you very much for attending. This concludes our second quarter conference call. Thank you very much.