Operator
Operator
Good day and welcome to the Q3 Earnings Conference Call. Today's conference is being recorded. And at this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Jim King. Please go ahead. Jim King - Chief Communications Officer & Senior VP, Investor Relations and Corporate Affairs: Thank you, Noah. Good morning everyone, and welcome to the Scotts Miracle-Gro Third Quarter Conference Call. With me today here in Marysville are Jim Hagedorn, our Chairman and CEO; Randy Coleman, our Chief Financial Officer; Mike Lukemire, our Chief Operating Officer; and several other members of the management team. Jim is going to provide an overview of the current state of the business. He also will provide you an update on where we stand against our long-term strategic plan. Then Randy will walk through the financials and the implications of today's results on our full-year outlook. After their prepared remarks, we will open the call to your questions, but in the interest of time, we ask that you keep to one question and to one follow-up. If there are questions that we don't address, I'm glad to handle those offline with you after the call. One bit of housekeeping before we begin, we are currently planning to hold an Analyst Day Meeting in New York on Thursday, December 10. Obviously, we'll discuss this at much greater length during our fourth quarter call, but I wanted it on your radar now and ask you to hold that date. Moving on to today's business, I want to remind everyone that our comments today will contain forward-looking statements, and as such, actual results could to differ materially. Due to that risk, Scotts Miracle-Gro encourages investors to review the risk factors outlined in our Form 10-K which is filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission or our most recent 10-Q. With that, let me turn the call over to Jim Hagedorn to get us started. James Hagedorn - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer: Thanks, Jim. Morning everyone. As you can see from the press release, we announced some pretty strong results this morning. Not only that, but yesterday we announced an increase in our quarterly dividend. As you'd expect, I'm feeling good about the state of the business and the way the team is executing in a challenging season. It's actually a really good story. In addition to providing more color on our performance so far this year, there are two other topics I want to cover. First, I want to talk about the unexpected challenges that we had with Bonus S. As you can see from the press release, the cost associated with the issue is significant. Since this is a one-time event, we've made the decision to exclude these costs from our adjusted earnings for reasons we'll discuss later. Most of the charges we took in the quarter are for costs we expect to have reimbursed. But aside from the financial implications, I'm really proud of the way we've handled this situation. When we realized we had a problem, we put the consumer front and center. We've worked closely with our insurers and made decisions as if it was our own money at stake. Our guiding principle has been to put the consumer first and to quickly fix or replace affected lawns. The other topic I want to cover is related to the execution of our strategic plan. There've been a lot of moving pieces over the past several months and you're likely to see more in the months ahead, but every step we're taking is consistent with the plans we've shared with you guys in the past. We remain committed to pursuing reasonable growth opportunities and consistently improving our cash flow and we're committed to deploying that cash smartly. While the focus has shifted over the past year from returning cash to making acquisitions, it is our goal to have a more balanced approach in the near future and I'll elaborate that point in a few minutes. But let's start this morning with the more near-term discussion and take a look at our performance so far this year. Just looking at the press release or the P&L doesn't really tell the story, so let me elaborate. While it's been a good year, it's not been an easy one. The last time I spoke with you in early May, consumer purchases in the core U.S. business, excluding acquisitions, were up nearly 5% on a year-to-date basis. Entering August, we're up just a bit more than 1%, but as I said, there's a lot below the surface. Consumer purchases of mulch are up 11%. Miracle-Gro branded soils are up more than 10%. Ortho insect products are up 8%. Roundup is up 4%. Tomcat is up 26%. Remember, there are no price increases this year, so the growth has been entirely volume driven. However, grass seed is down 7% and lawn fertilizer, our largest and highest margin product, is down 8%. I'm not particularly surprised or troubled by these results. It would be an understatement to say the Lawns business has been challenged over the last two months. Since May, we've seen historic flooding in Texas, the largest lawn and garden – the largest lawn fertilizer market in the U.S. Record rainfall in the Midwest has made it one of the greenest summers I've seen here and put a dampener on fertilizer sales. And the irony, of course, is that none of that rain fell in California where the effects of the drought become more severe as the summer weather set it. Our other major fertilizer market, the Northeast, had an extremely compressed season. After a long winter delayed the start of the season in the region, spring weather lasted just a few weeks and then we went straight to summer. So when you understand the story in our Lawns business, it's easy to see what's driving POS challenges we've seen in recent months, but there's a silver lining with all that lousy weather. Our Bug and Weed business are having a great season and we see that momentum continuing. I know we still have two months left in the year but it's not too early to assess the score. Personally, I'm satisfied with our result. I'm extremely pleased with our execution against those things we can control, and I've been here too long to worry about the things that we can't. Our retailers are engaged, the consumer is engaged and the overall category, all things considered, is doing what we expected, maybe even a little bit better. Our European business is also having a solid year on both the top and bottom lines, building on the momentum they had going into the season. Randy will elaborate on that shortly. Scotts LawnService has rebounded extremely well after weather delayed the start of the season. That team deserves credit for their effort. I'm sure those of you in the Northeast remember the piles of snow that were still sitting around in April. SLS has been in overdrive ever since. The business continues to benefit from an extremely successful sales and marketing effort. In addition to the acquisition of Action Pest, organic customer count has increased 5% from last year and our retention rates remain at an all-time high. I remain pleased with the continued progress SLS is making and we remain confident that the business will hit its numbers for the full year and be well positioned as we begin to plan and budget for next year. Across the board our performance this season on a company-wide basis once again demonstrates how far our business has come in the past four or five years. When I mention the impact of weather on the Lawns business, I'm not complaining; I'm just stating the facts. It's also a fact that since 2012, we had some kind of extreme weather event every year. Several years ago, those issues would have sidetracked us and we would have likely missed our numbers. But 2015 will be the third straight year in which we'll hit or exceed our guidance, even in the face of real challenges. We have better planning, better visibility and better execution. I don't want to say we're immune to the weather because we're not. But I will say, we've taken a lot of the volatility out of the business and our results so far this year prove that point. I'm going to switch gears pretty hard here and provide an update on what's happening with our Bonus S product challenges. As a set-up, let me remind you that Bonus S is a Weed and Feed product specifically formulated for southern lawns. We reformulated the product this year with a new active ingredient for better weed control. The launch came after several years of testing, including two market tests in Florida last year. In late spring, we began seeing an increase in complaints from Bonus S customers. Those complaints spiked dramatically in early May and were primarily coming from consumers who had a type of grass called centipede in their lawn. We're still in the midst of understanding why this problem occurred. In fact, it didn't occur everywhere. Those affected lawns were concentration in Coastal South Carolina, as well as Baton Rouge, Louisiana. Our focus over the summer was less on why this happened and more about that it happened. Excuse me. Once we understood the seriousness of the issue, we were decisive in the actions we took to protect our consumers. Shortly after taking the product off the shelves in affected markets, we deployed a team to South Carolina in order to expedite consumer claims and to work with our insurers. In may sound like an odd thing to say, but this crisis was a very proud moment for me and for us. Everyone in this company rallied and were committed to doing the right thing in the most transparent way possible. There were literally hundreds of people involved in working this issue and I want to thank each and every one of them. As most of your know, Randy announced, at a conference in May, that we expected the Bonus S issue would cost us $5 million to $7 million, with the balance covered by insurance. Now about eight weeks later, we expect internal costs to be closer to $10 million. As you can see in the press release today, we took a charge in the quarter for $45 million related to this issue. Except for our internal costs, we expect that charge will be reversed over time, as we receive reimbursement for our insurers. The last word on Bonus S is this, we view it as a one-time event. We're confident that Bonus S will be a strong performer for us again in 2016, and believe that our actions in dealing with this issue reinforced our – for our consumers that Scotts is a brand that they can trust. Before I turn the call over the Randy, I want to talk about where we are strategically and where we're headed. The good news is that there's nothing terribly new here, but I recognize that the pace of acquisitions over the past year and our willingness to increase our leverage has raised some questions. Three years ago on our third quarter call, I told you we'd focus on margins, cash flow, lower leverage and returning cash to shareholders and that's what we did. About a year or so later, we said a modest level of acquisitions would once again become part of our growth strategy. Initially, we expected a fairly even split between using cash to acquire businesses and return to shareholders. But once we kicked up our M&A activity, the opportunities were far more plentiful than we had expected. The acquisitions we've made are all strong strategic fits for the business. Some, like Long Island Compost, tuck in very nicely to the existing portfolio. Preferred not only improves our growing media business, but provides us with access to high-quality peat. Tomcat presents a natural extension into an adjacent category where our skills can drive meaningful growth. We also purchased two other small companies in the past several months: Contech, which we acquired earlier in the quarter, has great technology we can leverage in our Global Controls business and Debco, an Australian business, strengthens our position in that market as well. Finally, General Hydroponics and Vermicrop provide growth potential that does not exist in the rest of our portfolio. Not only did we complete these deals, but in May we successful renegotiated our Roundup agency agreement. As a reminder, here's what that deal did for us: It significantly inhibits Monsanto's ability to terminate us. It allows us to take the brand into other categories. It allows us to enter new geographies. It changed the commission structure for the first three years so we can invest in new products and offset the financing costs. It allows us more flexibility regarding the product ingredients and allows us to make changes if we feel it's necessary. It gives us the ability to transfer the brand in total or in any specific geography. And finally, it gives us greater access to Monsanto's innovation pipeline in the future. We still have a few opportunities that we're contemplating. It's possible they all may get done, but if the economics don't work, we're also will to walk away from any or all of them. The financial flexibility we worked so hard to create allowed us to take advantage of one of the opportunistic periods we've seen in this industry in two decades. Today, we're a more diverse and stronger company. But with the exception of the urban and hydroponic space, I still don't see this industry growing at more than low-single digits any time soon. So our priority for uses of cash will quickly shift back to reducing debt. We'll also look at all of our assets and assess their ability to drive shareholder and strategic value. Whether it's a facility, a product line, a brand or an advertising campaign, if it's not getting us where we need to go then we're willing to take decisive action. As we've looked at the M&A pipeline, especially over the past year, it's reinforced my strong view that The Scotts Miracle-Gro is a pretty damn good company. I like what we're doing; I like the team we have in place; and I like the plans that I see coming together. We've walked away from more deals than we've completed because given the choice between investing in those businesses or this one, I would choose us. Once we work through the current pipeline and begin to reduce debt, our objective is to get back to returning more cash to shareholders. If we're doing that right now, Randy and I are aligned that we would be an active acquirer of our own shares. I don't think that will happen in 2016, but I'm hopeful that we'll be able to get to that later in 2017. For the time being, returning cash will come through our regular dividend. And yesterday our board improved increasing our dividend from $1.80 to $1.88 per share on an annualized basis. It speaks to our continued confidence in our strategy and our commitment of returning cash. As Jim King said a few minutes ago, we're coming to New York in December for an Analyst Day meeting. By that time, I hope to be able to tell you more about what comes next in the execution of our long-term plans and the steps we're taking to align management pay with achieving long-term shareholder value. And I hope to share with you a story that re-enforces the continued upside that I see in this business. So with that, let me turn the call over to Randy, and he'll walk you through the numbers. Thomas Randal Coleman - Chief Financial Officer & Executive Vice President: Thank you, Jim, and good morning everyone. There are four topics I want to cover. First I want to clarify comments I may have made regarding our earnings guidance. Second, I'll provide an overview of the results we announced this morning. Third, I'll briefly discuss our capital structure. And fourth, I'll share some early thoughts on next year. As it relates to our guidance for 2015, I want to elaborate on Jim's earlier comments and clarify certain comments that I made back in May to provide complete transparency on our accounting treatment for the Bonus S situation. When I first spoke publicly about our Bonus S issue at a New York conference, I said the costs not covered by insurance would be $5 million to $7 million. And I said absorbing those uncovered costs would result in adjusted earnings on the low end of our guidance range. But over the past two months, the scope and complexity of the challenge expanded. That fact, as well as our past practices, led us to determine the best way of managing this issue was to exclude it entirely from our guidance. This decision is not based on making the year appear better than it is, as the GAAP numbers will obviously reflect our reported results. It also is not designed to protect management compensation. We've already reduced our incentive accrual enough, versus last year, to offset our uncovered costs. The reasoning was actually pretty simple. As we begin planning for next year, and as many of you begin building your financial models, the best base off of which to grow is determined by excluding all Bonus S costs from our 2015 results. Therefore, our revised goal for adjusted EPS for 2015, excluding Bonus S, is the midpoint of our original range of $3.40 to $3.60 per share. The break to the fall season for both the core business and Scotts LawnService is the biggest unknown factor on where we actually will finish. Also our operating cash flow guidance of approximately $275 million remains intact, assuming that we collect insurance reimbursements by the end of the fiscal year. So with that, let's take a deeper look at the numbers we announced today. Company-wide sales were up 9% in the third quarter, or 12% excluding the impact of foreign currency, driven by a 9% improvement in the Global Consumer segment. On a year-to-date basis, company-wide sales are up 6%, the same rate of growth as the Global Consumer segment. Company-wide sales are up 9% through nine months, excluding FX. Within the Global Consumer segment, we were really pleased by what we saw in our U.S. business, which was up 5% on a year-to-date basis, excluding acquisitions, despite POS dollar growth of only 1%. Shipments exceeded POS due to product mix, growth outside of our big box retailers where we don't collect POS data, and a 10% increase in year-over-year retail inventory levels at the end of the quarter. Sales on our International business were flat in the quarter excluding the impact of foreign exchange rates and acquisitions. During the quarter, we made a decision to begin an orderly liquidation of our inventory related to Solus, the UK company we acquired out of bankruptcy last year. While this acquisition came with just a $1 million purchase price plus working capital, we determined the investment needed to deliver a satisfactory return simply was not worth making. We have decided to retain a limited line of products that have strategic value, but we'll be exiting the rest. Between Solus and our continued efforts to streamline our cost structure in Europe, we booked international restructuring charges of $6.6 million in the quarter. I said a few months ago we should complete our international restructuring efforts by the second half of the year. Right now, I don't see any significant charges related to international in Q4. Jim mentioned the strong recovery at Scotts LawnService and I also want to tip my hat to that team. Sales increased 12% in the quarter and 8% year to date. On a calendar year basis, we now expect a record sales year for our Service business. As you saw in the press release, we increased our company-wide sales guidance for the year to a range of 5% to 6% from our original outlook of 4% to 5%. We expect that final number to be comprised of organic growth of 4% to 5% and acquired growth of 4%. Those will be offset by a negative 3% impact from FX, so clearly we've had a very good year on the top line. I want to move on to discuss gross margin, however, which has been a bigger challenge for us this year. Given the fact POS for lawn fertilizer is down 8% for the year and mulch is up 11%, we have a material challenge from product mix. Additionally, the acquisitions we've made this year, collectively, were dilutive to gross margin in the first nine months as we integrated these new businesses. Those issues are the primary reason that the adjusted gross margin rate declined 40 basis points to 37.5% in the third quarter and that the year-to-date rate is down 100 basis points to 36.3%. Going into the year, we said we expected the margin rate to be flat. On our last conference call, I told you I thought there was a risk to that number, a risk that has now materialized. Even when you exclude the cost-of-goods impact related to Bonus S, we now expect the gross margin rate will likely decline 50 basis points to 75 basis points for the full year. As we look to the fourth quarter, we expect a gross margin rate improvement from favorable mix, generated by volume in our high-gross margin Scotts LawnService and General Hydroponics businesses. We'll also see the benefit of lower distribution costs, primarily driven by year-over-year fuel savings as well as manufacturing savings. There is good news further down the P&L and that is related to SG&A. Excluding Bonus S issues, total SG&A expenses were up just 3% to $194 million in the quarter, and on a year-to-date basis we're up 3% to $540 million. Obviously, acquisitions account for a significant increase in SG&A, but those new incremental costs have largely been offset by FX as well as downward adjustments in the accrual for variable compensation and savings from recent restructuring efforts. On a full-year basis, I'm expecting SG&A to be up just 3%, which is on the low end of our original guidance; but remember, several of the acquisitions we made this year came after we provided that initial guidance. So given the higher level of expenses that came with those deals, including the deal costs themselves, I think the organization has once again done an outstanding job of controlling SG&A. As we work on early plans for 2016, I see that trend largely continuing. Adjusted income from operations before taxes was up 12% in the quarter and 4% on a year-to-date basis. Below the operating line, interest expense was up $1.5 million in the quarter to $14.3 million and essentially flat on a year-to-date basis at $39 million. For the fourth quarter, you should expect interest to increase by $4 million, reflecting capital invested to acquire new businesses and our revised Roundup agreement. The year-to-date tax rate was 35%, slightly better than we expected, and should remain the same for the full year. Also the focus on acquisitions this year means we have repurchased fewer shares than originally planned, so we are now assuming a full year share count of 62.1 million. So when you bring it to the bottom line, adjusted EPS in the quarter was $2.68 per share compared with $2.34 last year. And year-to-date we're at $3.65 per share on an adjusted basis compared with $3.46 a year ago. Let me shift gears. As Jim said, the past 18 months have proven to be opportunistic ones for us. We've added some acquired growth, and we've also successfully amended our Roundup agency agreement with Monsanto. And as Jim said, there are a few more opportunities we continue to explore. Given those actions and the strong credit environment, we are planning to amend and restate our current senior secured credit facility to give us increased flexibility and take advantage of the low cost of money. Jim said earlier that we want to begin de-levering once we work through the current pipeline of potential deals. I want to be clear that four times leverage is not uncomfortable for us in the short term if we were to get to that level. But getting closer to two and a half times gives us more flexibility and optionality, and we simply prefer to operate that way. Let me close by discussing a few of the headlines for 2016 that I'm sure are on your minds. Barring a major swing in the next 120 days, commodities will likely be a decent tailwind for us next year. It's too early to be specific, but we expect a neutral to slightly positive impact in nearly every area except for peat and grass seed, where cost pressures remain. Additionally, pricing is part of our growth plan for 2016 after largely foregoing price increases in 2015. So pricing net of cost, coupled with some additional supply chain savings, should get us ahead of where we finished fiscal year 2014. We'll get more specific over the next few months. Another point I want to address related to next year is the financial impact of our revised agreement with Monsanto. In a worst case, we expect the transaction to be neutral to earnings this year – next year rather. Depending on a combination of interest expense to fund the transaction as well as the start-up investment costs related to new business opportunities allowed under that agreement, the transaction may actually be slightly accretive next year. For those who I have not spoken with personally about the Roundup deal, let me add this final thought: This was a very important transaction for our company. Roundup has become a hugely successful global lawn and garden brand under our stewardship, and it is a major portion of our profitability. The gaps in the original deal needed to be addressed and now they have been. Moreover, the ability to take the Roundup brand into new categories of lawn and garden as well as new geographies provides a nice opportunity for growth in the years ahead. Before we open the call for questions, I just want to reinforce Jim's comments. While it was challenging to maintain POS momentum this season, that has been an issue beyond on our control. But in terms of planning, focus and execution, I'd give the entire operating team extremely high marks. Our ability to adjust to the realities on the season – in the middle of the season was evident again this year. I've been here more than 15 years now and I'm confident in saying that the management approach that we use today has taken a lot of volatility out of this business. We probably won't share a lot of details around 2016 during the Q4 call. We'll save those for our Analyst Day meeting in December, but I can tell you already that I feel good about our early plans for next year and feel confident in our ability to continue to improve our operating model and further enhance shareholder value. Now I'll turn the call back to the operator and we'll take your questions. Thank you.