Javan D. Ottoson
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Thank you, Tony, and good morning, everyone. It's another snowy day in Denver. Before discussing our new ventures activity for the quarter, I wanted to address a few specific questions we've been getting about our operated Eagle Ford program. First, I wanted to give an update on our condensate realizations. I'm now on Slide 9. In general, all of the oil we produce from the Eagle Ford has an API gravity higher than 45 degrees and may be considered to be condensate. In the first quarter, our price realizations for this product were above the NYMEX WTI price and were actually higher than in the fourth quarter of 2012. We manage our condensate sales through a basket of sales contracts, most of which are indexed to LLS pricing, which was at a $20 premium to WTI in the first quarter. We're in the market a great deal negotiating sales arrangements and have not seen material weakness in condensate gravity adjustments at this time. We're obviously pleased with the recent prices we've received for our Eagle Ford condensate, especially when you consider that our Eagle Ford economics assume a discount to NYMEX WTI of $7 to $8, which is still our long-term expectation. The second question I wanted address this morning relates to our operated Eagle Ford downstream transportation agreements. As discussed on Slide 10, during the first quarter, we regularly shipped wet gas production in excess of our firm downstream transportation capacity and we continue to do so in the second quarter. Our experience has been that there is sufficient interruptible space available, and we've had no trouble moving all the volume we produce on any given day. We have existing contracts for more firm downstream capacity starting at midyear, but at this point, we believe that interruptible capacity will continue to be available to us as well. We do not see downstream capacity as being a limit to our production growth at this time. Third, I wanted to update you on our ethane rejection status as this is a common question. We are still rejecting ethane in South Texas in contracts which allow for ethane rejection. Ethane rejection is a monthly election. And at this point, it makes economic sense to sell the ethane as BTUs in the gas stream versus recovering it and selling it separately. Right now, the strips for gas and ethane suggest that we will be rejecting for quite some time. We talked about the potential volume impact of this at our last call. As a reminder however, our plan is still to exit the year producing 50% liquids. We've had several questions regarding the historic production performance of wells in what we call operated Eagle Ford area 1 and the expected case data we put out for this area earlier this year. In our year-end resource summary table, we gave an expected average 3 stream EUR for area 1 of 600,000 BOEs. To be clear, this 600,000 BOE number was generated using rate transient analysis, not by averaging our historic decline curve results from wells in area 1. Our existing wells in area 1 have been impacted by high back pressures due to long flow lines and a lack of compression, which has prevented them from achieving their full rate potential. Rate transient analysis is a better tool for predicting EURs in this circumstance, and we expect that, with improvements we are making in area 1 facilities, that future wells will outperform our historic decline curves. Condensate yields from existing wells in area 1 vary widely from as low as 30 barrels per million cubic feet of gas to 310 barrels per million cubic feet of gas. Using our current spacing assumptions, we estimate an unrisked, location-weighted average yield for all area 1 potential locations of 125 barrels per million cubic feet of gas. For the AFE type curve and well economics, which we've provided and which are included in the appendix to this presentation, we used a value of 170 barrels per million cubic feet, which is the simple midpoint of the yield range and is a conservative estimate of the expected yield of wells in area 1 we plan to drill in the next year or 2. I should point out again that as reflected in our attached materials, our planned drilling programs in the Eagle Ford generate strong economic returns and would do so even at lower commodity prices than we're currently experiencing. Now I'd like to move on and talk about our exciting new venture program. We think it's of critical importance to continually be exploring for the next idea that will propel the company forward. Even the best assets have finite lives, so it's important to keep the pipeline of potential new projects full. At SM Energy, we have a very focused approach as to how we generate, test and, ultimately, develop ideas from our new ventures program. The goal is to add self-generated economic inventory that competes in our portfolio so that we can continually high-grade our development program. All the projects that I'm going to speak about today were internally generated new venture projects. We currently have 2 separate exploratory programs in the Midland Basin. Our Permian Shale program and our Mississippian Limestone program. Unfortunately, we had some delays in completion timing on some critical shale wells, so I don't have an update on that program today other than to say that we're currently drilling our first Wolfcamp Shale well on HBP'd acreage in the south Midland Basin. However, I do have a few slides starting on Slide 11 on our Mississippian program with some well updates I wanted to share. Just to remind you, our Permian Mississippian prospect is the same geologic age as the Mississippian other people are chasing in Oklahoma and Kansas, but it's more of a conventional play, which produces at lower water cuts. The slide shows a map of our entire acreage position with a blowup showing the horizontal wells we have drilled on the acreage to-date. As you can see, we've drilled more wells in the Roy area and a fewer wells in the Dana and Rebecca areas. On Slide 12, we've provided a listing of our horizontal Tredway wells with peak 30-day production rates and effective lateral link. I should say that we call this prospect area Tredway internally. And then I also should mention that when I talk about effective lateral length, I'm measuring that from the first perf to the last perf. Some people do it in different ways. You can see that with the exception of a couple of wells with mechanical or completion issues, we've had fairly consistent results with our short lateral program. We've recently begun using a longer lateral well design and our first result, the Roy 1803H has averaged 988 BOEs per day over the 12 days it's been online. I'm now on Slide 13. As the prior slide showed, we have the most well data in the Roy area and at this point, we're comfortable showing what we think the type curves are for that area, which represents about 1/3 of our acreage in the Mississippian play. The gray lines on the slide are data from the individual short lateral wells from the Roy area and the black line represents the average of those PDP wells. The red line is our projected type curve for our a 4,400-foot effective lateral well, which has a projected EUR of 310,000 BOEs and is 93% oil. We then have extrapolated that result for a 7,000-foot effective lateral, which is the upper blue line on this slide. It has a projected EUR of 440,000 BOEs and also 93% oil. So far, our Roy 1803 well looks like it's going to be our expected long lateral type curve. As we have more data in the Dana and Rebecca areas, we'll provide that to you. We're encouraged by our recent results and we continue to make progress in driving our costs down, which is going to be a common theme in all our new venture efforts this next year. I'm now turning to Slide 14. We haven't spent much time talking about our Powder River Basin assets recently, but we've been testing several wells in zones of interest. Our original target in this basin, you may recall, was the Niobrara, which had mixed results based on our testing. However, our recent results and the results of several other operators in the Frontier section have been very good. Our recent operated well, the Dandy State [ph], had a peak 30-day initial production rate of 927 BOEs per day. Two partner wells that we participated in had peak rates for 30 days of approximately 1,400 BOEs and 1,700 BOEs per day, respectively. We're really excited about the Frontier, and we think that the Shannon interval can be interesting as well. In fact, we recently completed a Shannon test that had a peak 30-day IP of approximately 500 BOEs per day. We recently entered into an agreement to add approximately 40,000 additional net acres to our Powder River Basin position for $65 million, which includes some seismic acquisition cost. After closing, we expect to have approximately 105,000 net acres in the total Powder River Basin, with about 62,000 net acres and what we consider to be some of the best rock for the Frontier play. You can see from the map provided that the acreage we are adding is a great bolt-on to our existing acreage position. Our combined position will have potential for about 250 gross Frontier wells. And we estimate that our aggregate acreage position will have about $90 million BOEs of total net resource potential. We'll have another Frontier well completed before midyear and I expect that well and other wells to be -- I expect that we'll be drilling additional wells in the second half with the potential for a 2-rig program in 2014. Lastly, I'll provide an update on East Texas. I'm on Slide 15. We've entered into an additional agreements which, subject to due diligence and closing, will expand our previously announced 105,000 net acre position to approximately 150,000 net acres, and we continue to acquire acreage in the area. Earlier this month, we released test results for a well in our East Texas play that targeted the Woodbine formation and we have more to Woodbine tests scheduled in the second half of 2013. The acreage position we've assembled has multi-pay potential and we'll shortly be drilling an Eagle Ford test as well. It's early days, but we're very enthusiastic about the potential of this project. I'll now turn it over to Wade to talk about the balance sheet.