Raymond Quinlan
Analyst · Wells Fargo
Good morning. Thank you all for calling in and thank you Brian. It's a pleasure to talk with you all today. We're reporting on a company that is a great company and had a great quarter and has indeed had a great – having a great year and has had a great first half for 2018. We’ve made progress in every area that – in which we are engaged and we have great results in all those areas. Our sales growth for the second quarter was 13% over the prior year as the largest organic increase that we’ve had since the change in major legislation associated with the nationalization of the federal program in 2009. Our credit performance as you can see is excellent and better than we had planned. EPS at plus 60% is an outstanding number. About one half of that is attributable to the change in tax law, but 30% increase in EPS is also outstanding and in the quarter we had and ROE of 19.4%, all stellar performance. On the volume, year-to-date we have 2.459 billion of new disbursements for the private student loans which are up 8% over the prior year. You’ll all recall that the estimates for the market growth is running between 2% and 4% depending upon who is doing the forecasting. So plus 8 is over what is anticipated to be the market growth in the private student loan area. In the second quarter, we accelerated that growth. We had $487 million of disbursements versus $431 million in the prior year, a 13% increase. For the first quarter it was 7%, second quarter was 13%, year-to-date is 8%. We’re watching these disbursements very closely. We’re in the midst of our busy period, which as you know, it goes through the second half of July and August. And so we will take a look at that very carefully. We’re entering it in great shape. The customer experience has improved year-to-year. We’ve made it more efficient, more friendly, more transparent, and indeed giving the customers more information at the same time and as you know we’ve introduced six new graduate products which are growing faster than our overall growth which of course is growing faster than the market. While obtaining those growth numbers we didn’t comprise credit quality at all. Our FICO for approved apps are virtually identical to last year at 746 versus 747. Our co-signer rate continues to run at 89.3% roughly equal to last year’s 90%. Change in the customer’s perception of fixed versus variable and what is attractive to them is changing the profile for that product selection as it enters the door. This year so far we have 56% of our customers selecting fixed and 28% of our seating portfolio is fixed. Steve will cover how we’ve addressed that from a treasury standpoint in order to be neutral from a standpoint of ROE and profits regardless of the customer’s selection. NIM which reflects of course all of that a 6.14% in the quarter up from 5.91%, 3.9% last year. And of course at 6% is an outstanding number regardless of who ever we are comparing ourselves to. OpEx is up 22% such a high number. The company as you know is growing at faster than that. As a result, our efficiency ratio which we use as a barometer for ROE within appropriate levels for expense growth given our revenue growth continues to improve. As you know it was over 40% in 2016, it was 39%, this is the efficiency ratio of 39.6% in 2017 and in this quarter it was 38.3%. Our guidance for the year is between 38% and 39%. If we hit the midpoint on that at 38.5 we will be down over 100 basis points from 2017 39.6%. So 39.6% last year targeted this year at 38.5%, 100 basis points improvement. Within that, we are covering the investment in the diversification for personal loans. So the personal loan goal is $477 million at the end of this year. That’s part of a mailing which will spill over into 2019. So we should think about closing portfolio at roughly $500 million for organic personal loans up from zero. And so far results are quite gratifying on response rates, quality through the door population acceptance rates, take rates and the average ticket. And so the organic piece of that is costing us about $35 million this year and as part of our investment, but we are committed to improving the efficiency ratio while covering those investments which are held to the same criteria as other investments so far as they cutoff in ROE targets. Moving to credit performance, our write-offs, loan loss reserve and delinquency numbers are all excellent and as I indicated slightly better than what we anticipated. Delinquency in particular at 2.2% is exactly flat to a year ago, and that's despite the fact that in full P&I we have an increase of 34% of the portfolio moving from last year's $5.4 billion to this year's $7.3 billion. So the portfolio continues to mature, the delinquency continues to indicate the quality or to reflect the quality of our treatable [ph] population and credit positions and this is - we are in a very good position for the rest of the year in regard to that. Our balance sheet, the backdrop to this is growing 24% and the overall assets are $24.2 billion now and while we're growing that and as I said it will cover treasury, but importantly the capital ratio on which we are most focused which is risk based capital went from 13.7% last year to 13.3% this year, so with a 24% growth on the balance sheet the capital ratios are constant. Consolidations also are part of the balance sheet this quarter roughly flat to the first quarter, both finished $220 million range consistent with the guidance that was given at the beginning of the year for $900 million. In fact the quarter actually went down but that's within the lease [ph] factor. And so as we've discussed, this is something that we wish was zero, but it is on our expectation included in our forecast and we continue to expand our response to the consolidations targeting certain customers for extending near term as well as lowering our rate. Of course we don’t want to refinance people who we did not refinance in the absence of that, so targeting is what we're focused on there. But as of the moment the comp consolidations are flat to the first quarter, flat to our expectations, and included in all of our projections. We see no reason why they should be growing. EPS as I said is up 60%. I think it's important to note any number and as I said about half of it is attributable to the change in tax law. But within the context of our franchise, I think it's helpful to remember where this is in the evolutionary path of the EPS. So EPS going back to '14 was $0.26, '15 was $0.39, '16 $0.53, '17 $0.72, this year $1.0 is the midpoint of our guidance. So comp count rate on that is a 14% comp count rate for EPS with no downsides up in monotonic increase for the last five years. We're very proud of that record and we expect it to continue. Book value per share which is another indicator of are we're creating franchise value for investors and the owners has followed a similar pattern. Book value per share was $2.92 in 2014 has grown consistently and is now $5.76, a 97% increase over four years in our book value per share. And so the balance sheet reflects this, the franchise reflects this. We are indeed creating great value for our investors. ROE of course also reflects that. As I said in the second quarter of '18 we are at 19.4% and in the first quarter we are at 22%, last year at this time we were at 14.3%. And so at 19% we're very happy with that. The regulatory relations which were a backdrop of how many conversations we had in the past are all excellent. The regulatory rate letters [ph] the FDIC, The Utah Department of Financial Institutions and the CFPB are all on good terms with us. We have no tension of any significance in regard to any of them. The stock price has been consistent as you know, but I think we'll turn it over to the people on the phones who are trying to prove that, but it seems to me if we come into the bucket share with this great rate our great franchise that we have into context that we should easily get to 15p, so I can't understand why the stock is not at 15, but we will talk about that I'm sure. The market frame in which we find ourselves, and our customers, competitors, and evolution, our customers we continue to improve our relationship with them that's reflected in the high disbursement and volume numbers. Our retention is very good. Our satisfaction numbers are up. We've introduced chat as an alternative for our customers and many have chosen it and the chat satisfaction rate across all the channels being used for it is 96%. And so reflecting our desire to do business the way our customers want to do business, this is another initiative which his now in place as part of our service. It is also the case that as we looked at the personal loan response rates we are very concerned and very focused on whether or not the Sallie Mae brand would extend to a different product and indeed it is the case that this is from all accounts everything we'll test sell that we have is obvious that the brand is an extreme help to either customers, especially customers I would say, pre-existing where the numbers are multiplicably higher than noncustomers and in using our brand versus a plain envelope where there'll be no brand. So indeed the brand has lift and so it is first class extendable to other products which is very helpful. Our competition in our main area of business, private student loans continues to be very strong and I am happy to say at this junction is stable. We have an evolution in the marketplace which is that education is undergoing its - education in how Americans buy it is undergoing change. We will change with it. And so as that happens we will follow our customers and also our affiliates who are really the colleges. So the grad products that we talked about a little bit earlier reflect that. We got very good results on those so far, but as people marginalize their consumption of education with limited target distance learning, we will reflect within that changes in our service and products to reflect those evolutionary changes. Our employee base continues to be a source of strength for us with overall turnover running less than 7% and we are filling for career movement over 60% of our jobs are being filled by people who are already within the company. Our outlook is good. EPS as you know is $0.99 to $1 that if we hit a dollar on that to midpoint we'll be up 39% of the year. The efficiency ratio as I said, the midpoint on that is 38.5% that will be 100 basis points, 110 basis points improvement from the prior year. Originations despite the fact that we've had such a good first half were holding to $5 billion at an abundance of caution because we are in the midst of busy season and the analysis would be if we were a retail store and it was November 10, now we're looking at the full year we would be optimistic which we are, but appropriately cautious given a lot of volume has to come in the next 45 days. So in summary, we have a great company and its having a great year. Our volumes up, our return to shareholders in EPS and ROE are excellent, with EPS up 60%. Our credit is outperforming our expectations. We continue to make progress on all fronts including the diversification and personal loans are up to $100 million outstanding. The grad products have been well received. We have a great team and it is a pleasure to talk with you today. Thank you. And at this point I will turn this over to steve.