Albert L. Lord
Analyst · Buckingham Research
Okay. So see, you've heard from Jack and Joe. They are the guys that make things happen around here. So let me just comment on some of the things that they talked about and maybe a couple of other things. And in fact, Joe and Jack both commented on the better credit news. I mention them again largely because the -- because some of the underlying statistics are starting to feel a lot better, and particularly delinquencies which are notably better. Our recoveries are very strong in the quarter as well. And while recoveries don't directly affect EPS, they are in cash and they ultimately do affect EPS. Nonetheless, we held our reserve at very conservative levels and flat as we move into the second quarter. Second quarter can hopefully confirm our optimism, but I would say, I guess, for at least the last 3 or 4 spring-summer, we've experienced economic swoons, and so we'll see how it turns out. You also note, I'm sure, that we had a little operating expense slippage. Joe mentioned that we're going to reduce those costs over the balance of the year and 2013 will be below 2012 numbers. Joe mentioned the capital markets being very accommodating. There's a fair amount of liquidity, and it seems that everybody is -- virtually all participants are looking for yield. While these markets are as liquid and active as they are, Sallie Mae will continue to be active. Joe mentioned the ABS pricing. That was very heartening, particularly our ability to move the subordinated piece. We also did 2 FFELP residual sales, ABS residuals, the second transaction price substantially better than the first. And we have another transaction in the market, and that's likely -- very likely to close in the quarter. As you know, and I always get questions about this, that it's Sallie Mae's policy to distribute its excess capital from its legacy businesses to our shareholders. And in fact, when we became able to do that back in 2011 and since we've been able to do that, we've returned near -- through this -- at least through June 30 of this year, we will have returned some $5 a share since mid-2011. All the while, we've reduced leverage, and the company still maintains in excess of 20% capital and reserves against its risk assets, risk assets which have less risk today than they did yesterday and the day before. It's likely that the board will evaluate our second half capital needs and then -- and the distribution situation at the May meeting. I think it's worth noting that, during the quarter, I and my colleagues met with each of the rating agencies and had very meaningful conversations with each. I would encourage you, to the extent you're interested in our relationship with the rating agencies or our current state of the -- the current state of the art with the rating agencies, to read -- S&P recently put out a note about its view of the current situation of Sallie Mae. And while I can say I wasn't even close to being ecstatic about what they wrote, they made their position very clear, and frankly, I believe the position to be very constructive. I believe our conversations were constructive. I understand that some of our unsecured debt investors and our equity investors are somewhat indifferent to the ratings, but I still retain hope that not only will we retain our investment-grade rating but that we will in time improve it. In terms of valuation, we're obviously trading nearer our intrinsic value than we once did. And I refer to our intrinsic value and our "drop dead" value as basically the same numbers. That's just the cash value of the business as it stands without any value for the franchise. I'll note that, that number actually goes up, is going up, and that's after $5 of distributions over the last couple of years. It's going up because the discount rate continues to drop for our cash flows, as has been manifested in the residual sale transactions. And our private portfolio continues to grow and its asset quality grows. You're well aware that the company reports its results in 3 segments. I will tell you that, as we operate, we're gravitating from 3 to 2 segments. And the segment may be -- may not be a perfectly appropriate definition, but it -- we manage ourselves really in respect to the 2 stated goals of the company. One is to return the earnings and the excess capital that are freed in the legacy wind-down operation, and the second is to build our private loan franchise. Those are the 2 primary goals of the company. We have a variety of other goals, but these are the 2 primary ones, and so it's largely how we describe the business. I'll remind you that the legacy business is the FFELP portfolio, and we define it as well to include $30 billion of loans originated before 2009 in the private side. And the other part of the private loan franchise or the -- or that [ph] part of the private loan franchise is the Smart Option loan growth activity. And that -- today, that's originated in our ILC bank. And just to give you 1 more minute on the Smart Option growth. As you heard, we're looking at a $4 billion of origination in that product. That's something in excess of 20% growth from last year's originations. We expect similar growth, it's -- and we'll talk about that at some point for 2014. I will remind you that the Smart Option product is today's franchise. More importantly, it is Sallie Mae's tomorrow franchise. We do not count it, it's value in intrinsic value. The Smart Option business is the market leader at roughly 50% of the market. In aggregate, by June 30, we'll have a $10 billion Smart Option loan portfolio, again growing with originations of $4 billion a year, so you can do the arithmetic at the pace of growth of that $10 billion entity. You heard the FICO scores. I think they're down to 746 from 750 and just slightly under 90% cosigned. These loans are underwritten to have less than 1% losses per year, and are -- as they mature, they are beginning to demonstrate that that's an appropriate loss rate. They have asset returns of 2.5% and equity returns something in excess of 15%. I would say and do say that the Smart Option product and business is a very worthy descendant of its 40-year Sallie Mae parentage. You heard our EPS guidance. It's -- you can go back to the $2.30 that you heard at the beginning of the year and add and subtract the gains and losses from various sundry balance sheet restructurings. Obviously, at this point, we've done a couple of ABS transactions or maybe more, and so we may be adjusting that number, but the core earnings of the company remain about as we predicted. With that, I'm going to finish my comments. And I guess, we'll take questions. Steve?