Robert Simmons
Analyst · Tom Fitzgerald with TD Cowen
Today, we reported a first quarter GAAP net income of $102 million or $2.50 earnings per share. Q1 pretax income was $108 million. Our weighted average share count for Q1 was 40.7 million, and our effective tax rate was 6%. This GAAP EPS included a $0.29 impact from this unusually low effective tax rate from a discrete benefit in the quarter compared to the Q1 rate last year. Let's start today with revenue. Total Q1 revenue of $1.01 billion is down slightly from $1.02 billion in Q4 2025 and up 7% from $948 million in Q1 2025. Q1 revenue includes contract revenue of $810 million, up from $803 million in Q4 2025 and up from $785 million in Q1 2025. Prorate and charter revenue was $168 million in Q1, up $1 million from Q4 2025 and up $37 million from Q1 2025. Leasing and other revenue was $35 million in Q1, down from $54 million in Q4 and up from $32 million in Q1 2025. The sequential decrease in leasing and other revenue from Q4 related to discrete maintenance services provided to third parties in Q4 that was not expected to repeat in Q1. Additionally, these Q1 GAAP results include the effect of recognizing $24 million of previously deferred revenue this quarter, up from the $5 million recognized in Q4 2025 and $13 million recognized in Q1 2025. As of the end of Q1, we have $241 million of cumulative deferred revenue that will be recognized in future periods. Now let's discuss the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with cash of $627 million, down from $707 million last quarter and down from $751 million at Q1 2025. The ending cash balance for the quarter included the effects from repaying $116 million in debt, issuing $118 million of new debt, investing $102 million in CapEx, including the purchase of 1 E175 and buying back 783,000 shares of SkyWest stock in Q1 for $75 million. As of March 31, we had $138 million remaining under our current share repurchase authorization. Cash flow is obviously an important driver of our capital deployment strategy. Over the last 2 years, we generated nearly $1 billion in free cash flow and deployed it primarily to delever and derisk the balance sheet to the benefit of our partners, our employees and our shareholders. We expect to continue to deploy our ongoing generation of free cash flow by investing in our fleet, including financing the addition of 28 new E175s by the end of 2028, reducing our debt and executing opportunistically on our share repurchase program as you saw us do in Q1. As we remain focused on improving our return on invested capital, we'd like to highlight the following: both our debt net of cash and leverage ratios continue at favorable levels and are at their lowest point in over a decade. Our total debt level is $1 billion lower today than it was at the end of 2022 in spite of acquiring and debt financing 15 E175s during that time. The total 2025 capital expenditures funding our growth initiatives was approximately $580 million, including the purchase of 7 new E175s, CRJ900 airframes and aircraft and engines supporting our CRJ550 opportunity. We expect to take 9 new E175s during 2026 and anticipate our total CapEx in 2026 will be about flat with 2025, including 2 incremental 175 deliveries. Consistent with our practice, let me update you on some commentary on 2026 that we gave last quarter. For 2026, we now expect to see block hour production slightly lower this summer than we modeled last quarter. We continue to work with our partners on production schedules over the rest of 2026. Wade will talk more about this in a minute. We also anticipate our GAAP EPS for 2026 will be in the $11 area, slightly down from the color we gave last quarter, reflecting our expectation of ongoing elevated fuel costs. Although the future cost of fuel is obviously uncertain, we are exposed to fuel costs only on roughly 10% of our flying or 40 million gallons needed in our prorate business over the remainder of the year. We also believe, however, that higher fuel costs will come with some favorable prorate pricing offsets in that business, along with ongoing strength in our core model. In terms of how to think of quarterly EPS modeling for the rest of 2026, there are several potential puts and takes over the remaining quarters, including seasonality, fuel cost production and so on that have various levels of uncertainty. But to keep it simple, on a GAAP EPS basis, we anticipate directionally that Q2 could be up slightly from Q1 GAAP results of $2.50. Q3, seasonally the strongest quarter of the year, could be up over Q2, and Q4 could be down modestly from Q3. For other modeling purposes, we anticipate our maintenance activity in 2026 will continue approximately at 2025 levels as we invest in bringing more aircraft back into service. We also anticipate our effective tax rate will be approximately 23% to 24% for the full year 2026, flat to slightly down from 2025, including the unusually low rate of 6% in Q1. This is expected to translate to an effective tax rate of approximately 27% to 28% for the remaining quarters of 2026. We are optimistic about our ongoing growth possibilities in '26 and '27, including the following 3 focus areas: first, growth in our ability to increase service to underserved communities, driven partially by the redeployment of approximately 20 dual-class CRJ aircraft expected for scheduled service later this year and strong utilization of the existing fleet. Second, good demand for our prorate product. And third, placing 9 new E175s into service for United and Alaska by the end of 2026, and 16 new E175s for Delta in 2027 and 2028. We are also very pleased with the success of our CRJ550 and CRJ450 initiatives, and I will hand the mic to Wade, who will talk more about that next. We believe that we are positioned to drive long-term shareholder returns by deploying our strong balance sheet and free cash flow generation against a variety of accretive opportunities. Wade?