Wade Steel
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead
Thank you, Rob. Keeping with our conversation today, I’ll first review our fleet changes for 2016, then discuss our current fleet expectations for 2017. Throughout the very busy 2016, we executed on our strategy of removing aircraft from unprofitable agreements and transitioning our fleet to larger new aircraft as well as redeploying aircraft with extended flying terms to mitigate financing risk. From year-end 2015 to year-end 2016, we move from 660 total aircraft to 652 total aircraft in our fleet. Well, the net difference is only eight aircraft. We executed significantly fleet movement and transitioned across the fleet during those 12 months. Specifically, during 2016, we added 41 new E175s to our fleet including the first 13 of 19 new E175s under our Delta agreement. 18 new E175s under our United agreement for a total of 58 under contract with United and 10 E175s under our Alaska agreement for a total of 15 under contract with Alaska. This brought our E175 year-end 2016 total to 86. Also during 2016, we signed agreements to redeploy 49 SkyWest airline CRJ 700s from United to other major partner; 37 to American and 12 to Delta. At year-end 2016, 23 of the 37 aircraft were in service under our American contract. We expect the remaining 14 will be redeployed in the first half of 2017. At year-end 2016, all 12 Delta CRJ 700s were operating within our Delta system as we discussed last quarter. These redeployments essentially mitigate any financing risk on our CRJ 700 through 2019. As discussed in previous quarters, we expected to return of nine CRJ 700s that were operating for Alaska under an early lease return arrangement. We replaced these nine CRJ 700s with new E175 under long-term flying agreements with Alaska. At year-end 2016, all nine CRJ 700s were removed from service and all these return charges are accounted for on these aircraft. We also made changes to our 50-seat fleet in 2016, 28 ERJ145s were removed from our fleet primarily from an unprofitable United contract and 12 CRJ 200s were removed from various contracts during 2016. At year-end 2016, we had 142 ERJ145 under contract with United. Looking ahead to 2017, I’ll review our anticipated fleet forecast and provide some color on the changes we anticipate. We expect to take delivery of the 18 additional E175s during 2017, which will conclude the delivery cycle on this round of the E175. We expect 17 of those 18 aircraft will be delivered and placed under contract with Delta, United, Alaska during the first half of 2017. In total, we anticipate 104 E175s in our fleet by year-end 2017. In CRJ 700 fleet, we anticipated SkyWest Airlines will transition its 14 CRJ 700s from United to American by the middle of the year. Additionally, ExpressJet will begin operating 12 CRJ 700s for American this year under a multi-year agreement as we move ExpressJet CRJ operation to primarily dual-class. As announced in December, these 12 CRJ 700 aircraft are part of our existing fleet and were originally planned to be returned early to the [indiscernible]. In our 50-seat fleet, we anticipate removing 59 ERJ145s in 2017, 45 of which are under an unprofitable United contract. Our United ERJ145 contract has an expiration of December 31, 2017. However, United has two one-year renewable options at modestly improved economics. United has exercised its first one-year option to extend the contract through 2018. We continue to work with United on a mutually beneficial long-term solution for the ERJ145. Additionally, we plan to remove 46 CRJ200s, primarily from the ExpressJet fleet in accordance with their natural contract expiration and as part of the plan to move ExpressJet CRJ operation to dual class. We anticipate more than half of these aircraft will be returned to the lessor under natural lease expirations in 2017, while the remaining will be sold or leased to other third party. We anticipate these changes to make ExpressJet a more efficient operator. However, overall demand for our remaining 50-seat aircraft remain very strong and we are working with each of our major partners to meet their ongoing 50-seat needs. We have recently extended 22 CRJ200s with American and 9 CRJ200s with Delta under contracts with SkyWest Airlines. At the end of 2017, we anticipate having a fleet of over 250 50-seat aircraft. We expect that fleet size will stabilize at that point, so that we can continue to meet the industry demand that Chip noted earlier. As demonstrated in 2016, execution of our fleet strategy continues to produce tangible result to our model and overall profitability. As we have discussed today, we expect fleet transitions to continue throughout 2017 as we reduce unprofitable flying, redeploy aircraft with other partners and place larger, new aircraft into service to minimize our risk and continue to deliver on our commercial agreements.