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Tanger Inc. (SKT)

Q3 2012 Earnings Call· Wed, Oct 31, 2012

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Transcript

Cyndi M. Holt

Management

Good morning. I’m Cindy Holt, Vice President, Finance and Investor Relations, and I would like to welcome you to the Tanger Factory Outlet Centers’ Third Quarter 2012 Conference Call. Yesterday, we issued the quarter’s earnings release, as well as our supplemental information package and investor presentation. This information is available on our website under the Investor Relations tab. Please note that during this conference call some of management’s comments will be forward-looking statements including statements regarding the Company’s property operations, leasing, tenant sales trends, development, acquisition, expansion and disposition activities as well as our comments regarding the Company’s funds from operations, funds available for distribution and dividends. These forward-looking statements are subject to numerous risks and uncertainties. And actual results could differ materially from those projected due to factors including but not limited to changes in economic and real estate conditions, the availability and cost of capital, the Company's ongoing – ability to lease, develop and acquire properties as well as potential tenant bankruptcies and competition. We direct you to the Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for a detailed discussion of the risks and uncertainties. During the call, we will also discuss non-GAAP financial measures as defined by SEC Regulation G. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP measures to the comparable GAAP financial measures are included in our earnings release and in our supplemental information. This call is being recorded for rebroadcast for a period of time in the future. As such, it is important to note that management's comments include time-sensitive information that may be accurate only as of today's date October 31, 2012. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. Following management's prepared comments, the call will be opened up for your questions. We ask that you limit your questions to two, so all callers will have the opportunity to ask questions. On the call today will be Steven Tanger, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Frank Marchisello, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. I will now turn the call over to Steven Tanger. Please go ahead, Steve.

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Thank you Cindy and good morning everyone. Tanger solid 2012 operating performance continued through the third quarter, as evidenced by four key metrics: same-center net operating income, rental rate spreads, tenant comparable sales, and occupancy. Strong same-center NOI growth of 5.6% during the quarter, which marks our 31st consecutive quarter of positive NOI comps, was the result of our ability to successfully increase rental rates and occupancy. We achieved a blended straight-line increase in rents of 31.3% for the quarter, boosting our year-to-date spread to 24.9%. Comparable tenant sales increased 7% in the quarter and 5.4% for the rolling 12 months ended September 30, 2012 to a record $381 per square foot. Occupancy at the end of the third quarter was 98.6%, compared favorably on a year-over-year basis and on a sequential quarterly basis. Occupancy at September 30, 2011 was 98.3% and at June 30, 2012 98%. Highlights since our last quarterly call include our recent announcement of a new potential development site in Charlotte, North Carolina. The grand opening of the newest Tanger Outlet Center in the Houston, Texas market near Galveston, and the announcement of the pending acquisition and rebranding of two existing outlet centers in the Montreal, Quebec market. I will discuss our external growth pipeline in more detail later in the call. First, let me turn the call over to Frank, who will take you through our financial results for the quarter.

Frank C. Marchisello

Management

Thank you Steve and good morning everyone. Total funds from operations or FFO for the quarter ended September 30, 2012 increased 10.6% to $41.9 million compared to $37.9 million last year. Adjusted FFO per share increased 5% to $0.42 per share from $0.40 per share for the third quarter of last year and met the Street’s consensus expectations. This year-over-year increase is a direct result of our ability to continue to drive rental rates in gross same-center NOI as well as the accretive impact of the acquisitions made during 2011. On a consolidated basis, our total market capitalization at September 30, 2012 was approximately $4.2 billion, up from $3.5 billion last year. Our debt-to-total market capitalization was approximately 24.8% at September 30, 2012 compared to 27.8% last year. We also maintained a very strong interest coverage ratio of 4.37 times for the quarter, up from 4.11 times for the third quarter of 2011. As of September 30, 2012, approximately 63.3% of our debt was at fixed rates. Our balance sheet strategy continues to be conservative targeting minimal use of secured financing and a manageable schedule of debt maturities. In fact, we have no significant maturities on our balance sheet before November of 2015. Our FFO payout ratio for the first nine months of 2012 was approximately 53% and our FAD payout ratio was approximately 57%. At these levels, we are able to generate significant incremental cash flow over our dividend, which we plan to use to help fund our future growth, or to reduce amounts outstanding under our lines of credit. I’ll now turn it back over to Steve. Go ahead, Steve.

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Thanks, Frank. Our positive leasing momentum from the first half of the year continued into the third quarter. A strong 31.3% blended straight line rental spread on the renewal and re-leasing of space throughout the consolidated portfolio during the quarter increased the year-to-date spread from 23.7% at June 30 to 24.9% at September 30. This year-to-date positive rental spread includes 407 leases that were executed through September 30, totaling about 1,800,000 square feet. Through September 30, we have executed renewals and renewals in process were about a 1,450,000 square feet, or about 80% of the space coming up for renewals during 2012. This yields an increase in average base rental rates on the executed renewal of 14.7%, up from 13.8% increase in average base rental rates on lease renewals executed during the first nine months of 2011. In addition, during the first nine months of the year, we re-tenanted approximately 440,000 square feet with an increase in average base rental rates of 53.9%, up from 51.3% for the first nine months of 2011. Substantial leasing spreads like these, together with contractually embedded rental rate increases have once again resulted in a strong same-center net operating income growth. During the quarter, same-center NOI growth was 5.6% compared to 5% from the third quarter of last year. Year-to-date same-center NOI growth was 6.5% compared to 4.9% increase in the same period last year. This growth resulted from continued increases in rental rates as well as higher average occupancy rates in 2012 compared to 2011. Our overall occupancy rate for our consolidated stabilized properties continues to climb and was at 98.6% as of September 30, 2012, compared to 98.3% a year ago and 98% at June 30, 2012. As many consumers have become more value oriented, while still seeking to enjoy their favorite…

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your first question comes from the line of Samit Parikh from ISI. Your line is open. Samit Parikh – International Strategy & Investment Group, Inc.: Hey, good morning everyone. Steve and Frank, my first question, have you been able to assess the damage on any of your assets from Hurricane Sandy, most specifically Atlantic City, but also obviously Riverhead, Deer Park, Hilton Head, etcetera?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Well, the storm was a tragic event and our hearts go out to the family and our friends and the communities where we live and work. The Tanger team at each property did a magnificent job of watching the property, of providing appropriate security and working with local officials to evacuate were necessary. Atlantic City was the hardest hit. On Monday, we had eight properties, eight or nine properties, representing about 38% of the portfolio was closed on Monday. As of today, thankfully with the exception of Westbrook, Connecticut where there still is no power and Atlantic City, which was probably the hardest hit, all of the Tanger centers will be open. Our insurance coverage was conservatively structured and fortunately we only have a $50,000 deductible for a named event such as this throughout the entire portfolio. Samit Parikh – International Strategy & Investment Group, Inc.: And, Steve, does that insurance coverage cover sort of business disruption in the event that maybe your asset in Atlantic City needs to shut down for a prolonged period of time for large redevelopment?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We have business interruption insurance also, but it’s difficult to prove the amount because we have leases with tenants that require payment everyday regardless of whether they’re open. And I think all of our tenants have business interruption insurance to protect their businesses. But I would not suspect much revenue from business interruption insurance for Tanger. Samit Parikh – International Strategy & Investment Group, Inc.: Okay, that’s helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Andrew Johns with Green Street Advisors. Your line is open. Andrew Johns – Green Street Advisors, Inc.: Thank you. So, Steve it’s been about two years since you and RioCan formed the Canadian joint venture platform. I’m just wondering if you could talk in broad strokes. First, relative to your initial expectations, what’s been a little bit more challenging and then on the opposite, what’s been a little bit easier or more positive than you initially expected?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

When we announced the co-ownership agreement with RioCan, we expected over a 5 to 7 year build out that the partnership or the co-owners would be able to have between 8 and 10 assets. Right now, 18 months into our partnership, we have three assets, each of which we’re in the process of expanding. So I think we’re pretty much on track. The Canadian market is different than United States. There’s a different skill set for development, construction, etcetera. And that’s why we feel we’ve partnered with the best. With a 30-year track record in Canada, RioCan has a highly-skilled group of professionals, and I think we are on track to meeting our plan. Andrew Johns – Green Street Advisors, Inc.: And that’s helpful. And then on the recently announced acquisitions in Montreal, can you give us a sense for the sales productivity of those assets and then the pricing that you guys paid in terms of cap rate?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

As you know, we have a long history over 30 years of not being specific on sales productivity for individual assets, nor have we announced individual cap rates on acquisitions. Andrew Johns – Green Street Advisors, Inc.: Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Todd Thomas from KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is open. Todd Thomas – KeyBanc Capital Markets: Hi, good morning. Thank you. Just a question regarding Charlotte, I was just wondering what your thought was of that market whether you think the two centers can be built or if the distance between the two proposed sites is enough such that there can be two centers in that market?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We live and work in the State of North Carolina and are well aware of the Charlotte market. The sites are about 19 miles apart. There are other parts of the United States in other markets where outlet centers are 19 miles apart and both operate successfully. Charlotte is one of the top 20 markets in the United States and probably could support two outlets in addition to Concord Mills. We are proceeding with our development of the site and we’ll see which site the tenants support. As you know, Todd, we have a 30-year history of very disciplined development. We don’t buy property and we don’t build on speculation. And at the end of the day, the tenant community will decide, regardless of what all the developers say, who has the best site and will determine which goes forward, or both go forward. Todd Thomas – KeyBanc Capital Markets : Okay. And then just a follow-up on development, any change to your expected yields on new projects at this time, so either Charlotte or any new development announcements that would take place? Is there any reason to expect that you wouldn’t be targeting a 10% to 11% stabilized yield? And then also given that Houston opened at 97%, any comment on where that center’s yield sort of settled out relative to expectations?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Our target continues to be 10% to 11% cash on cash unleveraged return for new developments. Houston opened at the 97%--and thank you for mentioning that-which is a terrific opening for us. And most of the tenants had record breaking openings. And I think right now the yield on Houston will be at the high-end of that range. Todd Thomas – KeyBanc Capital Markets: All right. Thank you. Operator: Your next question comes from the line of Emmanuel Korchman with Citibank. Your line is open. Emmanuel Korchman – Citigroup Global Markets Inc. : Hey, guys. Most of my questions have already been answered. But looking forward, again, is there any chance that you could partner up with Simon as you did in Texas?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We have no plans today. We have had a successful partnership with Simon in our project in Houston. But as of today, we’re preceding directly by ourselves. Emmanuel Korchman – Citigroup Global Markets Inc. : And then, can you give us an update on the pre-leasing level in Scottsdale?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We continue to get positive reaction from the tenant community in Scottsdale. We’re not in a position today to announce a ground breaking. When we get to the appropriate level of preleasing, we will. Emmanuel Korchman – Citigroup Global Markets Inc. : Thank you.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Ross from UBS. Your life is open. Ross Nussbaum – UBS Securities LLC: Hey, Steve, good morning. It would seem to me that your stock has been an underperformer versus all the other regional mall companies this year. And the biggest concern I hear is the overbuilding complaint. And can you put into some perspective the level of construction development activity you expect to see over the next couple of years and maybe put that in context to what you’ve seen over the last decade or two? Because it would seem to me that demand for outlets is stronger than it has ever been in the history of the industry and maybe it’s a little more visible that the construction is out there because the public companies are doing it. But can you address that concern that’s out there in the market?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We don’t perceive any overbuilding. We’ve never been in a position in our industry of overbuilding. To put it in perspective, the entire industry by our computation has only about 150 outlet centers in the entire United States, totaling between 50 million square feet and 55 million square feet. The City of Chicago alone has 178 million square feet of retail. So you can fit our entire industry 3.5 times into Chicago. Nobody is going to convince me that our industry is over built. This year probably seven or eight outlet centers will be delivered. That’s on a base of 150, though it’s not significant growth. Over the past many conference calls, we have identified numerous markets, 17 to 20 markets, around the country that we feel are either underserved or not served at all by outlets. We have several markets this year where one or two outlet centers by different developers will be developed and hopefully open successfully. The market for developers, non-public developers, is challenged because it’s difficult to get financing without substantial equity. The public REITs are highly sophisticated, disciplined management teams with long histories of not doing silly things. And I think that, that will continue. We’d much rather compete against disciplined, developer-owner managers than speculators. And we’re not seeing speculated building in this market, which is always dangerous. The quick answer is I don’t see over-building. I don’t expect over-building. The tenants run business units that are highly profitable within their corporations. Their success, the business manager success is based upon delivering of successful outlet centers and they tend to go with the larger highly-skilled long-term public REITs as opposed to speculative developers. Ross Nussbaum – UBS Securities LLC: Appreciate that, thank you. Let me try to follow-up on the question that was asked before regarding the economics on Montreal. Without specifically giving us the yields on the acquisition, can you talk about it in the context of how you think about pricing versus the U.S. market? And how you approach acquisitions in the U.S. market with respect to the fact that Canada is still roughly virgin territory for even I would think that you’d perhaps want a higher yield up there than in your backyard in the U.S. Is that a fair statement?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Well, regardless of what we may want, the market dictates pricing and there is a scarcity of outlet center product in Canada already built. So the pricing is the cap rates are low, substantially lower than in the States for acquisitions and due to the scarcity factor. I’m not going to get into specific amounts, but buying an existing center or two existing center in the Montreal market, which was a directed sale, not a public process, allows us to enter the market two to three years ahead of other competitors who maybe going through finalizing their permits and building and constructing in the Canadian climate. So to jump-start, we felt it was a market deal and probably at a lower cap rate than if we were purchasing in States. Ross Nussbaum – UBS Securities LLC: Is it going to be accretive to your earnings?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Right now, we think it will be. Marginally, it will be either break even or marginally accretive. Keep in mind, we have a 50% partner in Canada and the amount of the investment is not substantial. So it’s not going to move the needle either way. Ross Nussbaum – UBS Securities LLC: And that’s assuming permanent funding or is that assuming some short-term funding costs?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We have existing funding on St. Sauveur and we are looking for more permanent financing on Bromont. And when we put all that in place, we’d be happy to talk specifics with you. Ross Nussbaum – UBS Securities LLC: I appreciate it. Thank you, Steve.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ben Yang with Evercore Partners. Your line is open. Ben Yang – Evercore Partners: Yeah. Hi, good morning. Thanks. May be going back to Samit’s question on Atlantic City, I’m not sure if you specifically addressed this, but is it your expectation that, that center will needs to be rebuilt at some point? And if that’s the case, do all the leases basically terminate when that happens?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We have no expectation of any demolition and rebuilding in Atlantic City. Ben Yang – Evercore Partners: Okay, great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Carol Kemple with Hilliard Lyons. Your line is open. Carol Kemple – J.J.B. Hilliard, W.L. Lyons LLC: Good morning. You have a fantastic occupancy at this point. What’s the highest level that’s ever been in your history as a public company? I just want to see how – I know it could go to 100%, but realistically how high has it been in the past?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

With the exception of a moment in time, when we went public 20 years ago, Carol, where we had a higher occupancy on a very, very small portfolio. This is bumping up against the record occupancy for us. Fortunately, there is significant tenant demand and the tenants are going and growing in all of our properties. Carol Kemple – J.J.B. Hilliard, W.L. Lyons LLC: Okay. And then I noticed in the supplement, it looks like dressbarn took about 25 more spaces this quarter from the second quarter. Are they opening a new concept, or was there anything specific going on there?

Steven Tanger

Analyst · Carol Kemple with Hilliard Lyons

Well, dressbarn purchased Justice. Carol Kemple – J.J.B. Hilliard, W.L. Lyons LLC: Okay.

Steven B. Tanger

Management

And that’s probably included in the dressbarn. We include a corporate entity much like The Gap includes Banana Republic, Old Navy, et cetera. dressbarn now includes dressbarn, Maurices and Justice. Carol Kemple – J.J.B. Hilliard, W.L. Lyons LLC: Okay. Does Justice has outlet concepts or is it basically the full priced storages in the outlet centers?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Justice has an outlet concept, which is similar to the full price with more, more on-sale product. Carol Kemple – J.J.B. Hilliard, W.L. Lyons LLC: Okay, great. Thank you.

Frank Marchisello

Analyst · Carol Kemple with Hilliard Lyons

Carol, this is Frank. My understanding is that they also acquired Lane Bryant. Carol Kemple – J.J.B. Hilliard, W.L. Lyons LLC: Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Molly McCartin with JPMorgan. Your line is open. Molly McCartin – JPMorgan Securities LLC: Hi, yes. Just going back to the development pace, so we used to assume about wanted to outlet developments per year. Do you see this pace picking up over the next three years? Should we adjust that number?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Well, we have not only developments, but expansions in both the United States and Canada. We’re still targeting one to two new developments a year. This year, as you know, we met the two developments. And next year, we hope to meet the two. But we’re not ready to raise guidance yet. Molly McCartin – JPMorgan Securities LLC: Okay. And do you see more of them being wholly-owned rather than JV-ed?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We’re being opportunistic. In some instances, the landowner invites us in or wants to maintain a position in the property. And in order to get a great site, we will form a partnership. Our preference is to have it wholly-owned, but our preference is also to create shareholder value, and sometimes by doing that, we enter into partnerships. Molly McCartin – JPMorgan Securities LLC: All right, great. That’s it for me. Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Wes Golladay with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open. Wes Golladay – RBC Capital Markets Equity Research: Hey, good morning guys. With the high occupancy in the portfolio, is it possible to expand some of the existing centers?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We’re looking at increasing the density at every one of our properties all the time. We are expanding right now in Gonzales, Louisiana, and we’re looking to expand in several others. But these are relatively small expansions. Some of the newer properties we developed in the last couple of years Charlotte, Pittsburgh, Mebane, North Carolina, some of these have the ability to expand. And if the centers continue to perform at the high level of productivity and tenant demand remains high, we will continue to build out the portfolio. Wes Golladay – RBC Capital Markets Equity Research: Okay. And going to the acquisition front, is there more product available in the U.S. or Canada at the moment?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We continually look for high-quality product. Should that product become available, we will aggressively perform our due diligence and see if we can buy it. Wes Golladay – RBC Capital Markets Equity Research: Okay. And looking at the tenants, looking across the portfolio, what are some of the categories or tenants which are struggling and what categories or tenants are looking to expand the most?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Fortunately, virtually every one of the tenant categories, the categories of product in the outlets are doing well today. Some of the ones that are expanding now with the housing market rebounding, some of the housewares, tabletop tenants are expanding. The jewelry market folks are expanding, but it’s pretty much across the board. I would just want to reiterate that we don’t sell a significant amount with any of consumer electronics, books, computer hardware, computer software, so the items that have – that efficiently sold on the Internet are not tenants of ours. Wes Golladay – RBC Capital Markets Equity Research: Okay, thanks for taking the questions.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Your next question comes from the line of Ben Yang with Evercore Partners. Your line is open. Ben Yang – Evercore Partners: Yeah, hi. Thanks for taking the follow-up. Just a quick one on Canada, is Tony Grossi still your consultant there and if yes, is there any exclusivity in your relationship with him to the extent that he finds opportunities there?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Tony did a fabulous job of getting the partnership launched and helping us understand the Canadian market. Tony now has taken a senior management position with a local Canadian retailer. He is still a very good friend and co-trustee of myself on the ICSC Board. But he is no longer employed by or working with the partnership in Canada. Ben Yang – Evercore Partners: Okay, that’s helpful. And do you have anyone lined up to maybe replace him to find those opportunities for you guys or do you guys feel pretty comfortable given your relationship with RioCan that you can continue to do some interesting things up there?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

We’re very comfortable with the professional staff of RioCan. Ben Yang – Evercore Partners: Great, thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Emmanuel Korchman with Citibank. Your line is open. Emmanuel Korchman – Citigroup Global Markets Inc.: Hey, guys, a follow-up for me as well. Can you give us a little bit of color on what the acquisition competitive landscape looks like in terms of other buyers who is looking at the same outlet centers that you’re?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Well, as I mentioned before, if something comes on the market, we will look at it. It’s difficult to tell without specifics. So, the outlets are an attractive retail distribution channel today. But I have no specific information to give you, so I can’t really answer that. Emmanuel Korchman – Citigroup Global Markets Inc. : Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Todd Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Your line is open. Todd Thomas – KeyBanc Capital Markets: Hi, thanks. Just two quick ones from me. First, sorry if I missed it, but is National Harbor, where you’re going to break ground this year, is that expected to open in time for the holidays next year, 2013?

Steven B. Tanger

Management

That’s our plan, Todd. We’re planning to break ground before the end of this year, and it will either be open by holiday 2013 or spring 2014. Todd Thomas – KeyBanc Capital Markets: Okay. And then just lastly in terms of G&A, it looks like it ticked up a bit again and if I look at my notes, I think it looked like last quarter you expected it to run about $8.5 million a quarter. Was there anything in the third quarter number? Is that a good run rate to think about using going forward?

Frank Marchisello

Analyst · Todd Thomas with KeyBanc Capital Markets

This is Frank. I think between $8.5 million and $9 million is a good run rate. We had a couple kind of extraordinary items hit in the third quarter. We’re expensing quite a bit of money in dealing with setting up and getting the joint ventures online, so that’s a little bit bumpy in the G&A number. But I think $8.5 million to $9 million is a good number for Q4. Todd Thomas – KeyBanc Capital Markets: Okay, thank you.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I turn the call back over to Mr. Tanger.

Steven B. Tanger

Management

Thank all of you for participating on the call today and for your interest in our company. Tanger is the only public REIT with a pure outlet portfolio. We have conservatively structured our balance sheet, high brand recognition, and a tenured management team with a disciplined development approach. Our strong portfolio of geographically diversified operating properties provides significant returns for our shareholders and we have an enviable growth pipeline. Frank and I are always available to answer any of your questions you may have. Thank you again. Have a great day. Think outlets, think Tanger.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect.