Mel Karmazin
Analyst · Lazard Capital Markets
Thanks, Will. And good morning, everyone. 2010 was a remarkable year for satellite radio. If there ever any doubts about the viability of a SiriusXM, our 2010 results put those doubts to rest. Today, we have a respected brand that is coveted as a must have product for discerning American consumers. In addition, the business community at large cannot ignore the strong economic drivers inherent in our unique business model. Technology changes have transformed the media landscape over the past 10 years creating winners and losers along the way. I'm proud to say that we are clearly in the first camp. We are no longer a long-shot concept and company. I believe we are increasingly viewed as a sure thing. Let me quickly review the company's important financial results in 2010. Revenue grew by over 14% to $2.82 billion, a record for the company. At the same time, we managed our expenses aggressively allowing only a 7% increase in cash operating expenses. Most of the expense increases were revenue related or related to our growth in subscribers. Consequently, adjusted EBITDA grew by over 35% to $626 million, which was another record for the company. After only two years of positive adjusted EBITDA, our margin was 22%. We anticipate significant margin expansion in the years ahead with an operating margin over 40% at maturity. As those investors who have known me for a long time appreciate, the most important measure of a business' success to me is free cash flow. It's free cash flow that enables you to pay down debt, make acquisitions or return capital to shareholders. In that regard, we generated $210 million of free cash flow in 2010. That's despite launching a satellite last year and paying for a great deal of the construction of another satellite that will launch later this year. Free cash flow was also a record amount for the company. That's two consecutive years of strong free cash flow generation, $185 million in 2009, and $210 million in 2010. What a difference from of the over $500 million of negative free cash flow in 2008. And free cash flow over the next several years should ramp dramatically given that we will not be spending any cash on satellite capital expenditures following this year's launch of SIRIUS 6 nor will we be a meaningful income tax payer. Importantly, our operational metrics in 2010 were as gratifying as our financial results. Subscriber net additions were 1.4 million strong in 2010, representing a year-over-year growth rate of nearly 8%. That's pretty impressive growth for a business that had already scaled to be one of the largest subscriber businesses in this country by the end of 2009. We ended the year with $20.2 million subs, which was another record for SiriusXM. In addition to the strong gross adds, principally a result of improved auto sales, I'm proud to say that this growth in our subscriber base was also the result of improvements in our subscriber metrics from its 2009 levels. The rate at which we converted consumers on trials to self-pay subscribers grew from 45.4% to 46.2% while we also reduced our self-pay churn from 2.0% from 1.9%. The fact that we grew our self-pay base by nearly 1 million subscribers is an astonishing achievement, 6x as many new customers chose to pay for our service in 2010 than in 2009. This clearly demonstrates that consumers love SiriusXM given their willingness to pay for our service when they have a plenty of free audio entertainment alternatives available to them. Content is what matters. It was great news for our subscribers and our shareholders that we were able to extend Howard Stern’s contract and also the NFL until 2015. We will continue to deliver to subscribers the best content in radio. We also anticipate that our programming costs will continue to decline in absolute dollars and also as a percentage of revenue. Also very importantly, Howard and the NFL are available on smart phones with the SiriusXM app, and that will also please subscribers. As smart phones continue to emerge, SiriusXM will be a content leader there as well. From whatever perspective you look at SiriusXM today, as a consumer, a lender or a shareholder, the company is respected and offers a unique value proposition. To the consumer, we offer a tremendous array of diverse audio content at a modest cost. What else is available to the American consumer that provides a comparable level of daily satisfaction at a cost of less than $0.50 a day? To our lenders, our performance over the past quarters has provided as steadily improving credit profile that has rewarded them with a very good return on the risk they've taken when deciding to lend to us. Our debt investors today view us as a significantly better credit risk than they did in the recent past and we expect that our continued growth will provide us even better borrowing rates in the future. From our shareholders’ perspective, we enjoy a premium valuation versus most of our competitors in the media space. Clearly, the equity market now better appreciates the strength of our business model, particularly the expected free cash flow generation characteristics of the company in the coming years. Luckily for our shareholders, I believe we have the assets, financial flexibility and business savvy to satisfy the growth expectations inherent in our valuation today. I expect that we will continue to dominate paid audio entertainment in the years ahead. So let's talk about the future, both near term and long. As usual for us, we are cautious starting the year but I'm happy to announce today that we are providing guidance for 2011 that keeps us on a growth trajectory that is similar to the growth that we experienced last year. We expect to generate approximately $3 billion in revenue and $715 million in adjusted EBITDA. We also expect free cash flow to approach $300 million this year. Operationally, we are forecasting to add another 1.4 million net subscribers by the end of the year and to experience full-year conversion and self-paid churn rates, similar to the strong levels we enjoyed in 2010. Our entire organization is working tirelessly to introduce SiriusXM 2.0 into the marketplace retail segment in 2011. I'm really excited about the evolution in our service. As I mentioned earlier, SiriusXM 2.0 promises increased content and functionality to our subscribers. We are expecting to expand our audio content lineup by a significant number of channels. That should make our already robust content offering even better. You should expect us to offer additional data service over time as well. We are also planning some exciting improvements in functionality. An electronic program guide will be available that lets you know what's on all of our channels. Our subscribers will be able to buy music from their radio. We'll also include pause, resume, and replay as well as record and playback capabilities. We believe these improvements will enhance the customer experience and make our service that much more differentiated and superior to the alternatives out there and therefore, that much more indispensable to our subscribers. We'll also look to enhance the value of being a SiriusXM subscriber in other ways. We received very positive feedback about the Paul McCartney concert we presented last December that celebrated SiriusXM achieving over 20 million subscribers. You should expect that we will be doing more of these events in 2011 as well. Our priorities for 2011 are to end the year reporting record revenue, record subs, record EBITDA and most importantly, free cash flow. The theme running through everything I just mentioned is simple, we know we have a great service that people want. We want consumers to crave SiriusXM even more and establish an enduring loyalty to our brand. To accomplish this, we plan to continually invest in new services, functionality and especially programming that continually enhances the value proposition and encourages consumers to not hesitate at each opportunity to become a self-pay subscriber. We want to become a no-brainer when American consumers are deciding how to allocate their precious household budgets. I believe this commitment to serving the wants and needs of our subscribers and having the financial wherewithal to meet that commitment, will translate into sustained growth and strong and consistent improving financial results, which we hope will further translate to incremental shareholder value creation. From my perspective, the long-term investment thesis is actually pretty straightforward. We intend to offer service to consumers that they will want for a long time. The opportunity for acquiring new customers is growing both through additional improvements in the auto sector as well as the used car opportunity we've spoken about. The combination of these two factors should allow us to generate steady top-line growth over the next several years, then slap that expectation against the strong operational leverage characteristics of this business and we should be a significant free cash flow generator over the next several years. Growing EBITDA, no satellite CapEx, reduced interest payments and no meaningful income taxes will contribute to our dramatic free cash flow growth. So the obvious question that arises from this is what will we do with the cash that we accumulate over time. There are only three things a company can deal with a significant amount of excess cash, pay down debt, buy assets to grow the business or return capital to the shareholders. Our board of directors will consider all the alternatives and make the big decision that is in the best interest of our shareholders. Long term, we expect to maintain some debt leverage at SiriusXM. As a subscription based business, we can probably tolerate a significant amount of leverage but just assume we keep leverage at a modest level like 3x adjusted EBITDA. In that case, we clearly would not be diverting much of the future cash generation toward reducing debt. In fact, we might more likely increase gross indebtedness overtime as we continue to grow the business. So will we buy assets with our excess cash? Perhaps, but we haven't seen anything yet that's worthy of any meaningful investment or acquisition. Then will we return capital to shareholders, although I certainly can't quantify the amount or the timing for this, I think it is reasonable to expect that the company will return capital to shareholders over time. Obviously, this perspective can change if we modify the financial policy around leverage I just mentioned or should we find some new technology or a company to buy, that we believe provides a long-term strategic advantage for our shareholders. So stay tune on this front. As we expect to be near our target leverage ratio in the not-too-distant future. Without everyone at the company focused exclusively on profitable growth, we will not be able to deliver the free cash flow growth that we and our shareholders want and expect. In that regard, I am confident that we have the focus at the board level, among the leadership and deep within the organization. Our employees are encouraged to think continually about growing the top line, managing costs and delivering economic profits. We do this by continually improving programming, investing in technology, whether customer facing or deployed internally to make us a more efficient and enhancing the customer experience in all ways, including the customer care process. We are focused in this way because we understand and appreciate the power of competition. We live with intense competition to the first day we began broadcasting and every paying customer we've acquired over the years came aboard because we've offered something different and better than the alternatives out there. But like most areas of modern life, alternatives to the consumers are ever increasing, and we're up for the challenge. The media business has always been highly competitive and things will continue to evolve in the years to come. There will be winners and losers as the media landscape changes over time and I am confident that SiriusXM will again be in the winner’s circle. For any company to succeed in a changing environment, it needs to stay relevant and I think strategically not only about what consumers want today but what they will want in the future. Change is always accompanied by opportunities and challenges. We are ready to keep grabbing those opportunities as they arise. I believe the best days for SiriusXM are yet to come. We fully expect to hit it out of the park in 2011. With that, I'll hand the call over to David to discuss additional details about our 2010 financial and operating results.