Gina Drosos
Analyst · Wells Fargo. Please go ahead
Thank you, Rob, and thanks to all of you for joining us today. Our team delivered this quarter with non-GAAP operating income at the high end of our expectations. Recall, the jewelry category is experiencing its second COVID as engagements are down 25% due to the disruption of dating three to three and a half years ago. Through this environment, our team has continued to be agile and innovative, resulting in Signet growing our bridal market share again this quarter. I'm confident we'll grow from this trough next year just like we rebounded strongly from the closures of the pandemic. Our team knows our customers, create unrivaled experiences to meet their needs, and delivers on our commitments. In this time of year, their expertise really shines. I'm honored to work alongside them. I'd like to leave you with three key takeaways today. First, we delivered our financial commitments this quarter, and remain on track to deliver the year. Even as we delivered a profitable third quarter, we invested in marketing and merchandise strategies to deliver our fourth quarter commitment and to drive share gains. Jewelry continues to be an important gifting category particularly among Gen Z, with Black Friday weekend results in line with our expectations. Second, the multi-year engagement recovery has begun as we predicted with engagement ring units beginning to rebound in recent weeks. While we still expect a gradual recovery over the next three years of the 45 proprietary relationship milestones that we track, we have seen the expected progression to late-stage milestones over the past few months. This progression is highly correlated with engagement ring purchases, which we have also seen increase over the last several weeks. Importantly, engagement rings are the catalysts to lifetime value, which makes them a competitive advantage for establishing sustainable long-term growth. Third, our company is strategically positioned to leverage our scale and competitive advantages to help weather the highs and lows of our category and general macro pressures. For example, we are the largest advertiser in our industry by far with three times the annual spend of our nearest competitor. The scale and effectiveness of our marketing spend is reflected in the fact that our top three banners, Kay, Zales, and Jared have top-of-mind awareness among jewelry consumers that is twice that of nearly any other US retailer. Our consumer insights also give us foresight, which, for example, helped us predict the engagement slowdown and reduce our inventory double digits, even while investing in newness for the holidays. Let's look at each of these points beginning with the quarter. We delivered sales of roughly $1.4 billion this quarter and $24 million of non-GAAP operating income. Prior to the pandemic, the third quarter was consistently a loss quarter for Signet. It's the one quarter of the year without a major gift-giving occasion and is when we are investing in marketing and merchandise delivery for our largest gifting occasion, the winter holiday season. As a result of our transformation, we delivered four years in a row of positive Q3 earnings, all while continuing to invest in both our holiday strategy, and our long-term growth. Adding to the obstacles our team navigated this quarter, over inventoried independent jewelers continue to drive heightened levels of promotion in our category. That said, our brand equities, services, targeted promotional cadence, and sourcing efforts allowed us to increase gross merchandise margin in the quarter, up 250 basis points to last year. Further, inventory was down 14% from a year ago, allowing us to bring in more newness, creating a competitive advantage. This includes value-engineered pieces that offer great looks and value at high price points, along with broad assortments of on-trend gold jewelry, such as sculpted gold earrings and necklaces, and strong presence in lab-created items that also provide excellent value. Compared to last year, sell-through of new SKUs increased by 30% in the third quarter. The next point I want to underscore is that, we are in the midst of the most popular time of year for engagement ring sales, October through February. As I highlighted above, we've crossed the trough and the engagement recovery has begun. For example, couples moving in together, a late-stage milestone was up 9 points from early 2022, and Google searches for engagement rings are now 10% higher than last year, the first time they've exceeded the prior year in nearly two years. The percentage of couples moving to the engagement phase has improved by five points, a statistically significant movement over the last 18 months. Beyond the COVID-driven engagement recovery, we are also seeing more positive attitudes among younger, unmarried consumers toward getting engaged and married. In our most recent survey, nearly 80% of non-married Millennial and Gen Z adults say they want to eventually get engaged and married, which is a notable improvement to younger adults from a 2018 survey. That's encouraging, as are the multi-cultural changes we're seeing in engagements. Moving forward, the majority of engagements in the US will be multicultural, led by growth in Hispanic Americans. This multicultural trend is steering our merchandise and marketing strategies as we lean into higher penetration of products like yellow gold and provide bilingual marketing and sales expertise that makes our multicultural customers feel respected and welcome. It's working. In the third quarter, Zales performance at high Hispanic doors is better by 130 basis points compared to the balance of Zales fleet, driven by assortment, bilingual consultants, and signage, as well as increased Hispanic-targeted media. So our data is clear, engagements are on their way back and we are positioning ourselves to win. We continue to expect a gradual return to pre-pandemic levels of engagements that will play out over the coming three years. A three-year tailwind that we can leverage for business and market share growth, given our scale and our position as the engagement leader of the industry. The recovery of engagement rates is also our catalyst to lifetime value. We provide services that cement customer relationships, including nearly 80% attachment rate to extended service agreements on bridal pieces. We are also increasingly using our customer data platform, loyalty program, and personalized marketing capabilities to meet our customers' ongoing needs for jewelry to celebrate birthdays, anniversaries, and holidays for years to come. For example, we are now approaching 4 million loyalty members and this quarter, their average transaction value or ATV was 40% higher than our non-loyalty members. It's a clear reflection of loyalty as a long-term growth driver and scaled competitive advantage. This brings me to my third and final point. Signet is well-positioned to grow reliably over time. Thanks to the moat of competitive advantages and scale, we've built that are unique in our category. Signet is able to withstand and even gain share through cyclical dynamics of the jewelry industry in general macro pressures, thanks to those advantages. A good example is how we are managing the price decline of larger loose diamonds this year. The elevated promotional activity of overstock independence is a key contributor to driving down diamond prices to pre-pandemic levels in recent months. In contrast to independent jewelers, our product innovation and assortment, promotional priorities, and scaled buying power have delivered stable ATVs all year, including in recent months, both for natural and lab-created diamonds. Within the industry, the natural diamond oversupply situation, which has been pressuring retail prices is beginning to abate. Independents have been buying less in recent months and their inventory levels have improved by more than 15 points since the first quarter. Mid-stream inventory appears to have peaked in June and major jewelry manufacturers have dramatically reduced their output. Large diamond miners have recently suspended mining activities and sales for two months or longer. Further, for the first time in more than a decade, DeBeers is stimulating category demand with a branded natural diamond marketing campaign over the holiday season. Combined with the upcoming engagement multi-year tailwind, we believe that natural diamond market should normalize through next year. But what's most important for us as the world's largest retailer of diamond jewelry is that, we are strategic with our partners to drive better pricing, better assortment, and better value for our customers by leveraging our inventory discipline, and vertical integration. The other growth pillars of our midterm goals are also meaningfully progressing. Our services business up 5% in the quarter and year-to-date has contributed close to one point of our gross merchandise margin expansion. For example, we continue making great progress with ESA attachment up to last year again this quarter, improving by 310 basis points. In accessible luxury, we've opened five Diamonds Direct stores this year, including three since the quarter ended, bringing our total to 30 stores. These stores once reaching full maturity generate over $15 million a year in average revenue per store. Our Foundry custom jewelry at Jared has grown, including 40% unit growth in Q3 compared to a year ago. This is complemented by our premium assortment doors, which outperformed the balance of the Jared fleet by nearly 900 basis points this quarter. Our digital and marketing capabilities continue to drive efficiencies, led by our use of AI in North America in reflecting a [role-out] (ph) improvement this quarter of 30% to last year in our core banners. We are activating Signet's new CDP for this holiday season, more fully than ever before as we target the 35 million people we know have purchased jewelry in the US in recent years and 14 million people we know are in various stages of dating relationships. To summarize my comments today, the competitive advantages that we've built are working. We are positioned to deliver our commitments this fiscal year and are on track to meet our midterm goals. With that, I'd like to hand it over to Joan.