Daniel dos Santos
Analyst · Goldman Sachs
Okay, I’m sorry. We lost the connection, but now everything is back. So, Tiago going back to your question, I believe in terms of slabs – just going back to our last sentence. So, in the third quarter, we will still have a remainder, a carryover of slabs we purchased in the second quarter and obviously we will still be analyzing all market opportunity related to that and maybe interesting to see to add value to our slab and be able to sell more to the market at partially selected products. Your second question about the market prices, current prices and premium first thing, when you look at prices, I would say that it is a function of supply, demand, cost and the competitiveness of our supply chain. And CSN is always paying attention to these elements. Also it depends on how much each one of our clients depend on CSN of course they are more vulnerable to the variation, small or more significant. Now regarding price strategy is very clear. Our strategy has remained the same in the last three years. We focus on cost reduction much stronger now. Our cost will continue down our lead cost is around $400. We will continue to work to bring this cost even further down, the lower price of feedstock, I don't have to privilege our higher value added mix which represents 33% of our sales today. I believe we have an opportunity of getting up to 50 as we posted about two years ago and extract the most of our project portfolio which is complete compared to the market. Now, to the increase profitability, there are two things, either we generate more wealth or we reduce cost. So regarding higher margins, we will increase our margins by adding values to our mix and reducing cost. This is our strategy. So sell more, grow fast product and keeping a strong commitment with our clients in the domestic market. Today going back to your question about premium, our premium today is around, I mean, in the case of hot road product, let me refer to my number here, in case of hot road products, just a second. Say for hot road projects premium around 2%, right. If you can imagine a starting price 540 for hot road product, this is SOB and in case of (inaudible) starting price of $110 the premium would be around 7%. This is the premium we see in practice today $230, so back to your question, and providing more details. The conclusion is we will increase our profitability by improving our mix, focusing on the domestic market, and reducing costs. Regarding the market, you spoke about the competitive market. Now, what do we see on the market today. Our GDP projection for Brazil, I mean, I don’t really want to be ambitious to talk about Brazilian GDP, but it would be around 220 to 270, so 2.2 to 2.7 and the industrial GDP which matters the most to us 1.2 and 1.45. We have some bad news because the processing industry in the second quarter came down 2.5%. What does that mean? It means that the steel market is not really going and either flat to you market. Despite all that, it is still favorable for mills because then ports are down and CSN is also working towards full capacity. Now, when you look segment-by-segment, I don’t want to extend myself, but we view opportunities to improve. We are watching the sales of rebar, white steel, and cement very closely. We still have room for improvement. We’ve got things in the pipeline. The white lime had a significant growth last year. This year it will grow, of course, not 12% as last year. Automotive, despite the negative headlines of the last few days, it will grow significantly this year. Light vehicles may drop a little bit, but this is going to be offset by trucks and buses. Then, packaging and distribution, it will follow the market. So, the market in the second half well be bullish. Third-quarter will be good and the fourth quarter will also probably be very favorable. Now, regarding our current consumption, 2011, to give you an idea, train consumption was 13.8 million; 2012, 13.6 million; and this year, IABR has projected a 3% growth. We believe it’s going to be around 14 million tones approximately. Finally, regarding imports and that’s very relevant data. The bad news is that in the (inaudible) imports have grown. Today, we have more than one PSM coming to Brazil in terms of processed products or finished products. 7 million tons a year, this is the current rate of imports, which is very harmful for the country. Regarding indirect imports, as I said, in the last call, I believe the number will be around 1 million in the first half we have had a 28% already. So, basically this is the market scenario CSN today, 97% of sales and the parent company are in the domestic market, as well as higher value added has grown 26% quarter-over-quarter and we want to come to 50% today as well 43%. So, thank you very much Tiago.