John Arabia
Analyst · Deutsche Bank
Thank you, Aaron. And good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us this morning. I'll start the call with a review of our second quarter operating results as well as an update on the current operating environment. I will then provide an update on some of the value-creation projects that continue to provide meaningful revenue and earnings growth for our portfolio, as well as an overview of recently completed projects that are expected to add to our results in the near term. Next, I'll discuss our thoughts on the transaction market and our approach to capital allocation, including our recent share repurchase activity. Afterwards, Bryan will recap our balance sheet strength and provide the specifics on our updated guidance related to third quarter and full year 2019 earnings. To begin, we were pleased with our operating results and earnings for the second quarter, as we were able to offset operating challenges in a few markets with the benefits stemming from our attractive market concentrations, our successful renovation activities completed in previous years and various asset management initiatives that continue to produce outsized revenue growth and operating efficiencies. Second quarter comparable portfolio RevPAR increased a better-than-expected 2.1% over the prior year and comparable portfolio of total revenue increased a strong 3.4%. Our top line growth was driven by a nearly 3.5% increase in transient room nights, which more than offset what we expected to be a soft quarter for group business. Furthermore, our total revenue growth was aided by respectable room rate growth in both group and transient segments, a 5% growth in food and beverage revenues and a 12% increase in other ancillary property-level revenues. Solid total revenue growth resulted in property-level EBITDA increase of 2.6 in the second quarter despite continued cost pressures in wages and benefits, real estate taxes and insurance costs. So let's dig a little deeper into the details of the quarterly operating results. Our second quarter results were negatively impacted by renovation activity in Baltimore and San Diego, and either general market weakness or soft citywide calendars in Chicago, Washington, D.C. and New York City. That said, we benefited from market growth in San Francisco in Wailea, better-than-expected market growth in Boston and benefited from our recent capital improvements in Marriott Boston Long Wharf, JW Marriott New Orleans and Boston Park Plaza. Because of these investments, several of our hotels drove meaningful index gains and delivered the results well in excess of market growth. I'll talk further about the early results of these recently completed renovations in just a moment. Moving on to food and beverages revenues, despite an anticipated 3% decline in group room nights, group food and beverage and audiovisual spend per occupied group room came in at a healthy $187 per group room night, increasing nearly 9% over last year. To put that number in perspective, our second quarter 2015 group out-of-room spend was $146 on a same-store basis. This represents a healthy 5% compound annual growth rate and is a direct result of our targeted investment in several of our hotels, including those in Wailea, Boston, Orlando and San Francisco. While recent transient bookings for future periods moderated in July, our recent group bookings witnessed a notable uptick. During the second quarter, we booked 315,000 group room nights for 2019 and future years. This represents a 14% increase in group bookings over the second quarter of last year, and 3% more room nights than booked on average during the second quarter of the last five years. Our 2019 group pace for the full year remained generally steady over the quarter and is up slightly for the full year. While we will not provide 2020 booking pace until later this year, better-than-average booking production, combined with strong citywide calendars in many of our larger markets, should position our portfolio for a favorable 2020. Turning now to expenses. We experienced decreases in group and transient commissions and loyalty program assessments during the quarter. However, wages increased by over 4% in the quarter, slightly offset by an improvement in productivity, and we experienced higher-than-anticipated property insurance costs from our insurance renewal, which happened in late June. Annual property insurance premiums increased by approximately 50%, driven by increased rates in wind and earthquake zones and impacted our second quarter earnings by only a couple of days but were pressure margins by roughly 20 basis points in the second half of 2019. Given the higher-than-anticipated revenues, comparable portfolio EBITDA exceeded our expectations. And when coupled with lower-than-anticipated corporate expenses and higher interest income, resulted in adjusted EBITDA and adjusted FFO per diluted share that exceeded the high end of our most recent guidance. Notably, our adjusted FFO per diluted share of $0.36 exceeded our previously provided guidance range of $0.32 to $0.34. This figure represents a 5.9% increase in adjusted FFO per diluted share on a same-store basis. Looking forward, our expectations for various markets have fluctuated, some better, some worst. And the very recent moderation in forward transient bookings leaves us with a bit more cautious outlook for the remainder of the year. As a result, we have increased our full year earnings outlook by roughly half of the amount of our second quarter earnings beat. Bryan will get into those details in our updated guidance in just a moment. Before we move on to capital allocation, I want to highlight the sizable impact our renovation and repositioning investments have made in driving superior results and profitability at several of our more meaningful assets. Specifically, we have taken underperforming assets, invested capital and transformed the properties to offer far more compelling and attractive experiences, improve the composition of demand and most importantly, materially increase the profitability and value of these assets. We'll highlight just a few of these projects and their impact solely on group demand and revenues. When we acquired Boston Park Plaza in 2013, it captured 98,000 group room nights at an average group rate of a $185, and the average group out-of-room spend of $112 for total group revenue contribution of $297 per group room. This year, a few years post completing its repositioning, the hotel is forecasted to achieve 104,000 group room nights at an average rate of $242, at an average group out-of-spend of $180 for combined group revenues of $422. This represents an increase of over 42% in total group-related revenues per group room night in just a few short years. We recognize is that we acquired the hotel at the right time and there has been market growth over the years. That said, during that time period, we materially increased our group RevPAR index; increased group room nights by 6.5%; increased group rates by a compound annual growth rate of 4%; and increased group out-of-room spend by a compound annual growth rate of 7%. Similarly, since we acquired the Hyatt Embarcadero in 2013, and subsequently completed the hotel's renovation in 2015, group room nights have increased by 3.7%; group rate increased by compound annual growth rate of 4.3%; and group out-of-room spend has increased by a compound annual growth rate of 4%. Finally, at our most meaningful transformation in the Wailea Beach Resort, we took out all the toll that incentive groups would not even consider and transformed it into a highly desirable destination. There was able to compete with the ultrahigh-end Wailea hotels. Since acquiring an hotel in 2014, we've increased our group room nights by 42%; group rate has increased by compound annual growth rate of nearly 7%; and group out-of-room spend increased by a compound annual growth rate of almost 8%. The repositioning of this hotel has not only shifted the profile of the customer to higher paying guest but has increased our total group-related revenues per group room night by over 50% over five short years. Given the success we've had at Wailea Beach Resort, not only with group demand but also with transient, our 2019 NOI yield on this repositioned investment is approximately 10%. But why talk about all these results if these renovations were completed several years ago, well, simple, in order to highlight our track record of creating value through the acquisition of Long-Term Relevant Real Estate at reasonable prices and repositioning the assets to maximize their long-term earnings power and value, it is these results that give us the confidence that our recently completed investments in Orlando, Boston and New Orleans, while smaller in size of total dollars, will deliver outsized growth and market share regardless of market dynamics. And the early results for these investments are very positive. For example, in Orlando, where we added a spectacular new ballroom and several new breakout rooms earlier this year, our initial results are great and meeting our underwriting expectations. Our 2020 group pace at the hotel is at double digits and current rooms on the books are up nearly 16,000 room nights higher than our five year historic average at notably higher rates. The meeting space has not only increased our group business but it has resulted in higher transient rates as well. That is, by filling the building with a higher number of group rooms, which not only come in at a higher room rate than transient but also spend more outside the room, we've been able to shrink the number of transient rooms needed and meaningfully compressed the transient rate. Similarly, following extensive rooms renovation in 2018, the JW New Orleans has gained significant index against a competitive set. Year-to-date through June, the hotel has achieved a RevPAR index over 125, which is the highest on record and up over 5 points from our pre-renovation models. We're pleased with the early results from our 2018 renovations and expansions. We're in the process of mining our portfolio for incremental value-enhancing investments that we'll be able to talk about in more detail in the future. Before I turn the call over to Bryan, let's talk a bit about the current investment environment and our recent capital allocation transactions. Similar to my commentary in the last few calls, we continue to struggle with the sellers' pricing expectations for Long-Term Relevant Real Estate. While pricing expectations from sellers may have come in a bit, current asking price is still equate to cap rates well below the levels we're comfortable transacting at, especially given the length and health of the current cycle. In 2018, the last time we raised additional equity, we believe that there are a couple of deals that we had a good probability of acquiring. It turned out that we were outbid in the bidding process or pricing exceeded our comfort level and we elected to pass on the transactions. Throughout this year, we have continued to underwrite hotel acquisitions. But given current elevated valuation expectations and the implied valuation of our stock, we felt it made more sense to return to shareholders, the capital we raised last year through share repurchase. In June of 2018, we raised approximately $45 million to the issuance on our ATM at an average price of $17.42 per share, which at the time was a premium to consensus NAV. Through the end of July, we repurchased $50 million of common stock at an average price of $13.22 per share, basically reversing the share issuance completed in the second quarter of 2018. While we've recently had limited enthusiasm buying quality hotels in the 3.5% to 5% fully loaded cap rate range, we were happy to make a notable investment with a portion of our ample liquidity in our own quality portfolio at a high 7% cap rate. Due to repurchases, we'll depend on our share price relative to our long-term view on NAV, our cash on hand, our pipeline of investment alternatives and expectations for additional asset sales. In the meantime, we expect to continue to underwrite new hotel acquisitions and remain hopeful that in time, we will be able to find the right hotel acquisitions that create value. However, given the disconnect between public and private market pricing for quality hotel real estate, we remain closer today to investing back into our high-quality portfolio through share repurchase than acquiring additional hotels. With that, I'll turn the call over to Bryan. Bryan, please go ahead.