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Seanergy Maritime Holdings Corp. (SHIP)

Q2 2020 Earnings Call· Wed, Aug 5, 2020

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for standing by ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the Seanergy Maritime Conference Call on the Second Quarter 2020 Financial Results. We have with us Mr. Stamatis Tsantanis, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Mr. Stavros Gyftakis Chief Financial Officer of the company. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. There will be a presentation followed by question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] I must advise you that this conference is being recorded today. Please be advised that the company publicly released financial results which are available to download on the Seanergy website at seanergymaritime.com. If you do not have a copy of the press release, you may contact Capital Link at (212) 661-7566 and they will be happy to send it to you. Before turning the call over to Mr. Tsantanis, we would like to remind you that this conference call contains forward-looking statements as defined in Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 as amended and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 as amended concerning future events and the company's growth strategy and measures to implement such strategy. Words such as expects, intends, plans, believes, anticipates, hopes, estimates, and variations of such words, and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. These statements involve known and unknown risks and are based upon a number of assumptions and estimates, which are inherently subject to significant uncertainties and contingencies many of which are beyond the control of the company. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially include, but are not limited to, competitive factors in the market in which the company operates, risks associated with operations outside the United States, change in rules and regulations applicable to the shipping industry, and other risk factors included from time-to-time in the company's Annual Report on Form 20-F and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission the SEC. The company's filings can be obtained free of charge on the SEC's website at www.sec.gov. The company expressly disclaims any obligations or undertaking to release publicly any updates or revisions to any forward-looking statements contained herein to reflect any change in the company's expectations with respect thereto or any change in events, conditions, or circumstances on which any statement is based. Now, I will pass the floor to Mr. Tsantanis. Please go ahead sir.

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

[Technical Difficulty] our call is in good health in these difficult circumstances. As explained extensively in our previous communications, the first half of 2020 was one of the most challenging periods in the history of the dry bulk market. A series of negative factors including the continuous spread of COVID-19 caused severe difficulties for societies and businesses across the globe including, of course, the Capesize market. During these times, our top priority continues to be the health and safety of all our people on border ships, out of staff, as well as to maintain the high-quality of service we always provide to our clients. On that note, I would like to thank all of our crew members for their strong commitment in our company. We're very successful in doing so both in -- as our business continue to run efficiently without disruptions. In addition, we have worked tirelessly on many fronts to strategically position Seanergy as best as possible for the future. I will start today's call with a brief recap of our financial performance and the current Capesize market. After that I will provide an update on the very important events that have taken place since our last earnings call in June. The time charter equivalent of our fleet for the first six months of 2020 was approximately $7,000 per ship per day compared to approximately $8,400 per day in the first six months of 2019. This is fully in line with the average daily earnings of the Bodegas index in the six-month period of 2020. Our balance sheet has improved significantly with cash reserves in excess of $30.4 million compared to $14.6 million as of December 31st, 2019. Our stockholders' equity of $58 million is the highest level recorded since the company's added launch in 2015. Since the…

Stavros Gyftakis

Analyst

Thank you, Stamatis. Good morning everyone. I hope that you and your families are staying safe and healthy. In terms of our financial performance, I specifically refer you to the earnings press release which details our second quarter and first half financial results and vessel performance. As a general comment our numbers were adversely impacted by the usual negative seasonality of the Capesize market, coupled with uncertainty caused by the recession triggered by the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. The global GTV recorded one of the steepest clients ever as the second quarter of the year marked the peak of the quarantine measures and force globally to address the health crisis. As discussed previously Stamatis since mid-June conditions in the Capesize market have normalized resulting in our vessels achieving better rates. It is indeed encouraging to see that the market was able to recover strongly and stabilize at sustainable levels through a very challenging and a certain period like the past six months. Summarizes the key figures for the period, net operating revenues in the second quarter of 2020 defined as revenues after deducting all mortgage expense and commissions were $4.7 million on the back of an average time charter equivalent of $5424 per day for the period. The time charter equivalent performance was mainly impacted by the unfavorable timing of features of spot voyages for our three vessels that are not employed on index-linked time charters. Those were fixed and voyages before June and as such were not able to benefit from the subsequent market improvement. This was the reality of the market in April and May. Freight and resulting time charter equivalent rates were deeply below operating breakevens and usually Capesize voyages have long durations. Once you commit at a certain rate your time charter equivalent is given…

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

Thanks Stavros. Moving to the industry outlook. As we mentioned in the beginning of our call, the Capesize sector was severely affected in the first six months of 2020 by various negative factors such as weather disruptions and the outsized impact of the COVID-19 pandemic worldwide. Brazilian iron ore exports, which are very fundamental for our business. In the first half of 2020 were about 13% lower than the already lowest volumes seen in 2019 when there was also the major accident at one of Vale's key producing areas. Lower cash flows, however, were not a result of a weakened demand, to the contrary there's a continued strong demand for core commodities especially iron ore driven mostly by the trillions in infrastructure investments globally and government stimulus packages in China and other countries. As mentioned earlier from June onwards, trade volumes have recovered to pre-cash levels and the Capesize market has performed exceptionally well. The current spot rate of about $20,000 per day and the FFA level for the rest of 2020 is approximately $21,000 a day. Looking towards the next year in more detail in 2021, the volume of trade is expected to return to growth of 6.2%. The latest guidance from Brazil's major iron ore minor, Vale, indicates a gradual recovery in production to almost 400 million tons per annum by 2022 from 310 million tons guidance for 2020. And that implies more than 25% increase in output. At the same time Australian miners continue to expand capacity steadily. We view these developments as major factors for the future growth in demand for Capesize vessels. As regards to fleet growth, the Capesize order book is at historical low levels. As mentioned in more details in our previous two earnings calls, the International Maritime Organization regulations regarding CO2 emissions are bound to become very restrictive from 2030 onwards and the uncertainty around new vessels and engine designs makes it very hard for ship owners to commit new investments. This is also clearly reflected in the lack of availability of financing for new products. The positive supply outlook in the face of steady iron ore demand has been the main factor supporting the strong Capesize market performance since 2019. And this is evidenced by the resilience of the Capesize's rates even during the highly uncertain macroeconomic [ph] environment over the past years. We are confident that it's going to continue. Seanergy emphasis on the improvement of the fleet's environmental efficiency and the establishment of long-term relationships with prominent charters ensure our fleet's continued commercial success. Seanergy is the only pure-play Capesize listed company with all of our ships taking advantage of the positive market conditions. Moreover, our strong balance sheet will allow us to capitalize on attractive opportunities at historically low asset values and deliver as always highly accretive transactions to our shareholders. On that note, I would like to turn the call over to the operator and answer any questions you may have. So Jody please take over.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from the line Poe Fratt from Noble Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Good morning.

Stavros Gyftakis

Analyst

Hi, Poe.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

I have several questions. The first one is on the good ship delivery, it sounds like it hasn't been delivered yet. And then can you highlight when you expect it to be delivered? And then what the actual payment would be ex any deposits that you've put down?

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

Yes. So as you know, the current COVID-19 situation globally has made vessel deliveries very, very challenging. However, as always we have managed to secure right now a certain safe area for the change of cruise and delivery of the ship. And this is expected to happen any day to be honest. So obviously, the ports that have been closing down automatically but all the ships border portion are still open and that creates cues. And that's pretty much evident in all Southeast Asia and other parts of the world. So if I can answer the question Poe, it's basically any day. I mean it may happen tomorrow or by the end of this week, it may happen early next week. So it's a matter of a couple of days for the vessel to take delivery. In certain payment we have already submitted the 10% installment deposit, when we accrete the transaction. So the remaining 90% will be paid upon the actual delivery visit. So that's also going to be in it.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Okay. Great. And then is it – because of the uncertainty, did you include it in your forward cover of 88% of the remaining days covered, or was it excluded from that calculation?

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

No this is actually excluded for the calculations, excluded.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Okay. And then when you look at the forward cover is there a material change or a difference between the – you said the $21,000 for FFA rates for the rest of the year. Is there a major difference between the third quarter – rest of the third quarter and the fourth quarter average, or is it pretty close?

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

Well, the fourth quarter is actually a little bit lower than the third quarter. So right now the fleet which is 88% of our vessel base for available days for 2000 and – sorry for the third quarter, fixed at $22,400 a day. Q4 is a little bit lower but that's how the curve works. So we expect the forward tariff to start rising together with the actual physical market.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Okay. Have you done the same calculation for the fourth quarter you have to manage as far as just because you're – the way you're looking at it is based on index-linked time charters too. Have you calculated the fourth quarter coverage at all at an average rate?

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

Not so much. I mean we have not done so because most – a lot of the spot values and within September, end of September or beginning of October. So I don't want to be misguiding giving guidance about let's say 5% or 10% or 15% of days for Q4. So I don't want to give some sort of guidance for Q4.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Okay. Great. Okay. Sounds good. And when you look at industry supply sort of you outlined it why you thought that industry supply might be muted, whether it's the 2030 potentially tighter emissions and financing challenges that the industry faces as for as hopefully new capacity coming on to the market. What – do you think there's a scrapping wave coming once the yards open up? They've been it seems like close for the most part over the first half of the year whether it's Bangladesh, India or Pakistan, do you think there potentially is a pickup in scrapping coming?

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

There is a material number of ships that are pre 2000 built and these are converted or carriers that in our opinion need to be scrapped ASAP because they have proven to be extremely volatile in various ways. So that needs to be prioritized and exit the market as quickly as possible. There is of course, certain tonnage that is getting into the market right now. But Poe come to think about it with Brazilian volumes this year, altogether at around 350 million tons including the third-party miners, the market has pretty much stabilized. And given the fact that we expect 50 million or even 100 million tons more trade out of Brazil in the next couple of years and that's as per the official guidance of this miners. Any new tonnage is very, very well going to be absorbed. And in our opinion there's going to be a gap in vessel supply. So this is what we see so far. We don't want to be optimistic because in this world nobody can give any accurate projections of course. But I wouldn't focus so much on the supply the supply ships. I would focus mostly on the supply of cargoes. And given a very low year this year, I would expect that to recover significantly in 2021 and 2022.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Great. Thanks. And then Stavros on the new loan facility I haven't seen the amortization schedule or information of the amortization schedule. Do you have that available, or maybe another way to look at it. Can you look at -- can you give us a number or the loan amortization that you're looking at over the second half of the year by quarter? What loan amortization, do you -- will you see in the third quarter and then the fourth quarter?

Stavros Gyftakis

Analyst

Hi. Hello, Poe. How are you?

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Very well. How are you?

Stavros Gyftakis

Analyst

I am good. I am good. So I mean, the amortization of the new interest facility is around $0.5 million per quarter for both vessels, which is basically 50% of the amortization that we had in the previous facility. And now concerning our quarterly principal repayments, these are in line with what you have seen in the previous year. So it's between $5.5 million. Now there have been some deferrals over the first two quarters on some of our facilities in which we are in discussions with the underlying lenders and we expect to catch up on the deferral, once we finalize the discussions as part of the solutions that we are currently working on. So basically, I mean assuming that we are able to finalize within the third quarter you will see a significant improvement on our total debt figure versus the one of the 30th of June.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Okay. And just a couple more detailed questions. Just it looked like SG&A expenses were up in the second quarter. Is there a reason for that? And then also what's the outlook for the second half as far as s G&A expenses?

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

There was a marginal increase in SG&A expenses and that had to do with timing of set and payments to the Greek Tax authorities and stuff that are regular for the staff of the company. That's about it. It's a matter of time.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Okay. And then do you think that over the second half of the year, they'll decline a little bit, or should we just be as flat as far as quarterly SG&A for the rest of the year?

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

It's pretty much the same. I mean, we try to spread it over as much as we can throughout the year. But I would generally use the same -- pretty much the same rate.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Okay. And then Stavros, would you be able to give us your operating cash flow for the quarter? And then also the working capital changes that you saw during the quarter?

Stavros Gyftakis

Analyst

The working capital change the trading capital changes are the ones mentioned on the call it's around $7 million compared to the year-end figure and it's around $8.3 million when compared to the end of the previous quarter.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Okay. And then you have a...

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

[Indiscernible] considerable improvement compared to what we have seen I mean the previous year now whatever -- we are standing currently let's say the working capital position of around 800,000 per se which given I mean the size of the company vessels it's pretty normal.

Poe Fratt

Analyst

Okay. Thanks a lot for your time.

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

Thank you, Poe.

Stavros Gyftakis

Analyst

Thank you, Poe.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There are no further questions coming through. So I'll hand the call back to yourselves.

Stamatis Tsantanis

Analyst

Okay. Jodi, once again I would like to thank everyone for participating to our call today and I wish everyone to be safe and good health. And thank you everyone. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you very much, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the call for today. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect your lines.