Dave Doherty
Analyst · Bank of America. Please proceed with your question, Kevin
Thanks, Eric. I will first talk about our fourth quarter financial results and liquidity before providing detail on our outlook for 2023. Starting with the top line, we performed over 155,000 surgical cases in the fourth quarter, 7.3% more than the same period last year. These are only cases that are included in our consolidated revenue. But if I include cases performed at nonconsolidated facilities, we performed 182,000 cases. These cases spanned across all our specialties, with an increasing focus in orthopedics where we grew by 12.7% versus prior year. Largely attributed to this case growth, we saw revenues rise 15.9% over last year to $707 million. This growth is a combination of the organic growth factors Wayne and Eric described, and contributions from our current and prior year acquisitions in consolidated facilities. As a reminder in 2022, many of our acquisitions were in non-consolidating facilities that provide us the opportunity to enhance performance through operational excellence and to buy up over time. So these acquisitions, we do not include their revenue in our consolidated net revenue. We will continue to be agnostic to the accounting treatment of the assets we acquired since our focus is to acquire high-growth, high-quality assets aligned with our targeted specialties at the most favorable multiple possible. On a same-facility basis, which we report on a day’s adjusted basis, total revenue increased 10.7% in the fourth quarter with case growth at 4.3%. Net revenue per case was 6.1% higher than last year, primarily driven by higher acuity procedures. For the year, same-facility total revenue growth was 7.7%, with strong contributions from both volume and rate. Adjusted EBITDA was $120.8 million in the fourth quarter, giving us a margin of 17.1%. Adjusted EBITDA for the full year was $380.2 million with a 15% margin, in line with our expectations. Excluding the impact of income from CARES Act grants, margins expanded by 20 basis points in the fourth quarter and 80 basis points for the year. We continue to proactively manage inflationary pressures affecting our labor and supply costs. Although we are not immune, these factors were not material to the results we are reporting this morning. As Eric mentioned, our salaries, wages and benefit costs, as well as our medical supply costs, were both lower as a percentage of revenue compared to the fourth quarter of 2021, with 50 basis points of improvement in salaries, wages and benefits, and 100 basis points of improvement in supply costs. Given the market dynamics, we will continue to carefully monitor these cost factors, proactively deploying cost mitigation tactics to help offset potential pressure. As you know, in late November we completed our primary equity offering that generated net cash proceeds of approximately $860 million. This transaction was immediately deleveraging, taking almost two turns off our ratio of total net debt to EBITDA. We utilized approximately $585 million of these proceeds to repay long-term debt and finalized the acquisition of Kansas Pine and Specialty Hospital, with the remaining proceeds included in our consolidated cash balance. These transactions resulted in a fourth quarter ratio of total net debt-to-EBITDA as calculated under the company's credit agreement being 4.3x, a $40 million reduction to our annual cash interest cost, and the elimination of a springing maturity in our term loan that would have brought it due in 2025. Further, to enhance our liquidity position in January, we worked with our banking syndicate, along with new members joining the syndicate to expand the borrowing capacity under our revolving credit facility, bringing the total capacity under that instrument to just over $550 million, which remains undrawn. We ended the quarter with $283 million of cash. As we enter 2023, our liquidity position is greater than $820 million, enhancing our confidence in our ability to navigate this current macroeconomic environment, and continue to fund accretive M&A. We reported negative free cash flows in the fourth quarter, which was due to the timing of spend on growth initiatives, a $20 million payment for the tax receivable agreement, $11 million for the payment of accrued interest in connection with the early retirement of portions of our long-term debt, and $9 million for deferred payroll tax payments. For the year 2022, we generated negative free cash flow of $10 million, consistent with our expectations. With the exception of spend on growth initiatives, which we will isolate for you going forward, we do not expect these significant unusual outflows to impact our free cash flows in the future. We remain confident in our ability to deliver greater than $140 million in free cash flow in 2023, and lower net debt leverage as we progress to our target of mid 3x by the end of 2025. In 2022, excluding our de novo investments, we have deployed $246 million on 13 transactions at a sub 8 times multiple. These centers are primarily focused on MSK procedures and are well-positioned to support and strengthen our same-facility growth trends in future years. Additionally, as mentioned in prior calls, we continually refresh our asset portfolio to align with long-term market growth trends. Proceeds from any divestiture activity will be redeployed as incremental M&A, as we intend to sell certain assets at a relatively high multiple and then redeploy the capital at a relatively low multiple with stronger future growth prospects. While the timing of divestiture and related M&A activity can be challenging to predict, we believe our 2023 full year revenue outlook reflects our conservative view. On the debt front, we ended the year with less than $1.9 billion in gross debt at the corporate level. All of this debt is effectively fixed at 6.7% as a result of the favorable benefit of the interest rate swaps we entered into in prior years, leaving us with no exposure to incremental interest rate fluctuations. In connection with the $150 million pay down of our term loan, in January we terminated the corresponding amount of our interest rate caps. We have no material debt maturing until 2026. With today’s interest rate environment, we are not exposed to significant rate risks, which is another factor, giving us confidence in our free cash flow growth. We are carrying the momentum of the strong finish to 2022 into 2023. And we are setting our initial guidance for 2023 adjusted EBITDA to greater than $425 million, representing 12% growth over 2022. On the top line, we expect 2023 revenue to be greater than $2.75 billion. We expect to deploy at least $200 million of capital on M&A, with additional spend depending on the timing of any portfolio management opportunities underway. Our adjusted EBITDA and revenue guidance is informed by a balance of case growth and rate growth as a results of organic growth efforts from investments we’ve made in physician recruitment, revenue cycle, supply chain and managed care initiatives. The annualization of our 2022 acquisitions, in addition to projected 2023 acquisition activity and contributions from our in-process de novos, including the continued maturation of a community hospital we opened in Idaho during the pandemic. While we are optimistic about 2023 and these fundamentals that will be driving growth, we believe our initial adjusted EBITDA and revenue guide are prudent, given the macroeconomic environment and headwinds related to the elimination of government programs related to the pandemic, the end of sequestration, and the impact of further pressures from today’s economic environment. We have been managing these headwinds for the past few years and remain confident our teams have the right line of sight to mitigate these risks, but feel it is appropriate at this time to remain prudently conservative in our guidance. As a reminder, our business has a natural seasonal pattern largely driven by annual deductibles resetting for commercial payers that tend to skew our results lower in the first quarter and higher in the fourth, relatively speaking. We are projecting 2023 will have a seasonality pattern consistent with 2022, with first quarter adjusted EBITDA and revenue, representing an estimated 20% and 24%, respectively, of our full year guidance. We have stated for years now that we believe we have a powerful and unique business model that benefits from favorable organic trends, demographics and a fragmented marketplace that provides ample opportunity for consolidation. Our 2022 results speak to the strength of our operations and our business model. And we believe that in 2023, we will continue to capitalize on that momentum. With that, I’d like to turn the call back over to the operator for questions. Operator?