Earnings Labs

Sweetgreen, Inc. (SG)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Sat, Nov 4, 2023

$6.78

+0.52%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Jeannie and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Sweetgreen, Inc. Q3 2023 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. Rebecca Nounou, Head of Investor Relations, you may begin your conference.

Rebecca Nounou

Analyst

Thank you and good afternoon, everyone. Here with me today are Jonathan Neman, Co-Founder and Chief Executive Officer; and Mitch Reback, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, we have a couple of reminders. Our earnings release is available on our website at investor.sweetgreen.com. During this call, we will be making comments of a forward-looking nature. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied as a result of various risks and uncertainties. For more information about some of these risks, please review the company’s SEC filings, including the section titled Risk Factors in our latest Annual Report on Form 10-K filing and subsequently filed quarterly report on Form 10-Q. These forward-looking statements are based on information as of today, and we assume no obligation to publicly update or revise our forward-looking statements. Additionally, we will be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures, which are in addition to and not a substitute for measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation of these items to the nearest U.S. GAAP measure can be found in this afternoon’s press release available on our IR website. With that, it’s my pleasure to turn the call over to Jonathan to kick things off.

Jonathan Neman

Analyst

Thank you, Rebecca, and good afternoon, everyone. Together with my co-founders, Nicolas and Nathaniel, we opened our first Sweetgreen in a 560 square foot old burger Shack in Washington, D.C., a little over 16 years ago, with a vision to redefine fast food. We sourced fresh, local and organic ingredients from local farmers markets, to serve the community healthy, delicious meals. We worked alongside 10 team members to prep, chop and roast every day in the restaurant. Fast forward to today, we source from over 200 farmers we know and partners we trust. We work with over 6,000 team members across our 220 restaurants nationwide and thoughtfully prepared these ingredients and cooked from scratch to deliver food that is fresh, craveable and nutritious with our signature sweet touch hospitality to millions of devoted customers around the country. And while we have grown and evolved a lot, a few things have not changed. Our mission of building healthier communities by connecting people to real food and our long-term commitment to being a positive force on the food system, while creating a sustainable and durable brand and business. For the past 16 years, we have been at the forefront of our industry, pioneering a new category. Our third quarter results demonstrated our continued commitment to building what we refer to as an ant company, one that balances growth and profitability. We reported third quarter revenue of $153.4 million, generating 24% year-over-year revenue growth and same-store sales growth of 4%. Restaurant level margin in the third quarter was 19%, a 300 basis point improvement year-over-year. Strong sales growth, restaurant level margin expansion and disciplined support center spending, resulted in an adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 million for the quarter. It is also worth noting that on a year-to-date basis, our adjusted EBITDA loss is…

Mitch Reback

Analyst

Thank you, Jonathan, and good afternoon, everyone. Total revenue for the third quarter was $153.4 million, up from $124 million in the third quarter of 2022, growing 24% year-over-year. Same-store sales grew 4%. This consisted of 5% price, flat traffic, offset by negative 1% in mix. As shared on the last call, the mix offset continues to be largely attributable to channel movement into the frontline and pickup from native delivery. Total digital sales represented 58% of our Q3 revenue, with approximately two-thirds of those sales coming from our owned digital channels. Our average unit volume in the third quarter was $2.9 million. In the third quarter, we delivered $2.5 million profit on an adjusted EBITDA basis, an improvement of $9.7 million from the third quarter of 2022 loss of $7.2 million. Our third quarter revenue increase of $29.4 million year-over-year was a significant driver of this improvement. We opened 15 new restaurants this quarter for a total of 220 restaurants. This year, we’ve opened 34 net new restaurants year-to-date, with 1 planned for the fourth quarter in line to achieve the top end of our fiscal year guidance of 35 net new restaurants. As a reminder, we have a year 2 target AUV of $2.8 million to $3 million for new restaurants. The class of 2021 restaurants underwritten pre-pandemic are now on track to meet this goal. The class of 2022 continues to ramp. Currently, it’s projected to hit our year 2 target AUV in year 3. The class of 2023 openings are performing in line and are tracking to meet our financial targets. I should point out nearly 50% of this class is based in new markets such as Cranston, Rhode Island, Milwaukee, Wisconsin and Tampa, Florida. Restaurant-level margin in the third quarter was 19%, a 300 basis…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Brian Mullan with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

Brian Mullan

Analyst

Hi, thank you. Thanks for all the detail on the prepared remarks. Just a question on the development guidance for next year you gave. It sounds like at the midpoint, you’re going to open maybe 25 or 26 restaurants next year. About one-third of those will have the Infinite Kitchen. If that goes well, would the plan be to reaccelerate openings in 2025? And if so, would you expect the mix of Infinite Kitchens to increase over time as well? And just are there any constraints in terms of what your manufacturing partner might be able to deliver?

Jonathan Neman

Analyst

Hey Brian, thanks for the question. So you’re correct. The reason for the slight slowdown is to better integrate the Infinite Kitchen technology into the pipeline. As we mentioned in the comments, we will begin to deploy the Infinite Kitchen in the back half of the year in the pipeline, and we wanted to better integrate that, and so we don’t have to go back and do as many retrofits. We do expect to speed up development in 2025 and hope based off of the base of the success of the deployment, to have a greater share of Infinite Kitchens in that 2025 pipeline.

Brian Mullan

Analyst

Okay. That’s great. Thank you. And just as a follow-up, for those initial seven to nine Infinite Kitchen units next year, could you perhaps just share what you’re targeting for an AUV and a restaurant level margin and maybe compare that to what I believe is for a traditional store, $2.8 million to $3 million on the AUV and maybe an 18% to 20% margin? And then just related, any way you could give a sense of what it might cost per unit for those first seven to nine units or a range?

Jonathan Neman

Analyst

So here’s what I can tell you. We’ve opened one unit so far, and we’re really pleased with the results we’re seeing. We’re really pleased, first and foremost, with the customer experience, customers, all the feedback we get is people love it. They love the speed. They love the cleanliness, just the hospitality experience we’re able to bring and our team members love it as well. We see lower turnover. It’s a more enjoyable experience to work in. And of course, we’re seeing a lot of margin leverage in that restaurant. As we’ve guided before, we see significantly less labor. And so we gave a number on the Naperville margin last quarter. We’re not going to report on it every quarter, but significant margin leverage as well. While we’re not going to talk about the exact cost, what I can say is that the deployment of the Infinite Kitchen will be accretive to our return on capital. So whatever the incremental cost will be, the gains from the leverage on the labor will be accretive to that return on capital and what we expect in a classic unit. In terms of where we’re going with them, we’re still very much in a learning phase. So we’re – while we opened the first one, trying to – we opening a suburban restaurant, we’re opening a second one here in Huntington Beach. As we look at the pipeline for next year, we’re trying a bunch of different types of restaurants. So whether that be opening a new market with an Infinite Kitchen and seeing how that goes, a couple of urban deployments, a couple of other suburban deployments, really understanding how it works in different types of real estate. So we know where we go with it in the future. Obviously, the Infinite Kitchen it does better with higher volumes, so we would like to generally target it into stores that have slightly higher volumes for us. I think I covered all of your questions there.

Brian Mullan

Analyst

Yes, yes. Thank you very much.

Jonathan Neman

Analyst

Of course.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Brian Bittner with Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Brian Bittner

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Thanks. Just a follow-up to that question. I mean I think the Infinite Kitchen dynamic is pretty popular, just given how successful it’s been early on, even though it’s only been in one unit. Can you help us understand maybe the longer-term retrofit opportunity? I know there’s a big opportunity in your new unit pipeline, but what are the main restrictions or maybe even perhaps opportunities as it relates to this dynamic on being able to insert Infinite Kitchens into existing legacy units?

Jonathan Neman

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Thank you for the question, Brian. So as we mentioned on the prepared remarks, we’re planning two to four retrofits next year. We do see a huge retrofit opportunity, and that’s again something we’re looking to learn. We’re looking to learn a few things in a retro that I think will be different from a new store. Specifically, what does that max throughput do to our AUV in that restaurant? As we mentioned before, the Infinite Kitchens can do about 500 bowls per hour, so really fast production. And so we want to understand you put in a high really high-demand store, think about like a CBD store that has really high peak demand. Can we not only get the margin leverage, but could we capture more demand in those restaurants, and have, of course, a better consistent experience. So that’s what the retrofit learnings will be for us next year. In terms of where we’ll go with it, we do see a lot of restaurants that can eventually be retrofitted. The way we’re thinking about the technologies, is it’s quite modular, both in terms of layout, it can be square or can be linear, also can be modular in terms of components to scale costs up and down depending on the AUV. So a lot of flexibility with the machine and still – I just want to caveat, lot of learnings to have. We have one that we’re really happy about, but still a lot more to learn. And I think next year, we’ll start to provide a lot more of those learnings for us. And the last thing I’ll say, what’s interesting about the Infinite Kitchen is, the cost on the Infinite Kitchen as we scale will go down, as we start to see economies of scale, we’ll continue to scale down, and we’ve already started to see that. On the flip side, as we’ve all seen labor is inflationary. So we have two cost curves going; one, significantly inflationary on the labor side, while the cost of the technology will come down. So over time, this can become very – a really powerful tool for us, especially as we see significant wage increases around the country.

Brian Bittner

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

And you have seen wage increases, but one very positive dynamic this quarter, is the leverage that you’re getting on the labor line, third quarter, a couple of hundred basis points there. I know you slightly touched on some of the drivers of that, but can you dive a little deeper into how you’re pulling this off? I know you’re getting tighter with operations, but is there maybe – are some of the new stores that you’ve built just doing much better on labor? Is there anything else to unpack to help us better understand the drivers of the year-over-year leverage on the labor line?

Jonathan Neman

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Absolutely. So as you know, our business is all about seconds and cents. So we’ve really been working towards pulling all the levers we have. In terms of the labor specifically, the gains have been around better deploying it. Some of it has been having our head coaches working more time on the floor, consistent with the rest of the industry. Although it’s been getting tighter with our labor deployment models, we have also seen a pretty significant increase in our head cook stability. And as I mentioned on the call, we have seen turnover come down 15 points. So, we expect turnover to continue to improve, and the biggest indicator on productivity is a more stable team and teams that are more tenured. So, at Sweetgreen, we invest a lot in our teams, in our training, in our culture. It’s a huge part of what we do to provide that touch to our customers. And as our teams get more time enrolled, they are more productive, not only in providing a better experience, but a more profitable experience. So, a lot of the gains have been just more stable teams and better leadership and just really strong head coach – really strong head cook performance. And we expect that to continue. As you know, COVID brought a lot of noise around the labor market, and we have now seen the stabilization. And then the last thing I will say on that is we introduced tipping this quarter, and we have seen some really positive results. Our team members are loving it and we see that as another accelerant to start to continue to bring turnover down.

Brian Bittner

Analyst · Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Awesome. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Chris Carril with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Hi Jonathan and Mitch. This is Khadijah [ph] on for Chris here. My first question is, just when thinking about your priorities around menu innovation, can you talk about your current market share at different dayparts and the specific opportunities the brand has to lean into, as it relates to the dayparts?

Jonathan Neman

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Sure. So, one of the most exciting things we have done in a long time, the biggest menu launch we have had in years, has been what we launched last Tuesday with protein plate. So, as I mentioned on the call, it’s a new category. I love the tagline, the marketing tagline that we have with it, which is you don’t have to be a salad person to be a Sweetgreen person. And the goal there is a few things. One is to broaden the consumer. There is many people that want to eat healthy, real, delicious craveable food, but may not want to eat a salad all the time. So, this really starts to capture that broader consumer. It really removes the veto vote in many cases, which we are really focused on driving that with our kids meals. And it does help us on dinner as well. We have talked about the fact that dinner is about 35% of our business today. So, we see a huge opportunity in growing share at dinner and really balancing that out, and that should be really accretive to our unit level economics. What I can share is, it’s only been nine days, but really encouraged by the early – by the launch of protein plate. One, the feedback from guests has been just phenomenal. People are loving it. It’s delicious and craveable. But the product mix has exceeded our expectations, and that we are actually seeing it really over-indexed in some of our Southeastern markets, almost doubling what we expected. So, certain markets like Texas and the Southeast, we are seeing really strong receptivity to it. The last thing I will say on it is, this is just the beginning of building out this category. So, we launched three protein plates last week. You could expect us over the coming quarters and years to continue to build on top of this. So, think about different unique base options, other proteins that will build on to it. And over time, I see protein plates really broadening the consumer, helping us win dinner and really helping us increase the TAM of the company.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Great. Thanks. And next one for me is, can you expand a bit more on Sweetpass? Any detail around the frequency or spend versus non-loyalty customers would be great? And how you are thinking about the next steps regarding the Sweetpass user base?

Jonathan Neman

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Absolutely. So, we launched Sweetpass earlier this year. It’s been approximately six months since launch. We have been very focused on enrollment in both tiers, both the free tier and the paid tier, the membership tier. We just launched, as I mentioned, the ability to use Sweetpass in stores. So, for the first – for most of the history of Sweetpass, it was a digital-only program, starting just a few weeks about a month ago, you can now use it in restaurants, so you could scan to earn loyalty points and use rewards in store, which is a very important and large channel for us. So, we are really starting to learn a lot more about what it can do. What I can say is, we expect to beat our internal targets from an enrollment perspective on Sweetpass, and we are seeing some nice incrementality out of it. However, I do believe there is a lot of opportunity for us to make minor tweaks around how we leverage the CRM and the different customer journeys, to see more incrementality out of that. So, as we look forward to 2024 and the comp drivers, focused comp drivers for us, continuing to optimize and leverage Sweetpass was very high on the list.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Great. Thanks guys.

Jonathan Neman

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Katherine Griffin with Bank of America. Your line is open.

Katherine Griffin

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open.

Hi. Thanks for the question. First, I wanted to ask about just the increase in discounting this quarter and sort of what you are seeing in terms of customer sentiment right now, if you can speak a little bit to quarter-to-date trends? And if that’s sort of why you are seeing a little bit more discounting? Is it a response to that or is it more about customer acquisition with loyalty? I am just sort of curious about the ethos with discounting. And I think what we should think in terms of maybe headwinds going forward, just on the mix component from that?

Mitch Reback

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open.

Hi Katherine. Thanks. It’s Mitch. I think what we would say is that we are really seeing no real change in kind of our customer sentiment, although we are watching very closely and kind of in line with everything we read, showing some degree of concern on the future. Our discounting is up slightly in the quarter, largely due to the launch of Sweetpass Plus, more than increased discounting by the company.

Katherine Griffin

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open.

Okay. So yes, I mean I guess the question then is, just as you think about iterating the loyalty program, to what extent do you plan to incorporate discounting? And I guess, sort of how should we think about kind of how long that sort of headwind exists, before you start to see the return on that in terms of your expectations for loyalty?

Mitch Reback

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open.

No. I would say, at this point in time, we don’t see a need to increase discounting for Sweetpass Plus.

Katherine Griffin

Analyst · Bank of America. Your line is open.

Okay. Fair enough. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Matt Curtis with William Blair. Your line is open.

Matt Curtis

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. Just to follow-up on the Sweetpass discussion, I mean I understand it’s going to be an important driver of comps for you in the future. But I was just wondering if you could talk about what the impact – what impact Sweetpass has had on comps so far, or is it too early to say?

Jonathan Neman

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

I would say very marginal so far. As I mentioned earlier, we are very much in the enrollment and acquisition period, more of an investment period. And as we build that membership base, we will move into leveraging it. So, like I said, it’s a huge focus for us to make some optimizations on – less on the underlying framework, we are pretty happy with how that works. But I think there is some work we can do in terms of the journey and how we leverage the CRM, to drive that frequency of guests. And there is probably a few minor things you can do in terms of driving better enrollment upfront. So, expect to see some minor changes, but overall, pleased with the start, and do think this will be a big comp driver in the years ahead and has not been a huge impact for us thus far.

Matt Curtis

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

Okay. Got it. Thanks for that. And then just one other question on the quarter, it looks like other restaurants OpEx was pretty significantly, at least more than we were expecting. Can you just describe what drove that?

Jonathan Neman

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

Can you say that again?

Matt Curtis

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

Yes, sorry. It’s just a question on the third quarter, other restaurant operating costs. It was up pretty significantly, at least more than we were projecting. I was just wondering if you could say what drove that.

Mitch Reback

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

Actually, it’s difficult for me to explain why it was up versus what was expected. We saw no significant change in our inside numbers or planning.

Matt Curtis

Analyst · William Blair. Your line is open.

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And your last question comes from the line of Andrew Charles with TD Cowen. Your line is open.

Zach Ogden

Analyst

Thank you. This is Zach Ogden for Andrew. Just looking at the updated guidance relative to the start of the year, the store openings are at the high end, and the same-store sales are at the midpoint. The midpoint of the same-store sales was unchanged. So, the revenue guidance was updated to the lower half of that range. So, can you talk about what’s leading that, if everything else is at the high –at the midpoint or high end of the range?

Mitch Reback

Analyst

Yes. Thanks for the question. I think all I can really say about that as we kind of head into the fourth quarter is, we are kind of cognizant of all the consumer uncertainty that we hear and read about. And as you know, seasonally, we are heading into our softest quarter of the year, and it contains three holiday weeks. I think those factors all kind of play together to lead us to the guidance number.

Zach Ogden

Analyst

Okay. Got it. Thank you. And then just a question on the third quarter, so the same-store sales for the full quarter seemed to exceed what you had disclosed for the July period. So, was there that acceleration throughout the quarter and what do you attribute that to?

Mitch Reback

Analyst

Yes. Thank you. We saw our same-store sales grow each month in the third quarter. So, August is bigger than July and September was bigger than August. So, we saw a period of sequential growth all quarter.

Zach Ogden

Analyst

Okay. Great. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

We do have another question from Brian Mullan with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

Brian Mullan

Analyst

Thanks for taking the follow-up. Just a question on the restaurant level margins, if we were to take the upper end of the guide this year and say you got to 17.5%, that’s a lot of really good progress year-on-year. If you put aside the Infinite Kitchen for a second, do you think restaurant level margins could expand next year? And I ask that within the context of, I believe you still think there is a path to 20% over time, without the Infinite Kitchen. So, I am just curious if you could kind of give some early thoughts on – if you could expand them next year?

Mitch Reback

Analyst

Yes. Thanks for the question. We do see our restaurant level margins to continue to expand year-over-year. We believe next year in 2024, they will exceed 2023. And we clearly see a path to kind of that benchmark 20%. You know we had a 20% margin in the second quarter of this year, we ran 19% in the third quarter. But we think as we kind of look out on the things that we have discussed earlier, both on the cost structure side, around labor optimization, and on the growth side around menus, Sweetpass, Sweetpass Plus, that we actually see drivers to increase revenue and costs coming down, and we think it’s clearly a path to 20% near-term, and that’s without any benefit from the IK, which, quite frankly could be transformational over the next few years.

Brian Mullan

Analyst

Okay. Thank you, Mitch.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s call. You may now disconnect.