Earnings Labs

Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM)

Q2 2013 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 22, 2013

$70.56

-1.48%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Sprouts Farmers Market Second Quarter Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Today's conference call is being recorded. And now, I would like to turn the call over to Susannah Livingston, Vice President, Investor Relations and Communications. Please go ahead, ma'am.

Susannah Livingston

Analyst

Thank you, Sayid, and good afternoon, everyone. We are pleased you have taken the time to join Sprouts on our second quarter 2013 call. Doug Sanders, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Amin Maredia, Chief Financial Officer, are also on the call with me today. The earnings release announcing second quarter 2013 results and the webcast of this call can be accessed through the Investor Relations section of our website at sprouts.com. In addition, Sprouts' Form 10-Q will be filed within the next few days. During this call, management may make certain forward-looking statements. These statements are based on management's current expectations and are subject to change. Our actual results may differ materially. Please read our commentary on forward-looking statements at the end of our release and in our filings with the SEC. In addition, our remarks today include reference to non-GAAP measures. For reconciliations of our non-GAAP measures to GAAP figures, please see the schedules in earnings release. Lastly, we have provided summary sales and adjusted EBITDA results on a company pro forma basis as if the Sunflower Transaction had occurred at the beginning of our fiscal year 2012. We believe these pro forma adjusted results provide a good basis to look at the operating and financial results and the performance of the combined company on a year-over-year basis. Now let me hand it over to Doug. Doug?

J. Sanders

Analyst

Thank you, Susannah, and good afternoon, everyone. We enjoyed speaking with many of you while out on the road earlier this month and look forward to transparent communications as we move forward as a public company. We're very pleased to have started off our initial earnings as a public company with such strong results. To quickly hit the EPS for the quarter, we reported adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.14, a significant improvement of 56% from pro forma adjusted diluted earnings from the same period in 2012. The drivers of our strong performance include new store openings, continued momentum in comparable same-store sales and the resulting operating leverage. Amin Maredia, our CFO, will discuss these in more detail shortly. For those of you who are new to our story, I'd like to take a few minutes to explain Sprouts Farmers Market. Sprouts is a fresh, natural and organic retailer with a model that's built to make healthy eating easy, understandable and most importantly, affordable. Two of the biggest trends in the U.S. today are health and wellness and value. So put simply, consumers want to feel better about the foods they're eating, but they don't want to feel like they paid too much. At Sprouts, we offer the right combination of health, selection, value and service that successfully meets the needs of today's consumer. First, we sell healthy products because we're a natural food store. We don't sell Coke, Tide or Lucky Charms, so we're not a traditional grocery store that just happens to sell natural foods. Second, we're a full line healthy grocery store with a great selection of everything you need for a healthy diet, all in one place, including a wide selection of natural and organic packaged groceries, a scoop-your-own bulk foods department, a vast assortment…

Amin Maredia

Analyst

Thank you, Doug, and thank you, everyone, for joining us on the call today. Before I start, as a reminder, in our comparisons, we refer to 2012 financial results on a pro forma basis, giving effect to our May 29, 2012, acquisition of Sunflower Farmer Market as if it had occurred at the beginning of our fiscal 2012. Net sales for the second quarter of 2013 increased to $622 million, up 22% of the same period in 2012 on a pro forma basis. Pro forma comparable same-store sales growth was 10.8% as we continued to accelerate comps from recent quarters with balanced transaction count and ticket growth. As a result of our great brand recognition, tailwinds from the natural and organic industry, a more robust merchandise offering and an improving economy in many of the states in which we operate, Sprouts achieved comparable store sales growth on a 2-year stack basis of 21% for the quarter. This is the 25th consecutive quarter that stores that we manage have seen positive comparable same-store sales, including through the recessionary years of 2008 and 2009. These sales were driven by continued strong performance in our core stores and new store openings performing above expectations as a result of brand-building efforts which were focused on accelerating the maturity curve of stores in new markets. In addition, same-store sales momentum remains strong on a year-over-year basis across geographies, vintages and departments as the increasing focus on health and wellness trend remains intact. We continued to see solid performance in not only our core departments, including produce, bulk, vitamin and supplements; but also in other departments, including grocery, meat and seafood and bakery. These strong sales were a result of our efforts to continue to innovate, expand our offerings and broaden our value positioning to create…

J. Sanders

Analyst

Thank you, Amin. 2013 has been a very exciting time for our company. Our mission to bring fresh, natural and organic products at compelling prices to more and more communities continues to drive our company today as much as it did on day 1 back in 2002. With strong sector tailwinds, our dedicated team's focus on our customers and a strong operations and management team in place, we're very pleased with the result in the first half of 2013 and confident in delivering on our financial results for the remainder of the year. We will now open it up for questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from John Heinbockel from Guggenheim.

John Heinbockel

Analyst

Drilling down on new store performance, how would you rank order what has driven the new store performance between better real estate, better brand awareness and sort of better execution, advertising and so forth? And do you think new store performance can get better still from where we are today?

J. Sanders

Analyst

From a ranking perspective, I think our brand awareness has grown tremendously. Obviously, we went from 50 stores to 160 plus in just a matter of a couple of years. So brand recognition has really improved and is really driving some of the performance and the new stores especially in existing markets. Our improved offering across the store has also contributed to that and then obviously, the quality of the real estate. So the stores are performing extremely well this year. And as far as has that changed as far as the growth cycle of the stores, it's still kind of early to figure that out. So we'll continue monitoring it and seeing what happens as we go forward. But again, it's a little bit too early to make that determination at this point.

John Heinbockel

Analyst

But you also think you're opening them better in terms of advertising and just the pre-opening process, correct?

J. Sanders

Analyst

First, you're right. Yes, we're doing a lot more on the pre-opening marketing side and the post-opening marketing side for that matter, with the combination of grass roots marketing and a big effort in social media.

John Heinbockel

Analyst

Okay. And then secondly, talking about produce, I have not seen this in my travels, but has any store think -- maybe think back historically, any single store chain in a market made a concerted effort to really cut the price spread with you on produce, it could be organic or traditional? And what was the end result of that if anybody has done that?

J. Sanders

Analyst

Not really. In all the markets that we've opened in, you see -- you typically see some initial response from some more aggressive pricing. But it typically doesn't last more than maybe the first quarter or 2 and then they're -- and then they kind of returned to the normal levels. So we really haven't seen any one, just like a long-term permanent aggressive approach to reducing their produce pricing when we enter the market.

James Nielsen

Analyst

This is Jim Nielsen, COO. I think what's important here is we price check every week. So we react appropriately and we take a very aggressive stance to protect our business, so...

John Heinbockel

Analyst

Yes. I guess I just wonder, just with the way you set your model up, could anybody do that economically without meaningfully hurting their P&L? That doesn't look like they can.

J. Sanders

Analyst

It doesn't appear that way obviously, and with our model being kind of inverted from the way the traditional supermarkets operate, it would be a bit challenging for them.

Amin Maredia

Analyst

John, this is Amin. Just we have -- supermarkets have 8%, 10% or more of their business in produce, and you start looking at cutting that by 20%, 30%. It puts a substantial dent on your profitability in a pretty small margin business.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Edward Kelly from Crédit Suisse.

Lauren Wood

Analyst

It's actually Lauren in for Ed. So we wanted to ask you about comps. Can you give us any color on the trend throughout the quarter and maybe what you're seeing into August?

J. Sanders

Analyst

We don't give cadence throughout the quarter. What I can tell you is that comps were strong throughout the second quarter, and we're pleased with the progress that we're making into Q3.

Lauren Wood

Analyst

And are there any areas of strength that you might want to call out just by vintage or by geography?

J. Sanders

Analyst

Well, obviously, the comps -- we've seen some solid economic recovery in several of our markets like California and Nevada. And again, like I mentioned earlier, our brand recognition is really starting to gain traction, especially in some of our newer markets, which is driving strong comps in our -- some of our recent vintages.

Amin Maredia

Analyst

In some of our departments, we've seen some strength in where we've taken a lot of product innovation, merchandising innovation, specifically grocery, deli, bakery, we're getting paid back for that investment.

Lauren Wood

Analyst

Okay. And then can you just talk a little bit about the trends you're seeing and maybe your outlook for inflation going forward?

J. Sanders

Analyst

Yes. In the last couple of months, inflation has been fairly low. As we had talked about during the remarks here is that the first half of the year, we saw good amount of inflation in produce that has subsided over the last month or 2. And on the other end, the only other inflation we're seeing is in poultry, which is a fairly small piece of our business. But in all other areas, we're seeing inflation in the range of 1% to 2%, so fairly modest inflation.

James Nielsen

Analyst

We don't anticipate a material change in the back half of the year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Karen Short from Deutsche Bank.

Karen Short

Analyst

A couple of questions for you. Just wondering, on your net CapEx number, I thought that you guided to a slightly lower number, not landlord reimbursements. I thought the guidance was previously a little lower. Is there anything to talk to there?

J. Sanders

Analyst

No. I think in overall, I think we had anticipated $65 million to $75 million of CapEx at the beginning of the year. And as we've gone through the year, as we're firming up some of the projects, that's running up towards the $70 million to $75 million overall, so nothing significantly different. And then we also had, of course, purchases from last year, which also impact this year. And then, as we're looking at our pipeline for 2014, we'll also spend dollars in November, December for stores to be opened in early 2014.

Karen Short

Analyst

So it's not a function of new stores costing, like the cost going up per unit or fewer dollars in reimbursements, it's just timing?

J. Sanders

Analyst

Yes, it's really timing. We're not seeing any major pressure or inflation on building costs or overall costs or increases in FF&E.

Karen Short

Analyst

Okay. And then within the basket, you talked about the mix of traffic versus basket in terms of your comps, so pretty evenly split. And then I guess just to extrapolate within the basket, you're talking maybe 2-ish percent inflation, or is that reasonable and then the rest would be units?

J. Sanders

Analyst

Yes, it's about 1.5% to 2% inflation and the rest of it is just improved mix and basket growth.

Karen Short

Analyst

Okay. And then any cannibalization in the comp?

J. Sanders

Analyst

There's some cannibalization this year. Obviously, we've opened a handful of stores in some existing markets, but there's -- so there is some that is -- it's insignificant.

Karen Short

Analyst

Okay. And then I guess just a last question. Obviously, you've provided full year guidance. I didn't know what your thoughts are on -- maybe providing some directional comments on a quarterly basis into the third quarter. It doesn't -- obviously, you haven't in this press release. Is there anything to think about and be -- or be aware of for the third quarter as it relates to modeling?

Amin Maredia

Analyst

Sure. Just a couple of things. As Doug spoke about, is we've got good momentum in the first half of the year, driven by innovation, improved merchandising and execution and synergies. We expect that to sort of continue in the back half of the year, which will be partially offset by cycling certain promotions that we implemented during and post integration of Sunflower in Q3 and Q4 of last year. So our guidance assumes 8-plus percent comp for the back half of the year and a 2-year stack of 17%. In terms of specific items, the only thing I would point to is, in the third quarter last year, we invested in price during the integration of the Sunflower acquisition, and so we expect higher margins in 2013 compared to 2012, which will -- which we have accounted for in our 2013 forecast. And the only other item I would mention is, in the third quarter last year, is we had a nearly $3 million settlement charge in 2012, which will -- which was nonrecurring, which will lap -- which we don't expect obviously this year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Scott Mushkin from Wolfe Research.

Scott Mushkin

Analyst

It's a couple of questions here. And I just wanted to talk about expanding outside your core territories. I know there's been some thought process put into that. Kind of where do we stand on that? When do you think that's going to happen? And then I had a follow-up on the same subject, actually.

J. Sanders

Analyst

To take out -- we're going to be expanding outside of -- into a new market next year, which will include end of the Southeast. So we'll be expanding into the Atlanta market probably second quarter of next year. And the additional expansion will all be in existing or adjacent markets.

James Nielsen

Analyst

And Scott, just to -- our excitement on the Southeast -- obviously, we've done our footwork and visited the market, really like the demographic. But we've already secured supply chains, so the supply chains are not an issue. Evaluated market from pricing and very excited about the opportunity there, and recently hired an SVP of Operations who's from the Southeast, who will really help us go out and recruit the best people within the market.

Scott Mushkin

Analyst

It's always where it is, perfect, I appreciate that. So as we think about the cadence as this happens and as we think about margins and other things, I mean, is it enough? We've seen other retailers kind of expand and it's a good thing, but at first, it pressures margins a little bit. Can you walk us through a little bit how we should be thinking about this -- the move to the Southeast, which is obviously a very exciting situation, but kind of how it's going to impact kind of little bit the P&L as we move through next year?

Amin Maredia

Analyst

Yes, Scott. As we think about -- we have a fairly balanced growth strategy with 70%. We expect that in 2014 also with 70% of our stores in existing markets and adjacent markets and 30% of our stores in new markets. So with that sort of a balanced strategy, that really allows us to continue to accrete margins in the stores that we open in our existing markets, and then that is partially offset with margins in new stores. So we don't expect the move to the Southeast to have any significant compression or in fact, any compression into our margin expectations for the -- for our overall business.

Scott Mushkin

Analyst

Okay, that's perfect. I appreciate your thoughts. One final question. I mean, obviously, the drought in California, there's been some articles written about, if -- what's it, Lake Havasu or whatever it is, drops a certain level, they're going to really cut back the amount of water to a lot of the farmers in Arizona, maybe even California. I know we talked about this before, but just kind of refresh me. If that actually takes place, does that have a fairly significant impact on you guys? Or are you able to adjust pretty quickly, I guess, in terms of [indiscernible]

Amin Maredia

Analyst

[indiscernible]

Scott Mushkin

Analyst

Yes, as far as sourcing goes.

James Nielsen

Analyst

Yes, I mean, I think it's equal across all retail formats, right? So we'll price accordingly with -- and react to what the competition does. But historically, we haven't had an issue and we don't foresee huge crop availability problems here in the back half of the year.

Scott Mushkin

Analyst

Okay. Do you think like this -- as newspapers do, they're probably blowing a lot, blowing a little bit out of proportion in the sense that we could see some significant curtailment?

James Nielsen

Analyst

Yes.

J. Sanders

Analyst

Right.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Stephen Grambling from Goldman Sachs.

Stephen Grambling

Analyst

On the new market expand -- or the new store productivity here, are you seeing any difference in the mix of product? And as part of this, are you seeing maybe even increased adoption of some of the higher-margin categories?

J. Sanders

Analyst

Sure. The new stores this year have opened up very strong, and we are seeing a higher basket size and obviously, higher traffic count within those stores. The mix itself have stayed pretty consistent. We're obviously seeing a little bit faster growth in the nonperishable side, especially the packaged grocery side. But overall, the basket size has been higher and obviously, you're seeing that in the higher performance of the sales.

Stephen Grambling

Analyst

And then changing gears a little bit. As you think about SGA leverage, it looked a little bit better than I think I expected. Can you elaborate on the components and maybe the sustainability of the flow-through you saw this quarter?

Amin Maredia

Analyst

Yes. And I think the SG&A leverage this quarter primarily came from advertising costs being or continuing to negotiate our contracts, and we're seeing the benefits of that contract, one. And then two, we also, as we've opened stores in many of our existing markets that hasn't added any incremental advertising costs. So it's primarily coming from the advertising spend from our existing markets.

Operator

Operator

And I'm showing no one else in queue at this time. I'd like to hand the conference back over for any closing remarks.

J. Sanders

Analyst

Thank you for your time today and for your interest in Sprouts. We look forward to speaking with many of you in the coming months. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today's conference. This concludes our program. You may all disconnect, and have a wonderful day.