ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. (SFBS) Q2 2026 Earnings Report, Transcript and Summary
ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. (SFBS)
Q2 2026 Earnings Call· Mon, Jul 20, 2026
$89.26
-0.72%
ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Key Takeaways
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ServisFirst Bancshares, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
OP
Operator
Operator
Greetings, and welcome to the ServisFirst Bancshares Second Quarter Earnings Call. At this time, participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the formal presentation. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Davis Mange, Director of Investor Relations.
DM
Davis S. Mange
Management
Thank you, David. You may begin.
OP
Operator
Operator
Good afternoon and welcome to our second quarter earnings call.
DM
Davis S. Mange
Management
We will have Tom Broughton, our CEO; Jim Harper, our Chief Credit Officer; and David Sparacio, our CFO. Covering some highlights from the quarter then we will take your questions. I will now cover our forward looking statements disclosure. Some of the discussion in today's earnings call may include forward looking statements. Actual results may differ from any projections shared today due to factors described in our most recent 10-Ks and 10-Q filings. Forward looking statements speak only as of the date they are made and ServisFirst assumes no duty to update them. With that, I will turn the call over to Tom.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Thank you, David. Good afternoon. Thank you for joining our second quarter earnings conference call. We are generally pleased with the results and I want to give you a few highlights of the quarter and I will be followed by Jim Harper, our Chief Credit Officer; and David Sparacio, our Chief Financial Officer. On the loan side, we saw improved loan demand with annualized loan growth of over 15%. Almost all of our 13 regions or segments had really solid loan growth The best growth was in our 2 Florida regions and Tennessee but really no region contributed more than 15% of the total growth and almost none of them were less than 10% of the total growth. So it really was very granular. It was not due to several large credits. which is really good. And we also saw some improvement in our CLI line utilization in the quarter and that was encouraging as well. Our loan pipeline did grow quarter over quarter and is now at a record level. Projected payoffs this quarter are 17% which is roughly the same as last quarter and is down from around 33% over the last 2 years in rough numbers. So we are seeing payoffs diminish and return closer to historical levels of typical payoffs. You tend not to notice payoffs when you have robust loan demand. So hopefully, we are seeing loan demand rebuild and begin to things normalize a bit on that side. Our Houston pipeline is beginning to build. We also have seen increased activity in Texas. On the deposit side, our growth rate was constrained by some large income tax payments. Due to sales and properties and companies by our clients. Our non-interest-bearing deposits grew 20% annualized in the quarter and 14% year over year as we continue to emphasize our treasury management services and we benefit from continued trend of bank mergers as none of these bank mergers are done to improve customer service. On the new employee front, we added 9 bankers in the quarter. We added 2 in the Piedmont region, 3 in North Florida, 3 in Houston. Including a new Market President and 1 of our Regional CEOs in Houston. Our goal is never to set a numerical goal for new bankers but we try to make our bankers more productive and successful and grow their loan and deposit portfolios, and be very responsive to our customers' needs. With the name like ServisFirst, customer service is our primary goal and we want bankers who embrace the culture of ServisFirst. I will now turn it over to Jim Harper for credit update.
JH
James H. Harper
Management
Thanks, Tom. As mentioned, lending activity definitely picked up as we progressed through the quarter as we experienced solid loan growth across most markets Our growth was granular, it was driven by CRE activity As a result, we experienced an uptick in our CRE outstandings relative to capital moving from 298% of capital at threethirty 1 to 307% at sixthirtytwenty 6 That lending momentum and activity has continued into the early third quarter across our footprint, including Texas, where the team continues to grow and source new opportunities. With regards to NPAs, noted following the first quarter, we did have successful resolution in several credits early in the second quarter For the quarter, we saw a net decrease of NPAs of just under $7 million on a net basis We do not see any systemic weakening in any particular sector of lending and our credit quality continues to be strong On a related note, charge offs for the quarter and year to date continue to be modest totaling approximately $3.7 million for the quarter and totaled just over $12 million or 9 basis points for the first half of the year. Lastly, the allowance for loan losses ended the quarter at 1.26% versus 1.25 basis points at the end of the first quarter with increases occurring both within the pool portfolio and our loans assessed for individual impairment. David will now provide a summary of our financial performance for the second quarter.
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you, Jim, and good afternoon, everyone. I will walk you through the financial details of our second quarter, and I am pleased to report the momentum we described in the first quarter continued into this quarter. Net interest margin expanded again Loan growth reached fastest pace in several quarters credit metrics improved meaningfully and capital continued to build. Taken together, this was solid financial performance for us. For the second quarter of 2026, we reported net income of $85.8 million or $1.57 per diluted share. That compares to $1.52 per share in the first quarter up 3.4% on a linked quarter basis. And compared to $1.12 per diluted share in the second quarter of last year. An increase of 40% year over year. On an adjusted basis, which excludes a legal matter accrual reversal and a loss on marketable securities that affected last year's results, diluted earnings per share grew 30% from $1.20 a year ago. For the first 6 months of 2026, net was $168.8 million or $3.09 per diluted share. Up 35% from $124.6 million or $2.28 per diluted share in the same period last year. Return on average assets was 1.91% up from 1.89% in the first quarter and well above the 1.40% we delivered a year ago. Return on average common equity was 17.71% compared to 17.91% last quarter and 15.68% on an adjusted basis in the same quarter of last year. These returns continue to reflect the operating leverage in our model. Margin expansion, strong loan growth and expense discipline all moving in the right direction together. Net interest income for the second quarter was $155.6 million up from $148.1 million in the first quarter and from $131.7 million a year ago. Net interest margin expanded to 3.63% up 10 basis points on a linked quarter basis and up 53 basis points year over year. I would note that during the quarter, we were fully paid out of a large credit relationship that had previously been on nonaccrual status. And we recovered $1.9 million of interest income as a result. That recovery accounted for 5 basis points of the improvement in loan yields and in total net interest margin. On the funding side, average interest bearing deposit cost was 2.80%. Essentially flat to the 2.79% we reported last quarter but down 53 basis points from a year ago as last year's rate cuts worked through the deposit portfolio. On the asset side, loan yields were 6.23% up 5 basis points linked quarter, but 6.18% on a normalized basis. Investment yields were 3.81% up modestly from 3.78% last quarter. Our average rate on federal funds purchased was 3.74% unchanged from a linked quarter perspective and down from 4.49% a year ago, which is a direct correlation to Fed funds rates. In total, our net interest margin continues to expand, although we are seeing some slowdown in the pace. We expect to continue aggressive repricing on fixed rate loans as they mature and disciplined pricing on deposits. which will continue our margin expansion. Non-interest income was $12.9 million for the quarter. Up from $10.8 million in the first quarter and up 43.5% from $9 million a year ago on an adjusted basis. Growth was broad based, Service charges on deposit accounts was $3.3 million up 25% year over year reflecting the treasury management pricing changes we implemented last July and roughly flat linked to the quarter previous. Mortgage banking revenue was $2.2 million up 68% year over year and 17% linked quarter, driven by higher secondary market loan sales and the per loan administrative fee increase we put in place earlier this year. Credit card income grew 18% year over year to $2.5 million and bank owned life insurance income was $4.1 million up 94% year over year and 47% linked quarter, reflecting the $25 million of new BOLI contracts we purchased this quarter on top of the $150 million we added in the third quarter of last year. Non-interest expense was $50 million for the quarter. Up 5.4% linked quarter and 13% year over year. The linked quarter increase is primarily due to a negative recorded in the FDIC special assessment in the first quarter. Despite that growth, our efficiency ratio came in at 29.65%. The third consecutive quarter below 30%, and a meaningful improvement from 33.46% a year ago. Salary and benefit expense was $26.3 million up 16.4% year over year. Primarily reflecting the full run rate impact of our Houston market expansion. Full time equivalent headcount was 663 at quarter end. Up 22 from a year ago and up 3 from the first quarter. Very modest growth relative to the balance sheet expansion we are generating. Our effective tax rate was 19.94% for the second quarter compared to 17.82% last quarter. And 19.82% a year ago. The linked quarter increase reflects timing of investment tax credits for purchases. We continue to actively pursue federal credits with carryback provisions in expect to realize more tax savings in the future. We expect to continue evaluating similar tax advantage investment opportunities as part of our current year tax plan. Turning to the balance sheet. As Tom mentioned, this was a standout quarter for loan growth. Ending loans were $14.48 billion up $533 million from the first quarter or 15.3% annualized. Our fastest quarterly growth rate in some time. On an average basis, loans grew $440 million or 12.8% annualized on a linked quarter basis. Year over year, loans are up $1.25 billion or 9.4% with our pipeline remaining at record levels in growth broad based across markets, including a contribution from our Texas market. Deposit growth was more measured this quarter due to the competitive landscape but remains healthy on a year over year basis. Ending deposits were $14.55 billion up $62 million on a linked quarter basis and up $686 million or 5% from a year ago. Importantly, non interest bearing demand deposits are low cost, most durable funding source grew $3 billion, grew 5.6% linked quarter and 13.8% year over year. Which tells us our bankers continue to win core operating account relationships even as overall deposit growth moderated this quarter relative to loan growth. As Jim mentioned, net charge offs were low at just 11 basis points, annualized for the quarter, down sharply from 25 basis points, last quarter and 20 basis points, a year ago. With these low charge offs, and our healthy loan growth, we recognized our quarterly provision for loan loss expense of $11.4 million versus $10.6 million from the first quarter of 2026 and $11.3 million in the second quarter of 25. Our allowance for credit losses stood at 1.26% of total loans. Essentially stable versus 1.25% last quarter. We remain comfortable with our reserve given the current portfolio performance. Capital continued to build meaningfully in the second quarter. Common equity Tier 1 capital risk to weighted assets reached 11.83% on a preliminary basis. Relatively flat from 11.86% last quarter and up 45 basis points from a year ago. Total capital to risk weighted assets was 13.09%. Our Tier 1 leverage ratio was 10.93%. Intangible common equity to tangible total assets was 10.72%. We are generating capital organically at a pace to comfortably fund the loan growth we are seeing while still building cushion. Our book value per share was $36.19 at quarter-end. Up from $34.99 last quarter and up nearly 15% from $31.52 a year ago. Tangible book value per share was $35.94 On liquidity, we ended the quarter with $1.46 billion in cash and cash equivalents or about 8% of our total assets. We have no FHLB advances and no brokered deposits. Our funding remains entirely core and relationship driven. I will now turn it back over to Tom for his closing comments.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Thank you, David. We certainly were pleased with the quarter, but not satisfied I really know how much we can improve from where we are today. So I think we can do much better than what we are doing today. We are not hitting on all 8 cylinders yet to equate it to automotive car. But I feel like we are getting closer to all 8 singing than we have been in the last 2 years. You know, while we are in the middle of our largest regional startup in our history in Houston, we still earned a 1.9% return on assets I know reaching a 2% return on assets may be tough for the last 10 basis points, but it sure does seem like a worthy goal for us to strive for. Even though our primary goal will always be to grow earnings per share. Having more of our regions and markets perform at a higher level can get us to a consistently higher level of financial performance. On an industry level, we are seeing generally good bank earnings and improvement modest loan losses controlled expenses and a decent growth outlook coupled with a back drop of a good economic outlook. In addition, we see what appears to be a more favorable or at least not as hostile regulatory environment for banks. Overall, most banks have a favorable outlook for industry but bank stocks continue to be priced well below historical benchmarks over the last decade. I guess only time can make the cloud dissipate over the banks while we continue to perform at a high level every day. We would be happy to answer any questions you might have. Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
We will now be conducting a question-and-answer session. You may press 2, if you would like to remove your question from the queue. Our first question comes from the line of David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed.
DB
David Bishop
Analyst · the line of David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed
Hey, good evening to Tom. Hey, Appreciate all the commentary and the preamble there. Just curious, in terms of the lending environment, obviously, you said in market consolidation already is usually beneficial to you all. Just curious, maybe what the hiring pipeline looks like at this point? Or is there line of sight into additional banker hires into second half of the year?
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
I really cannot give you a very good answer, David. We talk to people all the time, and we are talking to a lot of different people from a lot of different banks and there are mergers going on that you do not see because they are private banks, you know, merging or private banks selling to a public bank, and you do not notice that. So there is constantly. Especially in Texas, I would say there is a lot of movement in the Texas market in terms of mergers and integration. So you know, I think it is a more active network than in terms of mergers than we have seen in a long time from that standpoint. So we were optimistic. We will continue to get looks in, of course, in many cases, people have a--you know, they have stay pay and certainly for a year after a merger is typically sort of a point before they even think about making a making a change. So we are constantly looking and talking to people, but I do not have a really good answer for you. Do not think I know there is been some changes in the Nashville market that affect us, but in event, I am sorry, I cannot give you a better answer.
DB
David Bishop
Analyst · the line of David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed
Yes, I do understood. And maybe talk about the state of loan demand. I think in the past, maybe it was A-minus, B-plus. It sounds like the pipeline continues to hit record levels. Just curious how you would characterize the loan demand environment at this point?
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
I guess I have to call it an A. Because it is broad based it was granular, there is a lot of smaller loans, it is just things were--and it is almost every region. Of our bank and segments had really good loan demand. So I have got to think it is getting much better And of course, all know Florida's strong and has been compared to the average. We have just had a lot of payoffs in Florida especially in our West Central Florida regions, have more payoffs than because the heavy real estate concentration down there than normal So but I would say I would give it an A now.
DB
David Bishop
Analyst · the line of David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed
Got it. 1 final question, I will pop off and get back on. But the commercial real estate concentration ratio, it ticked a tad above 300% still comfortable with the ratio at this level of capacity to continue to grow that product?
JH
James H. Harper
Management
Yeah. Hi, David. Absolutely. So we have a ratio we are managing to. We have got lots of headway before we get close to the ratio that would put us in territory we do not really want to be in. And I think we saw lots of really good opportunity even within the CRE asset class It was not a particular you know, it was not retail or office or 1 to 4 family. It was broad based even within real estate. So we saw a little bit of everything in real estate. So, but yeah, I do not think we have any concerns about where we are from a concentration standpoint.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
David, we never want to get to the point where we have to tell a good customer that we cannot take care of their needs. So we always make sure that we have some drop out for our good customers. No matter what sort of loan request it is. I mean, well, I mean, a car wash would be would not be a good answer because we are not looking for car wash loans. But if a really good customer wants to do a car wash, we are gonna do a car wash. How about that?
DB
David Bishop
Analyst · the line of David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed
Sounds great. Appreciate the color.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler. Please proceed.
SS
Stephen Scouten
Analyst · Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler. Please proceed
Yes. Good afternoon, everyone. Great quarter here. Obviously, the NIM expansion in particular, was really impressive. I know you noted there was a bit of a recovery there. Maybe contributed 5 bps to the loan yield. So just kind of want to level set a little bit. And when you talk about expecting the margin to continue to expand from here, Would that be off of this 3.63% NIM, or would that should we use maybe the June NIM of the 3.59% more as starting point for continued expansion from here?
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah. Steven, this is David. Yes. I when I am talking about it, I would refer to the adjusted number, which is the 3.58%. To your point, 3.59% was our spot rate for the month of June. And we still have over $2 billion of opportunity between scheduled maturities on loans, cash flows, as well as, covenant violations and loan modifications. You know, if you look at our total yield on the in the loan portfolio, adjusted for the quarter, it is coming in at 6.18%. Our going on rate is at 6.32%. So we still have some room to grow that to expand that, but that gap is starting to narrow. So, when we still expect to see expansion in the margin. But as I said, I think it is just going to slow because that gap of what is going on versus total portfolio is starting to narrow.
SS
Stephen Scouten
Analyst · Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler. Please proceed
Yeah. That makes sense. Okay. Yeah. Because I think previously, you kind of thought, hey, 7 to 9 basis points in NIM expansion. Quarterly, but maybe that is 4 to 6 or something in this sort of, as we move further down the path. Is that a decent way to think about Yes.
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
We may get 1 more quarter of the 7 to 9% range but I would start to think about the 5%, 4 to 6% kind of range of expansion. As we get towards the end of the year.
SS
Stephen Scouten
Analyst · Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler. Please proceed
Yeah. Still something a lot of folks do not have directionally, so that is fantastic. In terms of kind of balance sheet migrations and ability to fund growth, I mean, the loan deposit ratios, obviously ticked up here on the really strong growth. Could we expect to see maybe securities balances decrease further? Or how do you think about you know, Tom, you said, like, if a good customer wants to make a loan, we are going to make the loan. How do you make sure you have the funding to be able to do that, and does that potentially put pressure on deposit cost moving forward to make sure you can do that?
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Well, we always want to be in a position where we need deposits. So that is the first thing is if we generate the loan demand, then we will work hard to generate the deposits to fulfill the loan demand. So that is the preferred that is the preferred position for the bank. Is to need deposits and rather than trying to find loans to make. So that is the second part of the leg. And we feel confident we can do that. And the second half is typically we see typically see nice deposit growth in the second half of the year. I did see a lot we saw a large number of tax payments you know, some major large tax payments by individuals you know, well over several, well over $100 million each on April 15th filing cycle. Or at least paying estimates. So the second half of the year is when we always generate deposits. So we feel good about it.
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
And Stephen, I will add, when Tom talks about the healthy pipeline, we are talking about loans and deposits at the same time, not just the not just the loans, Stephen. We were seeing opportunities in deposits, especially out of Texas. We are having some opportunities in Texas Got it.
SS
Stephen Scouten
Analyst · Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler. Please proceed
Got it. And just with that securities book, I think maybe you showed in the supplement, $260 million or so of unpledged securities remaining. Is that kind of the magnitude of what it could potentially run down if needed to kind of remix the balance sheet away from securities maybe into loans given the demand?
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah. I do not think our first priority is gonna be to run down the security book because we use that collateralization because we do a fair amount of business for municipal deposits, right, and we have to collateralize those. I think we have some mortgage repos, which is a short term investment we have, and we can unwind some of those if we need the liquidity. So I think that is what we would want to but yeah. that is what we are gonna do.
SS
Stephen Scouten
Analyst · Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler. Please proceed
Okay. Great. And then just last thing for me, maybe a very high class. I want to call it a problem, but high class issue to think through is just I mean, you are growing capital even with this loan growth. Given the strength and the profitability. So how do you think about what to do with this building excess capital and what the best uses are for it? Above and beyond organic growth? And would a share repurchase at any point be on the table?
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Yeah. It is a champagne problem. I would agree. And the last time we had this issue was right before COVID hit and then we had extremely rapid growth during the COVID period and all of those questions went away. Because we grew into our capital pretty quickly there. For a period of time. So we do not take anything off the table whether it is would be an acquisition or whether it would be stock repurchase. We are not going we are going to do the best thing for our shareholders, whatever we think that is.
SS
Stephen Scouten
Analyst · Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler. Please proceed
Got it. Okay. Makes sense. Appreciate you guys' time and all the color. Congrats again on a great quarter.
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
Thank you. Hey, Steven, I will add also just a side note. When you are asking about the securities, the $260 million in securities, on our supplemental data. We are applying a haircut to that. We work with regulators and, you know, we are highlighting our available liquidity in that in that supplement. And so we agreed with the regulators that we would haircut our securities in the event of a liquidity crisis. So that is why you are seeing a decrease on that so much. In the second quarter versus last. Got it.
SS
Stephen Scouten
Analyst · Stephen Scouten with Piper Sandler. Please proceed
Very helpful. Thanks, David.
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
You are welcome.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Steve Moss with Raymond James. Please proceed.
SM
Steve Moss
Analyst · Steve Moss with Raymond James. Please proceed
Good afternoon, guys.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Thanks, Jay. Hey, Tom.
SM
Steve Moss
Analyst · Steve Moss with Raymond James. Please proceed
Maybe just circling back here to loan demand and pipeline being at record highs, and given that pay downs have slowed, do you think you know, for the remainder of the year, are you thinking a mid teens type growth rate is a fair assumption?
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
it is hard to say. I do not like to give a you know, forecast because we really do not know. We had a We had a pretty good sized payoff this month that we knew was coming It was also a watch list loan, so that is not all bad. To get a watch list pay down. But if loan demand holds up, we think we can have a end up with a pretty decent year, Steve. But it is kind of hard to say for the--for right now, it looks pretty good, but you get rates going up, we get some kind of geopolitical event, it is funny how the you know, when this little thing in the thing in Iran started, that kind of pulled everything back for a few weeks and things slowed down. And, I mean, Jim Harper sitting here, he sits there at his desk and has the you know, the deal flow come in, and it will drop, and then it will come back.
JH
James H. Harper
Management
And it has not been consistent all year.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Actually even thought early May was really slow, and you look up at the end of June and this is what we have done. Right?
JH
James H. Harper
Management
So it lasted a couple weeks and rebounded really quickly. Yeah.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Yeah. Yeah. So if, barring any geopolitical event, certainly, you know, rate increases, we think we are positioned for rates to go up or down. We think we are going to be fine. We think it will work out. But I guess I do not have a very good answer for your question, Steve.
SM
Steve Moss
Analyst · Steve Moss with Raymond James. Please proceed
No worries. I figured I would ask and see what is what you would say, Tom. And then I guess the color was helpful. I will say that. The other thing here in terms of you know, with loans for a moment, with the large nearly $100 million relationship that you guys have on non accrual, just kind of wondering what is the update on that process of that relationship these days?
JH
James H. Harper
Management
Yeah. All those properties are being listed for sale and expect those to be disposed of and like all of our all of our nonaccrual loans are properly reserved. And we feel good about where we are on that relationship and that we have proper reserves in place. As needed.
SM
Steve Moss
Analyst · Steve Moss with Raymond James. Please proceed
Okay. Great. And then last 1 for me here just on the sub-30% efficiency ratio, so just curious how you guys are thinking about expenses for the upcoming quarter Obviously, you had a fair amount of investment in Houston. Just kind of curious as to how you guys are thinking about total expenses here.
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
Yes. Yes. So Steve, this is David. You know, I think our $50 million run rate is a good run rate right now. You know, I think, you know, we have fully baked in there the Houston team. Right? Houston team is gonna continue to expand, although not as quickly as it has. Last couple of quarters, I do not think. And so what we are seeing right now is that Houston is sort of a drag on the efficiency ratio, right? And so because they are not you know, their loans their business, their deposits are not ramping up as quickly as their expenses. it is just a natural evolution of building out a franchise, right? And so I think from here, you know, Houston is only going to improve in regards to the efficiency ratio. They are going to grow their income, right? More loans are going to come on the books. So is the efficiency ratio going to stay below 30%? I mean, that is going to be a challenge. I mean, we are going to--you know, we are not adding a ton of headcount. You could see what we put on in the quarter, and Tom talked about it. We had 9 bakers that were added in the quarter. Most of what we add from an FTE perspective are customer-facing. We are not adding back office costs. We do not have additional technology that we are spending money on. And so I think the noninterest expense run rate is pretty stable at the $50 million rate right now.
SM
Steve Moss
Analyst · Steve Moss with Raymond James. Please proceed
Okay, great. I appreciate all that color there. Thanks very much guys.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Thank you.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed.
DB
David Bishop
Analyst · David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed
Yes. Just a quick follow-up, maybe for David. Just David, just curious, it sounds like maybe the Fed next move is up, maybe, rather than down or stable as we thought maybe last quarter. Just curious if the interest rate risk profile how that shapes out for a more hawkish Fed rather than the dovish here at this point?
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah. I mean, David, I mean, if I could predict what the Fed was going to be doing, I would be in a different business. Right? I would probably be making more money betting on the market. We have asked our asset liability management consultant to run a couple of different scenarios for us. And so as we stand right now, I mean, we are pretty neutral in regards to interest rate sensitivity. We are still slightly liability sensitive, but just barely. So we looked at 2 scenarios. We looked at increasing 25 basis points, which if that happens, you know, we lose about $240 thousand in the first year of net interest income. Not a big amount at all. it is a nominal impact. If rates decrease 25 basis points, we are looking at gaining $105 thousand in net interest income. So, you know, I point those out to show you that is the bank. I mean, we have, a $300 thousand swing either way. And so you know, to Tom's point, what is going on in Iran? there is just a lot of unknowns in the economy right now. And I think the Fed as much as they want to decrease interest rates, there is going to be continued pressure from an inflationary standpoint to increase rates. And so I think we are just going to get a stagnant environment at least for the remainder of this year. I do not see any great movement this year barring any, to Tom's point, any geopolitical event that is gonna change that. But I think as we stand right now, we are going to be at a neutral rate environment.
DB
David Bishop
Analyst · David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed
Okay. Great. Appreciate that. And then David, maybe a good effective tax rate to use. I know it is bounced around a little bit here, but curious any color you can give there?
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
Yeah. David, that is--you know, I talked about it. I mean, we are trying--we have some carryback capacity on tax credits. We continue to work on that front to maximize those. I expect to see some benefit from those in the future in the second half of the year. My target is to stay below 20% on effective tax rate. And so, you know, we are doing things where we try to look at tax investments for the current year and then purchasing credits for a carryback perspective. And so I guess for your benefit, I would try to target below 20% is what I would what I would hope for.
DB
David Bishop
Analyst · David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed
Okay. Got it. Got it. And then maybe 1 final question. Tom, just curious in terms of the Houston expansion, if you are at a point where you can maybe give outstanding balances.
AN
Analyst
Analyst · David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed
Just curious if those offices started funding up from a loan to deposit basis.
DS
David Sparacio
Chief Financial Officer
Thanks.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Yes. I mean, we funded you know, they funded $50 million or so in the in the quarter. In loans and $25 million to $30 million in deposits in the quarter. So but it is building. It is starting to ramp up in terms of both loan and deposits.
DB
David Bishop
Analyst · David Bishop with Hovde Group. Please proceed
Got it. Thank you.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Sure.
OP
Operator
Operator
Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I would like to pass it back over to Tom for any closing remarks.
TB
Thomas Ashford Broughton
Management
Thank you everybody for joining us. Have a great evening.
OP
Operator
Operator
This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.