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Serve Robotics Inc. (SERV)

Q4 2016 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 23, 2017

$9.43

-4.70%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the ServiceMaster's Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2016 Earnings Call. Today's call is being recorded and broadcast on the internet. Beginning today's call is Jim Shields, ServiceMaster's Vice President of Investor Relations and Treasurer around he will introduce the other speakers on the accustom at this time we will begin today's call. Please go ahead, Mr. shields.

Jim Shields

Management

Thank you, Christy. Good morning and thank you for joining our fourth quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me on today's call is ServiceMaster's Chief Executive Officer Rob Gillette, Chief Financial Officer, Alan Haughie and Senior Vice President, Tony DiLucente. For those of you investor presentation from our website I'll walk you through the agenda items shown on Slide 22. Rob will lead off by providing some observation remarks and then provide a summary of fourth quarter and full year 2016 consolidated continuing approximate results. Rob will provide our fiscal year 2017 outlook, Alan will then review our performance by segment and provide more details of our consolidated results. Rob will then provide summary comments before opening the call to your questions. Before we begin I would like to remind you that throughout today's call management may make - may make forward-looking statements to assist you in understanding the Company's strategy and operating performance. As stated on Slide 3, all forward-looking statements are subject to the forward-looking legend contained in our public filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance and are subject to the Risk Factors contained in our public filings that may cause actual results to vary materially from those contemplated in the forward-looking statements. Information discussed on today's call speaks only as of today. February 23 reasonable degree, 2017. The Company under takes no obligation to update any information discussed on today's call. This morning's ServiceMaster issued a press release filed with the SEC on Form 8-K highlighting our fourth quarter and full year 2016 financial results and we have posted a related presentation both of which can be found on the Investor Relations section of our website. We will reference certain non-GAAP continuing approximate measures throughout today's call. We have included definitions of these terms in our private-label which is available our website. We have also included of these non-GAAP continuing approximate measures to the most comparable GAAP financial measures in our press release and presentation in order to better assist you in understanding our financial performance. All references on the call to EBITDA are to adjusted EBITDA as defined in our press release. I'll now turn the call over to ServiceMaster's CEO Rob Gillette for opening comments.

Rob Gillette

Management

Thanks Jim thank you joining us today for our fourth quarter full year 2016 earnings call. Before I walk you through our continuing approximate results for the quarter I want to speak to you about some of the recent changes we have made at January 18th we announced that Al Haughie will retire from the Company in March. Upon his departure Alan will be succeed by Tony DiLucente. Tony comes to ServiceMaster from HTT global a provider of mobility for military and government applications where he served as Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer since 2011. Prior to HDT Tony Watts CFO leading building products company and has significant finance and general management experience John man visual and Honeywell international. Alan was instrumental in guiding the Company through several mile Stein vents clung true green business in January 2014 ServiceMaster's initial public offering and the recently completed $2.4 billion refinancing. I want our thank Alan for his dedication and his many during his time here at ServiceMaster. Alan will remain in his current role with the Company through the final of our 2016 10-K. Tony bring a strong background in financial management and operational expertise across a broad range of industries and companies. I previously worked with Tony and Honeywell and know his track records of driving business growth and process improvement. We're very excited to have him join the team. In addition to Alan's retirement and Tony joining the team last quarter we announced the promotion of Marty wick to the newly of term anything an Mary Kay Wegner to the as President of the Franchise Services Group succeed willing mar too as term ignition COO Marty will be customer experience management of all and the customer call centers [indiscernible] has been with ServiceMaster sin 2009 and has…

Alan Haughie

Management

Thanks, Rob and good morning everyone turning now to Slide 7 and Terminix's performance, starting with the fourth quarter on the left-hand side revenue increased year-over-year by $9 million or 3%. Acquisitions made in periods accounted for about $8 million of this growth. Our Alterra revenue for the month of October 2016 is included is a component of this acquisition revenue but Alterra revenue for November and December 2016 is classified as part of the organic base. So organic revenue growth for Terminix as a whole was just one million dollars for the fourth quarter. But if we excluded organic contraction of Alterra the remainder of Terminix grew organically by about $3 million or 1%. EBITDA for the quarter declined by $3 million from $76 million in 2015 to $73 million in 2016. And we incurred about $4 million in additional labor costs reflecting the hiring and training of pest tech well in advance of the peak pest seasons with the aim of increasing service levels to improve customer satisfaction and so boost organic growth. We had signaled and anticipated increase in labor spend on our third quarter call. We also continue to invest in technology and carrying $2 million of higher expense than last year and despite the additional $4 million in labor cost and $2 million of technology investments EBITDA margin fell just 1 point in the quarter compared to last year. For the full year shown on the right-hand side revenue increased by $80 million or 6 per and acquisitions contributed $60 million or 4 point of this growth. Alterra contributed significantly to Terminix's growth in 2016. We're Rob about the acquisition and I would like to retrofit those benefits again and add that additional scale provided by the Alterra acquisition Terminix well as it continues to…

Rob Gillette

Management

Thanks, Alan. We had a good quarter driven by strong organic growth at American Home Shield and acquisitions in both American Home Shield and Terminix. Our termite business continues to improve as our sales grow. We have taken the right steps to improve our pest control business by improving service quality to drive customer satisfaction and retention. We're investing in technology to improve our service quality and our ability to drive growth in the future. We feel good about our progress and the opportunity we have in the future. Thank you for joining us today and for investing in our Company. We would also like to thank Alan for his time here at ServiceMaster and his many accomplishments. He is a good friend and he will be missed. We wish him the best as he moves on to new endeavors. Now I'll turn it over to Jim for Q&A. Jim?

Jim Shields

Management

Thanks, Rob. As reminder during the question-and-answer session we encourage you to ask any questions that you may have but please note that guidance limited to the outlook we have provided in our press release and webcast presentation. Additionally since the cue is long this morning please limit yourself to one follow-up question so that we can get everyone in in the allotted time. Christy, let's open it up - the line for questions now.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Anj Singh. Please go ahead.

Anj Singh

Analyst

This is Anj Singh from Credit Suisse. So I guess turning to questions, first off I wanted to touch on the longer term incremental margins. I think you is guys are expecting those to moderate a bit to 30 to 35%. I think last quarter you were still confident that it could continue to be at about 35%. So is it just the additional labor costs that are being factored in here? Curious as to what you found to moderate your expectations for the incremental margins in Q3.

Tony DiLucente

Analyst

Yes. This is Tony DiLucente. That's correct. It's essentially the additional labor costs that both Rob and Alan talked about. We're going to continue to invest in growth in Terminix to drive the organic growth.

Anj Singh

Analyst

Okay. Got you. And then as it relates to the flattish organic growth expected for Terminix at Q1 and your guidance for the full year organic growth, could you just speak to the factors that provide your - your confidence in that growth accelerating in the back half? Seems the performance has been pretty lumpy quarter to quarter so just wanted to better understand the visibility that drives your outlook here.

Tony DiLucente

Analyst

It's basically the focus on improving our re attention rate which is really driven by specific actions that we're taking to improve the customer experience and customer quality. So we're very confident that we will see that bump-up in the second half of the year.

Rob Gillette

Management

And Anj, it's Rob. We're actually coming to you from the downtown Sheraton in Memphis, Tennessee where we have all of the branch and field Management Team here where we have been talking about exactly what we're going to be doing to go out and make sure that we engage customers and drive that retention. So we feel confident in the ass that we're taking the [indiscernible] pretty fired up and when I'm done answering you guys' questions I'm going to go fire them up some more and sends them back to the field.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Toni Kaplan. Please go ahead.

Jeff Goldstein

Analyst

This is actually Jeff Goldstein on for Toni. How should he be thinking about market expansion [Technical Difficulty] I know margins down a little bit in 2016 primarily related to the increased claims costs incurred. Should we be expecting margins to get back to somewhere around a 2015 level just really trying to understand the puts and takes there.

Rob Gillette

Management

I'm sorry. Could you repeat that you were tailbacking up a little bit on our side? Could you repeat your question?

Jeff Goldstein

Analyst

I apologize. Yes, I was asking about American hold she would margin expectations for next year because I know in 2016 they came down primarily related to some of these increased claims costs you incurred, but should we be expecting margins to get back to somewhere around a 2015 -

Rob Gillette

Management

A couple things you should take in account relative to margins. We don't give specific margins at American Home Shield, but if you turn to the American Home Shield page for the full year, there's a number of different one-offs that we have in will such as technology is going to be remaining flat over on a year-over-year basis in addition to that you can take a look at sales and marking spend that Alan had pointed to. Probably not going to be increased quite as dramatically as that and also on that page we also have an investment income of basically a $3 million drag. That's not going to be there. So you - we don't give it out, we don't give guidance, you know. We say that our long term incremental margins at American Home Shield are about 35%. We're consistent with that. I think relative to this year there might be a slight drag associated with that incremental margins just because we made a lot of acquisitions in 2015 and we need to integrate them into - excuse me - 2016 and we need to integrate them during 2017.

Jeff Goldstein

Analyst

Okay. That's helpful. Thanks. And then just you have spoken about obviously the increased investment your making in Terminix to accelerate growth there, but just thinking bigger picture what's the right way to think about long term growth in this segment after some of the recent issues you have seen? I mean is this shall is this a GDP plus grower, can you match the mid-single-digit growth at some of your competitors? Just really what your long term target in this business.

Rob Gillette

Management

I think that in general it wouldn't vary from what we have already said or said when we went out with the IPO. You know, we always talk about one to two point in market, one to two point in price and one to two pints in acquisition. That's kind of the way it's averaged a little over - compounds and over a long period of time. You know, we can through all these efforts continue to improve on retention and drive more growth, we sure will. I guess wear on the side of being conservative with these actions we're confident they're going to get and we don't want to over sell it until we can come back and tell you that we did. So that's kind of where we're at.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Wittmann. Please go ahead.

Andrew Wittmann

Analyst

I notice the change on your guidance approach this year which - was exclusive of acquisition. I think that makes sense, but given that, guys, I wanted to get a sense of where you are on the acquisition curve. Last couple ever years have been probably a little bit more active than we would have expected coming out of the IPO O and I was just wondering if the last couple years' investments in you think are a good template for what we could be seeing in the year ahead.

Rob Gillette

Management

Yes. I think we will continue to invest obviously as part of our growth strategy and add services and capability to what we do. You know, in the American Home Shield arena a lot of it is what's available when. So it's more of a timing thing and, you know, we look to add to that business and we have a target list, but the list is relatively short when you think about the traditional players in that game. So that's - that's one thing. And I think on the Terminix side we'll continue to pursue the business like we have identifying good quality target that we can add to the business that help tie into our strategy of - of the growth and retention and growing the business overall. So I think directionally you can think of it as - as similar practice in 2017. We just made sure to - to tell you that none of the acquisition - or potential acquisitions are included other than what was acquired in 2016.

Andrew Wittmann

Analyst

That makes sense. My follow-up question I wanted to talk about the contractor network at American Home Shield in particular. Obviously, you had the - I guess you would call it Anj easy comp on the claims cost. I just wanted to check back in really on two things. One, you know, how do you feel about your out of network claims costs in the contractor base side and are you seeing any impact to your ability to find contract - to find contractors willing to work for you now that they are getting more alternatives to find volume in their work from technology?

Rob Gillette

Management

Yes. I would say the team especially because of some of the we faced in late 2015 kind of carrying over into 2016 the team this year has done a great job in making sure that we develop the contractor base and add contractor. So I think we have added roughly 10% to the overall contractor base and - and also branching out into new contractors other than the traditional ones that we have worked with. So we're paying a lot of attention to kind of the capacity side of the equation and we want to make sure that we can maintain the service quality with those contractors and maintain the growth profile and still serve customers. So we're investing in both the call center and the contractor base and we don't - we don't have a shortage of people that want to work with us. In fact, we're focused on developing new and there's many, men's apparel people interested in being market of the business.

Alan Haughie

Management

As Rob also said in the script the acquisitions also contributed to our built-out of our network also. That should benefit in the areas where we were sort of light.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of George Tong. Please go ahead.

George Tong

Analyst

Can you elaborate on how your investment initiatives in Terminix differ between termite control and pest control and when you might expect to see these initiatives translate into in re attention rates and new customer acquisition trends?

Alan Haughie

Management

Well, as you know, most of the opportunities out there to acquire businesses are predominantly pest control, you know, so fewer and fewer have termite businesses of significance. So I don't even remember the ratio. But it is clearly the minority of what we have purchased. Most of those businesses that are out there today in that mid-sized range are predominantly pest control so when you acquire them it's more about where they are positioned how does if knit in the portfolio relative to what we have in permanent of footprint and what types of things do they do an are enabling to grow their business organically which is what we look at, too. So we - you know, we - we look for quality people that can help us drive the things we talked about like retention and growth so - and a lot of it is when people decide to sell what and - and what their thoughts are. So we have active conversation with them all the time.

George Tong

Analyst

And the follow-up question in the American Home Shield segment can you talk about how spending will need to change this year in marketing and in growing your network contractor base in order to sustain the trends you have seen inorganic revenues?

Rob Gillette

Management

Yes. I think as Alan mentioned, we had a one really large increase in marketing spend this year because of the shift between 2015 and 2016. He did also mention that we're going to see probably a continued increase on this. You know, but not nearly to the degree we did last year. I think the key element here is that our overall cost of acquisition of customers in that DTC channel remains pretty constant during this time period. So we continue to invest in that marketing spend going forward. We do basically moderate it based upon the capacity of our - of our contractor network so that they lineup appropriately, but, again we're really confident and we're very excited in terms of that fact is we continue to see stability relative to our cost of acquisition in that channel.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Gary Bisbee. Please go ahead.

Gary Bisbee

Analyst

Hey Rob in your discussion of the strategies being implemented at Terminix I heard an awful lot of we're piloting this, we're testing this, we're trying in this branch. Can you just give us a sense of - of the range of strategies that you have discussed this quarter and last quarter how much of it is largely implemented or - or - and how much of it is in the trial phase where you'll decide in the future if it works and then implement it more productively. Just trying to think of the cadence of the strategies in total.

Rob Gillette

Management

Yes. I would tell you that in the last six months we've implemented a lot of things and so I think part of it is in equal measure I think we mentioned before that there were an awful lot of initiatives, too many initiatives going on I think that kind of de frayed the focus on growth and customer retention so we - you know, we have been talking to the team here about growth and growth being both new acquisition and retention. The investments we made in reference to the $4 million labor increase in Q4 is not just technicians but it's also sale people and training, right? So I think as I - I told you guys what the significant difference between the start of this year versus the start of 2016 is the clear number of trained people that we have in sales and service, right? So that bodes well for us in terms of executing. So that - when you think about it if you got trained guys with a great attitude ready to hit the busy season, that's when you capture the growth and then a lot of these other changes we - we don't want to make changes that would disrupt anything that we have put in place so we have a couple different approaches that we're trying on the technician pay plan that basically are focused on supporting the idea of NPS and customer satisfaction and growth indifferent vary and. We rolled out the technology so everyone has the iPhone 6 which then deploys this dispatch technology on my way notifications in five star ratings which we have already deployed in certain branches which has made a magazine initiative September impact in actual NPS in those branches. In some cases more than doubling it. So we know that it works. And then we're rolling it out to make sure the guys are trained to do it. So I would be telling you most of the work is the fundamental work and the focus of the team on capture engagement pre and post communication and ensuring we're on time and engage the customer and most of that is just a primary focus on what the guys need to do and ensuring that they do it. So a big part of it is verifying they do it and then measuring the results of each. So I'm excited about the improvement made already and I - I just sat through individual skip levels with groups of 20 over the last four days, the branch managers, right? So they are the guys on the ground they understand exactly what we're doing. Theory excited about it and I'm excited about what we can do this year.

Gary Bisbee

Analyst

And then the follow-up just you alluded to the potential expansion of the A HT strategy to think about - the comment shirr market or more peopling looking for higher service level as opposed to just the insurance component. You know, where are you in that? You have alluded today that as a possibility in the past, but is this acquisition, you know, I guess what's the timeline to really think through and determine how you might leverage that going forward.

Rob Gillette

Management

Yes. I think we have had a lot of discussion about that and I think Tim and I have decided in a small way we may highlight it on a limited baste basis to get a feel for it which would be in a specific geography of relatively a flew Egypt high density, right? So you think about the services we're going to go out and investigate what people are willing to pay for and then what the service level commitment is and landmark is one that kind of sold as a company that was tended more toward concierge than the traditional service. So we want to learn from what they have done in both price and product positioning and - and then see what we can do to leverage that into the product line of AHS and how we would go-to-market. So we have always talked about it, Gary, over time. So we're pretty excited about what it could be because we know people are willing to pay for convenience, but if you take that step you got to be really, really good at what you do and we would make sure we're before we do it.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of [indiscernible]. Please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

So just on the kind of longer term operating model for the Company, not so much about 2017, but as we look out to 2018 and beyond these investments that you're making in technology, the investments that your making in sales and mark, particularly in AHS do those start to get referred in the future? Is that something we should expect to continue to grow going forward any kind of long term business model commentary would be great.

Rob Gillette

Management

Yes. Hey Sam, specifically as it relates to the American Home Shield yes the technology spend as Alan mentioned is going to be flat. So that is definitely leveragable going forward because it's going to be sort of flat on a year-over-year basis. I think even I don't understand 2017 we have talked about it even in our - on the Investor Day that we don't expect that increasing over beyond even 2017 or 2018 to remain at the same level. So that's definitely leveragable. And relative to sales and marking is the other sort of expense that we have on the bottom line there, Sam and that number - it will consistently grow over time and sort of match our overall growth rates. So we have - we have a model that we're confident in there is that we have about 50% gross margin and, you know, it's been stable in the past. We think it's going to be stable in the future and we have basically said about 35% incremental margin there at American Home Shield and we think that's going to be the right level going forward there. The other thing I would say, Sam, on the sales side in Terminix we rolled out the iPads and the global technology for sales and that's been really successful and so we implemented sales training which we haven't effectively done in a lot of years and we implemented that in September so that was part of the our investment, but the iPad these guys as you can see to go out and, you know, canvas, cold call, schedule, communicate and pitch with their iPad driven with collateral that comes down from the marketing guys so I'm pretty excited about what they can do with that and that investment is made, right? So we just continue to tweak it and evolve it and the sales guys are pretty excited about how that convert, too so we traditionally have improvements in conversion which would be a point of leverage kind of backing up what Jim said.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

And maybe just sticking with the Terminix comments, you know, Tony, you made what I would argue to be kind of a pretty confident statement regarding the kind of acceleration in the back half of 2017 from organic growth. I was wondering is there anything that you can point to that - that kind of gives you that confidence? I mean I understand that you have more feet on the street. I recognize the increase in the number of tech negotiation but are there any kind of statistics that you can point to that would give investors greater confidence on the acceleration? Thank you.

Rob Gillette

Management

No. I would say just sitting through the meeting the last three days here with the Terminix team we have not only a lot of energy, but a lot of specific actions really aimed at improving retention. We're going to manage that metric real closely by - by region, by branch and I really believe that, you know, there are our new sales engine is working very effectively and it's really a matter of just focusing on the customer experience and improving those - the customer service. That's going to have a pretty profound impact and that's where I gain my confidence that we'll see that back half improvement.

Operator

Operator

Our network question is a follow-up from the line of Anj Singh. Please go ahead.

Anj Singh

Analyst

I had a quick follow-up on Gary's earlier question. As it relates to some of the additional services your recent provide in AHS, can you speak to whether your current contractor network base is capable of servicing those new services or would you need to find different or additional contractors? Just trying to understand what may be limiting factors in a broader rollout with an AHS aside from perhaps just piloting and select geographies as you had referenced. Thanks.

Rob Gillette

Management

No. The contractor base that we have collectively is a Company clearly can do all this work and in a lot of cases you can get it done for the cost of a trade service fee on average, right? So - and it's - you know what it is. It's another touchpoint in communicating with the real estate customer where you get in and address and remind them of the services that you can provide and then, you know, get your - our contractor basin and think about negotiating with them and having them be part of the - the group, get giving them opportunity to put their business card in front of these customers and to capture retail work going forward which is the model we pursue with our contractors. So in the case of vision of a concierge type product the advantage to our contractor base is this access at a retail type price scenario for them, but then you have to have a service level agreement within same day service and response and so forth so they would have to understand that. So we think it fits really well with the contractor base that we have.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time.

Rob Gillette

Management

Okay. Thank you again for participating in today's conference call and webcast. As reminder a replay of the call will be available on our website in about one hour from now. We look forward to speaking with you again. Thanks again for participating.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude the conference call for today. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your line.