Earnings Labs

Sealed Air Corporation (SEE)

Q3 2020 Earnings Call· Wed, Oct 28, 2020

$42.15

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Third Quarter 2020 Sealed Air Earnings Conference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker’s presentation, there will be a question and answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today’s conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to one of your speakers, Ms. Lori Chaitman. Ma’am, please go ahead.

Lori Chaitman

Analyst

I hope you and your family are healthy and staying safe. Before we begin our call today, I would like to note that we have provided a slide presentation to help guide our discussion. Please visit our website where today’s webcast and presentation can be downloaded from our IR site at sealedair.com. I would like to remind you that statements made during this call, stating management’s outlook or predictions for future periods are forward-looking statements. These statements are based solely on information that is now available to us. We encourage you to review the information in the section entitled Forward-Looking Statements in our earnings release and slide presentation, which applies to this call. Additionally, our future performance may differ due to a number of factors. Many of these factors are listed in our most recent annual report on Form 10-K and as revised and updated on our quarterly reports on Form 10Q and current reports on Form 8K, which you can also find on our website at sealedair.com or on the SEC’s website at sec.gov. We also discuss financial measures that do not conform to U.S. GAAP. You will find important information on our use of these measures and their reconciliation to U.S. GAAP in our earnings release. Included in the appendix of today’s presentation, you will find U.S. GAAP financial results that corresponds to the non-U.S. GAAP measures we reference throughout the presentation. I will now turn the call over to Ted Doheny, our President and CEO. Ted.

Edward Doheny

Analyst

Thank you, Lori. And thank all of you for joining our third quarter 2020 earnings call. I hope you and your families are staying healthy and safe. As the pandemic continues, our customers are counting on us to get things done. Our employees are delivering, and I couldn’t be prouder of their efforts. We are focused on zero harm in everything we do, supporting our customers, executing on our reinvent business transformation and becoming a stronger and better company. On today’s call, I will recap our third quarter results. I will share how we are growing in an uncertain environment and how our global markets continue to evolve. I will share how our growth strategy is centered around automation, sustainability and digital. Jim will review our financial results in more detail. And then I will close with the reiteration of how our [4Ps] (Ph) of Reinvent SEE are guiding us in this journey. We will end the call with Q&A. Let’s turn to Slide 3 for a recap of our third quarter results compared to last year. Adjusted EBITDA increased 8% on sales growth of 2%. Adjusted earnings per share increased 28% to $0.82. And in the nine-months ending September 30, we generated $292 million in free cash flow as compared to $110 million in the same period last year. We had a solid third quarter. For the first time in six quarters, protective delivered year-over-year organic volume growth attributable to strength in e-commerce, fulfillment and automated equipment. Growth in protective was offset by a modest volume decline in food, which was largely attributable to labor challenges at meat packaging plants in the lagging recovery in food service. Based on our execution, results achieved to-date and improved demands in protective, we are raising our full-year 2020 guidance across all key…

James Sullivan

Analyst

Thank you, Ted. Let’s turn to Slide 7 for a review of our year-over-year net sales by region. In the third quarter, net sales totaled $1.2 billion, up 2% as reported and up 3% in constant dollars. In constant dollars, North America, our largest region, representing 60% of our sales, increased 3%. Asia Pacific was up 1% and EMEA was flat. South America was up 13% due to U.S. dollar index pricing. On Slide 8, here you see our organic sales volume and pricing trends by segment and region. In the third quarter, volume overall increased 1% with 4% growth in protective and 2% decline in food. By region, North America was up 2%, APAC was up 1% and EMEA and South America were down 2% and 3%, respectively. Volume in protective was driven by strong growth in e-commerce and fulfillment of about 15%, partially offset by a 2% decline in industrials, both of which exceeded our expectations. North America and APAC delivered 6% and 8% volume growth, respectively. This was partially offset by a 5% decline in EMEA, where we have more exposure to the industrial sector, particularly automotive. In food, volume declined in all regions. North America declined 2%, EMEA 1%, and both South America and APAC were down 4%. While equipment was strong, labor challenges in meat packaging plants and the slow recovery in food service weighed on our volumes globally. South America was also impacted by the soft economic environment in the region, reducing local consumption of fresh red meat. In APAC, herd rebuilding on Australia impacted volumes as well. On Slide 9, we present our year-over-year consolidated sales and adjusted EBITDA bridges for the third quarter in first nine-months of the year. Organic sales in the quarter were up 1% with higher volume contributing $8…

Edward Doheny

Analyst

Thanks, Jim. Before we open up the call for questions. Turning to Slide 17. I wanted to reiterate our 4Ps of Reinvent SEE. We always start with our purpose statement. We are in the business to protect, to solve critical packaging challenges and to leave our world better than we found it. Our performance continues to improve as we are progressing towards world-class. We are keeping people out of harm’s way while strengthening our business through the crisis. By operating as 1C culture, we are enabling fast decision-making. Our strategy to deliver the best systems at the right price and make them sustainable is working. Our broad and innovative product portfolio, global scale and agility has enabled us to address the evolving customer needs across our end markets and geographies. Our 1C operational excellence processes are driving flawless quality, world-class productivity and yield improvements as well as customer service enhancements that are creating customer references. You can see the structural changes of Reinvent SEE reflected in our operating leverage so far in 2020 with more to come. Sustainability is in everything we do. Fueling our growth. And in this pandemic, still top of mind. We are enhancing our portfolio and innovating to meet our 2025 sustainability pledge and drive a circular economy for plastics. I’m excited to share that since announcing our investment in Plastic Energy Global, we collaborate with Plastic Energy, SABIC, Bradbury’s Cheese and Tesco to lead by example, where we have been able to create a micro circular loop for food-grade packaging. We are embedding our environmental, social and governance in diversity and inclusion priorities into our core business strategy and values. We will continue to proactively manage ESG and diversity and inclusion risk and leverage opportunities to drive success. This is reflected in our culture and…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of George Staphos with Bank of America. Your line is open, please go ahead.

George Staphos

Analyst

Hi thanks for taking my call. And Karl congratulations we knew this was coming at some point. Thank you for all your help with our research over the years. Remember the first time you spoke at our conference with Derma back a while ago, best of luck to you. I guess my question really is on food. We knew that there was a supply glut of animal, at least we thought there were that were ultimately going to come to slaughter. And we are just questioning, you know we heard some of the reasons, but why we are not seeing more of a translation of that into volume in food for the third quarter and the fourth quarter. And the related question, as we get into 2021, Ted, do you expect that sustainability and Reinvent will be accretive to volume in food and for that matter, protective and 2021 had at one point in time, recognizing you got a lot of challenges right now with COVID. Thank you guys.

Edward Doheny

Analyst

Thanks, George. And I apologize if everyone calling here, there is a rainstorm going on in Charlotte right now. So we will hopefully talk through that. But George, for the first part, I’m going to turn that over to Karl to give you a detailed answer of what is going on with food.

Karl Deily

Analyst

Yes. Thank you, George, for the kind words. And also, I think you have to look a little bit deeper on what is going on in the market. And slaughter has been tracking slightly below prior year in the third quarter and almost 4% in beef below prior year for the year-to-date. And as they try to work through the backlog and get their processes up and running, they have without of the skilled labor and still high issues with absenteeism, they have gone to a simpler product mix. And we have seen a very, very slow recovery in the food service part of it. Both of those have translated to lower volume levels and a little bit of a negative mix. We are still performing above what the market is. But it is dilutive. And something we are definitely keeping our pulse on daily.

Edward Doheny

Analyst

Okay. Great, Karl. And George, I will take the second part of the question where you are asking about Reinvent taking us into 2021 in sustainability to drive growth. And with Reinvent going into 2021, as you saw on the chart, if we looked at it, we have savings coming into, we think we have a built up pipeline, we feel pretty good about that. Just so you know the detail that we manage this, we have over 2,500 projects that we are tracking right now, anywhere from $5,000 to multimillion. So we do feel like we have got a good pipeline and so we think Reinvent will continue to be strong, and we will look for opportunities. Some of those opportunities tie in to the second point on sustainability as well, sustainability in both the food and the Protect business. On the food side of the business, we are developing some pretty innovative solutions that tie into automation. And what we are doing in our factory automation that we think we could bring to new meat processing plants as we make them much more efficient, improving their labor shortages, et cetera. On the sustainability side, and as we mentioned, we invested in Plastic Energy, as we now are going circular, there are certain parts of our materials in the bags, such as PBDC or chlorine, we developed already rapidly in less than 12-months. Chlorine free bags coming in the sustainability side that we see as a growth opportunity there as well. On the protective side, we are definitely seeing sustainability with our e-commerce boom, and how do we make our products recyclable, sustainable. The recycled Bubble Wraps already coming out into our product lines. Our mailers, not just the plastic mailers with the bubble, but also paper. And our paper business is growing quite nicely, and we expect more coming into 2021. The challenges will continue. We are thinking this post-pandemic environment is continuing. So we feel pretty good both Reinvent SEE and our new product development will help us. The other piece, I will probably talk about again with the question, is what we think automation can do to fuel our growth going into 2021. Okay, operator next question.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Anthony Pettinari with Citi. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Anthony Pettinari

Analyst · Citi. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Good morning and best wishes to Karl on his retirement, and thanks for all the help over the years. Just a quick question on product care. It sounds like industrial and e-commerce outperformed expectations in 3Q. Just curious if that continued in October. And when you look at the contribution margin for that business in 3Q, do you expect that to improve? Or are there any kind of drivers of improvement that we should think about there?

Edward Doheny

Analyst · Citi. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Good question. Obviously, in October, which was nice how you snuck that is in the fourth quarter. So we see the trends basically continuing. I will share that. On the e-commerce side, what we see the shift in the portfolio. If you look at Slide 4 that we talked about, moving really to be a market-driven company with these great product lines. The largest product line and the most profitable in our protective is our Instapak, which is definitely hit with what has going on in the industrial. So actually, using our leverage language, that is been a major deleverage on the portfolio. So actually, the performance on all those different product lines and being listed by e-commerce has really helped that business not only grow but had significant margin expansion. Seeing some of that get not as bad on industrial in the third quarter. We anticipate that going through in the fourth quarter, but we still think it is going to be a drag year-over-year. So shifting the portfolio very, very fast to mailers or bubble wrap on demand, and not only can we get the volume, but can we get continued margin expansion and where we are really seeing the engine work. If we get that volume, we are seeing that leverage come in very, very nicely. So we think we definitely have some challenges continuing in the fourth quarter, but we plan to fight through that, not only through the fourth quarter. We are spending most of our attention right now is taking that momentum into 2021. Okay, next question operator.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Josh Spector with UBS. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Joshua Spector

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Yes, hi and thanks for taking my question. I guess in terms of your 2025 equipment target and more than doubling your sales versus 2020. What are the biggest factors that get you there? And is this more of a replacement cycle that peaks and then declines? Or do you see e-commerce growth and automation driving sustainably higher level of equipment sales?

Edward Doheny

Analyst · UBS. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Yes. And Josh, welcome to our coverage. Glad to have UBS back and you personally. so great question. With the automation, we actually see that growth in both those areas you identified. Part is replacement, we have an extremely large fleet of equipment. If you look at Slide 5, we say, out there, there is thousands of machines. So as we are driving automation, it is taking care of that installed base, the parts, the service, the upgrades. And as we go digital, we think that is a significant opportunity to stay connected to that installed fleet of equipment. We think we have some improvement opportunities there. On the new equipment, and that is what we focused. And if you noticed, we actually have taken this number up already from 2020 when we first announced this at the investor conference last quarter, we were at 175. So we already have visibility that this is moving quickly in this environment, developing new products and new systems as we help to automate our customers’ facilities, such as meat packing plants. We are working with many of the majors right now of how we can pack that meat faster, safer and do it in a remote environment, keeping people out of harm’s way. On the e-commerce side, that is where we are seeing a lot of benefits, especially changing the model from how we did in the past. Both our food and protective models where we used equipment to actually subsidize to get more materials. And what we are finding is that actually focusing on what the equipment can do to help on labor, to help on productivity, to help on safety, that we could actually have multiple opportunities, not only for the equipment that are in our portfolio, but working with other potential suppliers of equipment and branding it. So we see lots of opportunity to keep that growth, as you can imagine, going from 200 to 500, that is a pretty aggressive growth target. And as always, our internal targets are much more aggressive than what we are sharing externally. Okay, next question operator.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ghansham Panjabi with Baird. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Ghansham Panjabi

Analyst · Baird. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Yes, thank you, good morning and Karl, congrats again. You are leaving as a legend in the industry. So very respectful be a career over time, so congrats.

Karl Deily

Analyst · Baird. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Thank you.

Ghansham Panjabi

Analyst · Baird. Your line is open, please go ahead.

I guess, first off, Ted, obviously, we are seeing real-time headlines of lockdowns in Europe and some parts of the U.S. as well. To some extent, a pantry loading, again, in the U.S. starting in October. How do you think this upcoming sort of paradigm impacts your portfolio versus maybe what you experienced in the first part of this year? And then a separate question maybe for Jim, in terms of the price cost evolution over the next few quarters, how should we think about that $35 million price/cost spread you have benefited from so far this year changing as we cycle into 2021? Thank you.

Edward Doheny

Analyst · Baird. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Okay. Good. Thanks, Ghansham. Hey Sul do you want to go first on to yours? And then I will -

James Sullivan

Analyst · Baird. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Sure. Ghansham, this is Jim. So we did talk in our comments that we do expect price/cost spread to turn a little bit in the other direction starting in the fourth quarter. We have had some benefits there year-to-date. Keep in mind, a fair amount of that is from Reinvent, which we think is sustainable and not just going to be given back, if you will, when the market turns. We continue to do a really good job by materials and doing what we can to position our materials globally in a way that we could avoid a lot of the inflation. So you see the headlines in North America around the low-density polyethylene and the big increases that we see there. But you got to remember, we buy globally. We buy a lot of different resins and we buy chemicals. And if you look at the mix of all that, it is not as severe as one might think when they look at the headline market changes and certain of the resins. So I think that is the good news. I think, again, I think we will do better than the market in terms of our buying and we will also start to see the formulas kick in. There is a bit of a delay in the formulas, but we will get those kicking in next year. So we are contemplating in our guidance. That, that will turn a bit in the fourth quarter. But I think with some pricing actions, some of which we can do just on the basis of value contribution and some that is based on formula. And probably some mitigation of materials overall as we transition into 2021. I think we feel like over the course of the year, it is very manageable. We may not have the tailwind that we had in 2019 and the first three quarters. But I think we have got a lot of actions in place including keeping that reinvent engine driving above inflation, which will help.

Edward Doheny

Analyst · Baird. Your line is open, please go ahead.

And to the first part of your question, Ghansham, obviously watching the news and because we are directly connected also with our customers around the world, the announcement that just came out about France going into a shutdown. We have been connected just like when this all started, if it seems like a long time ago, but it was just January when our team was talking about what was going on with China with our facilities of how we put them into lockdown immediately. So we have heard what has going on around the world. We are in crisis situation, crisis management, not only with our customers, with our people and our facilities. So how do we see that affecting our portfolio where we think it will be a little bit different when this first hit. Because what happened, if we look at the first quarter going in the second quarter, we built up inventory with our customers and we did it simultaneously. So a little bit of what has even going on with the food business right now is burning some of that inventory off that we had, what they had and working very, very closely together to make sure that we keep our production levels going with our customers. The shift in the portfolio is we got to look at that with what has going on with restaurants, will they reopen? Will they not reopen? What is going on with our portfolio with whether it is the bags or whether it is our Darfresh. So we are looking at those very carefully with our customers. But we also think, again, on automation, we can be in there helping them deliver safely and supply of the world. So don’t have a perfect answer other than we are getting pretty used to how do we handle the crisis and stay connected. So we actually do think our very, very diverse portfolio will help us fight through this situation and as early as the first quarter where our first challenge is that we are trying to solve right now. Okay, next question please.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Adam Josephson with KeyBanc. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Adam Josephson

Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Thanks. Good morning everyone, I hope you and your families are well. Jim, just a clarification on guidance. You mentioned you expected protective volumes to be up in the fourth quarter, albeit to the same degree that they were up in 3Q. I don’t think you commented on food volumes. I think you said food organic sales would be up. But I don’t think you commented on volumes. So bearing in mind, they were down 2% in each of the past two quarters. Can you talk about what your volume expectations are for the quarter for the total company? Do you expect volume to be up or down? And then any preliminary thoughts on next year in that regard? Thank you.

James Sullivan

Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Sure. Let me stick to this year first and maybe clarify a little bit of the guidance around the segment. So with food, as you mentioned, our volume was just shy of 2% down year-over-year. I do think as we transition into the fourth quarter, we expect that to still be down year-over-year, very modestly. But overall, if you look at the full-year, we do expect constant dollar food to be up 1%. So a little bit of a drag in the back half of the year there. But consistent with the third quarter, probably a little bit better maybe. On protective, the protective growth assumption in the guidance is positive. We were up 4% in the third quarter. The guidance would imply a little bit less than that on a volume basis. And I think the thing we are a little bit cautious of there, even though the trends around e-commerce remain very robust. I think we are a little bit cautious about the economy in Europe, in particular. And maybe seeing a little bit of back off there in that region in particular. But overall, we do expect favorable year-over-year volume growth in that segment as well. As we transition into next year, it is an open question. Obviously, we have got a lot to learn here over the next three months in terms of how the COVID environment will hopefully stabilize, and we can get back to more normalized levels with food production growing and us beating the market. And as Ted talked about earlier, the real headwind for us in protective is still the industrials business, and it is improving. But hopefully, we can get to the point where we can start to grow that part of the portfolio. And when we do, you’re going to see the margins there really improve as well.

Edward Doheny

Analyst · KeyBanc. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Next question operator.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Phil Ng, Jefferies. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Philip Ng

Analyst

Curious on how your thinking about the pace of recovery in your industrial business. Are you kind of envisioning this as a multiyear recovery? And I guess, on a separate note, just given the strength you are seeing in e-com and automation, I was just wondering do you have no capacity to service that demand and your ability to kind of scale up that business on the protective side of things. Thanks a lot.

Edward Doheny

Analyst

Just what - did you said the pace, was that - it didn’t come through clear, on the industrial pace of recovery. Was that the question?

Philip Ng

Analyst

Yes. So the first part was the pace to recover on the industrial side. I mean, the last downturn took a few years to kind of get back to previous levels. So I’m just trying to get a better handle on how you kind of envision your industrial business recovering the pace of that recovery. And the second part is just the strength you are seeing in e-com ability kind of scale up.

Edward Doheny

Analyst

Good questions. On the pace on the industrial, that downturn has been pretty dramatic. One of the largest segments of industrial that we look at is automotive. We thought we saw automotive coming back, but now we have a start and stop, and we keep talking about Europe again, where we have a really strong base with industrial with, again, our Instapak. So seeing what has now happening and that potential slowdown again. We definitely think the industrial will come back. We got to move our portfolio. If it doesn’t come back. We got to move the products to what is growing, again, really where we want to push this product line to be market-driven. So the second, can we keep up with the pace of the e-commerce, that is a great question. Because if you just go back a couple of years and where we were going with mailers, that is full force with our team and our supply chain and leveraging our plants around the world, actually expanding capacity and moving resources. So it is a good problem to have in the portfolio, but we are definitely - those products that are getting hit by e-commerce, we are moving our production to keep up with the pace. If you look again at Slide 4, just give you an example, is we are really moving the whole company to be an e-commerce company. And we are internally working on a plan to do that. Once you go online, you are no longer what region are you in. If you look at that example, where you can see where we actually have our core view product, now doing spirits, which is actually way up. Well, that was actually launched by one of our large freight for the companies, and they put it on the Internet with us side-by-side, well. The hits on that product line were showing up in Australia and now in the U.S. So we are moving the whole company to eat fully e-commerce. So we got to be prepared to move when that pull-through comes. So great question, e-commerce is here. It is to stay. And we are moving our whole portfolio, our whole business to be able to support that. So it is going to be some challenges, but those are the good challenges we are looking for, and we think we can handle that challenge, to have the capacity ready to serve those markets. Okay I think we have a chance for one more question, operator.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jeff Zekauskas with JPMorgan. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Jeffrey Zekauskas

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Hi, thanks very much. In your product care business, I think last quarter, you thought that the trends would improve, but that the volume would still shrink in the third quarter, but organically, it grew 4%. Is it possible to pinpoint why the growth was stronger than you expected?

Edward Doheny

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open, please go ahead.

I’m trying to think that all the products lines were up on the e-commerce. The biggest ones that were up were our Bubble Wrap on demand more than we thought, the core product line way up, higher than expected. And I would say on the industrial side, we saw that not as bad as we are thinking, but I’m trying to think of - I don’t want to admit that we didn’t predict this, but we obviously didn’t.

James Sullivan

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open, please go ahead.

When we came out of the second quarter, this is Jim, we thought that we were looking at mid- single-digit declines in the back half of the year with industrials and high single-digit decline. And the rest of the portfolio, low single digit. And as we mentioned, we were surprised to the upside on both of those. And I think, really, industrial is coming off a real almost stop across the world in the second quarter, really ramped up very nicely. And obviously, we are well positioned with the products that we have. If the markets are moving, we are going to be there, and they move pretty fast sequentially Q2 to Q3. And then the same thing on e-commerce. We just continue to see a lot of the in-home buying and our position is global. So as Ted talked about, the supply side of this is pretty challenged. When you are seeing that kind of demand run your way. So fortunately, with the global footprint, we were able to serve the needs of the market. But it didn’t happen on its own. It was a tremendous effort on the part of our supply chain team to make that happen. So I think we see it continuing, as I said, into the fourth quarter, especially in e-commerce. But I think, again, the pause we are taking is on industrials in Europe and maybe even a little bit on e-commerce in Europe.

Edward Doheny

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open, please go ahead.

Yes. And just one, I had to look at the picture, to, I guess, the most obvious thing that is exceeding our expectations what has happening with our automated equipment that the automation side, and we launched it, we went public on what our strategy is up to double-digit, APS. And every call, I keep giving a shout out to our APS team that was up significantly in the quarter, and it makes sense as more stuff is coming through e-commerce and how do we get those fulfillment centers, how do they back quicker, faster and safer. And now having a product line that can meet that demand, that one is probably the number one significant upside for the quarter, and we got to do more of it going forward.

Karl Deily

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open, please go ahead.

They were very capable to pivot from industrial to e-commerce to fuel that added growth.

Edward Doheny

Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open, please go ahead.

And to food. We even had - good point Karl, excellent comment, putting food into our automated packaging system so and because we will close on that as the message. There is more good things to come. I want to thank everybody for the call we wrap it up for today. I hope everybody stays safe and look forward to connecting with everyone next quarter. Thank you, operator. That is it for us today.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today’s conference. This does conclude the program, and you may all disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.