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comScore, Inc. (SCOR)

Q4 2021 Earnings Call· Mon, Feb 28, 2022

$7.61

-2.87%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Comscore Fourth Quarter 2021 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers’ presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your host for today, John Tinker. Please go ahead.

John Tinker

Analyst

Before we begin our prepared remarks, I'd like to remind all of you that the following discussion contains forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include comments about our plans, expectations, and prospects and are based on our view as of today, February 28, 2022. Our actual results in future periods may differ materially from those currently expected because of a number risks and uncertainties. These risks and uncertainties include those outlined in our 10-K, 10-Q and other filings with the SEC, which you can find on our website or at www.sec.gov. We disclaim any duty or obligation to update our forward-looking statements to reflect new information after today’s call. We will be discussing non-GAAP measures during this call, for which we have provided reconciliations in today's press release and on our website. I'd now like to turn the call over to Comscore’s Chief Executive Officer, Bill Livek. Bill?

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you, John. And thank you everyone for joining us today. With me are Jon Carpenter, our Chief Financial Officer and other members of our management team. I'm proud to report to you that Comscore had another quarter of growth in the fourth quarter. Our revenue results in the quarter represent our highest year-over-year growth since 2018. Our execution in the second half of the year is evidence that we've turned the corner at Comscore and is one of the reasons I'm so excited about 2022. Secondly, we have reworked the way we run our business, at our core Comscore measures content and ads. It enables the planning and activation of media in a privacy forward way. We built one of the largest media composition databases enabling us to deliver and optimize outcomes across all screens, television, connected TVs, digital, mobile, and movies. John will take you through this in more detail, but we have simplified the business down to two core focus points, Cross Platform Solutions and Digital Ad Solutions. At Comscore, we are laser focused on the measurement of content and ads and the outcomes that we deliver for our clients. A catalyst for our growth has been the continued rollout in acceleration of our product offerings, particularly our cookie-free products within our Ad Solutions group, along with the launch of Comscore Everywhere and Comscore Campaign Ratings, which I'll refer to as CCR. I'd like to do a bit of a deeper dive in the Comscore Campaign Ratings, as one example, to illustrate how we're winning through our commitment to innovation and the future of the industry that we serve. Comscore Campaign Ratings has gained a lot of momentum measuring the ad campaigns during the Olympics and Super Bowl and providing insights into their performance that weren't available…

Jon Carpenter

Analyst

Thanks, Bill. As Bill mentioned, we close the year strong generating $96.5 million in revenue up 7% year-over-year and $12.4 million in adjusted EBITDA, a 32% increase over the fourth quarter of 2020. Breaking down our revenue in the quarter a bit further, we had several key drivers across the portfolio. Within ratings and planning, we generated $64.7 million in revenue, a 2% increase over the fourth quarter of 2020, largely driven by double digit growth in our national and local TV measurement products, partially offset by our syndicated digital business, which was down year-over-year, but essentially flat Q3 to Q4. We generated $23.4 million in activation and optimization revenue up 21% year-over-year, largely on the back of another solid quarter in our activation offering where we were up 43% year-over-year. It’s worth noting and while it’s still scaling, our predictive audience product, that is our cookie-free solution within our activation offering ramped nicely throughout the second half of the year, which gives us a lot of solid momentum heading into 2022. Finally, our Movies business continued to rebound. We delivered 19% year-over-year growth and generated $8.5 million of revenue in the quarter. This what it’s all looks like for the year, $367 million in revenues, up 3% from the prior year. With the solid print in fourth quarter, our Movies division generated $31 million in revenue on really a tail of two halves, where the first half was down year-over-year but the second half finished up by approximately 10% year-over-year. Within the Analytics and Optimization business, we generated $81 million in revenues that was up 18% for the year. Our ratings and planning teams delivered $255 million of revenues, an increase of 1% versus 2020. With that revenue delivery, we generated $32 million in adjusted EBITDA. As bill mentioned,…

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you, Jon. In summary, our new structure allows us to stay focused on our strategic priorities and be committed to delivering for our clients and our shareholders as we return to growth and our focus on delivering and driving change in the great industry that we serve. I’d like to thank all of our Comscore employees for their hard work and dedication each and every one of them that dedicate their efforts each day. Finally, before I turn the call over to our audience for questions, I’d like to make an announcement about myself. Part of being an effective CEO is to establish a vision and drive a company forward. But another key element is to provide a seamless transition to the next-generation of leadership. And I’ve determined that now is that time. And why now, is this time I chose to retire? Well, I’ve agreed with the Board to begin this process to select my successor. I’ve made a commitment to the Board that I will continue to serve as Vice Chairman for my full term. Now my full term does not expire until mid-2024. And when we do find a new CEO, I will assist and serve that new CEO for a seamless transition. And that’s very important to all of us. I’ve made this decision now, because I believe Comscore is in a stronger position than it’s ever been. I am proud of the turnaround of the business and our direction forward, which is evident by our success in the fourth order. This success is why I’m so excited about the next phase of Comscore’s story. I also recognize that I’m just one small part of these accomplishments. Comscore’s remarkable people and the culture that these individuals have worked so hard to cultivate is the foundation on which the company success has been built. As I work with the board to determine my successor this will be an thoughtful and deliberate manner. I know this process will go a long way toward ensuring Comscore’s continued success. I thank you all for your support, and I thank you for trusting us with your investment. Now, operator with that, I’d like to open it a up for questions.

Q - Laura Martin

Analyst

Hi there. So Bill, sorry to hear you’re leaving, but congratulations on your retirement.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you, Laura.

Laura Martin

Analyst

So my first question, Bill, I’d love to learn more about the competitive environment. I feel like three years ago it was Nielsen would win big markets. Comscore would win any everything local and under sort of market a hundred. And now I feel like headlines every day VideoAmp is getting more business, and TVSquared was just bought Innovid and they’re launching an end-to-end sort of CTV linear solution. You guys just did a deal with double verify, which they are equally complimentary as you are of that joint venture partnership. My question is, could you walk us through the competitive landscape today and sort of who’s you never read about Nielsen anymore, so who’s winning? Who’s losing? And why is it getting so much more fragmented than it was even three years ago?

Bill Livek

Analyst

Laura, that’s a great question. I continue to believe that this is a two company race. It’s like goal post. This is complicated stuff that we do and our ad agencies and our sellers need two currencies to look at. And then our judgment is rendered. I do believe that connected TVs has launched a number of companies that essentially offer tools. And I think they’ve adopted our phrase of currency to suck underneath our success. So, I believe these companies, these additional ones that you had mentioned will be out there. But I do believe that this is Comscore as a primary currency and then Nielsen will remain.

Laura Martin

Analyst

Okay. And these other ones will just take little niche market shares. That’s your point of view on industry structure at the end?

Bill Livek

Analyst

Yes. Yes. I do. We’re going to talk more in the future about these tools that are out there, and connected TV information is be – made it very easy for a company to start up. Now, we’ve been very deliberate on what we do with connected TV, because our own data sets show. And I’d like to remind our investors that are on the phone, Comscore has processes, some of which are patent, some of which are patent pending that we were first in the field to look at what a connected to offers versus what we know is truth. And often, and somewhere in the air, it’s at two-thirds of the time an erroneous conclusion can be made. So, I think this market segment here, advertisers, ad agencies are going to trust the companies they can prove that their information is right, because at the end of the day, the billions of dollars that are traded on have got to be a currency. That’s correct.

Laura Martin

Analyst

Okay, cool. My last question is for Jon. So, John we have flat EBITDA at $32 million in 2021 and 2020, and now it looks like the EBITDA around numbers is going to move to $34 million to $35 million. I’m sort of surprised Jon, we’re not getting more operating leverage, because we’ve a huge fee for Comcast data, which should have been a non same-store comp in the subsequent year. And so could you explain why we’re not getting more operating leverage as the revenue growth please?

Jon Carpenter

Analyst

Yes. Thanks, Laura. Look, I – our business has the ability to throw off strong incremental leverage. I think you saw some of that in the fourth quarter as our revenue scales, I think this guidance here gives us room to make the investments to accelerate the revenue with at least at a minimum, not sacrificing a base level return from a margin standpoint. And as I mentioned in my comments we expect to see that rate scale throughout the year.

Laura Martin

Analyst

Okay. So, can I assume there’s instead of just flat at this 9% margin, we’re going to get some margin expansion in the out years sort of meaning 2023 and beyond. Is that the implication of what you’re saying?

Jon Carpenter

Analyst

Yes. I think the way to look at it is, we like the 9% is kind of the baseline floor and to build from there as the revenue scales.

Laura Martin

Analyst

Thank you very much.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you, Laura.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jason Kreyer of Craig-Hallum. Please proceed.

Jason Kreyer

Analyst

Thank you. Bill bittersweet announcement today. I’ve enjoyed these conversations with you, so hopefully have a – we have a few more are in front of us.

Bill Livek

Analyst

We will.

Jason Kreyer

Analyst

So you recently expressed some enthusiasm just around your positioning as we head into the upfront this spring. Just wondering if you can elaborate on that enthusiasm a little bit more and what you expect the industry to hear about Comscore as we move into that?

Bill Livek

Analyst

Look, I think you’re going to hear that Comscore is used more and more and more is currency. I’d like to look back at the last year, the previous upfront in the year before that it was dominated by one company we’re going to play a big role. And these announcements is evidence of it that advertisers and ad agencies they’ve had us for a long time, over a decade, many of them where they’ve used us in planning. Now those of you who follow the media business know that you have to build a plan and you’re trusting the information to build the plan. Now in the past, they were able to use an inexact currency, the buy on, because the buyer and seller wanted to see, or they did have wiggle if you would. And the in exactness was something the industry tolerated with the advent of streaming and just hyper fractionalization the need for precision is there. And I think with the snafu that we saw with our major competitor that happened during the pandemic was just a point where everyone said, this is not going to work any longer. And I do believe that we’re going to come out of this as having a Comscore as a principal currency. And in the upfront, we’re going to play a big role. We talked at about recently at a panel, I attended on a fireside chat at the interactive advertising bureau. And I believe we’re going to play a big role in the upfronts in new fronts.

Jason Kreyer

Analyst

Can you take that just a step further? If you see the success you think you’ll see in the upfronts, what does that do for the rest of the business over the balance of the year? Where does that create greater opportunities for Comscore?

Bill Livek

Analyst

Yes, it’s in all of our businesses. It’s in our digital business, it’s in our television business, and we didn’t spend a lot of time talking about our movie business. People have returned to the movies. And as Jon talked about it, our movie businesses, the tail of two halves of the year, and in the second half, when people felt comfortable to go back to the movies and we also saw the content companies, giving them a real live view of what the world would look like without the theatrical experience, the theatrical experience allows individuals to use social media to promote great content. Now it also kills bad content faster than ever before, but I think the big win here is that companies, movie companies, content companies are going to create better and better the theatrical content to drive social media that will then drive subscriptions to their streaming platforms. And you all listen to the earnings calls from our clients. That's what the CEOs are talking about. And we're in a great place with all of our businesses. They're beautiful, as they all work together.

Jason Kreyer

Analyst

Thank you. And then Jon, welcome to the call. One for you, just wanted to see if you can give a, little bit more transparency on the renewals process. I know Laura highlighted earlier kind of the investments you made before on Comcast data and things like that. Is there a way to frame these renewals and you talked about a few of them in the release, that where you can provide a metric like a net retention rate or anything that helps investors understand like the rate of increase or the bigger opportunity that Comscore sees as you go through that renewal process.

Jon Carpenter

Analyst

Yes, sure. I guess the, the way that, that we like to think about it, especially when we talk about our Cross Platform products is one, how are we doing on our renewals? And while we don't, I think, quote that number publicly very, very high in terms of our overall renewal rates. But I guess the way that we think about it internally is how do we capture a greater share of the ad spend? And if you look at some of our bigger competitors in the marketplace, our goal here is to get, capture upwards of a point on the ad spend as our business scales. That's ultimately the goal here in terms of what our opportunity is. And so we tend to look at, our local and national renewals against that metric. Are we getting a greater share of the ad spend as one, one key component alongside the overall renewal rate, which is very, very high.

Jason Kreyer

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you, Jason.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Matthew Thornton of Truist Securities. Please proceed.

Matthew Thornton

Analyst

Hey, good afternoon. Maybe one for Bill and one for Jon, if I could Bill, can you talk about, as we think about 2022, I'm curious as we start the year, are you seeing any headwind from kind of everything that's going on in the supply chain? Obviously it's impacted advertising in a couple of verticals. I'm curious if that impacts and maybe your, kind of shorter cycle project revenue, and then as we start to exit the year, maybe you can just remind us what type of lift you see from political in a year, like 2022 and how we can think about that. And then just Jon, a couple for you, I guess first the balance sheet. I'm just curious how you are now that you've been in the door for a couple months now. I'm kind of curious how you're feeling about the balance sheet, whether you've got enough wiggle room, to kind of make the investments and kind of do, what you want to do. And then just secondly, from a housekeeping perspective Shareablee, I'm just wondering if you'd be willing to share kind of what that contributed in the fourth quarter and what that might contribute in 2022. Thanks guys.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thanks, Matt. Let's start with political as we all know, every political campaign is local, even national campaigns and the politicians look to influence. Comscore's tools have been used for a long time since the Obama campaign to help the sellers of media, convince the candidates through their agencies. So political is certainly helpful because it continues to show the importance of what we do with all of our media clients. And we also announced earlier that media quarter ago, a deal that we did on our digital side with our L2 segments. So we think we're in a really good place with political, in terms of the supply chain shocks. Clearly that does not affect us directly because we're not buying anything, we're in information, infrastructure business. Now, what has it affected our clients with certain reduced advertising in some areas? Yes, but I'd like to point out that the sellers still need to make up that difference. So they need us more in that environment. So I don't want, like I think all of us as citizens of the world do not like what's going on, but this is a good environment for Comscore to thrive in all of our businesses. Jon, over to you on Matt's questions.

Jon Carpenter

Analyst

Yes, sure. On the cash front, feel pretty good about where we're at there. We had a good fourth quarter, with regard to overall working capital metrics coming off of, a choppy second and third quarter. So I feel good about where the, where the plane landed on, our working capital progress into fourth quarter. I expect that to continue as we stay laser focused on, a high conversion of EBITDA to cash as we go through 2022. We also took the opportunity to with the facility we have with Bank of America to give ourselves a little bit more headroom, the line increase to from 25 to 40. So we feel good about where that's at in terms of the overall balance sheet here as we start the year and then I think your second question was on Shareablee. And I think, look the way to think about that, is we bought that asset really to help shore up our core syndicated digital offering and the capabilities. It has there to help spur growth and the digital side of the business, along with the talented team that we brought on board to help us do that. And we're off to a great start on that front, and I feel good about, what those integrations efforts are and what it means for the guide, that we provided on the year.

Matthew Thornton

Analyst

And Jon, maybe just one quick follow up there, Shareablee is that predominantly housed in readings and planning under the old methodology?

Jon Carpenter

Analyst

Yes.

Matthew Thornton

Analyst

Okay, great. That's great. Thanks guys.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thanks, Matt.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Surinder Thind of Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.

Benjamin Huang

Analyst · your question.

Hi, this is Benjamin Huang subbing in for Surinder and congratulations on a quarter and just kind of curious in terms of how we should kind of think about the longer term potential for the local TV growth rates. So you kind of look out beyond this year. Thanks.

Bill Livek

Analyst · your question.

Yes, I'll turn the growth rate over to Jon, but I'd like to address local a little bit here is, there was a question earlier about all these competitors out there. No one competes with us in local, and we have a competitor that's been have there for a long time, but we think there are greatly weaken competitor. No one has better viewership information. That's more accurate and reliable. In my opinion no one, all of these startups are talking about their progress on national. Not many of them are talking about anything locally, so we are in a good place. No one has the quality and the breadth of what we have, when we think about the longer term in terms of the financials. I'll turn that over to my partner, Jon.

Jon Carpenter

Analyst · your question.

Yes, look I think we feel pretty good about where we're at with local and the progress that we made. We're coming off a year that, that grew double-digit. We see that continuing here in the, in 2022 and beyond again, we're laser focused on the renewals in that space. We're highly penetrated in terms of the number of stations that we've got relationships with. And so for us, it's all about commanding a greater share of the ad spend. That's flowing through the pipes. We feel good about our currency and Cross Platform offering that we've got for the local clients.

Benjamin Huang

Analyst · your question.

Yes, it's super helpful. And in terms of just a follow up and look, as we look at the margin side the story, what kind of revenue growth do you guys need would in order to generate margin expansion?

Jon Carpenter

Analyst · your question.

Yes, I think you saw on the, I think you saw margin expansion in the fourth quarter and really in the second half of the year. Again, our guide here is the floor. And I expect our margin as the revenue scales to be a very attractive outcome. Again, this is a model that's got the ability to throw off strong incremental leverage as revenue ramps. So we provided kind of 9% as the floor here, but we like the model as the revenue scales.

Benjamin Huang

Analyst · your question.

Got it. Super helpful. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I would now like to turn the conference back to Bill Livek for closing remarks.

Bill Livek

Analyst

Thank you everyone for joining today. I hope you can hear by what we talked about, that we're really excited about the future of Comscore and also our new structure. That's going to allow us to stay focused on our strategic priorities in deliver for our clients and our shareholders. Thank you very much. And look forward to seeing you soon on the next earnings call. Have a great evening.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. And you may now disconnect.