Petros Pappas
Analyst · Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead. Your line is now open
Yes, well, first of all, the cost of installing scrubbers on the various types of vessels we have range between, let's say, $2 million and $5 million per vessel. So if that's, let's say, it is an average of $3 million, it would cost the Company like -- and if we decided to install them on every vessel, it would cost us about $220 million. Now, first of all, we think there's going to be loans for that. Already financial institutions are considering it. So if that is the case, it will assist a lot in taking the decision to install scrubbers. Potentially even the scrubber companies themselves might finance installation of such scrubbers. Then if you do the calculation, and depending on whether you have your vessel on voyage or on time charter, and depending on the size of the vessel and the age of the vessel, one has to take his decision which -- it's basically a financial decision. But if you install a scrubber, we should probably look at being able to repay that scrubber within between one to two years and depending where distillate prices go. So from the financial side and provided there's finance for these scrubbers, I think that it would make sense for shipowners and definitely for our own Company to install scrubbers on our vessels. Now, I said that it's different on whether you are on voyage charter or you are on time charter because if the vessels are on time charter, I'm pretty sure that the charters will ask for a percentage of the profit differential. Let's say that fuel oil costs $300 and distillate costs $600. And therefore, you save $300 per ton and you burn 30 tons a day, that's $9,000 difference a day. The charter will probably ask for part of it, like 40% or 50%. And therefore, that will double the time during which you can recover the cost of the scrubber. If you do voyage charters, then 100% of the profit is yours. And therefore, bigger vessels do more voyage charters than smaller vessels. And we are taking all that into account. I think that we are veering towards installing scrubbers. We don't think -- we think a lot of people will not install scrubbers. Actually, if nobody install scrubbers, the market will go through the roof because the vessels will have to slow down speed. And along with scrapping, that will occur as a consequence of the additional costs of older vessels, older smaller vessels will become uncompetitive and especially when their dry docks come due. The less scrubbers, the higher the market is going to be.