Jeffrey A. Stoops - President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Jonathan, pardon me, Jonathan Atkin from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead
Thanks, Kurt, and good morning everyone. We had very good quarter, which we believe sets us up for a very good year. We continue to benefit from an execute-well on our three part strategy to grow equity free cash flow per share, maximize organic growth, grow the portfolio materially through intelligent use of capital and appropriately leveraging the balance sheet. The strategy continues to work well for us as evidenced by our industry leading year-over-year growth in equity free cash flow per share of 52%. We intend to stick with our strategy and believe that it will continue to produce material growth in equity free cash flow per share. As you heard from Kurt, most of our customers have been very active leasing space on our towers; our new tenant lease application backlog is at a recent high and is one of the drivers behind our increased full year outlook. We do not need a new Sprint-Clearwire WiMAX network to achieve our 2008 outlook although obviously it would be welcome and could add to the results depending on the timing. We see no evidence that our customers are cutting back on network investment because of the general economy. Long-term, the prospects for continued strong growth of demand are very good. UMTS overlays will extend in 2009 and perhaps beyond. AWS new market launches will extend into 2009 and most 700 megahertz deployments will not start until 2009 at the earliest. We do believe that Sprint and Clearwire separately or together will develop a WiMAX network. Based on the amount of money spent on the 700 megahertz option and the first quarter results of some of our customers, it appears that we have entered a new phase of wireless growth that of data services, data transmissions typically required greater network densities. We have been the beneficiary of that trend and expect to continue to be a beneficiary for years to come. In summary, organic demand remains strong and we expect it to stay that way. We've taken that strong organic customer demand and have officially converted it into cash flow through our high quality assets and strong operational execution. Obviously 10% same tower revenue growth demonstrates the attractiveness of our towers to wireless providers, but it is also the low cost expense structure of our portfolio that Kurt highlighted that equally drives equity free cash flow. We focus particularly hard on asset selection and operational execution, and we believe our results prove out the success of our efforts. We continue to benefit from the high quality of our towers and the fact that the substantial majority of our portfolio was built by our industry for our industry. Going forward, we believe there will be continued strong demand from our customers for our towers and that the quality of our assets and the strength of our execution will allow us to efficiently convert top line demand for SBA tower space into recurring cash flow. We've had a great start to the year on the second part of our strategy, which is portfolio growth. We announced the TowerCo transaction where we have agreed to buy up to 444 towers, and through today, we have acquired or agreed to acquire an additional 263 towers from a variety of sellers. Combined with the towers we expect to build, we expect to add over 700 towers to the portfolio this year which will be portfolio growth of 11.25%, well above the high end of the portfolio growth range we established at the beginning of the year. This is another reason why we have increased our full year outlook. We are thrilled with the TowerCo transaction and believe those assets to be one of the highest quality, highest growth portfolios of size available or likely to be available for the foreseeable future. We expect to pay approximately 22 times run rate tower cash flow at closing for the towers not to exceed $450,000 per tower. While the multiple is on the high-end of what we typically pay, we believe it is more than justified by the quality cost-per-tower and expected growth of the assets. At closing, the portfolio will average less than 1.5 telephony tenants per tower, with an average capacity for four and average age of approximately three years and approximately $20,000 of run rate tower cash flow per tower. The addition of one telephony tenant per tower over the next five years which we believe is a conservative projection and would only bring the assets up to our existing level of occupancy would more than double tower cash flow produce internal rates of return about 15% and would produce same tower revenue growth and same tower cash flow growth in excess of our portfolio as a whole. We are very pleased with all the real estate and structural aspects of the towers and it is very clear that the portfolio was built and assembled by very experienced and knowledgeable team. Customer demand for the towers is strong; we expect the transaction to be accretive to equity free cash flow per share starting in the fourth quarter of 2008, and be much more accretive in 2009 and beyond. We have been working diligently on the transactions and are on track to close by May 30, 2008. As to the other towers we have bought this year or have under contract to acquire, we are paying a wide range of multiples of run rate tower cash flow ranging from 9 times to 23 times, depending on the price and the growth prospects of the tower with an average of approximately 17 times and $500,000 per tower. Besides acquisitions, we continue to be and intend to stay active as possible building towers for our ownership and buying the land underneath our towers. For the rest of the year, we will continue to look at additional acquisition opportunities, but given that we will exceed our portfolio growth goals by closing what we currently have under contract, we will have the luxury of being very selective. Given our current capitalization, we may have an appetite for up to an additional $100 million of cash acquisitions. There are a number of additional opportunities we are pursuing, but none of those are signed or are in our outlook, and even if they were signed and closed this year, they may have little to no impact on 2008 financial results depending on the timing of closing. They would of course have full impact in 2009. The $100 million of additional potential investment is driven by where such amount of cash acquisitions would put us at year-end in terms of desired and projected leverage and liquidity. And it's a good segue to the third part of our strategy, appropriately leveraging the balance sheet. We enjoyed a material drop in leverage in the first quarter seven-tenths of a turn due to strong current quarter organic growth and the impact of a full quarter of results from our fourth quarter 2007 strong lease-up and portfolio additions. At 7.3 times, net debt to adjusted EBITDA leverage, we are in the middle of our target range of six to eight times and at the lowest leverage levels since right before we purchased AAT two years ago. The magnitude of the leverage reduction in the first quarter really demonstrates the operational ability of the business to handle leverage and reaffirms our comfort around target leverage. With adjusted EBITDA, the net interest coverage of 2.8 times and primarily fixed rate debt, we're very comfortable operationally with our debt service. Looking forward, the TowerCo and other second quarter acquisitions will return leverage to approximately 8.0 times at the end of the second quarter and in the sevens on a pro forma basis as we will only have approximately one month of TowerCo in second quarter actual results. After that, given our strong leasing backlog and our positive views around future customer demand, we expect to resume reducing leverage rapidly. If we spent the extra $100 million I have discussed earlier on as yet unannounced acquisitions in the second half of the year, our models indicate that we would end the year with fourth quarter annualized leverage in the low to mid seven times range depending on the timing of the closings with pro forma leverage even lower and with year-end liquidity including credit facility availability estimated to be between 150 million and $200 million. We believe that would be a very good position on which to end the year and move into 2009. If we don't spend the extra $100 million, year-end leverage would be even lower and liquidity higher. Either way, we would have materially grown the portfolio and materially reduced leverage in the same year. Given the speed at which the business organically de-levers, we are studying whether we should access additional debt capital in 2008 to maintain leverage at eight times. Operationally, the business can obviously handle the leverage. The debt markets, however, while recently improved, are still very challenging. Given all of our expected portfolio growth this year, we have the luxury of being able to be very selective around additional debt and as a result we are taking a wait-and-see approach to the debt markets. We're going to continue to monitor conditions, maintain a state of readiness and stay flexible if a good opportunity comes our way. This is the key, a good opportunity, because we don't need to raise any additional capital to achieve our goals this year or grow the portfolio again next year. In the last couple of years, we have been very successful with the rate and terms on which we have accessed debt capital. Any additional debt that we have added has been carefully evaluated on the basis of impact on equity free cash flow per share, covenants, and refinancing risk. We will perform the same analysis today with particular emphasis on the impact to our 2010 and 2011 refinancing obligations. We would only be interested in raising additional debt if it had a neutral to positive impact on the 2010 and 2011 refinancing. In the currently challenging debt markets, we may or may not find an opportunity that satisfies our goals. If we do find such an opportunity, we may seize it, if we don't, we are perfectly content to finish the year with the capital structure we currently have as we will have exceeded our portfolio growth goals for 2008 and still be positioned for material portfolio growth and additional de-leveraging in 2009. That's the update on our three part strategy, it's working very well, and equity free cash flow per share is growing materially. We had a great first quarter, one that was ahead of our expectations. We are in excellent financial shape and our customers are busy. We are extremely excited about our prospects for the future, and we are grateful to being in the business we are in, as we look at how some other businesses are faring in this economy. I want to thank all of our customers and our employees for their role in our success; and for our shareholders we intend to channel our excitement into continued strong execution and growth in equity free cash flow per share and look forward to reporting future results. Linda, at this time we are ready for questions. Question And Answer