Michael Grisius
Analyst · Compass Point. Your line is open
Thanks, Henri. It's only been two months since we last caught up, so I'll focus on our perspective on the changes in the market since then, and then comment on our current portfolio performance and investment strategy. The overall deal market continues to reflect slower deal volume and M&A activity than in historical periods, while liquidity among private equity firms remains abundant, high financing costs and elevated levels of inflation continue to constrain the private equity deal market, which drives much of the demand for new credits. At the same time, some lenders have re-entered the market as they've grown more confident in the macroeconomic climate. The combination of historically low M&A volume and an abundant supply of capital is causing spreads to tighten as lenders compete to win deals. As a result, we're anticipating some pickup in payoffs due to lenders offering extremely aggressive pricing on some of our low leverage assets. Now that said, we believe the risk adjusted gross yields on first-lien assets remain exceptional and capital structures for new deals continue to be supported by strong equity capitalizations. Overall, while new deal volume is modest as compared to our historical levels, it continues to be a favorable market for capital deployment, especially at the lower end of the middle market where we compete. The Saratoga management team has successfully managed through a number of credit cycles and that experience has made us particularly aware of the importance of first, being disciplined when making investment decisions, and second being proactive in managing our portfolio. In an environment that has seen ever shifting expectations for the economy due to inflation and rising interest rates, among other factors, we have stayed largely focused on managing and supporting our portfolio. Our underwriting bar remains high as usual, yet we continue to find opportunities to deploy capital. As seen on slide 14, our more recent performance has been characterized by continued asset deployment in existing portfolio companies, as demonstrated with 24 follow-ons thus far this calendar year, including delayed draws, which we expect to continue. While we invested in no new platform investments this calendar year as of yet, we focused much of our time and resources on supporting our portfolio and managing a discrete few challenge credits. Overall, our deal flow remains strong and our consistent ability to generate new investments over the long term, despite ever changing and increasingly competitive market dynamics is a strength of ours. Portfolio management continues to be critically important and we remain actively engaged with our portfolio companies and in close contact with our management teams. The few discreet credits discussed in previous quarters that are experiencing various levels of stress remain unchanged, and I will touch on them shortly. But in general, our portfolio companies are healthy, and 79% of our portfolio is generating financial results at or above prior quarter. 86% of our portfolio is in first-lien debt and generally supported by strong enterprise values in industries that have historically performed well in stress situations. We have no direct energy or commodities exposure. In addition, the majority of our portfolio is comprised of businesses that produce a high degree of recurring revenue and have historically demonstrated strong revenue retention. Consistent with last quarter, we still have three investments on non-accrual, namely Noland, Pepper Palace, and Zollege. Now looking at leverage on this same slide, you can see that industry debt multiples have continued to come down slightly this year from their historically high levels. Total leverage of our portfolio was 4.27 times, excluding Noland, Pepper Palace, and Zollege, while the industry is now again above 5 times leverage. Despite the success we've had investing in highly attractive businesses and growing our portfolio over the years, it is important to emphasize that we are not aiming to grow simply for growth's sake. Our capital deployment bar is always high and is conditioned upon healthy confidence that each incremental investment is in a durable business and will be accretive to our shareholders. Slide 15 provides more data on our deal flow. As you can see, the top of our deal pipeline is down from prior periods, in part because we made a conscious effort to improve the quality of our deal funnel, and in part because market activity is down considerably, as previously discussed. Overall, the significant progress we've made in building broader and deeper relationships in the marketplace is noteworthy because it strengthens the dependability of our deal flow and reinforces our ability to remain highly selective as we rigorously screen opportunities to execute on the best investments. As you can see on Slide 16, our overall portfolio quality remains solid. While we are presently facing challenges in a few credits, I thought I'd take a moment to highlight that our team remains focused on deploying capital in strong business models where we are confident that under all reasonable scenarios, the enterprise value of the business will sustainably exceed the last dollar of our investments. We can't be perfect, but we strive to be as perfect as possible, and we have not veered from our thorough and cautious underwriting approach. Over the dozen plus years that we've been working together, we've invested $2.2 billion in 116 portfolio companies. We've had just two realized losses on investment. Over that same timeframe, we've successfully exited 69 of those investments, achieving gross unlevered realized returns of 15.4% on $978 million of realizations. Even taking into account the current write-downs of a few discreet credits, our combined realized and unrealized returns on all capital invested equals 13.5%. We think this performance profile is particularly attractive for a portfolio predominantly constructed with first-lien senior debt. We continue to have three investments on non-accrual, with Pepper Palace and Zollege classified as red and Noland as yellow. Noland has been on yellow for a while and this quarter saw an improvement in the Q3 mark for the second quarter in a row, reflecting recent moderate improvement in the business and liquidity. Pepper Palace continued to suffer from poor performance and liquidity issues reflecting the further $0.6 million mark down this quarter. The remaining fair value of this investment is $2.4 million. A transaction is imminent whereby we will restructure the balance sheet and take majority control of the business. As part of this restructuring, the turnaround specialist we have been working with who has substantial successful experience in similar situations, will invest significant equity in the business and become the CEO and a Board member. And the Zollege restructuring on the balance sheet was completed during this first quarter, resulting in us taking over the company and actively managing this investment. We have in place a framework for an agreement that would have the previous owner invest meaningful dollars in the business and work in partnership with us with the immediate goal of returning the business to its former profitability levels and the ultimate objective of exceeding those levels. As part of the restructuring, we realized the $15.1 million realized loss for accounting, although we still have equity and a first-lien term loan in the company with a current value of $2 million. As previously communicated, during the quarter, our Netreo investment was paid off, and we realized a $6.1 million loss on our equity. It is important to note, however, that this investment taken as a whole, including both our debt and equity, produced a positive IRR of approximately 5% without taking into account any potential yield enhancement that could be achieved through our residual escrow and earn-out. In addition, the CLO and JV had $5 million of unrealized depreciation this quarter, reflecting primarily markdowns due to individual credits in our original CLO. Of note is the rest of the core BDC portfolio has continued to perform well, resulting in $1.2 million of net unrealized appreciation across our remaining 51 portfolio companies in Q1. Our overall investment approach has yielded exceptional realized returns and recovery of our invested capital, and our long-term performance remains strong, as seen by our track record on this slide. Now, moving on to slide 17, you can see our second SBIC license is fully funded and deployed, and we are currently ramping up our new SBIC III license with $136 million of lower cost, undrawn debentures available, allowing us to continue to support US small businesses both new and existing. Now this concludes my review of the market. I'd like to turn the call back over to our CEO. Chris?