Luka Mucic
Analyst · JPMorgan. Please go ahead
Yes, thank you very much, Bill. Hello everybody from my side as well, and indeed I am as happy as you are Bill to announce a really great start to the year, where we continued a rapid expansion of our top line with accelerating cloud growth and an excellent software performance. This performance clearly demonstrates the entire breadth and resilience of our unique portfolio, the combination of cloud and on-premise. This outstanding start to the year is also fully in line with what communicated at our Capital Markets Day in February earlier this year and further validates our investment decision to drive future growth and operating profit. Now Bill has already shared with you a few of the impressive growth metrics this quarter. I would just like to add to this that we had our best year-over-year growth ever in new cloud and software license order entry, which was up by more than 30%. This KPI represents the order entry from our software license business plus the total contract value from our cloud business. This exceptional growth in order entry is a strong achievement, especially when you look at the absolute size and scale of our business. It really underpins how successful we are in the market with our unique portfolio. At the same time, we continue to strive for a more predictable business model. While we had a strong performance in software revenue in Q1, our predictable revenue base remained stable at almost 70% year-over-year. Compared to five years ago, our predictable revenue share is now 18 percentage points higher. Now let me go into some more detail on the top line performance. Cloud grew 34% or 30% in constant currency. So either way you look at it, we have now had growth in cloud of at least 30% for five straight years in a row. This consistent and fast-growth is fueled by our future committed cloud revenue or new cloud bookings. This actually has accelerated even more compared to the last quarter, growing by 49%, which is a sequential expansion of almost 10 percentage points. This constant growth in cloud revenue for nearly half a decade is clear evidence that we made the right acquisitions at the right time. Bill has alluded to this already. From SuccessFactors to Concur, we have all successfully scaled and integrated these acquired businesses. Let me also highlight the continued momentum of our industry-leading on-premise business. Software and support increased by 8%, driven by 13% software license growth. Finally, our cloud and software revenue grew 12% or 9% on constant currency, which again is above the high-end of our full-year outlook range. Now some words on the first quarter regional results. We had a solid performance in EMEA with an increase in cloud and software revenue of 10%. Cloud subscriptions and support revenue grew 43% with an especially strong quarter in Germany, France and Italy. We had triple-digit software revenue growth in South Africa and the Netherlands. In the Americas region, we had a strong performance with cloud and software revenue growing by 12%. Cloud subscriptions and support revenue was up 27% driven by a strong performance in Canada and Mexico with high double-digit growth. In North America, we had double-digit growth in software revenue. In Latin America, Brazil was the highlight, with a very strong software revenue growth amidst the difficult macroeconomic environment. In the APJ region, we had a truly exceptional performance in both cloud subscription and software revenue. Cloud and software revenue was up 21% with cloud subscriptions and support revenue growing by 65%. Japan and India were highlights in the quarter with strong results in both cloud subscriptions and software revenue. We also had strong double-digit software revenue growth in greater China and South Korea. Now let me come to the bottom line and before talking about operating profit, I would like to provide you some more details about the gross margin development for the quarter. As promised, we have increased the transparency in our segment reporting even further, so that you can see how we perform in our public and private cloud, as well as in our business networks on a quarterly basis. Our overall gross margin increased by 30 basis points to 69.9%, which is a solid result given the significant mix shift effect and our ongoing investments. Our cloud gross margin decreased by 1.2 percentage points to 64.6% year-over-year but increased sequentially by 1.9 percentage points. The year-over-year result was driven by revenue mix shift effects between different cloud models and the already announced continued investments in converged cloud efforts, as well as consolidation and improvement of our data center efficiency. These investments will negatively affect our 2017 public cloud gross margins. If you look at our private cloud business, it continues its rapid growth, driving the private cloud gross margin up by more than 30 percentage points year-over-year. For the business network, our gross margin also increased and was up by 1.5 percentage points year-over-year to 76.9%. Our cloud and software gross margin was 80.8%, a decrease of 1.5 percentage points year-over-year. This was mainly due to our investments in cloud, as mentioned before, as well as the revenue mix shift effects between our cloud and on-premise revenue lines. Our services gross margin, really a bright spot in the quarter, was up by 6.8 percentage points year-over-year to 20.7%. In 2016, as you know, we invested heavily in core innovation projects with customers and some strategic industries focused on customer outcome. Since these investments are phasing out this year as already shared before, as well as consulting utilization increased, our service margin in consequence improved in Q1 as expected. We are now doubling down and adjusting our services organization for the new reality of digital enterprises to further capitalize on the momentum that we have gained. In terms of the operating profit, we had a solid performance in the quarter, up 8%. And let me remind you that we achieved these results even though we continued to invest in future growth, as we said we would, even though we had higher personnel expenses as we added over 7,500 FTEs or a 10% increase compared to the prior-year period and we continued to hire highly educated young talents in our fast-growth areas and locations, even though we continued to experience a significant mix shift effect as I outlined earlier and all of these in our smallest top line quarter of the year. All these effects continued to weigh on our overall operating margins but with our strong top line growth and the fact that the converged cloud investments should be largely finished in 2017, we continue to be very confident that we will grow our profitability in 2018 and beyond as we discussed at our Capital Markets Day. The IFRS tax rate in the first quarter was 20.6%, a decrease of 2.7 percentage points compared to the prior-year period. The non-IFRS tax rate in the first quarter was 25.7%, also down from 26.2% in the prior-year period. Non-IFRS earnings per share increased by 15%, driven both by a lower effective tax rate and a strong finance income contribution due to another exceptional performance of our venture capital activities around our market-leading venture capital firm, Sapphire Ventures. IFRS earnings per share decreased by 9%, and was mainly impacted by our share-based compensation expenses, which increased due to the strong development of our share price and the increased participation of our employees. Now a few words on cash flow and liquidity. In the first quarter, we reported a record €2.9 billion in operating cash flow, increasing by 16% year-over-year. This also led to a strong free cash flow for the first three months. This figure is growing by 12% to €2.6 billion. As of the end of the first quarter, we improved our net liquidity by €2.8 billion year-over-year to a net debt of €460 million. Moving to the rest of the year, we have now already paid back further €1 billion in April and intend to pay back approximately €1.4 billion in total in financial debt this year. We expect [Technical Difficulty] cash-related outflows into share-based compensation programs and transformation of our services organization, as well as the debt repayments. [Technical Difficulty] we are nevertheless confident that our operating cash flow development will remain positive for the full-year. As a result of our strong [Technical Difficulty] as Bill has said, we are firmly reiterating our outlook for the full-year and we also now expect the currency benefit and to have updated our expectations, we expect on the reported growth rates in 2017. For more details, please refer to our quarterly statement published earlier today. Finally as I conclude my remarks, I would like to talk about our IFRS [ph]. As our customers face increasing global challenges, such as stable project change, more tests towards income distribution, political volatility and digitalization, we have a responsibility to think about how technology can contribute in solving these problems. Many prominent companies are working to achieve the 17 state of the development goals and IT is the foundation for at least how all these goes. We at SAP can work towards these goals by delivering software that can solve these present issues. For example solutions that [indiscernible] that can help contribute better healthcare therapies. In this period, we also strived to act as an action player of responsibility. In February, we issued our fifth integrated report where we announced a decrease in our greenhouse gas emissions for the fifth year in a row [Technical Difficulty] we are now taking the next step and announcing that SAP aims to be carbon-neutral completely by 2025. We also have a responsibility to our employees. For 2016, we saw record employee engagement of 85%, a very high level that we will strive to maintain over the coming years. We are consistently improving employee retention, which increased to 94.1% in Q1, up 2.1 percentage points year-over-year. Trusting our leaders as measured by our leadership net promoter score also increased to 57% up 5% year-over-year. And as Bill mentioned, our employees are also investors, with nearly 65% participating in our most recent stock program. We also remain focused on diversity. We have already almost achieved our goal of 35% of women in management by the end of 2017. These efforts have been recognized externally with SAP being named Employer of Choice most recently being the ranked one of the top six best international workplaces in Asia. And oekom, an independent rating agency for sustainable investments, recognized us as a leader in software and IT services in their Corporate Responsibility Review. So to summarize, we released very strong first quarter results today, showing continued momentum and strong execution. We continue to make strategic investments in 2017 and expanded our profit even in our smallest top line quarter of the year. SAP is the clear leader in business and enterprise software and has never been in a stronger position. If you think about S/4HANA and the digital core, there is no doubt that SAP is winning and that we are continuing to take substantial market share. As we continue our acceleration to the cloud, increased not only the predictability of our revenues but we will also improve gross margins and profitability. This is what the entire executive board of SAP is committed to. A strong free cash flow generation while investing for the future provides significant optionality around strategic decisions aimed at driving customer and shareholder value. SAP is extremely well positioned for success through 2020 and far beyond. Thank you very much and we will now be happy to take your questions.