Javier Marin Romano
Management
Okay, good morning. Thank you very much for attending this first quarter results presentation of Group Santander. We will begin with the presentation on the offer to acquire the minority interest in Santander Brasil, and then we will pass over to the presentation on the first quarter results. So as we announced this morning, we -- to acquire the minority interest in Santander Brasil that accounts for approximately 25% of the shares in the -- . The Brazil shareholders will receive 0.70 Santander Group shares for each Santander Brasil shares, or units, or ADRs equivalent to a BRL 15.31 per Santander Brasil unit. This is a 20% premium on the closing price of yesterday and implies a 21% to 29% premium on the average price for the last one and three months. If all the minority shareholders accept the offer, we will issue approximately 665 million shares, which will be listed either on the São Paulo Stock Exchange, or they will receive Santander ADRs that are listed on the New York Stock Exchange. Of course, all the shares will receive the Santander dividend. We expect to complete the transaction basically by the fourth quarter of 2014. The calendar expected is the following: we expect to have Santander Brasil Shareholders' Meeting between May and June. Of course, we should appoint the independent expert to issue their own -- opinion on the offer that is being launched by the bank. Actually, the bank has been -- is working with UBS and Goldman Sachs for this transaction. But Santander Brasil will need to engage their own advisors. We expect to fulfill the requirement, the legal requirements and regulatory requirements between May and August 2014. And we will call our General Shareholders' Meeting, of Extraordinary Shareholders' Meeting of Santander -- by September 2014. What's the rationale behind this transaction? Basically, the first one is to unlock the long-term value of business. I think everybody (ph) shares that there's some short-term headwinds in Brazil, but we are definitely very optimistic on Santander Brasil's long-term prospects. I think we have very clear -- the measures that we have, that we need to put in place and we are putting in place in order to enhance the value of our franchise. And we have the team to do this. So this together with the prospects of the country makes us to be optimistic about the future of our unit. That's why we're ready definitely to invest more in our Brazilian unit. It will definitely increase the weight of markets with structural growth in our business portfolios. So growth markets will increase their contribution to the -- or the weight on our contribution from 43% to 49%. And it will enhance the long-term growth potential of Santander Group. And financially, it's very attractive. It's a 20% premium for Santander Brasil, but it's at the same time, it's accretive for Santander shareholders since the first year. With respect to the financial impacts, with the premium we are paying, if you take a look to some of the transaction multiples compared to our peers, Santander is quoted, is at 8.8 times earnings 2014; 7.6 times, 2015. Our peers are quoting at 10 times and 8.8 times. And with the premium, we will be paying a -- on price to earnings multiples for 2014 to 2015. For Santander Group shareholders, it will have a net attributable profit impact since the first year, of course, 2% on 2014 and 7% for the 2015 and 2016; while our earnings per share impact accretive since -- for this year and 1.3% and 1.1% for the next two years. We've had no material impact on capital side with respect to the Basel III phase in, 3 basis points. However, there will be a reduction of the consumption of minorities over the next five years. So it would have of certain 20 -- sorry, of circa 20 basis points over this period. So, in conclusion, it's a very interesting operation. We're paying 20% premium over the closing price. Santander Brasil shareholders to receive the shares of Group Santander, so they will have not only the benefits of Santander Brasil, but also the benefits of our diversified group. We will be able to capture full growth, full term -- full long-term growth of a potential Santander Brasil. It is increasing the weight on the high growth markets and will have positive earnings per share impact and almost neutral on the capital side. So, just this initial remarks to talk a little bit about the Brazilian operation and its rationale. If we move over to the first quarter results, 2014 has begun with a -- in a better environment confirming some signs of improvement of what we commented on the previous presentations. This scenario we are focusing basically on one side, on maximizing the new cycle of higher profits and profitability. On the other hand, we are at the same time maintaining a solid, liquid and low-risk balance sheet. With this focus, the main developments over this first quarter were strong recovery in attributable profit, which was 8% higher than in the first half -- in the first quarter of 2013; and 23% more than the fourth quarter. If we leave aside the exchange rate impact, this would have, this increase would have been, comparing both periods, on top of 26%. Growth was supported by all P&L lines. So we saw an increase in income, a decrease in costs and a decrease in provisions; consolidating the good trends that we were seeing already during the last quarter of 2013. Volumes, of course, they are reflecting the different macro moments that we see in the different countries. In lending, the efforts to recover growth in mature markets is already yielding and we are already growing in places like the U.K., reversing the trend. In Spain, small growth but reversing also the trend and we have good growth in emerging markets except for Brazil, which we will discuss later. In funds, we continue to focus on reducing the cost of deposits. And we see also a nice increase in funds, in mutual funds. In risks, the non-performing loan ratio is slightly lower than in the fourth quarter, due to the reduction in entries and the continuing normalization of the cost of credit. So if during last year, we were seeing an average, new non-performing loans every quarter of €4 billion, this first quarter new non-performing loan came at €2.5 billion, which is a significant decrease. We give – lastly, we give a very comfortable liquidity position. Loan to deposit ratio at 2,012%. And the liquidity coverage ratio well above the minimum that will be required in 2015, with almost at the group and the main units, already on top of the 100%. With respect to capital, we feel very comfortable with the Core Equity Tier 1 of 10.6%. There's a small decrease of 0.3% that we will explain later. And our total capital ratio of 12% under the new regulations. As I was mentioning before, attributable profit came at €1.303 billion for the first quarter. This is 23% more than the first quarter of last year, over 23% more than the fourth quarter of last year; 8% more year-on-year; affected, of course, as I mentioned before, by exchange rates. Excluding the impact, the growth would be at 26%. My view is that the profit is of great quality, but by net interest income and fee income that represents 92% of the gross income. All the increase is coming from recurring revenues, and it is definitely not affected by capital gains from corporate operations in the first quarter, both the capital gains that we have in Altamira and with the reconsolidation of Santander Consumer. That has been – these capital gains have been assigned to a fund that is pending allocation. So there's no impact on these first quarter results of any of these operations. In short, I think it's a clearer step towards a return to more normal levels of profits and a better level of profitability. With respect to group revenues, two points. The first is the change of trend in the first quarter with gross income growing by around €100 million and 1% in current Euros. If we eliminate the impact of exchange rates, the rise was 3.5%, mainly due to the recovery of net interest income and fee income as we see on the chart that we see on the right. The trend in net interest income is accelerating. The rise over the fourth quarter was 4%. This will provide an annual rate of close to 16% when we are carrying right now an annualized rate of 8%, so it's more than doubling the trend. In fee income the same, we have a 2% growth over the last quarter; on an annualized basis, this would mean 8%. So it's more than doubling the trend that we are seeing in the previous quarters. If we take a look into costs, we have different performance by units depending on their momentum and we divide it into three large blocks. Our first block, with units undergoing integration or adjustment in the restructures, this is Spain, Poland, from the integration point of view, and Portugal, which declined not only in real but also in nominal terms. At the same time, Brazil, costs grew at well below the rate of inflation, grew at 2.5%, 2.4% which means a real decrease of 3.4%. On top of this, my view is that we will finish Brazil well below these figures by year-end and we will see the acceleration during the year. A second block including the U.K., which is combining investments in its business platform with an increasing costs mostly in line with inflation. Santander Consumer Finance can also be seen in this block. Lastly, in a different dynamic, Mexico, Chile and Argentina, whose costs are higher because of their expansion plans or improvements in commercial capacity. As you know in Mexico, we are opening this year over 100 branches, opening some branches also in Chile and Argentina. The U.S. is also improving the franchise of Santander Bank, growing strongly also at Santander Consumer and adapting to regulatory requirements, and of course, recorded a double-digit growth in costs. In short, the integration is underway and the efficiency measures that we began to implement in some units are enabling us to get the first cost savings, which will increase in the coming quarters. We've reaffirmed our goal of €750 million of savings this year, half of our €1.5 billion reduction three-year plan. This should enable us to increase our advantage over the sector in terms of efficiency. With respect to provisions, this remain on a very good trend. We see a fall in most units year-on-year. Over the fourth quarter, we see improvements in Spain, Brazil, Mexico and Chile. It's not fully reflected in the whole group because of the higher provisioning at the Santander Consumer U.S.A. resulting from an upfront system of provisions based on expected loss, which has a big impact in periods of strong growth in new lending as is the case, following the agreement with Chrysler. So in order to make a reasonable comparison of the evolution of Santander Consumer, we will need to go into the second half of the year, where we will see the full impact in both years of the agreement with Chrysler and the impact on the new production at Santander Consumer. The cost of credit maintained its normalization trend for the whole group, improving from 2.45% in the first quarter of 2013 to 1.65% a year later. This is still high compared to pre-crisis levels and should continue its normalization trend. Summing up on the above -- in order to take a look at the evolution of the P&L. The first point to make is the large impact of exchange rates, particularly on year-on-year comparisons, but also with regard to the fourth quarter of 2013. In the year-on-year, this explains all of the fall in gross income and net operating income. If we eliminate the impact, gross income increased by 4.2%, net operating income increased by 5%, and profit before tax and attributable profit grew at double-digit rates. We see a very similar evolution for the first quarter, attributable profit over the fourth quarter, which after collecting the impact of exchange rates, rose 26%. This growth was due, as we have seen, to increase in commercial revenues and lower costs, which enabled net operating income to rise by 9%. Lower provisions -- also helped. You should also remember as I've said before, that the capital gains generated on the sale of the stake in Altamira platform, €300 million and the reconsolidation of Santander Consumer that is €730 million. So all together, €1.1 billion are not reflected on the quarter profit, and we've made a chart for an equivalent amount for a fund that is a pending allocation. -- the context in which business -- conducted and the strategy in the recent years. Loans, we see growth in every country except for Portugal and Brazil. The year-on-year comparison, of course, is affected by deleveraging in some countries in 2013, which hides the growth in all Latin American units. Comparing fourth quarter last year to first quarter, we see growth, as I was mentioning before, in every country except for these two: Portugal and Brazil. For the first time, lending rose slightly in Spain and also in the U.K. It increased also in the U.S., not only at Santander Consumer but also at Santander Bank. Santander Customer Finance is also improving. Here we see the impact of the operation with El Corte Inglés, but leaving this aside, Santander Consumer Finance will be also growing. There's a small reduction in Brazil, 1%, that is affected by lower than envisaged growth, but also by -- we are preparing a new value proposition for SMEs, and definitely, this segment has been affected in terms of growth over this quarter. Other units have maintained or speed up their growth with annualized rates of close to, or more than 10%, which makes us be optimistic with respect to the rest of the year. Similar comment for funds, where the aggregate of deposits and market of mutual funds improved its trend in this first quarter. After the large volumes that we captured in previous years, the focus in 2013 was mainly on reducing the cost of deposits and moving some part for certain clients to mutual funds. This led to a drop in deposits and a rise in mutual funds. In the first quarter, mutual funds continued to rise, mainly in Spain, Brazil, Mexico, in Chile, but there was some recovery in deposits noticeable in Poland, Chile, the U.S. and Brazil. In Spain, we see an increase in deposits. This is affected by some wholesale deposits. Actually, retail deposits have decreased 4.4 billion, out of which 3.1 billion have been moved into mutual funds. As the new production for term deposits as Jose Antonio will show, is already below 1%, there are certain type of clients that are already looking for some yield and are moving into some mutual funds. With respect to the group credit quality, the total non-performing loan ratio was 5.52%, 9 basis points lower than in the previous quarter. This fall was due to a smaller volume of entries which amounted, as I mentioned before, to around €2.5 billion compared to an average of €4 billion for every quarter of last year. Coverage increased to 66%, which we consider is a high level for the mix of our portfolio, where about half of the loans have a real warranty, requiring of course, lower coverage. And the units with the lower weight of real warranties such as Santander Consumer Finance, Brazil and Mexico, have a coverage to close or above 100%. It is noticeable, Santander Consumer U.S.A., which after the provisioning effort made last quarter by -- as I mentioned before, the provision considering expected loss, the actual coverage is 279%. With respect to credit quality, our non-performing loan ratio for the main units, the large units that represent 75% of our portfolio, we see a much slower pace growth in Spain, with the non-performing loans growing 10 basis points in the quarter due to lower non-performing loan entries in this quarter, and a much more stable denominator. A further improvement in non-performing loan ratios in the U.K. and in the U.S. confirming the trends that we were seeing last year. And in Brazil, after the sharp fall that we saw during the last few quarters, which enabled us to close the gap with our peers in the country, there was a slight rise in the ratio as you see the -- of 10 basis points on one side, due to the -- basically, due to the reduction of the denominator. We see definitely, no signs of deterioration on the portfolio. Solvency ratios, the Core Equity Tier 1, in accordance with the new regulations was 10.6% in the first quarter, a little lower than the pro forma estimated at the end of 2013, due to the net between the recurring generation, 15 basis points, and the negative impact already announced of the consolidation of Santander Consumer U.S.A. by the global method and Brazil capital's optimization operation. We maintain our forecast of ending the year with a ratio around 11%. On the other side, the Tier 1 reflects a favorable impact of the issuance of a €1.5 billion of additional Tier 1 in March, which was well-received by the market. The total capital ratio is over 12%. Leverage ratio remain at 4.6%, exactly the same as the beginning of the year. And in liquidity, the loan to deposit ratio stood at 112%. On a like-for-like basis, it was unchanged during the quarter. And the liquidity coverage ratio was exceeded 100% at group level, and in the group's main units, much higher than the minimum requirement of 60% that will be needed in 2015. In short, we are very comfortable with the capital ratios, with the liquidity levels and our capacity to improve them organically. Let me now ask Jose Antonio to comment in more detail on the different group units.