Welcome, and thank you for joining Rayonier’s First Quarter 2023 Teleconference Call. At this time all participants are in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] Today’s conference is being recorded. If you have any objections, you may disconnect at this time. Now I will turn the meeting over to Mr. Collin Mings, Vice President, Capital Markets and Strategic Planning.

Thank you, and good morning. Welcome to Rayonier’s investor teleconference covering first quarter earnings. Our earnings statements and financial supplement were released yesterday afternoon and are available on our website at rayonier.com. I would like to remind you that in these presentations, we include forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of federal securities laws. Our earnings release and Forms 10-K and 10-Q filed with the SEC list some of the factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements we may make. They are also referenced on Page 2 of our financial supplement. Throughout these presentations, we will also discuss non-GAAP financial measures, which are defined and reconciled to the nearest GAAP measures in our earnings release and supplemental materials. With that, let’s start our teleconference with opening comments from Dave Nunes, our CEO. Dave?

Thanks, Collin. Good morning, everyone. First, I’ll make some high-level comments before turning it over to Mark McHugh, President and Chief Financial Officer, to review our consolidated financial results; then we’ll ask Doug Long, Executive Vice President and Chief Resource Officer, to comment on our U.S. and New Zealand Timber results; and following the review of our Timber segments, Mark will discuss our real estate results as well as our outlook for the remainder of 2023. For the first quarter, we generated adjusted EBITDA of $55 million and pro forma net income of $1.1 million or $0.01 per share as our team navigated numerous market challenges. The total adjusted EBITDA generated by our Timber segments collectively declined 30% relative to an extraordinarily strong first quarter 2022 amid weaker end market demand, continued macroeconomic headwinds and the harvest disruptions associated with tropical Cyclone Gabrielle, which hit New Zealand’s North Island in February. As anticipated, real estate closings were relatively light in the first quarter. However, our full year real estate pipeline remains relatively strong, and we continue to expect that closing activity will be heavily weighted toward the second half of the year. Drilling down further on our operating segments. Our Southern Timber segment generated first quarter adjusted EBITDA of $43 million, down $6 million from the prior year period as weaker demand for pulp products and lumber coupled with drier weather conditions drove a 14% reduction in net stumpage prices. Both demand and pricing were impacted by softer market conditions during the quarter as our customers worked through elevated log inventories and recalibrated for slower end market demand. Compared to less tensioned markets in the U.S. South, the relative price elasticity in a majority of our markets translated to a sharper pullback in pricing from 2022 levels. However, our absolute…

Thanks, Dave. Let’s start on Page 5 with our financial highlights. Sales for the first quarter totaled $179 million, while operating income was $11 million and net income attributable to Rayonier was $8 million or $0.06 per share. On a pro forma basis, net income was $1.1 million or $0.01 [ph] per share. Pro forma items in the first quarter included a $9 million net recovery associated with the legal settlement as well as a $2.3 million timber write-off resulting from Cyclone Gabrielle. Adjusted EBITDA was $55 million in the first quarter, down from $98 million in the prior year period. On the bottom of Page 5, we provide an overview of our capital resources and liquidity. Our cash available for distribution, or CAD, for the quarter was $30 million versus $65 million in the prior year period. The decrease was driven by lower adjusted EBITDA and higher capital expenditures, partially offset by lower cash taxes and interest paid. A reconciliation of CAD to cash provided by operating activities and other GAAP measures is provided on Page 7 of the financial supplement. We closed the first quarter with $99 million of cash and $1.5 billion of debt. At the end of the first quarter, our weighted average cost of debt was approximately 3.1% and the weighted average maturity of our debt portfolio was approximately six years with no significant debt maturities until 2026. Our net debt of approximately $1.4 billion represented 22% of our enterprise value based on our closing stock price at the end of the quarter. I’ll now turn the call over to Doug to provide a more detailed review of our timber results.

Thanks, Mark. Let’s start on Page 8 with our Southern Timber segment. Adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter of $43 million was 12% below the prior year quarter, driven by lower net stumpage pricing and higher costs, partially offset by higher non-timber income. Total harvest volume was relatively flat versus the prior year quarter as an increase in pine sawtimber volume offset reduced pine pulpwood and hardwood volumes. Average sawlog stumpage pricing was $32 per ton, an 11% decrease compared to the prior year period. The moderation in pricing reflected reduced market tension across our operating areas due to drier weather conditions, softer demand from sawmills and less competition from pulp mills for chip-nsaw volume. Meanwhile, pulpwood net stumpage pricing fell 28% versus the prior year quarter to roughly $17 per ton as weaker end-market demand, drier weather conditions and extended maintenance outages at pulp mills all contributed to softer market conditions. Overall, weighted average stumpage prices in the first quarter fell 14% versus the prior year quarter to roughly $24 per ton. As we had anticipated entering the year, both sawtimber and pulpwood pricing ever treated from the exceptionally strong levels we saw a year ago, given the slowdown in residential construction activity and weaker end market demand for pulp products. While we expect that macroeconomic related headwinds will persist over the near term and constrain log pricing to some degree, we continue to believe that the relative strength and diversity of our U.S. South footprint is a key strategic advantage for us. Moving to our Pacific Northwest Timber segment on Page 9. Adjusted EBITDA of $7 million was $14 million lower than the prior year quarter. The year-over-year decrease was primarily driven by lower net stumpage realizations, lower harvest volumes and higher costs. Volume decreased 24% in the…

Thanks, Doug. As detailed on Page 11, the first quarter contribution from our Real Estate segment was relatively light, consistent with our expectations entering the year. Real estate sales totaled $16 million on roughly 2,100 acres sold at an average price of $6,200 per acre. Real Estate segment adjusted EBITDA in the first quarter was $7 million. Drilling down. Sales in the improved development category consisted of two transactions in our Heartwood development project, South of Savannah, Georgia. During the quarter, we closed on a 27-acre multifamily site to a regional developer for $4.5 million or $169,000 per acre as well as six residential lots to a national homebuilder for $300,000, reflecting an average base price of $50,000 per lot. In addition to these closings, we’re also very excited about two sites that broke ground in Heartwood during the quarter. The first is the initial phase of the St. Joseph’s Candler Healthcare campus, which will provide the community with convenient access to primary care, urgent care, specialty medical services and [indiscernible]. The second is the Hyundai Mobis manufacturing plant at Belfast Commerce Park, which will supply power systems and control units for electric vehicles. Combined with the Hyundai Metaplant that’s currently under construction within a 30-minute drive from Heartwood, these facilities are expected to create an estimated 9,500 jobs in the area. We believe that the two Hyundai plants as well as the new health care campus will drive further demand within the Heartwood development project going forward. Overall, we continue to believe that both our Wildlight and Heartwood development projects are well positioned and will benefit from favorable migration and demographic trends, relatively affordable price points and a diverse mix of residential, commercial and industrial end uses that each help catalyze demand for one another. Turning to the rural…

Thanks Mark. While the current macroeconomic backdrop and near-term outlook are challenging, we remain optimistic about the long-term prospects for our business and have been pleased with the progress made over the past few years in both growing and improving the quality of our portfolio. We believe that favorable long-term housing fundamentals, coupled with burgeoning business opportunities around nature-based solutions should support long-term growth in timberland cash flows and corresponding valuations over time. As we discussed in our recent annual shareholder letter, timber as an asset class is enjoying somewhat of a renaissance in terms of its investment appeal given the role forest can play to address the impacts of climate change. In addition to sequestering carbon, a variety of alternative uses for land and wood fiber are evolving to support the transition to a low-carbon economy. We are advancing several initiatives to better understand how these opportunities can add value to our timberland portfolio over time. While we are excited about these new opportunities, our team remains extremely focused on navigating the near-term headwinds associated with a challenging macroeconomic environment. The operational flexibility afforded by our pure-play timber REIT model, coupled with the diversity and relative strength of the markets we operate in, remain a key competitive advantage for us. On this note, the integration of the 137,800 acres of timberland we acquired back in December, has gone very well and has afforded us greater flexibility to navigate the rapidly evolving market conditions that we’ve seen so far this year. That said it’s important to reiterate that we don’t believe in growth for growth’s sake. And pursuant to our active portfolio management strategy, we also continuously evaluate opportunities to recycle less productive capital towards uses with a better risk return profile. In sum, I believe that our team, our culture, our timberland and real estate assets and our strategies are well aligned to achieve future success. I’m very proud of how our team is working together to adapt quickly to changing market conditions while also advancing important initiatives that will enable us to continue to build long-term value for our shareholders. This concludes our prepared remarks, and I’ll now turn the call back over to the operator for questions.

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Anthony Pettinari with Citi. Your line is open.

This is Greg Andreopoulos on for Anthony. Thanks for taking my questions.

Good morning.

Quickly, looking across your broader Southern portfolio, are there any regional trends in pricing maybe log inventories in mills, mills approaches holding inventories or end market demand as you identified in your various operating markets. And maybe if you could just touch on the Southern acquisitions versus the legacy Rayonier portfolio?

Yes, good morning. This is Doug. I’ll start with that. So as we noted in our prepared remarks, the recent pressure on log price in the U.S. South has been most pronounced in the markets that registered the largest pricing gains last year it’s really reflective of that price elasticity that we see in our more tension markets. And a few additional points I’d like to make on that is that the actually so much price realization in most of our markets remain quite favorable compared to the U.S. South overall, reflecting that favorable growth drain dynamically exist in the areas where portfolio is concentrated and where we’ve grown recently on acquisitions you mentioned. That said, the year-over-year comps are down given the very tough year ago Q1 comps we had. Heading into 2022, most of our wood baskets had very strong end market demand for both soft timber and pulpwood products. And we also had a wet winter at the end of 2021 to constrain the amount of supply available. So overall, a significant amount of tension was created in markets that already had favorable supply demand dynamics and that’s what drove that particularly strong pricing that we achieved a year ago. This is in contrast to some of the other operating areas in the U.S. South that didn’t see the same momentum last year given those markets didn’t have the underlying growth drain dynamics that allow for that increased tension to have such an impact on the pricing. So while there’s quite a bit of volatility in our markets, we still believe these are more – the more tension baskets are better positioned for the long term, given the absolute price – pricing levels and superior EBITDA per ton generation that we have. And to your question around kind of where we’re seeing things across the region, rainfall patterns are definitely different and across the South. And so that Mississippi River Delta area have particularly wet kind of winter and spring. And then over here along the Atlantic Coast, it’s been much drier, so we’ve been below normal rainfall. So we have seen some difference in markets, as I mentioned about the wet weather there. As well as along the Atlantic Coast, mills here have a higher percentage of exports. And so we’ve seen some weakness as there’s been less demand for exports both to Europe and China. So there’s been a little bit different between kind of the East Coast versus our kind of Gulf state mills and regions.

Interesting, that’s very helpful. Thank you. And just a quick follow-up. Last year, you provided us an update on global log flows after the Russian invasion of Ukraine and the weaker European economy. So my question, I guess, is given your global footprint, can you discuss the current global log supply-demand environment? And any notable export trends you identify out of Russia and Europe? And on your end, what’s the opportunity to flex New Zealand and Pacific Northwest volumes to other destinations outside of China?

Yes, I’ll take a stab at that also. So things have kind of sort out the way we thought they with respect to the Russian-Ukraine volumes. One of the biggest things has probably been the ramp-up in China is still working its way through. So as we mentioned, there are kind of comments before in the prepared remarks, we’re encouraged by the fact that the port inventories in China are trending lower over the past few months as consumption has outpaced the inflow of logs. And kind of latest reports we have from April show that softwood port inventories are at 4.3 million cubic meters and that’s down about 8% over March. So we are seeing some drawdown. And so that’s the good news for us. And what we have seen probably less than the logs in China is the fact that logs from Europe through that Ukraine war were moving to China, and that seems to have slowed down now. So that last that salvage logs, those kinds of contracts are in place have slowed down. So we’re seeing a reduction in European spruce starting to move into China. We haven’t seen an increase in Russian logs to China. What we’ve seen more is lumber being made and shifted into China basically from Russia area. And probably more what we’ve seen is just the weakness in Europe overall on the macro level. And so we’re seeing imports of lumber from Europe heading into the United States, I think, is something that’s impacted and kept a damper here. On the log side, we’re seeing demand in China now starting to pick up. So we’ve seen past the lunar holiday in April, estimated daily takeaway in China was around 75,000 cubic meters, which is up 55% compared to April 2022 during the height of the COVID lockdowns, but it’s more typically in the 80,000 to 90,000 cubic meter range. So good progress from where we were last year, but still some room to go there. However, there’s a few factors giving us some optimism that prices will improve once log imports normalize and demand increases. China’s National Bureau Statistics reported that year-over-year GDP expansion of 4.5% in the first quarter of 2023. We can see it both economist estimates and the prior growth for the quarter before. And then residential floor space sold in the first quarter of Q1 basically grew also. So, we’re seeing growth in that. This is typically viewed as a leading indicator of the residential construction market and may signal a turning point in demand for construction materials that our export logs are used for. How long it takes place to play out is yet to be determined. But relative to like what we saw last year, as I mentioned, quite an increase in log demand from the ports as we go after the COVID restrictions. So we’re feeling much better about the current environment as we move forward.

Thank you very much for the color. Appreciated.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Ketan Mamtora with BMO Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Thank you and good morning. I’m curious if you can provide some color on kind of what you’re seeing around carbon credits, both in New Zealand and also in the U.S., which is kind of increasingly becoming a very topical area? And what is the work you guys have been doing around that?

Sure. Ketan, this is Dave. Yes, keep in mind, New Zealand has a regulated carbon market. And so that’s something that we’ve been participating in for a number of years, carbon prices were very strong last year. And so we’ve always sort of taken an opportunistic approach to selling carbon. We sold a fair number of carbon credits last year. We were off the market earlier this year. The market was softer due to some uncertainty from a regulatory standpoint within New Zealand and the perception of that market. And so we’re waiting for things to firm. Having said that, that market is a lot further developed than in the U.S. I think the U.S. is really a looking at a voluntary carbon market. And as many have pointed out, there’s lots of concern around the potential for green washing. And so a number of participants, ourselves included, have taken a fairly cautious approach to make sure that any carbon projects that we advance pass the smell test for things like additionality. And so we’re continuing to progress those projects, but we do not have one that’s up and running as of yet for those reasons, again, similar to many other participants. We are seeing a lot of interest kind of related to that in carbon capture and storage. That’s an area that has progressed faster than we thought. We have put in place our first lease on our carbon capture and storage project. We have a number of others that we’re working on right now. So that’s one that we’re encouraged by. Keep in mind, it will take a number of years for revenues to start flowing as the permitting process is fairly complex, but we’re very encouraged by the general market interest in that.

Got it. That’s helpful. If you can provide any – sort of any quantitative insight into kind of what the prices are, both in New Zealand and the U.S. around kind of carbon credits and how you guys kind of view that?

Yes. Last year, the carbon credits in New Zealand were roughly $50 per New Zealand unit. They’re down right now from where they were last year. That’s a substantially higher price than the U.S. market, reflecting the difference between a regulated and a voluntary market. We’ve seen voluntary carbon prices in the U.S. really all over the map from low single digits to prices that are over $10 per metric ton. But I’d say that until carbon prices get to a meaningfully higher level, you’re likely not to see a lot of change in the way that industrial timberlands are managed vis-à-vis that trade-off between log production and carbon sequestration.

Got it. That’s very helpful. And then last question from my side. It just sounds like there is incrementally more pressure on the southern pulpwood market. Can you talk about how much of this is kind of specific issues related to Q1? Or is it kind of more of a cyclical thing where you are actually seeing kind of pressure on the demand side, which could continue through kind of 2023 at least?

Yes. This is Doug. I’ll answer that one. A lot of the pressure we saw on the pulpwood market was a result of Q4 of last year. And so we really saw operating rates for a lot of the mills reduced in Q4 as I saw a demand decreasing for them. And as that’s weighing through, we’re starting to see things pick up a little bit. But through Q1, we saw that reduce capacity. A lot of the mills at this time of the year, they take their spring shut down, and so we saw those extend a little bit. But what we’re hearing now kind of through supply chain is that kind of a lot of their end customers have started that destocking process and they start to ripple back. So as some of the mills have come back from their spring maintenances, they’re starting to increase their production rates. So, I think what we’ve seen is most of that weakness has already happened through Q4 into Q1. And really, as we look at our kind of average weighted net stumpage going forward, a lot what we’re seeing is, we have an increased amount of that happens in Q2, Q3, and that’s just a seasonal thing that typically happens. And those volumes increased production of pulpwood. And then some geographic mix as we also shift some of the harvest around. So on a per – kind of product per pricing basis, we’re seeing things stabilize.

Got it. That’s very helpful Doug. I’ll turn it over. Good luck.

Thank you.

Thank you. Our next question comes from Buck Horne with Raymond James. Your line is open.

Hey thanks. Good morning guys. I kind of wanted to follow up a little bit on the pulpwood discussion in more detail. Just – I mean, can we isolate exactly kind of what the demand drivers in the end markets were that created – has created some of that softness, while the mills are taking or slowing down their operating rates for pulp production? And I guess the follow-up to that is, do we see any near-term catalysts on the horizon that could increase pulpwood pricing, whether that be pellets or some sort of whether it’s sustainable aviation fuel uses, anything else on the pulpwood side that could increase that demand usage?

Yes. Like I was mentioning before, I think what we’ve heard is that coming through COVID, a lot of the kind of the end users of the boxes and different linerboard materials had stocked up. And I think things move down and as people kind of changed our patterns after COVID, there was a need for destocking at that end level basically on the conversion side. And so I think that’s really what impacted from our understanding a lot of the demand, particularly in Europe, but also in China. And what we’re hearing is – and then obviously, this is through the mills, so they know better than myself. But does that that – we really start to see some destocking both in China and Europe. So that’s starting to play out. And I think that’s why there’s some improved production moving forward. When it comes to the pellets from what else what I’ve heard there is demand is still strong in Europe. And so we see that. Some of the pulp mills we’ve provided to have had basically some maintenance issues and things like that, say, run at full capacity, and we’re seeing them back up and running at full capacity. So I see some upside there. And then the last point you brought out, with respect to supplying fiber for bioenergy and stabilization fuel manufacture facilities. That’s an emerging opportunity that we’re exploring right now with quite a few people, and I think really provide solutions to folks in that area, and we’re pretty excited about that. But again, it’s going to take – it’s like the carbon capture storage. It’s going to take a while for those plants to get built. The first one I’m aware of in our kind of operating area is in Texas. And they’re starting to strike ground on that now, and so we’re excited to see that happen. So we do believe that’s going to be a growing opportunity for us in the future.

Awesome. Okay. I appreciate the color there. And secondly, with the – unfortunately, the stock price being where it is these days and then where your NAV, I think, is sustainably at and the disconnect there, is there an interest or do you have any authorizations for potentially using stock repurchases or selling acreage to fund repurchases to close the disconnect here?

Yes. Buck, I’d say, first of all, we – keeping to our nimble approach to capital allocation. We always have an open buyback authorization as well as an open ATM authorization. So we have both of those sort of levers at our disposal. And we’ve always felt that land and timber is an asset that can be sold readily if such an opportunity were present. And so I think we continue to believe we have lots of flexibility on that front.

Got it. All right, thanks. Good luck guys.

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Paul Quinn with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Yes, thanks very much. Good morning guys. Just whether if you could give us some overall comments on North American timberland markets themselves? It sounds like according to third-party source transactions that there, do you see that improving over the year?

Yes, it’s been – there have been a few transactions to date, Paul. The ones that are out there that have closed have generally been a lower quality, and you see that reflected in the pricing. There’s roughly 10 transactions right now out in the market for roughly a couple hundred thousand acres in total. The vast majority of those being TMOs that are selling them. We keep a pretty active look on the market, but we’ve been – it was a relatively quiet quarter for us. We closed on four small bolt-on transactions, two in Florida, one in Georgia and one in Washington during the first quarter for about 2,500 acres. So not a very – pretty small bites for us. But we’re continuing to monitor those markets. And generally, this time of the year, we start to see offerings for the second half starting to flow into the market.

Okay. Thanks. And then I appreciate the color on Cyclone Gabrielle. How do you characterize rest of the New Zealand’s forest products industry and the effect of that cyclone had on the rest of it, i.e., is your competitive position improved or hurt through that cyclone?

Yes. This is Doug. I think in the longer term, it’s – I guess, you say somewhat improved that some of our peers had significantly more damage than we did in mature force. So that will have a have a knock-on effect as time goes on, particularly in the central North Island. So there were definitely some areas where people unfortunately suffered way more damage than we did, and that would be reduced supply of sawlogs and particularly in pruned volume over the next couple of years. But right now, first, we have a short-term influx of salvage volume that’s going to hit the market. And so we’re working through that as we go forward now. And – but we’ve seen crews shift away from mature, salvage the timber that wasn’t damaged, so we think that will kind of supplant that. So I think if you look out a year or two from now, then it’s probably a competitive advantage in that respect, there’s just less volume out there mature wood to compete.

Paul, I’d add to that, our footprint in New Zealand is fairly dispersed across the country. And so as a result, we had roughly 2,600 acres that were affected. So it was a pretty small area of impact and roughly two-thirds of the write-down that we took was around pre-merchantable timber. And so to Doug’s comment, we’re seeing some market weakness right now due to a lot of mature timber that was blown down. And so that has kind of plugged the market from a supply standpoint. But we feel fortunate in that we weren’t very heavily impacted. And again, it gets back to one of the mitigations you have in any kind of hurricane impact is the less blocked up you are, that is a risk mitigator, and that certainly played out that way in New Zealand.

Okay. Thanks for that. And then maybe just a follow-on. That extra salvage volume that you’re going to see in the short term, is that going to clear in the quarter or is that going to clear this year? Or is it dragging to 2024?

It’s hard to tell to take the salvage, but it’s definitely to take more than a quarter, but I would think this is going to be a 2023 event and shouldn’t really impact things. The quality of the wood will start to deteriorate that they’re moving into their winter which will help some, but also there’ll still be a problem. So I think this is – typically this kind of hurricane salvage volume type of thing, it’s less than a year. So I expect it will play out. They’re working on as quick as possible. So I think this is a 2023, couple of quarters, and then it should be cleared through and then we see the impact of less volume on the market.

Okay. Understood. And then just lastly on carbon. You mentioned New Zealand has got a regulated market, North America basically voluntary. How do we get from a voluntary market into a regulated market? And what is Rayonier doing to accelerate the transition?

Yes, it’s not clear to us Paul that the U.S. is going to see a regulated market anytime soon. That’s – you think about some of the political elements to this and it’s why it’s why you’re seeing a lot of market participants really pursuing various efforts along voluntary front. And you see a number of programs that are designed around improved force management, lengthening a rotation that sort of thing or deferring a lot of harvest for periods of time. We’re also seeing opportunities around aforestation, where you’re converting land that has not been in timber production, which is a cleaner way of looking at carbon. One of the things that we are looking at potentially doing in light of the fact that we don’t see a prospect for a regulated market is looking for opportunities where we can have direct discussions with counterparties and – who value the need for some of that carbon sequestration, but that’s going to take some time to develop.

All right. That’s all I had. Best of luck guys. Thanks.

We have no further questions. I will turn the conference back to Collin. Thank you.

Thank you. This is Collin Mings. I’d like to thank everybody for joining us. Please contact us with any follow-up questions.

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