Mark McHugh
Analyst · D.A. Davidson. Your line is open
Thanks, Doug. As highlighted on Page 13, our real estate segment delivered strong results in the third quarter. Sales totaled $29 million on roughly 10,600 acres sold at an average price of over $2,300 per acre, as well as a conservation easement sale of $3 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $22 million. Sales in the Improved Development category totaled $1.3 million highlighted by the sale of 15 lots in our Wildlight development project, North of Jacksonville, Florida for $1 million or $65,000 per lot. We also close on our first post-merger land sale from legacy Pope Resources property in Washington consisting of one industrial lot in Kitsap County for $300,000. In the rural category, sales totaled $23 million on roughly 10,500 acres sold at an average price of $2,200 per acre. The category was highlighted by a 7,300 acre sale for $14 million or $1,900 per acre, across four counties in Georgia and a 1,400 acre sale for $3 million or approximately $2,100 per acre in South Carolina. We also continue to see robust demand for a rural places program during the quarter. We closed on 28 lots totaling 340 acres for $2 million or approximately $6,300 per acre. We believe this program may benefit in a post-COVID environment as the growth and work-from-home arrangements make rural living outside of city and suburban centers, more feasible for a larger portion of the population. Lastly, we closed on a 2,150 acre Conservation Easement sales in Washington for $3 million or roughly $1,450 per acre. The property that the Conservation Easement covers was acquired as part of the merger with Pope Resources. As noted in our earnings release, we began reporting Conservation Easement sales as a new sales category within the real estate segment this quarter. Since Conservation Easement sales involve the sale of certain land use rights rather than an outright sale of the land, these sales are not reflected in our average per acre metrics for the segment. We’re optimistic about the prospect of additional Conservation Easement’s opportunities going forward. As they allow us to capture the HBU value of certain properties, or retaining the underlying land to continue to grow and harvest timber. Overall, following light activity in Q1, coupled with COVID-related headwinds earlier on the year, demand has come back strong in our real estate development project areas as well as for rural land. Market strength is being driven by a combination of favorable demographics, historically low mortgage rates and an increased need for space, as many families reassess their living situations, after months of sheltering in place and working from home. We continued to be encouraged by the pipeline of opportunities in Wildlight, Florida, Richmond Hill, Georgia, and the Puget Sound area of Washington. In Wildlight, which is now in its fourth year development, the village center is gaining critical mass with several new buildings opening since July. In Richmond Hill, we expect the new interchange on Interstate 95, which is on track for completion before the end of this year to generate incremental demand for the residential mixed use and industrial portions of the project. Now moving on to our outlook. As noted in our earnings release, we expect to achieve full year adjusted EBITDA modestly above the high end of our prior guidance range of $240 million to $260 million. Additionally, we anticipate the pro forma EPS will be around the high end of our prior guidance range of $0.17 to $0.21. With respect to our individual segments, we now expect that our Southern Timber segment will achieve full year harvest volumes of roughly 6.2 million tons and full year adjusted EBITDA toward the higher end of our prior guidance range of $104 million to $109 million. We expect this strong demand for both pulpwood and sawtimber will continue through the balance of the year. Although, we expect the lower price salvage timber in markets affected by Hurricane Laura will impact our average pulpwood prices over the next few quarters. In our Pacific Northwest Timber segment, we now expect full year adjusted EBITDA well above our prior guidance range of $30 million to $32 million. We believe the strengthening of the Pacific Northwest market coupled with the partial year contribution from Pope Resources will likely result in full year adjusted EBITDA from the segment more than doubling the $17 million reported in 2019. While the wildfires have disrupted harvest activity in Oregon, we expect only a modest impact to our portfolio given the geographic dispersion of our Pacific Northwest footprint. We still expect to harvest between 1.6 million and 1.7 million tons in the region during 2020. We further expect continued strong sawtimber pricing, but believe pulpwood pricing will remain well below year ago levels. In our New Zealand Timber segment, we now anticipate full year harvest volumes of roughly 2.5 million tons and full year adjusted EBITDA near the high end of our prior guidance range of $50 million to $56 million. Our operations continued to normalize following the COVID-19 disruptions earlier this year with modest improvements anticipated in both export and domestic pricing. While we are very encouraged by the recovery and activity to date, we continue to expect the competition from European salvage volume may constrain pricing to some extent. In our Real Estate segment, we expect to achieve full year adjusted EBITDA near the high end of our prior guidance range of $77 million to $83 million due to continued strong demand and a favorable transaction pipeline across our sales categories. Lastly, we expect that our new timber fund segment will contribute full year adjusted EBITDA, the lower previous guidance range due to the operational impacts of the fires that we discussed earlier. I’ll now turn the call back to Dave for closing comments.