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Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM)

Q1 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, May 8, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, and welcome to the RYAM First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Mr. Mickey Walsh, Treasurer and Vice President of Investor Relations. Thank you. Mr. Walsh, you may begin.

Mickey Walsh

Analyst

Thank you, and good morning. Welcome again to RYAM's First Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. Joining me on today's call are De Lyle Bloomquist, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Marcus Moeltner, our Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President of Finance. Our earnings release and presentation materials were issued last evening and are available on our website at ryam.com. I'd like to remind you that in today's presentation, we will include forward-looking statements made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of federal securities laws. Our earnings release as well as our filings with the SEC list some of the factors, which may cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements we may make. They are also referenced on Slide 2 of our presentation materials. Today's presentation will also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures as noted on Slide 3 of our presentation. We believe non-GAAP financial measures provide useful information for management and investors, but non-GAAP measures should not be considered an alternative to GAAP measures. A reconciliation of these measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are included on Slides 20 through 25 of our presentation. I would now like to turn the call over to De Lyle.

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Thank you, Mickey, and good morning. I'll begin with the financial overview for the first quarter of 2024. Following that, I'll discuss recent company actions before handing over to Marcus for additional details on the business segments and our capital structure and liquidity. Following Marcus' comments, I'll come back to share additional details on our initiatives and guidance for 2024. This will include updates on the suspension of the operations at our Temiscaming HPC plant in the sales process for the paperboard and high-yield pulp businesses. We will then open the floor for questions. Let's turn our attention to Slide 4, where we'll discuss our first quarter performance for 2024. The results exceeded expectations with an adjusted EBITDA of $52 million, a $1 million increase from the same period last year. In the high -- I'm sorry, in the high-purity cellulose segment, EBIT rose by $6 million, driven by higher prices for Cellulose specialties along with a decreased cost for key inputs and logistics as well as improved productivity. This increase was somewhat moderated by reduced sales volumes, lower prices for commodity products and the absence of energy benefits that we anticipate we will realize later this year. Conversely, the Paperboard segment experienced a $1 million decrease in EBITDA, primarily due to lower sales prices, although this was somewhat mitigated by decreased cost for purchase kraft pulp. High-yield Pulp business saw an $8 million decrease in EBITDA, largely due to lower sales prices, though this was partially offset by increases in sales volumes and reduced logistics expenses. Additionally, Corporate expenses improved by $4 million, largely driven by a favorable foreign exchange impact. In summary, the overall solid performance was underpinned by strong results in our core cellulose specialty segment and cost reductions across the enterprise, which more than offset the softness in Paperboard and High-Yield Pulp segments. In terms of cash flow, there was a strategic use of cash to build finished goods inventories in anticipation of the planned annual maintenance outage at our Jesup plant. In subsequent developments, we have announced the indefinite suspension of operations at our Temiscaming HPC plant. The suspension is expected to provide marginal positive EBITDA benefits and enhance our consolidated free cash flow in 2024. I will share more about the financial implications of this decision after Marcus' comments. This month, we also announced a significant transaction, selling the rights to our softwood lumber duty refund for $39 million. This sale not only bolsters our financial flexibility, but also aligns with our strategic goal to reduce our debt by $70 million in 2024. Considering these updates and our strong performance in the first quarter, I am pleased to reaffirm our full year EBITDA guidance of $180 million to $200 million and to raise our full year adjusted free cash flow guidance to $80 million to $100 million. With that, I'd like to pass the meeting over to Marcus to walk us through the financials for the quarter. Marcus?

Marcus Moeltner

Analyst

Thank you, De Lyle. Beginning with our HPC segment on Slide 5. Quarterly sales declined by $67 million or 18% to $307 million. Overall HPC pricing declined 2%, driven by a 2% increase in CS sales price, which was more than offset by an 11% decrease in commodity pricing. Total sales volumes decreased 17% as a result of a 16% decline in CS sales volumes and an 18% decrease in commodity sales. Increased sales volumes in CS were supported by the closure of a competitor's plant in late 2023 and a rise in ethers sales. This was more than offset by destocking in certain acetate products and the impact of a onetime favorable change in customer contract terms from the previous year. The decrease in commodity sales volumes was primarily a result of higher production in favor of CS, as the company built inventory ahead of Jesup's second quarter planned maintenance outage. Other sales for the quarter were $23 million, which included $12 million of green energy sales. EBITDA for the segment rose by $6 million to $50 million, primarily due to higher CS sales prices and decreased key input and logistic costs, along with the benefits of improved productivity. These improvements were partially offset by declines in CS sales volumes, lower commodity prices and volumes and the absence of $7 million in energy-related cost benefits from the previous year that are expected to recur later in the year. Turning to Slide 6. Sales in the Paperboard segment declined $6 million, largely attributed to a 12% drop in sales prices, resulting from changes in product mix and market-driven demand declines. EBITDA for the segment declined $1 million to $12 million, mainly due to lower sales prices, though this impact was somewhat mitigated by decreased costs for purchased pulp. Turning to…

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

All right. Thank you, Marcus. Let's now turn our attention to Slide 10, where I'll provide an update on our key initiatives for 2024. Our primary goal this year is to refinance the 2026 senior notes before they go current in January 2025, with a particular focus on reducing debt. We are on track to meet our target of reducing gross debt by $70 million in 2024, supported by business generated free cash flow, a tax refund and proceeds from the recent sale of the softwood lumber duties refund rights. In addition, we are progressing with the sales process of our Paperboard and High-Yield Pulp assets. Interest remains high among the prospective buyers following the announcement of the suspension of operations at the Temiscaming High Purity Cellulose plant, which has introduced some delays due to the change in the underlying assumptions of how the site will be managed. While the suspension and asset sales decisions affecting the Temiscaming site have been approached and carried out independently, we believe that the suspension will bring clarity to the asset sales diligence process by validating that these assets can be effectively run separately. It's important to reemphasize that this is not a fire sale. We have a value threshold based on the high EBITDA margins and the low custodial capital intensity of the Paperboard business. While the proceeds from the sale would obviously reduce our debt load, we are carefully balancing the estimated annual $50 million plus in free cash flow that we receive from these businesses against any potential debt repayment. We plan to complete the transition provided the terms are acceptable before our notes go current in January 2025. We are taking significant steps to optimize our assets and address the ongoing challenges associated with our high-purity cellulose commodity exposure, which…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Daniel Harriman with Sidoti & Company.

Daniel Harriman

Analyst

Happy to see a little uptick in the ethers volume. Could you just provide a little bit more color on what you're seeing in that market, in particular, the European construction market and then the destocking that I think you alluded to last quarter and you talked about today and acetate. Do you expect that to be mostly finished? Or should that be ongoing throughout 2024?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Daniel, this is De Lyle. To answer your question on ethers, we're still trying to figure it out, to be honest. We don't know whether this is restocking by our customers or by our customers' customers and the expectation that the construction markets will start improving in Europe as the ECB is expected to lower interest rates there in the second half of this year or whether it's really truly an underlying increase in demand. I think we'll have a better look on that and better staying on that when we get to the end of Q2. So we'll just have to wait there. And then with respect to the acetate market, Again, what we said is that the destocking is really concentrated with a couple of our large customers, principally in China and Asia. And we expect that destocking will continue through the first half, and then we'll start normalizing in the second half of this year.

Daniel Harriman

Analyst

Okay. Great. Best of luck in the coming quarter.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Matthew McKellar with RBC Capital Markets.

Matthew McKellar

Analyst

First, can you maybe provide a little bit of color on how the requalification process is for those CS volumes historically produced at Temiscaming have been going with that 18- to 24-month time frame you talked, there will be some time you first started talking about concentrating commodity volumes at Temiscaming as of last year or from today? And then do you expect you can requalify all of the CS volumes at other facilities? Or do you expect to lose a little bit of business along the way?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Matt, with respect to your question on the requalification process itself, it's going well. All of our targeted customers, CS customers that we were supplying at Temiscaming are taking product from our various plants. And I could just say that the process is proceeding as planned. With respect to the period of time, I would say that the 18 to 24 months is from the beginning of the process. So we probably have got a little less than that in terms of remaining time going forward to conclude those processes. And then the question about are we including all of our customers in the process. All of our customers were certainly invited to be part of the qualification process. Some of them, given that they had -- they were qualified with some of our competitors, chose not to. And so consequently, we think that some of our customers that we're currently supplying out of Temiscaming will likely go to our competitors. But we do believe that we retain what we think are most important in the higher-margin business.

Matthew McKellar

Analyst

Great. And then just sticking with the Temiscaming HPC indefinite curtailment. Can you talk about how that will affect your woodchip and residual fiber supply agreement with Green first, your investment in Anomera and then the operation of the cogeneration facility at the site?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Okay. All right. With respect to our chip supply agreement with GreenFirst, we fully intend to continue to honor that agreement. Again, this is a suspension of operations and not a closure. So there may be time sometime in the future that we'll need to have a chip supply. But obviously, with the suspension, we're not going to consume chips anymore. So the focus would be working with GreenFirst to resell the chips into the market. Just as a reminder, with respect to the agreement, it is based on -- the transfer price between the parties is based on market pricing. So we expect that any impact to us with respect to profits or losses, we will largely be mitigated. With respect to the Anomera business, again, they take a small volume, we'll be able to supply that from our other plants to keep that operation moving and growing. And then the last issue with respect to the -- our boiler 10, I think, is what you're talking about, our liquor boiler. That is part of the suspension. So we're planning to shut those operations or close those operations down for the period.

Matthew McKellar

Analyst

Okay. Great. Last one for me. As part of that softwood lumber duty refund sale, you called out an opportunity for the company to receive additional future sale proceeds contingent upon the timing in terms of the ultimate trade dispute outcome. Can you provide any color here on under what circumstances you would receive additional proceeds in the future?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Really can't, Matthew, those are -- we're under NDA on those type of details. So we can't really share that with you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Dmitry Silversteyn with Water Tower Research.

Dmitry Silversteyn

Analyst

I just want to circle back to a couple of things. First of all, the $7 million energy benefit that you will realize later in the year, can you provide a little bit more detail on what that is? And is it likely to fall in the first half of the year or the second half of the year?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Okay. Dmitry, what we're talking about is the CO2 credits that we receive in France with our Tartas facility. Historically, we've usually been able to realize those and recognize those as part of EBITDA either in the first or second quarters of the year. Right now, we're thinking that it's likely to occur in the third quarter of this year, largely due to government authorities pushing out the payment potential on that. So again, it will be there, roughly about the same amount as we've seen in the past. It's just a little delay.

Dmitry Silversteyn

Analyst

Got it. And then just a follow-up on your comment about the market conditions in China that are impacting your High-Yield Pulp business. Can you provide a little bit more detail on what's going on there in China? And how long does -- these market conditions are expected to last?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Well, the conditions [ can ] continue, as we discussed last quarter. There's still an excess supply of high-yield pulp or mechanical pulp in China due to new capacity that came on. And I would expect that that's probably going to continue through most of the year. There's a lot of excess supply in that market. The impact is having with respect to global pricing on high-yield pulp is though limited to China. We're not really seeing a lot of that lead out to other regions in the world. So pricing in the Indian subcontinent area as well as Europe continues to be strong, and we expect will continue to improve as we go through the year. And in response to what we're seeing in China, we are obviously then repositioning our sales and our supply into those markets that are more attractive. And then we believe that as a result of those stronger dynamics, and we'll be able to improve our average pricing as the year progresses.

Dmitry Silversteyn

Analyst

Okay. So I mean if I look at your slide for the volume and price and high-yield pulp, it does look like it's come off the bottom a little bit, but obviously not to the level that we saw in 2022. Is the expectation that sort of the normal pricing is somewhere more in line, let's say, with the first half of '23? I mean how should we think about kind of sustainable pricing for this business?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Yes. That's -- and again, that's a good question of what would be a normalized price. Normally, over a cycle, our High-Yield Pulp business generates positive EBITDA and positive cash flow. Obviously, we're coming off the trough and starting to see improvements. And as we get into later part of this year, we'll start to enjoy positive EBITDA and positive cash flow. I really can't right now tell you where the normalized pricing would be. It's likely going to be higher than we are today. We'll get all the way back to the first quarter of 2023, i.e., that's I think right now, it's probably -- it would be a guess on my part. I really don't want to speculate on that.

Marcus Moeltner

Analyst

And Dmitry, remember, there's a lag effect in our high-yield business, given our order file in our logistics supply chain.

Dmitry Silversteyn

Analyst

Got you. So yes, I understand that.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Sandy Burns with Stifel.

Sanford Burns

Analyst

Good start to the year. Maybe just to clarify one item about the EBITDA guidance. The $30 million onetime cash charges for the Temiscaming closure suspension, is that added back to get to the $180 to $200 million? Or are you including those as valid expenses for 2024?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

No, we're adding that back to get to the adjusted EBITDA guidance.

Sanford Burns

Analyst

Okay. So that is an add back. And those are all cash costs, just to confirm?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

There are -- No, they're not all cash costs. But a good majority of it is. And just the other point to make is that the $30 million, it will be spread out over the course of multiple years. It's not all going to happen in 2024.

Sanford Burns

Analyst

Okay. Good. Okay. And maybe just to follow up on the prior question about the duty sale, and I appreciate you don't want to get into too much detail. But maybe just to clarify, was that a sale of all of the duty refunds you were expecting? Or was it just a portion of those?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

We see the sale of all of our duty refund rights, so not just the amount that was in receivables. So the full $111 million.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Roger Spitz with Bank of America.

Roger Spitz

Analyst

What is the EBITDA impact of the Q2 '24 Jesup turnaround, if any?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

That's a good question, Roger. And you got me stumped on that one. I would say in the neighborhood of $10 million, something like that. But again, that's going to be a guess to thinking about historical impacts, but that's -- given the size of the plant, given the -- obviously, the impact it has, it's going to be material.

Roger Spitz

Analyst

Are you getting all lines or just one particular line?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Yes. We brought the whole plant down for about 3 weeks.

Marcus Moeltner

Analyst

And Roger, it's important to note, we're through that shutdown...

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Yes. The important point is that the plant is back up and running now.

Roger Spitz

Analyst

Got it.

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

And we brought it back up a little earlier than planned. So it was a very successful outage.

Roger Spitz

Analyst

Perfect. So regarding Temiscaming, you're going to idle your HPC plant, obviously, continuing to run the paperboard and high-yield pulp plant. And the slide talks about what you save in EBITDA. But my question is this, if we look at the paperboard and high-yield pulp, you both have EBITDA associated with it. But presumably, there will be some additional EBITDA pressure or cost from running those plants but not having the benefit of the HPC plant to absorb the other fixed costs of running the whole complex. So how should we think about like LTM EBITDA of those 2 segments, if HBC wasn't running, is there like -- do they have to absorb another x million dollars of fixed costs from not running HPC?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

You're getting into the -- some details relative and with respect to some of the negotiations and discussions we're having with potential suitors of the Paperboard business. So I don't really want to get into the details on that. But I will say that any of the stranded costs that right now that we've forecasted for the business is in that $15 million to $20 million of benefit that we've got in the EBITDA for the business going forward. So we've got it included in the estimates we've given you.

Roger Spitz

Analyst

Got it. So where are you...

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Yes. And [indiscernible] the last point, let me make one more point, Roger. Again, this is not a closure. This is a suspension. So any of these retained costs or these stranded costs or however you want to describe them, the plan is that HPC will retain those costs ongoing and won't affect the Paperboard business or the High-Yield Pulp business, again, because the -- there's a likelihood that we would actually restart these operations sometime in the future. So these ongoing fixed costs that we would have at the site, we would need to retain to support that potential.

Roger Spitz

Analyst

Well, I guess, at least the following 2 questions. One is, where are you in the process? Have you -- you said last time you received indications of interest, which suggests that you did -- you got first round bids in that are -- so where are you -- have you asked for second round bids? Have you run management presentations ahead of the second round? Have you sent out contracts for potential buyers to mark up?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

We have had management presentations. We've had site visits with interested parties. We are -- have provided a draft or draft APA agreements. But with the -- as a result of the suspension, obviously, the underlying fundamentals and assumptions relative to how the site will operate have now changed. And so because of that, the diligence process is going to be extended, so our suiters will have a chance to understand what it would mean to the Paperboard and High-Yield Pulp business relative to the suspension that we've discussed. The -- so anyway, the delay, we believe, is actually relatively minor. It isn't -- it doesn't at all talk about or even suggest that there's a lack of enthusiasm for the assets. In fact, I would suggest that as a result of the suspension that enthusiasm has actually increased from the parties that are interested. And I would actually suggest also that we've actually seen increased interest from other parties. So we will continue to run the process as we see necessary to get the best value for those assets. As I said earlier, this is not a fire sale. We want to make sure we get fair value for these assets. And we'll run the process as we deem necessary to extract that value.

Roger Spitz

Analyst

Got it. If I can take one more further on this subject. You're shutting -- you're idling the plan on July 2. So Q3 will be relatively -- or substantially clean. Do you think that you really need to go back out and show them the Q3 numbers and with one quarter of clean quarter shown, that's when you can restart? Or do you think you'll have to show them 2 full quarters of "clean numbers" without HPC operating to give potential buyers full confidence to make as high a bid hopefully as I can?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

That depends on the suitor. All right. So it's up to them. But our goal is to conclude the deal if the terms are attractive before we have to -- by the end of the year as part of the refi process.

Roger Spitz

Analyst

Got it. And then -- are there the people in queue or can I ask 2 more?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

You can go ahead and ask a couple of more questions.

Roger Spitz

Analyst

Sure. Maybe you said this and I missed it. The 2024 HPC EBITDA, did that change from the $180 million to $190 million and the paperboard from $50 million to $60 million? I just maybe missed it and you said it on the prepared remarks.

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

So they didn't change. Same as we gave last time.

Roger Spitz

Analyst

Got it. And then lastly, regarding the GreenFirst wood chip supply agreement, is that based on take-or-pay volumes, requirements, contracts? Or is it just general volume [ min/max ] under the supply agreement?

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

We're required to take a certain amount of volume every year from GreenFirst and that -- so we will need to take the volume, even though we're not operating the facility, but the pricing is based on market pricing at the time. And as a consequence, as I said, we will look to resell working with GreenFirst. And as a result of that, our expectation is that we will not see either profit or loss from that resale.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time. I'd like to hand the floor back over to De Lyle Bloomquist for any closing comments.

De Lyle Bloomquist

Analyst

Right. Again, as always, thank you for joining us today. I appreciate all your interest and support for the company. I am very proud of the hard work and dedication that we show -- that has been shown by our team and very confident in our ability to continue to enhance the profitability while we work to reduce our debt and our leverage. I look forward to providing updates on all of our ongoing projects and initiatives and value your continued support as we strive for long-term success and growth. As always, we're committed to maintaining transparency and open communication. So feel free to contact us if you have any further questions or you need any further innovation. Thank you again for your participation.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you again for your participation.