Bob Komin
Analyst · Guggenheim Securities. Your line is open
Thanks Lynn. In the first quarter we exceeded our deployment guidance and executing well against our 2017 goals. NPV was $0.83 per watt in Q1 resulting in aggregate NPV created $56 million. This represents 125% growth compared to prior year. For the year 2017 we continue to expect to generate $1 per watt in NPV, a 15% improvement to our unit level economic compared to 2016. We expect the seasonal patent of NPV to be consistent with prior years with lower NPV throughout first half and gradual increasing throughout the year as volumes increase. NPV is calculated as project value less creation cost, so let's go to each of the component next. Q1 project value of $4.21 per watt was $0.20 lower than Q4, frankly due to the mix of business in the quarter. we expect project value to be approximately $4.25 per watt for the year, 5% below 2016, this decline should be more than offset by cost reduction. As a reminder project value is very sensitive to modest changes in geographic, channel and tax equity fund mix. We expect project value will continue to decline slightly overtime with cost declining more although in the short run there can be quarterly fluctuation. Turning now to creation cost on Slide 9. In Q1 total creation cost was $3.38 per watt, an improvement of $0.69 or 17% year-over-year. Similar to project value creation cost can fluctuate quarter-to-quarter due to changes in geographic and channel mix and this quarter we saw some benefits to our cost from our mix of business. as a reminder our cost stock is not directly comparable to those appears because of our channel partner business. Blended installation cost per watt, which includes both solar projects deployed by our channel partners, as well by Sunrun improved by $0.31 or 10% year-over-year to $2.57 per watt. Install cost for systems built by Sunrun were $2.14 per watt, reflecting a $0.22, or 9% year-over-year decline. We expect installation cost to improve further as we realize more of the benefits of lower panel and inverter prices beginning in Q2. In Q1, our sales and marketing costs were $0.51 per watt, a 12% improvement from Q4 and a 41% improvement from the prior year, primarily driven by channel mix and our focus on the most cost-effective customer acquisition channels. Next, G&A cost per watt was $0.29, a $0.01 increase from Q4. These costs have been largely flat for the last several quarters. In 2017, we expect to realize further operating leverage with volume growth exceeding G&A cost increases. Finally, when we calculate creation costs, we subtract the GAAP gross margin contribution realized from our platform services. This includes our distribution, racking and lead generation businesses, as well as our solar systems we sell for cash or with a third-party loan. We achieved platform services gross margin of $0.09 per watt lower than Q4, due primarily to a lower mix of solar system sales and seasonality in our distribution business. In the first quarter, deployments increased 21% year-over-year to 73 megawatts, exceeding our guidance of 69 megawatts. This fee was primarily attributable to an increase in our channel volumes, the strength and flexibility of our multi-channel platform model continue to serve us well in the current market conditions. As we've highlighted over the last few quarters, we're seeing more opportunities that are favorable to work with partners while meeting our NPV and cash contribution goals. As we've previously described this trajectory can fluctuate quarter-to-quarter since we did not manage to a mix or volume target, we instead prioritized based on unit level margins. Our cash and third-party loan mix was 7% in Q1 lower than Q4. We expect this to increase slightly and return to more recent levels of low to mid-teens. As discussed previously, we believe our PPA and lease product mix of over 80% better matches consumer preferences and delivers our customers significant value and predictability, which is one of the reasons we have been able to take share. In Q1, our net bookings were 74 megawatts, an increase of 19% from the prior year. As a reminder, bookings are calculated net of cancellations. Our liquidity position remains strong. We entered Q1 with $204 million non-restricted cash, the seventh consecutive quarter we've been above $200 million. Our view that we'll be able to maintain or potentially increase our cash position by the end of 2017 without issuing additional equity remains unchanged. This excludes any strategic opportunities or accelerated market entries beyond our current plan. As a reminder the timing of project finance proceeds can vary quarter-to-quarter and our primary objective is to optimize for the lowest long-term cost of capital. So, we focus first and foremost on the best execution of financing, which could impact the timing of our cash balance on a specific quarter end measurement day. Moving onto guidance on Slide 10, we remain confident in our growth trajectory with Q2 going for 72 megawatts which reflects approximately 15% year-over-year growth in the first half of 2017. We're reiterating our guidance of 15% growth for deployments for the year which is approximately 325 megawatts. Our principle focus is generating approximately a $1 of NPV per watt. We continue to believe we can generate more than $290 million in aggregate NPV in 2017, of more than 35% increase from the prior year. Now let me turn it over to Ed.